How they Fleck you [Bryan Fuller]

Neck Sharpies: RPO the Boat Comment Count

Seth October 20th, 2020 at 3:29 PM

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If you saw any highlights of Minnesota last year it was probably a long bomb to Rashod Bateman, or a 14-yard slant to Tyler Johnson. You probably kenned along the way that Tanner Morgan is one of the most efficient passers in the conference, with 10 YPC and a fantastic TD/INT ratio. It might surprise you to learn, then, that Minnesota last year was one of the most run-heavy teams with the most simplistic passing games in the country.

Mathlete and I recreated a lot of advanced stats over the offseason and Minnesota came out 13th in run rate and 14th in standard down run rate. They were also 48th in OL yards, 44th in run efficiency, and way down at 112th in run explosiveness, opposite a passing game that was 10th in efficiency and 5th in explosiveness. Of note they were also 98th in sack rate.

Usually that's the profile of a MANBALL team--an Iowa or Carr-era Michigan that runs until they see 8-man boxes and only then unleash their NFL arms and receivers. In PJ Fleck's case, however, it's not him choosing to run the ball but his opponents.

Minnesota's RPO offense is all about stretching linebackers' priorities and daring them to cheat towards one or the other. They have a big offensive line that doesn't pass protect very well, so the entire (effective) passing game is about throwing to covered receivers with just a little bit of leverage. That kind of passing offense works so long as the guy is truly in man and doesn't have help inside.

To take care of the help, they run RPOs. Lots of them. So much of them that you can almost force them into running the ball all game. Then they're running the ball so much you start cheating towards it and OPE, you let Bateman or Autman-Bell loose.

[After THE JUMP: How Minnesota throws it to the same three spots on the field and gets away with it]

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THE BASE PLAY

Minnesota has a relatively small playbook, and they'll flip between their various favorite things when they see the disposition of the defense. The rock of the playbook is outside zone one direction and a rollout flood with a QB run as an extra level the other way. The dude they're messing with is the backside linebacker. He's the unblocked run defender, the man on the running back, the guy who could mess your stretch run up if he can get through traffic and meet the ballcarrier on the line of scrimmage. He's also the guy whose zone is going to get stretched on the other side.

This is the run option:

This is the pass option:

Illegal formations are only illegal if they're called.

And this is it drawn up (specifically the latter):

image

I want to walk through this play to show you how Fleck uses his wide receivers' ability to create space for the running game.

THE PLAY DESIGN

1. The run play is Rich Rod's staple: "Stretch" or "Outside Zone" with a read of the backside edge defender. Outside zone works great against slow but heavy defensive lines, or against quick ones who over-penetrate. Their size becomes a drag as they attempt to move horizontally with the line, slowly widening the space to find a lane. Upfield attacks become momentum that can be used against you (see Michigan's 2015 Indiana game). Outside zone is all about agility and creating a wide front. Shutting it down is about keeping all of those gaps closed until they run out of room and unblocked help from the backside can arrive.

2. The pass play is an everybody staple: Banana, or America's Rollout Out as we call it. It's basically a big stretch on one side of the field with up to five levels: a fly route (Z), the "banana" route into the flat (the TE), and then deep crossers (X and H) at about 7 and 17 yards. By halving the field you halve your quarterback's field of responsibility, which is why so many teams with young quarterbacks will have this in their playbooks. By having all of these options (including the QB running) at various vertical levels you stretch any zone defense to the point where defenders have to choose to leave one open. If you catch man-to-man you've got dig routes with defenders running behind them. Shutting it down is all about having the discipline, speed, and agility to stay in passing lanes (or with your man), and cover your zone so that you can make a play on a ball to either side of it without breaking down.

3. As you can surmise, the backside linebacker is caught between two tough jobs: reducing the amount of time his DL have to hold up while getting stretched, and covering an underneath zone so the flat defender can take the flat and the trail defender has help inside. So of course, the run/pass option read is that backside linebacker, in this case the MIKE. If he's dropping into coverage that will take away the crossing route but also means he's nowhere near the run, and your back should be able to pick a lane behind all of those zone blocks.

THE MINNESOTA DIFFERENCE

The way Fleck runs this emphasizes the threat of his receivers.

image

The slot receiver (H) here is Tyler Johnson, his best receiver, best route-runner…basically the guy hardest to cover if he turns inside and you're trailing him. The defense can either trail him on these routes with their slot guy, or have the slot defender (the ★) and the playside linebacker (W) flip jobs, so that the hybrid is setting the edge of the defense and the ILB is backing out into a zone. If it's the ★ he's giving up inside leverage. If it's the WILL you've got a linebacker on Tyler Johnson.

