[Bryan Fuller]

Neck Sharpies: Hammer and Anvil Comment Count

Seth November 15th, 2022 at 10:00 AM

A ho hum demolition of yet another sub-par program has us all feeling pretty confident, but I'm finding something in the charting that's of real concern. It's not a huge surprise, given this was the main issue with the team going into the season. But it was the source of most of Nebraska's yards, and relates to issues that Michigan's had all year in pass rushing and containing the quarterback. So I thought I should show you what I've been seeing.

On this play alone, we can see not one major pass-rushing issue but, but three:

  1. Guys who have other skills but are Not Good at edge rushing
  2. The hammer has no anvil
  3. They're losing lane integrity

We'll tackle them one at a time.

[After THE JUMP: Leave it to a Michigan fan (this one) to find something to fret about after Nebraska]

1. Not Good Edge Rushers

This one is the simplest part of the explanation: Michigan's defensive end rotation has one decent edge rusher (Morris), one who shows flashes (Okie), one who's pretty bad at it (Upshaw) and one who's atrocious at it (Harrell), plus two young players in Derrick Moore and Braiden McGregor who are so-so at this and have other holes in their games.

We talked about this in the podcast and Brian brought it up again in yesterday's game column, but the lack of a Dude who's going to win pass rushes with consistency creates a situation where everybody's trying to be that. In our example at the top, Jaylen Harrell gets to start in a wide-9 against a bad offensive tackle and still thoroughly loses his pass rushing battle.

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Harrell here couldn't be more set up for success. He was in a wide-9 stance well outside the TE to provide a more direct angle to the QB. The LG is focused inside for the moment so the T has to worry about both his inside and outside. And the guy's already flat-footed. It's just, Harrell's not built for this. His technique is fine, but his arms aren't very long, so as Harrell tries to swim by the OT is able to use his superior reach to latch onto Harrell's upfield shoulder. He's not big either so that's enough to arrest momentum.

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Harrell then tries a secondary move inside, but that takes a good 1.5 seconds, and when he's done he's at a dead standstill way outside the box and has aggroed the left guard.

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What else is there to say? Man doesn't have the innate build or ability. Harrell's in there because he can drop into linebacker zones that no other Edge on the roster is able to yet, and not screw up his assignments at both jobs. That means when Harrell's on the field there's another way to get good pass rush: have him cover a linebacker zone while one of the linebackers—both of whom are good at this—pass rush instead.

So let's look at that. Here's an Amoeba blitz that gets their best pass rusher, Michael Barrett, in free, AND wins a 1-on-1 rush one guy over.

Getting the QB to retreat 15 yards and chuck it at diving comeback for maybe 6 yards is most of a win, but feels like a waste. Why can't they get a sack out of this? Because they don't have anyone else who can get around behind or in front of the quarterback. Here's our moment of truth, with Barrett slowing up to make sure he doesn't allow Purdy outside. One gap below him Upshaw has defeated the left tackle. On the bottom Kris Jenkins is pushing the RT upfield.

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But yeah, it's Kris Jenkins. He's a star tackle, but a TACKLE. Even when he's not shadowed by an OT, Jenkins can only get upfield so fast. Michigan has a tactical victory: they dropped Harrell and his shitty pass-rushing into coverage and got Barrett in free. They also have a field victory: Upshaw beat a block. But your DT is only so fast, and can't flash upfield quickly enough to cut off the backside of the pocket. Neither can Upshaw accelerate upfield quickly enough to deter a throw. It's mere portions of a second, but that's all Purdy needs to find space and get rid of the ball. And he has the room to do that because he can run away from Barrett without running into someone else.

Here's another example where they simply weren't fast enough. Here they have the ends, Morris (top) and Okie (bottom) coming inside with the DTs looping.

Okie seems to have it about here, despite getting held (which is just a reality of pass rushing in the Big Ten). But Upshaw isn't fast, so his loop takes awhile, and when Okie needs someone else to be arriving, Upshaw is just now finally getting to where the LT set up.

