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2010 Recruiting Class: 1,000 Foot Overview, Offense

By Brian — February 10th, 2010 at 3:32 PM — 33 comments
Filed under:
  • recruiting overview
  • 2010 recruiting

I'll be embarking on a project similar to last year's recruit profiles in the near future, but that effort will last into the summer—the final profile last year (Tate Forcier) didn't go up until June 25th—and some words about how Michigan did will be far less timely then.

First, highlights of all but three incoming Wolverines:

And an updated chart from StinkyP1nky with Michigan's rank relative to everyone else:

final-recruiting-rankings-2010As always, a caution that recruiting services tend to favor large classes* and Michigan has just signed its biggest ever; these may be slightly optimistic. Also, the final locations of Latwan Anderson (here assumed to be WVU) and Seantrel Henderson (USC) could shift things a bit.

Caveats aside, Michigan is a consensus 12th after the year they just had. Take it and run.

With these items, we have set the table. Preposterously hasty letter grades ahoy.

*(Potentially unnecessary digression: all things being equal, they probably should favor large classes. If Team A has 25 kids who are on average equal to Team B's 20 kids, Team A has a better class. It's an article of faith around here, however, that recruiting sites don't do enough division when putting together their team rankings.)

Quarterback

The Gentlemen Of Leisure

devin-gardner-paul

Devin Gardner and Conelius Jones. Gardner you may have heard about. MGoBlog sent its MGoCreeperVan out several times this year to follow Gardner's progression throughout the season and documented his throwing motion's regression in impressive HD. That caused a dip in ratings late; despite that Gardner ended up somewhere between the #1 and #3 dual-threat quarterback nationally. Michigan targeted him above all others and landed him despite offers and interest from many sources; he was the best-case scenario.

Jones was a weird, super early offer for a guy who hadn't even played varsity football at the time of his offer but he did manage three stars to both sites and is a developmental prospect who won't mind redshirting and waiting. He'll bring stability to a backup spot at first and possibly move to wide receiver or defensive back down the road, either of which he is fine with.

Preposterously Early Letter Grade

A. Gardner was a critical recruit for Rich Rodriguez. Michigan could not have done better.

Impact This Year?

The Great Devin Gardner Redshirt Debate will rage on until the fateful decision is made clear. This guy is on the pro-redshirt side and will slay the infidels who dare oppose his viewpoint. Coner 3000 is a redshirt lock.

Tailback

The Gentlemen Of Leisure

Stephen Hopkins and Austin White. This section will be fairly redundant since yesterday's post about spring position battles mentioned these guys and aw hell let's just make it a quote:

True freshmen Austin White and Stephen Hopkins have enrolled early and will get their shots as well. White is a slot/tailback who might be reminiscent of a Dorrell Jalloh or Darius Reynaud; he comes with less hype than Toussaint and I assume he will redshirt. Hopkins is the lowest-rated back of anyone on the roster but at 6-foot and 230-240 pounds there is a distinctly vacant role on the roster he might be the man to fill. Michigan needs a short-yardage moose.

White's excellent out of the backfield and has the flexibility to move from slot to tailback, something that was a frequent feature of West Virginia's offense but is yet to be seen at Michigan. That's where he'll find a role… eventually. Hopkins is just a horse, highly unlikely to be a star but a guy who will fill a role on the Michigan offense.

Preposterously Early Letter Grade

C+. Both of these guys have a shot to be starters but it's unlikely either ends up a star. Michigan swung and missed on a host of blue-chip backs this year and ended up with good, not great prospects. White's versatility and Hopkins's clear utility are worth a plus.

Impact This Year?

Hopkins is a big bruiser the likes of which is now almost wholly absent from the Michigan roster. He's 50-50 to be Michigan's short yardage back, with Mike Cox the other reasonable option. White's versatility would help him get on the field… if slot receiver and tailback didn't have three players each obviously in front of him. He'll probably get a redshirt.