The fly receiver (Z) on this play is Chris Autman-Bell, a bona fide Deep Threat™. Notice how Autman-Bell set up pretty far inside. All of that room is his to use to get a free release and beat a cornerback whose only help is the sideline. Sideline further away: more space. The fly route to is always a first read.

The deep crosser (X) is Rashod Bateman, the BIG PLAY THREAT. He's all the way towards the sideline (which in this game was a tell they were running this series), again to create spacing. When he turns inside, that cornerback has to stay with Bateman for the entire length of the field. Also the free safety, whose job is to provide inside leverage on both deep routes, is stretched that much further between Bateman and Autman-Bell.

The flat route (TE) by the tight end is what overstresses the defense. With the cornerback cleared out from that side and the MIKE gone because of the run action, the backside safety, the hole defender who's the only hope of inside leverage on the shorter crossing route, has to clear out to cover the flat, while also maintaining alley control in case the quarterback takes off.

SAME SHIT DIFFERENT DOWN

Let's watch the run option again. You'll note they ran this one out of a trips (three receivers to a side) formation. You should also note that Tyler Johnson (H) went to the same exact spot, as did everybody else. With the strength of the formation flipped the defense has also flipped their rotation, keeping more guys on the right side. But it's still a question of what the backside linebacker (in this case the ★ because they're in dime personnel) wants this to be.

image

He stays back in coverage, and Tanner Morgan hands it off. Now the run game has the numbers. The left tackle whiffs on the WILL but RB Mo Ibrahim accelerates past that attempt to make a play. The thing I want you to note here though, other than Minnesota's ability to reproduce the same play from a different formation, is the reaction of the free safety and the cornerback at the top of the screen.

The safety is the curl/flat defender on this (Man 2) rotation but he's loathe to come down until he's sure the ball's out of Morgan's hands. The cornerback is turning his head and going with Rashod Bateman. Again, this is because of the danger of Minnesota's receivers. Bateman is a major threat to break loose so they have him bracketed by doubles coverage. And I'm pretty sure the Gophers know it before the snap. When they asked Morgan last year if he's making all of these reads he said he's pretty sure pre-snap where the ball's going, and is just looking for surprises that might change his mind.

Note too that they checked into this call twice when shown a Tite front with two-high.

LESSONS

Minnesota's passing game is extremely simplified. The idea is to have so many RPOs that you get sick of letting their running game churn you down the field, start diving after it, and open up leverage for those dangerous receivers. Here's a play run in between them. The run play is Inverted Veer, which basically flips the RB/QB jobs and plays havoc with defenses trying to swing outside on zone and cut off the RB. But notice anything about the routes?

Guys, the receivers are all in the exact same spot again. Here's another from that drive where Autman-Bell is the flat option, Bateman is the high crosser, and two more receivers at the bottom are clearing out space.

This is how PJ Fleck can run an extremely simple offense from lots of different looks: everything's in the same place—just getting there from different places—and the guy a defense would want to use to punish that is getting pulled in opposite directions by the RPO. If you sit back underneath anyways you're playing a man down in the run game against that big offensive line and tough running back. The ball's out too fast to blitz it to death. And the minute you stop covering those receivers with the respect they command, they're going to arrive to a spot Morgan's practiced throwing to 100,000 times. It's really effective.

Comments

wile_e8

October 20th, 2020 at 4:16 PM ^

It's the old Lloyd Carr staple: Out execute 'em!

If their lineman are consistently getting blocks on all the box defenders, it's going to be a long day. But if your D-line is consistently beating blocks, you can slow down the run game without overstressing the pass defenders. 

Either that or have a secondary with the speed to play man and keep up with the receivers even if they give up inside leverage. 

The whole offense is set up to always have someone open if everyone does their job, it's up to the defense to prevent people from doing their jobs. 

ldevon1

October 20th, 2020 at 5:06 PM ^

Don't panic dude. They beat one good team last year unless you count Auburn. They struggle early against very bad competition, got some confidence and beat some bad B1G teams. The issue is resolved with a good front 7 and we have that. Don't get me wrong, I don't expect to blow them out, but I don't expect to lose to them. 

Communist Football

October 21st, 2020 at 3:14 PM ^

Here's a good article on how to beat RPOs with man defense. With a caveat:

The most common solution is to just play man-to-man defense. That way, defenders aren’t conflicted with run responsibility and pass responsibility. But not every team has the athletes to consistently play man-to-man defense down after down. Also, some of the more advanced spread teams have RPOs designed to beat man-to-man.

MNWolverine2

October 20th, 2020 at 4:19 PM ^

I mean they put 500 yards and 31 points in the bowl game on an Auburn team that beat Alabama.  And they basically brought everybody back except Tyler Johnson.  It's going to be very, very tough to stop.  Why I wish we got Northwestern as our crossover, not Minnesota.