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When Upshaw arrives, the window is almost closed. Okie's being pushed past the QB. It'll take a huge individual effort to bring the QB down at this point. Half a step earlier and this is dead. Instead Purdy is just able to escape, and with both DTs outside

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That leads us into our second problem.

2. The Hammer Has No Anvil

The hammer and anvil metaphor is an old concept that comes from military strategy. The idea is to have one part of your forces walling up the enemy so they can't escape or spread out (anvil) while a faster attacking force smashes in at speed (hammer). Pass rushing uses the same concept: one rusher wins his block and goes hell for leather at the quarterback while the next-closest guy does all he can to make sure the QB can't run away. Hutchinson and Ojabo were awesome at this. Watch Ojabo (top) come inside the RT and how Hutchinson plays it.

Hutch (bottom) was the outside rusher, but he sees Ojabo getting there and makes sure he doesn't get too high. As Ojabo lines up the QB there's nowhere to go. One of them could get pushed past the QB because the other was always winning his block and able to clean up.

As we noted, the lack of a Dude is a problem because guys don't know their roles (exception: Taylor Upshaw, which is probably why he's playing). On the 3rd and 15 we just watched, Okie made a crucial mistake. Remember, the DTs are looping here, so the DEs have to have the interior gaps.

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The Ohio State sack above was a similar deal, except Hutchinson was able to close down the interior.

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If you're going to let the DTs go outside the DEs cannot lose outside as well. That's easier said than done, but not too hard so long as you're willing to sacrifice a shot at getting to the QB in the process. And therein lies the rub. Okie thinks he has to be the hero pass rusher on this team, understandably, and is selling out the rest to get the sack. Upshaw, however, thinks that *he's* the guy supposed to get to the QB this time, because he's the looper and that's the design of the play. Upshaw is correct. If Okie could have held up and burrowed through the RT to Purdy's knees Upshaw has a sack lined up.

I noticed way too many guys in this game going for the stat instead of setting up a teammate. This one was the most frustrating:

That's a five-man pressure, the RB is way too late to pick up Barrett, and Morris has dominated the RT's block on an outside edge rush. Two big wins up front should be a sack. Instead Morris and Barrett crash into each other and Purdy can escape. Why? Because they're both hammering.

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The culprit is clearly Morris, since he's the one who gets edged. All he had to do was set up and be an anvil so Purdy couldn't escape Barrett's blow.

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That's pretty bad from Morris. But then he's also the guy who's been Michigan's most consistent pass rusher, and his teammates aren't anvil'ing for him either. Morris (bottom) won this next pass rush, but this time Okie (top) was coming too far inside with dreams of big sacks.

If Okie can just keep Purdy inside, Morris's guy isn't even in contact with him anymore, and the QB has no escape. Spending that capital on his his own sack attempt means if Okie doesn't pay it off there's a quarterback on the loose and Morris's win goes for nothing.

Letting the quarterback on the loose was an issue.

3. Maintaining Lane Integrity

How do defenses prevent quarterbacks from escaping? If you think about it this should happen a lot, since a pass rush is typically four against five, and that's before dudes get washed past. The trick is it's kind of like on kick coverage, where you have a lane, and everybody's lane is to a called side of the blocking.

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BUT this setup rarely lasts beyond first contact. What coaches really do is preach trying to win blocks first and foremost, then reacting to each other. Usually what this means is watching the other guys and filling in where they expose. This isn't a run game where you are worried about a downhill attack through each gap with blockers. On a pass rush the things to worry about are the edges and inside lanes. An edge rusher can't get so far upfield that he gives up the edge unless there are enough rushers to cover him after. A DT can't just pick a gap and stay there because he needs to be reacting to the guys in front of him, and keeping contain.

You also can vary how many guys are going for the QB versus keeping contain. The usual for a standard four-man rush on a standard down is two edge rushers who can't go beyond even with the QB, and two DTs hanging back to make them right. Against a running QB we've seen Michigan limit themselves to one guy, and some teams will even put everyone on contain. Passing downs you usually just have one guy hanging back, and maybe one trying to push the pocket from the inside. Then there are infinite variations to keep the protection guessing. But the trick to figuring out who's responsible when a quarterback escapes is to see who wasn't on the same side of his blocker as the others.