Wide Receiver

The Gentlemen Of Leisure

ricardo-miller-paul There are many. In the slot there is Drew Dileo. On the outside the are Ricardo Miller, Jeremy Jackson (no hello post), DJ Williamson (ditto), and Jerald Robinson. In bullets:

  • Dileo is a little pale kid from a Catholic school in Louisiana who is basically Wes Welker unless he moves to defensive back, in which case he'll be basically Jason Sehorn. He was a jack of all trades in high school and will
  • Williamson is a total flier who won the Ohio state championship in the 100 meters as a junior and suffered through an assortment of minor injuries as a senior.
  • Jackson is Fred Jackson's kid, a lanky receiver with a good frame and poor speed who seems extremely likely to be a reliable, if uninspiring, possession option.
  • Robinson had a disappointing senior year due to injury but tore up Michigan's camp, apparently, and hovers on the 3/4 star borderline.
  • Miller was supposed to be a hot ninja after his junior year at Dr. Phillips in Orlando but fell off the map after a bad camp and his move to Michigan. He's built like Jason Avant but doesn't have his ridiculous hands yet; he may be faster.

Preposterously Early Letter Grade

C+. Again, most of these recruits have obvious limitations or are fliers, with Ricardo Miller the possible exception. The rest of the players could be good, functional Big Ten players but unless Williamson is a crazy sleeper the only one who could be a star is Miller.

Impact This Year?

Williamson is a holy lock to redshirt, but each of the others could find themselves on the field. If Dileo ends up playing it's because he's the starting punt returner, in which case the gamble on him will have worked out as long as he HOLDS ON TO THE GODDAMN BALL. If he's not returning punts, he's waiting for Roundtree and Odoms to clear out.

Miller, Jackson, and Robinson will battle to be the fourth and fifth wide receivers. (Given Rodriguez's statements on signing day, the assumption here is that Cam Gordon moves to linebacker, where bodies are badly needed.) Past the starters there is only sophomore Je'Ron Stokes, so a couple of the freshmen are going to get on the field. All are enrolled early.

Tight End

N/A. Michigan did not sign any. They went after Alex Smith from Cincinnati but that was all.

christian-pace-action Offensive Line

The Gentlemen Of Leisure

Gentleman, actually, as there's just one: center Christian Pace. Pace is the player I think is most likely to outperform his recruiting rankings, a heady center from Avon Lake in Ohio who's somewhat undersized but very agile. Florida State, current home of former Rodriguez offensive line coach Rick Trickett, was after him hard as well.

Preposterously Early Letter Grade

D+. Let this not reflect on Pace, who I believe is the Molk apparent unless he's just too small. Since he's got two and a half years to become not too small that's probably not going to be a problem. But just one offensive lineman is a major issue, especially when the class before it was just three guys. If there are additional transfers or guys who wash out due to injury, things could be scarily thin on the OL.

Impact This Year?

None. Pace obviously redshirts.

All Things Collected And Told

Acquiring Garner overshadows everything else. Michigan needed quarterback depth in a huge way and managed to pick up an OMG SHIRTLESS prospect despite starting a true freshman. That's a major win. On the other hand, offensive line has to be a major priority next year because of the one-man class and there's a paucity of guys who look like true gamebreakers at the skill spots unless Miller was done a major disservice by the gurus after his move.

A grade for this side of the ball? B-.

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February 10th, 2010 at 3:48 PM
#2
Lofter4
Joined: 01/01/2009
MGoPoints: 472
HOLD ONTO THE GODDAMN BALL

It never gets old. Mostly because we rarely HOLD ONTO THE GODDAMN BALL.

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February 10th, 2010 at 4:25 PM
(Reply to #2) #3
stmccoy
stmccoy's picture
Joined: 10/07/2009
MGoPoints: 1828
Agreed

I agree. I laugh every time I see it...in the offseason...on mgoblog. I resort to screaming and crying in October and November.

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February 10th, 2010 at 3:55 PM
#4
Thrillhouse
Thrillhouse's picture
Joined: 07/01/2008
MGoPoints: 1068
The Gentlemen Of Leisure

Have you been watching Death Comes to Town?

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February 10th, 2010 at 4:21 PM
#5
The Other Brian
The Other Brian's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1229
"This guy is on the

"This guy is on the pro-redshirt side and will slay the infidels who dare oppose his viewpoint."