Going to need a batter ball turnover or something like that to have a chance of slowing them down.

AZBlue

October 20th, 2020 at 5:08 PM ^

They did lose a TON on defense so they may need to score a lot of points this year AND Michigan / Don Brown have had ample time to put together a plan for this.

Not trying to make too many excuses, but I expect Auburn was about as amped up to play UM (NTUM) in that game as UNC appeared to be playing FSU last week.

Where I am more curious is how does the exit of the OC affect the offense this year? -- (I assume it will be a lot of carry over but think they hired from the outside) --

AND I wonder if we will see the same offense out of PSU this year? how does Scirocco adapt it to PSU with (maybe) better RBs but worse WRs?

DrWolverine

October 20th, 2020 at 4:21 PM ^

I watched Minnesota's first game last year against South Dakota State. They were outplayed and should have lost the game except for 2 terrible SDSU turnovers, including a horrible pick-6 from their freshman QB. It seemed like Minnesota could have passed all over them but rarely did. I thought they were going to be terrible but they clearly were better than that. I wonder how an FCS team was able to mostly shut them down. Maybe they weren't fully weaponized at that point. 

MGoStrength

October 20th, 2020 at 5:49 PM ^

They got lucky and beat Penn St at home

Why were they lucky?  Morgan was 18-20 for 339 yds and 3 TDs.  Bateman had over 200 yds receiving and Johnson had over 100 yds.  Doesn't sound lucky to me nor did it watching it.  Minnesota was #46 in team talent in 2019.  PSU was #10.  That would be like NW beating UM.

beat an uninspired Auburn team in the bowl.

What makes one team uninspired and not the other?  Good coaching.  

Those are the only games he's won against an power 5 opponent with a winning record. 

They beat more ranked teams than UM did last year with significantly less talent.  Imagine what Fleck could do with UM's talent?  He might actually beat OSU more than once every 8 years.

JonathanE

October 22nd, 2020 at 8:16 AM ^

They beat more ranked teams than UM did last year with significantly less talent. 

 

Minnesota
November 9 - Win at home vs #4 Penn State
January 1, 2020 - Win in bowl game vs #12 Auburn

Michigan 
October 5 - Win at home vs #14 Iowa
October 26 - Win at home vs #8 Notre Dame

 

Imagine what Fleck could do with UM's talent?  He might actually beat OSU more than once every 8 years.

 

Minnesota

November 16 lost to #20 Iowa (Go back and see how Michigan played Iowa on October 5)
November 30 lost to #12 Wisconsin. 

Minnesota played a FCS team (and should have lost) as well as some weak mid-majors and feasted on a weak Big Ten West schedule. When it was actually a meaningful game against a top ranked Big Ten West team, they blew it. If Harbaugh and Michigan played in the Big Ten West, they would be Paul Chryst, a lot of double digit wins, Big Ten Championship appearances but still lost to Ohio State. Its not how many wins you have, it's who you played to get those wins. 

 

 

 

 

LostInACoinToss

October 20th, 2020 at 5:48 PM ^

Sure, Minny-soda doesn't play anyone. But they went 11-2 last year with a big bowl win over a big SEC school...and not Mizzou or Arkansas. Like, a real SEC football program. I'm almost positive every 'Soda fan will take that every year for the rest of eternity.

What has PJ ever done poorly as a coach? I see a guy who does a lot with the talent he's able to recruit. He goes above and beyond to motivate and fire up his players in big spots, something that I think makes a huge difference at the college level.

Not to pump up the enemy here, but I think PJ's doing a very fine job there so far. Now let's go kick his candy ass.

MGoStrength

October 20th, 2020 at 5:53 PM ^

What has PJ ever done poorly as a coach? I see a guy who does a lot with the talent he's able to recruit. He goes above and beyond to motivate and fire up his players in big spots, something that I think makes a huge difference at the college level.

Plus I'm friends with his head S&C coach so I might be able to finagle some behind the scenes privs :). I'd love to see Dan Nichol be UM's head football S&C coach.  Not bad for a kid from Quincy, MA.

massblue

October 20th, 2020 at 4:43 PM ^

Having more than a couple of weeks to prepare for MN, will be to our advantage.  Also, offenses will take longer to get it going.  It will be a defensive game.

Spitfire

October 20th, 2020 at 4:58 PM ^

Sounds like they value simplicity and execution over complexity and trying to out strategize their opponents. Not a bad way to go if you get good athletes. Key on defense is to get some penetration on the defensive line and the linebackers and d-backs just need to read their keys and not make coverage mistakes. We can do this.