The lanes can change mid pass-rush, but if you're going to do that you need the guy behind you adjusting. Let's take this example of a five-man rush:

The plan for this five-man pressure is to get there with the edges. Morris draws a double and both Harrell and Jenkins—two bad pass-rushers—get wiped out high and Purdy is able to step up past them. Harrell in particular is an issue because he gets shoved all the way back to the 40-yard line. Jenkins would ideally come back inside his guard but with Harrell's surrender, Jenkins has to cover the left edge. Smith is watching this and moves to the left side of his blocker to make Jenkins right.

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Graham however is reacting to Morris, who looks about to get wiped out as well. Purdy is going to step up into the pocket, and somebody needs to be there when he does, so I don't fault Graham for trying to rip his way through there. The problem is now Smith is left to take BOTH gaps. He can't be right.

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Smith tries to hop to the other side at the last second to make his freshman right but it's too late and he falls at Purdy's feet. So who's at fault? Harrell, if you need to assign one guy. Graham and Jenkins, for responding by selling out instead of controlling their blockers. And Smith for picking the wrong one. "TEAM" really.

Let's try another one. This is a four-man rush after play-action so it's less planned than usual. This time Mazi Smith decides he's going to go quarterback hunting. Like Graham in the example above, Smith (top DT) is one-on-one and further upfield, so he can reasonably expect there to be help behind him.

That's a gamble but Graham needs to get off his block and make Smith right.

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Look where Graham is there and then look where he ends up after Smith has flushed Purdy. He's almost at the hash and going the wrong way.

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In fact he ends up three yards past the line of scrimmage when Purdy passes by.

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So that's on the freshman. But it's also happening because Mazi Smith is a very large person. Too often this year we've gone from a screenshot like this…

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…to the quarterback escaping the pocket. The reason is simple physics: Mazi is much larger than the quarterbacks he's pursuing, and the guy he beat is adding force upfield, and the QB is just able to slip by.

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It's also an issue of aiming point. They're coming at him like he's a statue, which works great against Spencer Petras and might do the trick against CJ Stroud. For Chubba Purdy you need to anticipate his forward momentum. Even if you turn early that's going to delay his release and allow your friends to rally. Going behind is gambling that you'll make the sack. This time Smith lost the gamble.

Let's contrast his approach with Taylor Upshaw's (#91 the looper to the bottom). I asserted that I think he's playing over the pile of youngsters because he's more responsible. Here's a good example of that.

#91 the DT on the top

Upshaw notices there's going to be a lane inside of him and spins back into it. The QB is indeed trying to escape but with Upshaw there Smothers redirects and Okie and Jenkins are able to complete the spiritual sack. Getting there meant recognizing early where he needed to be and selling out his own pass rush. Upshaw does this sort of thing consistently, which is more important to this team. The fact that he's doing it on a DT for the pass rush team is a hint that Graham's freshman stuff might be coming out in practice as well. When Graham does get this stuff down he's going to be amazing though.

All of the Above

Let's go back one more time to the first play and break down how it all broke down.

1. Bad rush. Jaylen Harrell gets nowhere on his pass rush despite setting up in an advantageous position. That leaves space for Purdy to dodge away from Morris's victory, since Morris has to keep an edge as well.

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2. No anvil. Even though Harrell is taking a long time to get here, Morris could set up and just try to keep Purdy pinned until someone else arrives. Instead Morris is in "I have to do this myself" mode—understandably—and ends up getting shoved by the quarterback trying to get the sack.

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Morris has a good inside move and power rush but he's not an Ojabo or Winovich. He'd make a great anvil if Michigan had a hammer opposite him. As The Guy his successful rushes often do more harm than good, however.

