Let’s talk about our recruiting
I am someone who falls in the middle of the “stars matter” group and the “trust the coaches” group. I think it’s important that we start getting more elite recruits, but I also don’t throw my hands up in disgust whenever we take a three star. On paper, this is Harbaugh’s lowest rated class according to average player rating on 247. But am I alone in thinking that this class is very underrated? I think this year especially, probably due to lack of scouting from Covid, we have quite a few guys that the staff feels are “high 4 star” value and they are rated as 3 stars.
With that being said, Harbaugh assembled this coaching staff to improve recruiting. Most of the coaches on the staff are young, and the hope was that we would start pulling in some more elite players. So far that has not been the case. With us being in the top 10 and Harbaugh looking secure, it would be really nice if we would start to hear some noise about some elite 2023 players. What are your overall thoughts on recruiting with this staff moving forward?
November 18th, 2021 at 10:33 AM ^
Michigan has always and probably will always continue to be at a disadvantage in using the transfer portal. Harbaugh is using it, but there's nothing he can do to get some of the players he would want past admissions.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:00 AM ^
Probably a reflection of Michigan rarely winning the big games. The best recruits want to see that happen, so its understandable(reminder of Zach Harrison saying "I don't want to lose to OSU for 4 seasons"). That being said.....Michigan is likely to advance to beat Maryland and continue this excellent season, and I'm surprised we haven't seen more high level recruits.
Also, this is the kind of thread that should be ongoing like Eleven Warriors does(my apologies for referencing them). I love the idea of a continual recruiting thread.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:04 AM ^
Agree - can't we pin a few more meaningful posts to the top that let people catch up on recruiting without neverending posts or updates within other posts so nobody sees it
November 18th, 2021 at 12:22 PM ^
It would also be helpful if threads "bumped" to the top and were refreshed when folks posted that way even when topics are not pin worthy they can be revived based on popularity. It's one of the most basic forum functions and it's so odd it doesn't work that way.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:03 AM ^
I think they need to show recruits that they are capable of winning the conference.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:05 AM ^
While I can agree this class has room for improvement, I do think we can close out with a few targets that will really bolster our class.
Domani is the big target, but I'm already expecting Alabama to take him. We need to land Conerly and Deone Walker. Amorion Walker and Kaleb Webb would be nice pieces to round out our class. Seems like Josephs is out of the picture, and M'ba is no longer a target. I'm sure we will end up having a decommitment or 2, but I'm hoping more targets like Jimmy Rolder pop up out of nowhere and we get them.
As for 2023, its Dante Moore. We NEED Dante Moore
November 18th, 2021 at 10:24 AM ^
Zeke Berry is another name we have a great shot at. He's Top 100 on 247 and we are probably top 2 with Oregon, with our official visit still to come. There is some confidence that Michigan will impress him and take the lead at that time.
And I am going to reiterate how much I love Kaleb Webb's film and athleticism profile.
Starting 2023 with Dante Moore and Jalen Brown would be special and put everyone on notice.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:45 AM ^
Do we lead for Jalen Brown?
November 18th, 2021 at 11:33 AM ^
According to 247 it's between us, FSU, and Miami as we are all considered "warm". Miami is about to be blown up and FSU isn't doing well at all, but a lot can happen within now and 2023 signing day.
November 18th, 2021 at 1:16 PM ^
Excellent, thanks!
November 18th, 2021 at 6:16 PM ^
And Josephs was just crystall balled to Tennessee by Wiltfong unfortunately. Wiltfong also crystal balled new RB target Justin Williams to Tennessee. They've been a real thorn in our side this cycle
November 18th, 2021 at 10:07 AM ^
“Nope, I will not visit Michigan (anymore),” M’ba said.
November 18th, 2021 at 12:17 PM ^
I saw something about Biff Poggi paying for his schooling so there could be something there that he cannot play for michigan with Biff as a coach. That being said, it's just something I read and is most likely not at all true.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:10 AM ^
Beat Ohio state and the recruiting will improve. lose and once again you look like a joke. Its not a coincidence that the top programs in recruiting are the ones that are doing well on the field. Selling the program to a kid based on a promise wont work forever. You have to show results on the field against the team you are recruiting against. We do not recruit elite players against UW or NW or IU or illinois. We recruit against penn state ohio state and unfortunately it looks like michigan state again. To get those players more times then them you have to beat them
November 18th, 2021 at 11:46 AM ^
"Its not a coincidence that the top programs in recruiting are the ones that are doing well on the field."