There may be a problem if you kill the UM coaches, Brian...lol.

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February 10th, 2010 at 4:27 PM
#6
mgovictors23
mgovictors23's picture
Joined: 05/03/2009
MGoPoints: 99
Hold On to The Ball

I simply can't take another fall of fumbles, please work on ball security.

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February 10th, 2010 at 4:27 PM
#7
Magnus
Magnus's picture
Joined: 07/17/2008
MGoPoints: 123048
re: tight ends

In addition to Alex Smith, we also offered Alex Welch and Randall Telfer. But Smith was the only one who ever showed any real interest.

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February 10th, 2010 at 5:34 PM
#8
baorao
baorao's picture
Joined: 08/08/2008
MGoPoints: 1075
All

All the WRs are enrolled early? I guess i haven't been paying attention.

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February 10th, 2010 at 5:49 PM
#9
goody
goody's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 1532
I really want to see Hopkins

get the nod over Cox as the "power back". He could be a great complement to all the other skat backs Michigan has on the roster. Here is hoping for a healthier, but probably slower, version of Brandon Minor. Hopkins RAGE!!!

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February 10th, 2010 at 5:52 PM
#10
Crime Reporter
Crime Reporter's picture
Joined: 12/19/2008
MGoPoints: 10117
Like the highlight video

I had not seen all of our recruits in action, so those snippets were a nice addition to the post. Too bad that no-talent ass clown Kanye West had to ruin the second half of the video with his fish sticks song.

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February 10th, 2010 at 6:08 PM
#11
AC1997
AC1997's picture
Joined: 09/19/2008
MGoPoints: 3307
Walk-ons?

This might be over-kill, but now that Rodriguez is developing the preferred walk-on program I wonder if it warrants mentioning in these position break-downs. I know we have a TE and a WR who plan to play for the team that might have a chance of contributing. Obviously they don't need a paragraph written about them, but some of the less informed readers might want to know that.

Considering we had four walk-ons in the 2-deep on defense last year you never know when they're going to contribute.....which just makes me want to slam my head into the table a few times.

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February 10th, 2010 at 6:19 PM
#12
All_In_For_Michigan
All_In_For_Michigan's picture
Joined: 03/27/2009
MGoPoints: 53
robinsons

What's the over/under for the number of Robinsons in Michigan's class next year?

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February 10th, 2010 at 7:56 PM
(Reply to #13) #13
acnumber1
acnumber1's picture
Joined: 10/19/2009
MGoPoints: 18671
seriously

How the hell did we miss out on Purdue's second highest rated recruit?

#9 Purdue - 24 Commits
Name Position Rivals Scout ESPN
OJ Ross WR 5.8 3 80
Sean Robinson QB 5.7 3 78

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February 10th, 2010 at 6:46 PM
#14
hokiewolf
hokiewolf's picture
Joined: 11/11/2008
MGoPoints: -4212
I cannot believe that I've

I cannot believe that I've wasted half my life spelling Notre Dame* without the asterisk.

This is a new beginning--a goodness--and so it shall remain, forever and ever, amen.

*sucks

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February 10th, 2010 at 7:11 PM
#15
me
me's picture
Joined: 12/26/2008
MGoPoints: 2309
fwiw, Rivals rankings

only take into account the top 20 commits. Not sure how Scout or ESPN do it. But at least there is some normalization to Rivals rankings.

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February 10th, 2010 at 7:50 PM
#16
MGoJoe
MGoJoe's picture
Joined: 10/02/2008
MGoPoints: 353
HOLD ONTO THE DAMN BALL

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February 11th, 2010 at 2:34 AM
(Reply to #16) #17
Lutha
Lutha's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 7247
I'd definitely hold on to

I'd definitely hold on to that.

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February 10th, 2010 at 8:19 PM
#18
blueblueblue
Joined: 12/29/2008
MGoPoints: 6380
minor quibble

"Caveats aside, Michigan is a consensus 12th after the year they just had. Take it and run."

Not exactly - consensus would mean that all the services agree UM is #12, not just that everyone if accounted for. What Brian means is simply that UM is, relatively speaking, #12. Either way, I like it.