I want him to slow down, but asking him to slow down his rushes and give the QB more time while Morris's teammates make their way to the backfield sounds counterintuitive given he's their best hammer. I think that's why Michigan's been using Taylor Upshaw more often, because he's one guy who doesn't mind playing the anvil. Upshaw has his disadvantages—he's not a great rusher and he's not fast. But he's responsible, and pays attention to things like screens and the like, and is a good fit with Morris if Morris is going to be your premier pass rusher.

If they can get Okie or McGregor or Moore online, or if they can get Barrett and Colson more involved with zone blitzing while dropping linemen like Harrell, you can convert Morris into an anvil. The issue there is he often hasn't shown the inclination, and he's still winning pass rushes more than those other guys.

3. No Lane Integrity.

Once we lose Morris, note which side of their blockers everyone else is set up:

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Morris can go through that tackle but he can't give up the inside like that, or if he does his teammates have to be reacting to it. I'm guessing that they're reacting to Harrell, since Morris is usually better about this sort of stuff. But Harrell adjusts, drawing the LG and taking a pop yes, but that's still a lane that's closed to the QB. Jenkins does see it and move over a gap. Smith is late to.

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Yeah he's a little bit held but that's not enough to get called in the Big Ten. The fact that he's still not across his blocker 1.5 seconds after Morris got run by is on him.

This has been a bit of a weakness of his all season, and last year a bit as well, though it was covered up better because Michigan had two elite pass rushers who didn't let much slip back to the tackles. In everything else Smith is a dominant defensive tackle so it's not like you want to remove him from the field. He just has to get better at this one thing.

This was the last time the ends were cut loose in this game. In the 2nd half they mostly played contain while the tackles went to work on Nebraska's interior.

As far as natural pass rush I would prefer this approach (though this was a 5-man pressure). This late in the season we're not going to discover a new Ojabo and Hutchinson. I was hopeful at one point that Okie was coming around to passing the other ends and building a rapport with Morris, but he's still got a lot of rawness to his game and I can see why they're hesitant to go that route.

It probably won't matter for Illinois, whose blockers are built for the running game. But there were few things I wanted to see less than Michigan's four-man pass rush looking this bad this close to their date with CJ Stroud. I'm guessing they're going to have a plan that we didn't see against Nebraska, that it will involve lots of Amoeba and more discipline from Morris and Smith than lowly Nebraska warranted. If it all goes sour in Columbus, well, at least this team's fatal flaw wasn't a surprise.

Comments

M Ascending

November 15th, 2022 at 10:31 AM ^

Great analysis. The problem I see in trying to correct the "all hammer" problem is that we are likely to end up "all anvil," with our guys so conscious of lane assignments that they lose their aggression.  That would be a disaster against OSU, letting Stroud sit back there and survey the field. I'm not sure we can fix this in the next 11 days and reach the perfect equilibrium,  so for now I would rather they be balls to the wall rushers and let the chips fall where they may. 

dragonchild

November 15th, 2022 at 10:40 AM ^

I suppose it's naive to assume Harbaugh told the D-line to just go wild and work on their pass rush moves against Nebraska, but IIRC they were considerably more disciplined against MSU and PSU.

We haven't really needed much refined pass rush this season, but it doesn't sound like you can refine it in a week or two.

I'm hoping the lack of passing threats on our slate means we've got a bag full of amoeba saved up for OSU.

Yo_Blue

November 15th, 2022 at 10:43 AM ^

It appears Stroud has been more invested in leaving the pocket and taking off in the last two games.  This has me concerned for all the reasons Seth outlined above.  That said, if we can get the D Line to understand their jobs and not play hero, we will be in much better shape.

LSA91

November 15th, 2022 at 12:20 PM ^

Yeah, this is going to be an interesting Game, because both teams are relatively weak to what the other team does well.

That's pretty nerve-wracking. If this game comes down to who has the highest ratio of touchdowns per possession, we could really be in trouble, but I'll keep my fingers crossed.

The Homie J

November 15th, 2022 at 1:45 PM ^

I 100% believe they were trying to save the "CJ Stroud run package" for The Game, and were forced to use it against Northwestern due to the conditions.  We absolutely have to account for CJ's legs, even if he's never really been a runner, because him scrambling or running zone reads really blows open their offense in a way that could be super dangerous.

