That's pretty awesome for a basketball team to have a kicker
|WHAT||Michigan at Bradley|
|WHERE||Carver Arena, Peoria, Illinois|
|WHEN||4 PM Eastern, Saturday|
|LINE||Michigan –15 (Kenpom)|
Bradley is, shall we say, a step down in competition from NC State; the Braves finished 7-25 last year, their 2-16 conference record good for last in the Missouri Valley Conference. Returning four starters this season, they should be improved. They should also lose to Michigan, but I probably didn't need to tell you that.
While the talent level isn't tournament-quality (pick a tournament, really), Bradley posts a pretty stellar roster of names. To wit:
Shayok Shayok, yo. He's no Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje, but I'll take it.
While Lemon leads Bradley in scoring, his shooting numbers (51.0 2P%, 18.8 3P%) are down significantly from last season (52.1 2P%, 34.5 3P%) as he's having difficulty honing in from the outside. He's also the team's top distributor, but has had problems with turnovers both last year (24.8% TO rate) and this year (22.3%).
Simms-Edwards is a bit undersized for a 2/3 at 6'3", 200, but Michigan's wings will have to be careful on the drive—Simms-Edwards has 17 steals in just six games. Bradley started a third guard, Jalen Crawford, in their most recent game against Central Michigan; he's just 6'2", 195, so both Tim Hardaway and Nik Stauskas will enjoy a significant size advantage when the Braves go man-to-man. Crawford's played a hair less than half of the available minutes this season, though, so we'll see how often coach Geno Ford goes to this lineup—probably not often considering Michigan's size.
If Ford doesn't start Crawford, he'll put 6'5" senior Jake Eastman at the three; he's shooting a torrid 65.6% inside the arc last year but that's well out of line from his 44.4% mark last year. Otherwise, nothing he does really jumps off the stats page.
The team's best player is probably junior forward Tyshon Pickett, one of only two players on the team to take more than 40% of his shots at the rim; he converts his two-pointers at a 54.5% clip and is solid on the boards, especially on the offensive end. 6'9" center Will Egolf is very good on the defensive glass (22.2 DR%) but nearly invisible as an offensive rebounder (4.7%) due to the fact that he's mostly a spot-up shooter—over 75% of his shots are jumpers.
In fact, much of this game will take place on the perimeter on both ends of the floor. Bradley takes only 30% of their shots at the rim, while opponents are also staying mostly on the outside—probably because the Braves are currently ceding a 37.6 3P% while holding opponents to just 39.8% inside the arc. Michigan should be able to fare better from two than Bradley's previous opponents; this also could be a game where they're content to make it rain.
Bradley is 5-1 on the year, but they've only played one game against a top-200 team by KenPom standards: #101 South Florida, which beat them by 19. They do share a common opponent with Michigan: the Braves defeated IUPUI, a team the Wolverines pounded by 37 at Crisler, by seven points, albeit on the road. Their other wins came against such luminaries as Central, Tennessee Martin, Texas Pan American, and Eastern Illinois.
Here are the four factors numbers from both last and this year:
|Off. 11-12||Off. 12-13||Def. 11-12||Def. 12-13|
|eFG%||44.4 (321)||50.3 (112)||51.4 (265)||46.0 (109)|
|Turnover %||20.3 (174)||16.6 (24)||19.2 (224)||23.3 (85)|
|Off. Reb %||26.1 (318)||34.0 (124)||30.3 (140)||32.0 (166)|
|FTA/FGA||36.3 (171)||35.4 (173)||32.3 (75)||33.3 (131)|
This year's numbers are likely inflated by the soft schedule. Last year's numbers are bad, mmmkay? If a spot-up shooting squad can't really shoot, that's a problem.
Stop Pickett. Glenn Robinson III and Mitch McGary both had trouble with NC State's bigs around the basket; while Pickett isn't an NBA talent like C.J. Leslie, he's a competent offensive player and the biggest threat on this Bradley team. If GRIII and McGary can't slow him down, it's time to be concerned about Michigan's interior defense moving forward. More likely, they had a rough outing against a very talented team, and a power forward who's three inches shorter than Leslie and not a freak athlete should pose less of a problem.
Don't settle. Given Bradley's generosity in ceding the three this year, Michigan could become content to launch bombs without really attacking the basket. While Pickett and Egolf are both good shot-blockers, however, they're 6'6" and 6'9"—not the most intimidating front line that the Wolverines have come across. Hardaway, especially, needs to continue to go at the tin instead of settling for long jumpers, which he can get whenever he wants against an undersized backcourt anyway.
Keep doing what you've been doing. I mean, yeah.
Shayok Shayok! Likely won't contribute much. Just wanted to take the chance to type his name again. Though he has hit all three of his shots this year, so... Shayok Shayok!
Michigan by 15
That's pretty awesome for a basketball team to have a kicker
Fun fact about Jalen - he's the younger brother of ex and current, respectively, NBAers Joe Crawford and Jordan Crawford.
Anyone else remember Gus Johnson screaming "SHAYOCK SHAYOCK!!!1" over and over again when we played Bradley last year?
Michigan was favored by 11 against NC State... and by 15 against Bradley.
Sounds about right to me. This is going to be a good test for a young team on the road for the first time.
I don't see why you would have a problem with a lesbian seagull as a team mascot, Ace. Do you care to explain yourself? Huh? Huh?
To be fair, Shayok did have some pretty crazy dunks in that game.
He was also beyond useless once he got more than 4 feet from the rim.
Should be a good road atmosphere...According to umhoops.com, "Less than 1000 tickets remain in the upper bowl for Saturday’s game with just singles available in the lower bowl." The capacity is around 11,400 or so.
It is acceptable to use either "resume" or "résumé"
NC State, Kansas State, and Pittsburg are all ranked in the Top 30 or so.
Our SOS will fade more once we finish our non-conference schedule, but as of now, it seems right.
I know its sort of silly that we're playing them again, but I was glad they came to town last year. I'm a Bradley alum, so when they came to Ann Arbor, the AD and president of the university came too and threw a pre-game party at Zingerman's Events. I showed up in Michigan gear of course.
Since they are now practicing them, can we get an alley oop per game prediction. So far I have not seen enough.
I am an idiot and confused Bradley with Butler.
Beilein talking about starting line-up change and talks about playing 2 bigs more.
Both these things seem inevitable. Playing Vogrich and Akunne over Horford and Bielfeldt is probably not a good thing.
Max Bielfeldt has huge feet. They finally found shoes to fit Max, hopefully this will help with foot and leg/knee concerns