Betting CFB Win totals
My gambling last season netted me a total of $17 in winnings. I lucked out because I took a few season win totals and the overs (Michigan and Tennessee mainly) and recouped everything I lost during the season.
What looks appetizing for this year?
Personally...I'm tempted to take the overs on MSU...ND...Bama...Georgia...OSU...and Michigan.
BYU is interesting if they can win 1 of Baylor, ND, Oregon, Arkansas they should get to 9.
Odds are from BetUS
August 16th, 2022 at 11:08 AM ^
I took the over for Michigan, Utah, Baylor, and LSU.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:09 AM ^
@Wash, OSU, @UM, @PSU will be tough. Throw in @MD (poor pass D vs MD WRs), WI & MN and Sparty's 7.5 is a tough call.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:54 PM ^
I sincerely hope that you are right. To watch a team put up 10 yards in a half against NEB (and win!) and give up 49 points in a half to OSU, and still go 11-2 is annoying. Tucker is a hype machine, and they sometimes play hard, but they can't be the luckiest team in CFB two years straight, can they? Is it really sustainable to build a whole team out of mercenaries from the portal? We will see.
August 16th, 2022 at 2:55 PM ^
Take the over to jinx it if nothing else.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:11 AM ^
This may be a dumb question but do the totals include bowl games and conference championships?
August 16th, 2022 at 11:18 AM ^
That was my thought as well, because that makes Bama a lock for the over.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:20 AM ^
Nope, just regular season totals
August 16th, 2022 at 2:53 PM ^
This may be a dumb question but do the totals include bowl games and conference championships?
I wondered the same thing while thinking about Clemson. They're going to be good...but 11-1 is hard to do. I'd go under 10.5, but the question about conference championship games made me pause.
August 16th, 2022 at 7:13 PM ^
Gotta be just for the regular season
August 16th, 2022 at 11:11 AM ^
Norte Dame at 8.5? Maybe it's just me, but that seems like an easy pick for over.
I think BYU can easily get to 9. They'd have a chance with Arkansas and Baylor, for sure.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:30 PM ^
They are at Ohio State and home against Clemson. At BYU and USC might be one loss between the two but aside from those possibilities I am not seeing another loss on their schedule.
August 16th, 2022 at 3:34 PM ^
I see USC has gone from 4-8 last season to being ranked #14 in preseason. I get they have Lincoln Riley now but is he going to be that dramatic of a change in his first season? Even Saban's first year at Alabama was a struggle before he could get the best players money can buy.
Otherwise, I'm afraid you're right. Maybe a team like North Carolina could give them a slight scare but otherwise, Notre Dame's got a bunch of bottom of the barrel PAC-12 and ACC opponents.
I love me some Notre Dame losses but that schedule won't permit them many.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:46 PM ^
The different being Riley could buy his players in 1 offseason.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:12 AM ^
Kansas at 2.5 is a great line….
August 16th, 2022 at 2:54 PM ^
How many times do they play Texas?
August 16th, 2022 at 5:20 PM ^
Underrated response
August 16th, 2022 at 11:13 AM ^
As much as I hate ND - over at 8.5 looks like a good bet. Even with likely losses v OSU and Clemson, they still can lose another and win that one.
Then again - to hell with Notre Dame, no way can I bet for them to win anything.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:30 AM ^
They need 2 of these 3: @BYU, @UNC, @USC to get to 9 Ws. I wouldn't bet on that given we know little about how this coaching staff will do. Their 11 Ws last year weren't all that impressive.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:27 PM ^
Koj, but ND’s game against Cincy last year was one of the most enjoyable games of the season.
I also enjoyed ND’s bowl game, and their game against Toledo.
August 16th, 2022 at 1:43 PM ^
Maybe more than the coaching staff question mark is the QB. Is it just me or does Tyler Buchner seem very unimpressive?
August 16th, 2022 at 2:03 PM ^
Indy, the new staff will be interesting - and, it does seem the Irish O has more questions.
ND brought back their former OL coach (who had been in the NFL) and - IMO - anything you want, or can, do on Offense, begins with the OL.