By revealing it early, I hope, we've given enough of a heads up to prep and account for that.

BursleysFinest

November 15th, 2022 at 10:47 AM ^

I'll take things I never thought about for  $1000 Alex.   I always assumed it was a "Give them a general plan of attack and let 'em loose", never thinking abt that they're playing off each other, at least not to that extent. 

Short of designating someone "All Hammer, all the time", and everyone else anvils, not sure what the solution is within the time we need them to be ready.  May make us a little more predictable, but may be worth the payoff in added pressure (and we could play games like moving the hammer around the formation)

JBLPSYCHED

November 15th, 2022 at 11:00 AM ^

Very educational, thanks Seth. I am an optimist who believes that the defensive coaches have been working on a plan against CJ Stroud for quite some time now. It's super annoying when we get a good initial push into the opponent's backfield and appear to almost reach their QB but he somehow slips through. At least now I have a rudimentary sense of why that might be happening.

ERdocLSA2004

November 15th, 2022 at 11:02 AM ^

Great analysis!  At first I thought the 60 yard Clifford scramble was just a fluke.  There does seem to be more of a pattern emerging with these qb runs on us.

I’m more concerned about our pass D.  I feel like our struggles to contain throws over the top (MSU, Rutgers, PSU) are being downplayed as lucky or an aberration.  We didn’t get burned a few times then adjusted, these teams just stopped doing this for some reason.  This is a huge red flag going into Columbus.  

Tex_Ind_Blue

November 15th, 2022 at 11:10 AM ^

We didn’t get burned a few times then adjusted, these teams just stopped doing this for some reason.

 

--- Why would an OC stop doing something that brought them success before? I mean it's not that they had anything else going for them? 

Could both statements be true? UM adjusted, and the opponents stopped running their successful play?

Koop

November 15th, 2022 at 3:05 PM ^

If you go back and read or listen to Seth's post-game analysis of those games, Michigan absolutely did adjust to what the opposing offense was doing--for example, switching from a Cover-3 where the ILB/Nickel was supposed to give a bump off the line to assist the zone to a straight rush, which generated more organic pressure; or, switching Mikey Sainristil or Will Johnson onto the dangerman receiver; or, switching the blocking assignments to let the DL release and hunt rather than block and let the LBs fill the gaps. Each time, it's worked--witness Michigan's second-half defensive stats.

The other team has players on scholarship, too--Division I, FBS, B1G scholarship players, no less. Sometimes they're going to complete a pass.

Illinois doesn't have much of a passing threat, so that leaves the big challenge in two weeks. And, guess what--CJ Stroud is going to connect with Marvin Harrison, Jr., many times in that game. Better to be prepared for that fact now. But that doesn't mean that Michigan's secondary isn't very, very good--and isn't coached at an elite level. I'll take the combination of Jesse Minter's coaching with Will Johnson, Mike Sainristil, DJ Turner, Gemon Green, Makari Paige, and Rod Moore in dime coverage against Ohio State's passing game, and see if they can connect on enough strikes in the little time our highly efficient, clock-chewing scoring offense provides them.

Tex_Ind_Blue

November 15th, 2022 at 11:07 AM ^

I am assuming the UM and OSU coaches have noticed this as well. That's a good (UM might work out a solution) and a bad (OSU might start moving Stroud more) thing. 

On the other hand, if this issue is fixed then the team can achieve a higher ceiling! I am stoked. 

Nickel

November 15th, 2022 at 12:01 PM ^

I think we sometimes took for granted just how much of a generational-level combination we had last year with Hutchinson and Ojabo. It seems like we're going to need some extra gambling to go our way this year vs. Stroud in order to disrupt their passing game enough to pull out the win. 

The Homie J

November 15th, 2022 at 1:48 PM ^

The issue is that nobody, not even going into week 4 of last year, knew that Ojabo would blow up so fast that he basically played himself into the first round.