Mongo

October 20th, 2020 at 6:05 PM ^

Looks like a high school program with decent athletes.  If we can't match up well against this simpleton offense, we are in trouble this year.

Blue Vet

October 20th, 2020 at 6:24 PM ^

Yikes. So Fleck's not just a blowhard who got lucky with some players. (Yeah, yeah, I know that's a blatant oversimplification of his career, but it was handy shorthand.)

Michigan4Life

October 20th, 2020 at 11:25 PM ^

If any, PJ Fleck knows how to evaluate and recruit athletes and mold them into a quality players. He's really good at WR position where he unearthed Corey Davis, Rashod Bateman which shouldn't be surprising considering he's a former WR and has WR coach experience. He recruited well at WMU and has taken some of the 4* to Minnesota which is a step up from their usual recruiting classes.

stephenrjking

October 20th, 2020 at 7:39 PM ^

Getting ahead of the down markers will be important here. It's possible that Morgan takes another step up in the classic drop-back passing game, but Minnesota strongly prefers to be in down/distance situations where the run is a significant threat. It's obvious here why that is. 

The bad news for Michigan is that they're quite good at running the ball and their OL has continued to develop. They retain a deep stable of RBs. Two years ago, when they started to gain momentum, they had two or three top RBs get hurt, and they had a really young line, and it was next man up and they were still quite good at it. Now everyone's older. 

Some defenses around football are starting to use tite formations with 3-man DLs against RPO teams, something that DB already does when Michigan plays triple option teams. I'm curious if he adapts that here. 

wolfman81

October 20th, 2020 at 9:22 PM ^

Some defenses around football are starting to use tite formations with 3-man DLs against RPO teams, something that DB already does when Michigan plays triple option teams. I'm curious if he adapts that here.

Interesting idea, especially since we don't know what we've got by way of DTs, and we like our LBs (and Safeties/VIPERs). Bateman vs. our CBs give me the willies though.

Seth

October 20th, 2020 at 9:17 PM ^

Like any concept you defend it one of three ways:

  1. Assignment football: The front seven take their gaps, the optioned LB delays that read by taking away the pass then jets to the frontside at the handoff and gets there in time to mirror the RB and hold for a minimal gain.
     
  2. Rock/Paper/Scissors: For example blitz the Star and roll your coverage, delaying the MIKE's attack on the flat so that he looks like he's staying in to cover the pass, FS hammers down the H. Handoff meets blitzing hybrid linebacker, play dead. Just make sure he hands off because if he doesn't it's Rashod Bateman inside a cornerback with no help.
     
  3. Dominate: Force the handoff, WLB jets outside so quickly he can set a hard edge inside of the hash mark. No space for gaps, SAM runs the back down from behind.

dragonchild

October 21st, 2020 at 7:16 AM ^

optioned LB delays that read by taking away the pass then jets to the frontside

Force the handoff, WLB jets outside so quickly he can set a hard edge inside of the hash mark.

Thing is, two of these sound really tough, and the RPS sounds dangerous.  The scheme is designed to stretch the linebackers into two places at once or dare you to man up on Bateman, and the answer is to basically do just that?

Seth

October 21st, 2020 at 8:01 AM ^

That's football. No concept is unbeatable. Every option is susceptible to an optioned player who has the awareness to realize what he's being stretched between and the athleticism to delay the read until the offense is off schedule. It favors the offense because that's the game: defenses are always at a disadvantage unless the offense gives up their advantages. 

dragonchild

October 21st, 2020 at 11:39 AM ^

Understood, and this looks like a brilliant way to mess with a modern linebacker's responsibilities.

But that makes a lot of (apt) assumptions about what the linebackers are going to do, so I'm wondering if there's some kind of defensive play that messes up the read itself, much like 404 tite screws with zone read.  Of course you need the personnel to run it, and a scheme fundamentally sound against one thing will be unsound against another.  But, if you can make the QB wrong every time, that shuts down much of Minnesota's playbook.

So for example -- just throwing overripe tomatoes out there -- I'm imagining a SAM in the mold of Jake M.F. Ryan, strong enough to set the edge but faster than anyone on the O-line.  Pre-snap the offense has to respect the SAM for any run going that way.  Post-snap against the veer, the MIKE shuffles to delay the read and force a give, the barbarian tears behind the D-line and meets the RB at the LoS.  The strong side won't have an edge defender but everyone will be running away from it anyway, and that's one less defender in coverage but that's not a problem if you force the give.

lsjtre

October 21st, 2020 at 7:10 AM ^

Let's hope Don Brown and this defensive staff have "downloaded this" as you guys have been saying happens in year two of this kind of an offense and Michigan is able to whittle it down over the course of Saturday