My guess is - ND will be more run heavy - not only because of a relatively inexperienced QB, but - more importantly - an injured / depleted receiving corps..
August 16th, 2022 at 2:09 PM ^
Great point. I don't have much of an opinion cause I haven't seen him play. New staff, new starting QB, same Tommy Reese though. They also lose their leading RB & WR from last year and their best safety. Preseason #5 feels much too high.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:15 AM ^
Looked at these a couple of weeks back and like these ones best. (Not sure if Draft Kings' odds match those above but that is where I am getting the numbers from.)
Bama: Over 10.5
Texas A&M: Over 8.5
Auburn: Under 6.5
Georgia: Over 10.5
Missouri: Under 5.5
Purdue: Over 7.5
Illinois: Under 4.5
Boston College: Under 6.5
Virginia Tech: Over 6.5
Georgia Tech: Under 3.5
Oregon: Over 8.5
Washington: Over 7.5
Oregon State: Under 6.5
California: Under 5.5
Washington State: Under 5.5
West Virginia: Under 5.5
Texas Tech: Under 5.5
Notre Dame: Over 8.5
August 16th, 2022 at 2:40 PM ^
“So, you see, both Dunn and I were under Oveur, even though I was under Dunn.”
August 16th, 2022 at 11:42 AM ^
I love that the O/U for the #6 team in the country (TAMU) is at 8.5....
August 16th, 2022 at 12:32 PM ^
Wally, don’t forget the Aggies schedule. Three of their opponents include Sam Houston State, App State, and U Mass.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:46 AM ^
Alabama - take the over all day. They've won less than 11 games in the regular season only once in the last decade
Clemson - ehhh I'll probably take the under. They are still far and away the most talented team in the conference, and from what I understand their defense is supposed to be among the best in the country. But until proven otherwise they don't have a QB. Not one that can get them to where they've been used to going, and that's going to hold them back. I think they're a ten win team and probably win the ACC, but I think there's two losses in there somewhere.
OSU - take the over because they can out-talent almost everyone they play, and bringing Knowles in should at least make their defense average.
Nebraska - Nebraska can win over seven games. They probably have the most raw talent in the Western division, but they are yet to prove that they can get out of their own way. I'll take the under, but if there is a year to break through, this is it. Overall very manageable schedule. No OSU, MSU or PSU on the schedule, Wisconsin is at home, and Oklahoma comes to Lincoln under a first year head coach. I'll peg Nebraska for six wins, maybe seven, but that's it.
FSU - Like Nebraska, I have to see it to believe it. I'll take the under. They did show signs of life last season, but they seem to have such an incredibly fragile culture where when they get hit with adversity, they crumble and fall apart. All the talent needed to win the ACC, but they could also legitimately miss a bowl game.
PSU - Probably take the under. Road games to start the season at Purdue and a very tough offense to defend against, on the road at Auburn, on the road at Michigan, MSU and OSU are home but extremely tough games. All depends on their OL and if they can keep Clifford upright. If they can, they can stretch to nine or ten wins.
Georgia - Take the over. They won't be as good as last season by default, but there is no more than one loss in a very weak SEC East division.
Michigan - trying to put my homerism aside, but probably take the over, because their offense should be good enough to win in a shootout with anyone not named OSU. If they can get through Iowa unscathed, then absolutely take the over.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:51 AM ^
Lol 17 dollars in winnings?
You'd have better luck parlaying all these easy moneylines early season for a larger amount of money for super easy cash.
August 16th, 2022 at 5:22 PM ^
Yeah, a net of $17 I should say, but it wasn't nearly as good as the year before.
August 16th, 2022 at 11:52 AM ^
Taking overs from 3 division foes seems a bit like betting against yourself. Is the payout commensurate to the risk? I know I have fan brain here - but I'd be disappointed if M finished less than 10-2. I think Sparty has a tough schedule. Expecting OSU to go 11-1 isn't crazy but is also still a tough bet. ND plays four ranked teams - but I think they'll be favored against USC and BYU, I think ND is a good bet. Bama too, altho I'm sure I've doomed them by effectively predicting an 11-1 season. They've got 4 B10 West teams at 7.5 - last year, Iowa won at 10-2 but Purdue, Wisconsin and Minnesota all finished 8-4. I'd say Purdue is a good bet - almost completely because they miss M, OSU, and MSU (they play PSU).