This year was absolutely supposed to be Morris-Smith-Jenkins-Ojabo (which would have been sick).  But Ojabo simply became too good for the NFL to ignore and thus, we lost 2 great pass rushers at once when you normally would have kept the younger guy.

Hensons Mobile…

November 15th, 2022 at 2:34 PM ^

He didn't play the second half. He got hurt in the first half.

Chubba is brother of Brock Purdy--former Iowa State QB who was mobile.

Chubba split time with Smothers the week before and had 24 rushing yards on 6 carries. I didn't watch that game so I don't know if they were scrambles or designed runs.

I think they had a sense of what kind of player he was.

But again, to follow your advice, let's not go crazy. This was not like watching Donovan McNabb in 1998. No one--except for Seth--watched this game and said "Oh no we let Chubba Purdy run all over us!"

Hensons Mobile…

November 15th, 2022 at 1:11 PM ^

Dude has been a career backup. What is the point of looking at total stats from years as though that's meaningful?

And even if you are going against a statue, I think the pass rush principles here are the same.

Edit: Now if you want to talk about overreaction, we are the conference leaders in sacks, even in just Big Ten play. We got 2 versus Nebraska, although I don't know if that was against Purdy or Smothers.

I don't know where we rank in scramble yards. But I haven't felt like we are consistently getting killed on scrambles, and with Taulia and Clifford, we've played reasonably quick QBs. Even with Chubba, I didn't ever feel like it was a big problem. Of course, avoiding a sack and throwing it (either away or for a completion) is also an issue.

But I don't feel like Seth said "Everybody run around and panic!"

Koop

November 15th, 2022 at 3:14 PM ^

This thread, over and over.

A backup QB who couldn't throw got a handful of successful scrambles because the pressure over-pursued. Um.

Michigan leads the B1G in sacks, leads the country in scoring defense, and doesn't have a true dual-threat QB left in its remaining 2 games. Sure, CJ Stroud can scramble, but this is not Justin Fields, or JT Barrett, or Dwayne Haskins, or Cardale Jones, or Braxton Miller, or Terrelle Pryor, or ... well, it's been a minute since Ohio State didn't have a true dual-threat QB, hasn't it.

Michigan's on track to exceed their sack totals from last year in 14 games possibly this week, in game 11. Let's all take a deep breath.

ShadowStorm33

November 15th, 2022 at 1:06 PM ^

I mean, it sucks. I'd say we're better almost universally across the board than we were last year, but the one big drop off (organic pass rush off the edge) is probably the single most important factor to beating OSU...

Hensons Mobile…

November 15th, 2022 at 1:38 PM ^

1) Ball control and limit possessions. Even if we break out our "good stuff" for some big plays, we almost definitely will have to win by controlling the pace when we have the ball.

2) If Stroud is scrambling instead of passing, that might not be that terrible sometimes. It's not like Purdy was breaking off 20 yard runs on scrambles.

doclipper

November 15th, 2022 at 1:54 PM ^

Thanks for this Seth - great for those of us who are not schooled in the details of line play. I am constantly amazed at how complicated line play really is, on both sides of the ball.

As I read your analysis, I’m thinking that the coaches are aware of these issues and are faced with how to get their young charges to improve. So in terms of OSU, perhaps the outcome hinges on which coaching staff can get their kids to actually internalize this type of analysis and then execute on it during a game.

InterlopingYooper

November 15th, 2022 at 2:25 PM ^

I'll reach back to the turn-of-the-century film High Fidelity to sum up this the current state of this blog the best way I know how: The content here is far too often the equivalent of old sad bastard music. Things like "victory" and "euphoria" and "hope" may as well be americuriam, berkelium or californium - elements that can only be created in a laboratory setting because they deteriorate so quickly. When something like euphoria or hope creeps into this place, it is quickly crushed into angst or despair. If you hang around here long enough, you almost forget that we're 10-0. Beating Ohio State a year ago is like a distant shadow. I'm even starting to wonder if we really got past Penn State at home earlier this season or if it was just some sort of fever dream.