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February 10th, 2010 at 8:40 PM
(Reply to #18) #19
M-Wolverine
M-Wolverine's picture
Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 42199
Yeah

And if by consensus he meant average, the average RANKING would actually be 14. But it's a flawed system choosing between points and rankings (epecially when some on the chart don't even have points).

Not that there's much difference between 12 and 14, but still.

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February 11th, 2010 at 11:25 AM
(Reply to #18) #20
Tim
Joined: 07/08/2008
MGoPoints: 12887
You're confusing consensus

You're confusing consensus with unanimous.

Consensus merely means the opinion of the group as a whole. For this type of data, average is a fair way to determine consensus.

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February 11th, 2010 at 7:17 PM
(Reply to #28) #21
blueblueblue
Joined: 12/29/2008
MGoPoints: 6380
mea culpa - in my world

mea culpa - in my world consensus does mean unanimous. But I looked it up (which I guess I should have done before) and it can also mean 'general agreement.' Does this mean you guys really do know what you are doing?

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February 10th, 2010 at 8:22 PM
#22
mstier
Joined: 09/18/2008
MGoPoints: 258
This all seems about right.

This all seems about right. I think you sell Jerald Robinson a little short, but other than that it seems spot on.

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February 10th, 2010 at 10:47 PM
#23
hathachips
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Joined: 12/13/2008
MGoPoints: 127
Bewbs

Bewbs

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February 11th, 2010 at 12:13 AM
#24
mejunglechop
mejunglechop's picture
Joined: 07/09/2008
MGoPoints: 6619
OMG honest analysis?! You

OMG honest analysis?! You know recruits' parents read these things! /s

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February 11th, 2010 at 1:29 AM
#25
SEAL Fan
Joined: 01/18/2010
MGoPoints: 1626
Will somebody please free my

Will somebody please free my from my ignorance and tell me what Rich Rod's "preferred walk-on program" is?

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February 11th, 2010 at 1:37 AM
(Reply to #23) #26
mejunglechop
mejunglechop's picture
Joined: 07/09/2008
MGoPoints: 6619
You basically get to be on

You basically get to be on the team, but don't get a scholarship.

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February 11th, 2010 at 8:29 AM
(Reply to #24) #27
TIMMMAAY
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Joined: 09/08/2008
MGoPoints: 41340
Not exactly

Preferred status means you are first in line when a scholarship opens up.

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February 11th, 2010 at 3:56 PM
(Reply to #26) #28
mejunglechop
mejunglechop's picture
Joined: 07/09/2008
MGoPoints: 6619
I've heard that before, but

I've heard that before, but I'm not sure if that's how it's actually implemented. Jordan Kovacs wasn't preferred and he was on scholarship last year and probably will be this year too.

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February 14th, 2010 at 1:52 PM
(Reply to #30) #29
TIMMMAAY
TIMMMAAY's picture
Joined: 09/08/2008
MGoPoints: 41340
We had plenty of scholarships

We had plenty of scholarships to spare last year.

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February 15th, 2010 at 3:04 AM
(Reply to #32) #30
mejunglechop
mejunglechop's picture
Joined: 07/09/2008
MGoPoints: 6619
Enough to cover all the

Enough to cover all the preferred walkons before him?

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February 16th, 2010 at 3:32 PM
(Reply to #33) #31
TIMMMAAY
TIMMMAAY's picture
Joined: 09/08/2008
MGoPoints: 41340
Dude

Obviously. We only had 69 scholarship players last year, so yeah. Not trying to be a dick, but yes.

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February 11th, 2010 at 10:26 AM
#32
michiganfanforlife
michiganfanforlife's picture
Joined: 05/05/2009
MGoPoints: 2774
Jake Ryan

looks like a downhill LB that likes to demolish all that get in his way. We haven't had a headhunter at that spot in quite some time....

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February 11th, 2010 at 12:29 PM
(Reply to #27) #33
Logan88
Joined: 01/05/2009
MGoPoints: 4643
I know many UM fans are ga-ga over

landing Demar Dorsey on Signing Day (and I am very pleased as well), but I think Ryan was THE steal of the class.

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