August 16th, 2022 at 3:54 PM ^
Is Sparty's schedule really that tough?
Yes, they have to travel to the west coast to play Washington but UW is coming off a disastrous 4-8 season and is in year one of a new coach.
They play two MAC teams. Usual cupcakes against Rutgers, Illinois, Indiana.
They get OSU, Wisconsin and Minnesota at home.
Looks like their toughest road game is against us. But they get a bye week before playing us for the second straight year.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:01 PM ^
You need to include the odds for the over/under as well. The issue with some of these that seem super obvious like Bama over 10.5 and OSU over 10.5 is they’re juiced and not worth it. For example, on DraftKings OSU o10.5 is -250 odds and Bama o10.5 is -300. Totally not worth locking up your money for over 3 months at those horrible odds. Instead, at BetMGM you can get OSU o11 for -110 and Bama o11.5 for +110 if you feel strongly about those teams.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:20 PM ^
I don’t see 3 losses on Michigan schedule.
Illinois is up and coming like Bert or not . 5 wins should be cake.
ND isn’t that good.
The under for Cincinnati is interesting.
Pitt without Addison and Pickett getting to 9 wins is iffy at best.
August 16th, 2022 at 7:18 PM ^
The game on UM's schedule that worries me (besides OSU) is the game at Iowa. That could be a rough one
August 16th, 2022 at 8:16 PM ^
Iowa's offense was SO bad last year though..and they lost Goodson & Linderbaum, easily their 2 best offensive players.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:25 PM ^
Are these regular season only or do they include bowl games?
Two teams I really like...
Kentucky - They could reasonably be 10-0 going into the UGA game, and that's in Lexington. Will Levis will make PSU fans jealous this year.
Maryland - Their schedule sets up nicely to be at 6 wins before November, with Rutgers at the end. They should sweep the non-conference schedule and if they protect the ball, they can win three of MSU, Purdue, IU and Northwestern. At worst, I think they push, which will feel like a win if win #6 is against Rutgers.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:43 PM ^
These also ran SEC schools never build on their momentum.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:29 PM ^
If this team doesnt win at least 10 games with this schedule. Seems like the over is a safe bet.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:36 PM ^
Good laugh on Texas a and m and Utah. Vegas knows the sport better than the pollsters.
Bama and OSU combined I dont see how you can lose money and if you do I think it might be worth it.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:40 PM ^
UCLA and Texas way under with Illinois way over.
August 16th, 2022 at 12:45 PM ^
Take the over for Michigan.
August 16th, 2022 at 7:19 PM ^
Definitely - an easy one
August 16th, 2022 at 1:06 PM ^
I’d take over for Kansas, Nebraska, and Purdue.
August 16th, 2022 at 1:21 PM ^
Over on Tenn, Iowa, Kansas, and Baylor
Under on LSU, Texas, ND, USC
August 16th, 2022 at 1:27 PM ^
Purdue seems like an easy bet to be better than 7.5 wins. They avoid Michigan, Ohio St., And MSU in crossover games and play a weak non-conference schedule. They have a great offense, if their defense is respectable at all I can see them winning 10 or 11 games.
August 16th, 2022 at 2:15 PM ^
That Purdue over is very tempting. NO Michigan/Ohio/Penn state
8 games seems a given.
August 16th, 2022 at 7:21 PM ^
Purdue also has one of the top 5 or 6 QBs in the country and it all starts at QB
August 16th, 2022 at 3:13 PM ^
Not seeing their schedule I think Illinois could sneak 5+
August 16th, 2022 at 3:36 PM ^
Utah over 9 wins is a lock. That is an 11 win team
August 16th, 2022 at 6:32 PM ^
Baylor was at 8.5 a few months ago and I would have jumped on that under, but now at 7.5 I will leave it alone.
If you believe in the luck and unluck numbers then MSU under and Nebrasks over are the plays.