It keeps repeating itself. We win on Saturday. Maybe we get some Muppets. And then Monday morning rolls around and it's five days of "Yeah, but..."

As I look through the film above, I see a defense full of alpha males who smell blood in the water and are trying to knock the stuffing out of a backup quarterback they don't fear. They're playing a vanilla defense and eschewed lane assignments in an effort to get home. Nebraska's offense was toothless, and everyone knew it. That's the variable nobody who runs this site seems to understand. You can't find it in fancy stats or analytics. Contrary to popular belief around these parts, football is not a game of Rock, Paper, Scissors. It is a game played by violent men who want to light somebody the fuck up. I can't remember which former Michigan defender assessed The Team during the dark times by saying, "We need some dawgs," but this is what he was talking about. 

These days, Michigan is a violent football team. Disciplined, talented, but unmistakably violent. They are violent on the offensive line and the defensive line. But they are also violent at the skill positions. Our receivers love to block. Our backs love to run people over. Our defensive backs took a hurdling receiver last week and improvised a tag team finishing move that would have won them a match in WWE. On the flip side, anyone who has watched Ohio State this year knows they are soft as Charmin. You won't find evidence of that in the stats, but those who have actually gone through an Oklahoma Drill or two in their lives will tell you there are not many players on that roster who crave physicality the way our players do. 

For the sake of all that is holy, I beg you guys to put down the abacus every now and then and man up enough to allow some hope and positive expectations into your hearts.

Hensons Mobile…

November 15th, 2022 at 2:43 PM ^

That was well written and I enjoyed that. I also get frustrated with analytics and such being the end-all for some people.

However, I have not picked up on any "BPONE" vibes from the site's bloggers or lack of hope. Not this year, and not this post from Seth. This simply seemed like an honest look at something Seth identified as a flaw in our not-literally-perfect team.

Chris S

November 15th, 2022 at 3:02 PM ^

I would just say to imagine you're in Seth or Brian's shoes. Your job is writing about a football team, and not only that, they go above and beyond with both the writing style and analysis.

So what happens when there is really not much to write about?

I called my friend two weeks ago because we hadn't talked all season, and his response was, "we haven't talked because there's really nothing to talk about!" Michigan is absolutely sitting on all of their opponents on both sides of the ball. So we tried to talk about Cade not getting respect for being a Game Manager like JJ is, and DJ Turner not being an All-American, and that was fine because we were on the phone. But it's gotta be much more difficult to do this on a public forum.

I do agree with your post, though. At least, most of it. It's a great season and I hope the focus stays on that, because it is truly enjoyable.

Seth

November 15th, 2022 at 4:33 PM ^

We should post muppets after these games. It's just something that's fallen through the cracks because I'm at the games and my phone is usually dead by the end.

I take umbrage with the suggestion that I'm too negative. How many of these articles have focused on faults? Last week's was all about how awesome they are at blocking! I'm not trying to fret or make anyone miserable about this team. I'm over the moon for this team. I also want to be informative, and to find *interesting* things to discuss from an x's and o's standpoint because that's what this article does. I didn't choose the topic to find a negative aspect of the game; it was simply the most interesting part of the game. Knowledge is its own value.

Ernis

November 15th, 2022 at 9:31 PM ^

Empiricism is cowardice, yes. But it works. If done well, it works in more than just hindsight.

It is important because it can teach you things like, as St. Belichick has taught the NFL, going for it on 4th down is a good idea more often than traditionally believed. Insights gained from analytical rigor can tip a good team over the top to greatness; it can overcome the regression to inertia imposed by social convention. The downside is, it still relies on things already being done as a foundation; it looks backward instead of forward, and its predictive ability is limited.

Thus, it sure as hell can't position a team to reach that precipice in the first place, to generate results on the field of objectivity, on its own. That takes a more visceral approach: a carnal embrace of uncertainty; a desire to impose one's will on the unknown instead of grasping for evidence. Indeed.

That being said, "alpha male" is a widely discredited concept in biology and the term has a pretty unflattering association with grifters in casual social contexts. I appreciate your overall message. Just sayin'