Michigan is ranked 17th in recruiting which says this statement is not true as we are ranked between 6th-8th currently. We are behind such winning programs as Texas A & M, Penn State, Texas, North Carolina, Florida State, Missouri, and Stanford.
November 18th, 2021 at 12:31 PM ^
You have to look at a 4 year average not one team one season at one point in the year.
November 18th, 2021 at 2:20 PM ^
Even looking at historical averages there are many teams that recruit at high levels (PSU, Texas, USC, Texas A &M) who are not successful. There are some teams that recruit at an elite level who are blowing it this year (LSU, Clemson). It is not as simple as you make it seem.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:11 AM ^
As a parent of a high school senior football player in Wisconsin's largest school division, I can confirm that COVID has severely impacted recruiting. We have multiple all-state caliber players on our team who are finally being evaluated and contacted by D1 schools. My son is not a B1G caliber recruit, but I keep telling him to keep sending his film to college coaches and recruiting coordinators because the normal recruiting cycle has been knocked off its axis. Opportunities exist for hidden gems in this class, probably more so than previous years.
November 18th, 2021 at 12:39 PM ^
The best post of the thread. I am always chuckling to myself that we sit on these boards giving the Sam Webbs of the world credence for talent evaluation over the coaching staff. I understand that Sam is not the independent evaluator but the teams who do so at Rivals, etc. are doing their jobs and not the coach's jobs for a reason.
If the Michigan coaches like a guy for the fit they are seeking, it is best that we trust in that. I am confident that they are putting in plenty of hours evaluating because the Jimmy and Joes do impact their employment, not just Xs and Os.
November 18th, 2021 at 12:59 PM ^
One of 24/7's recruiting guys, Cooper Petagna, was previously on the Michigan staff as a recruiting analyst. I remember Sam had him on the radio at one point, and he was a guy that was LITERALLY AGAINST GIVING AN OFFER TO AIDEN UNTIL HE BLEW UP HIS SENIOR YEAR. Recall that was Harbaugh's worst recruiting year by class rank and that guy wasn't around much longer...and now he does recruiting analysis for 24/7.
November 18th, 2021 at 1:05 PM ^
As a teacher of mine once said, "those who can do, and those who can't Teach". As my wife is a Teacher, obviously I understand it's much more complicated than that.
But maybe in 2021 the saying should be "those who can do, and those who can't are in the media".
November 18th, 2021 at 10:13 AM ^
I dont think this was part of the coaching strategy but.....with MAJOR instability at LSU, USC, PSU, WSU not to mention hot seats like Florida, Nebraska, even Miami....there will be alot of recruits backing out of commitments and players on teams that are tired of losing will be hitting the transfer portal. So...there is still time to put together a better class. Get out the snake oil!
November 18th, 2021 at 10:16 AM ^
Good news is we have great local talent at the QB position for 2023 and 2024. Dante Moore and CJ Carr. When a QB from Michigan is as high as Moore is, it’s crucial to land him.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:19 AM ^
The one constant with Harbaugh is an absolute lack of identity.
The school brand will always bring in good talent, however JH doesn't bring that consistent master CEO coaching resume to the table.
Personality-wise, he's not a draw, hopefully the new staff will hit moving forward.
Just hard to be too optimistic with the staff turnover in 7 seasons.
Saban can rotate entire staffs, JH?
November 18th, 2021 at 10:22 AM ^
With the transfer portal, who knows what we'll add to the roster in the coming months. Schools are recruiting kids through back channels before they hit the portal. CMU had a freshman RB break 2000 yards this week. I'm sure that someone with Sparty ties will soon put a bug in his ear about transferring to MSU to be the next KWIII. Will we jump into the murky waters of the portal and get ahead of the competition?
November 18th, 2021 at 10:38 AM ^
Supposedly we did this for Lance Dixon and then he didn't have enough credits to transfer properly
November 18th, 2021 at 10:28 AM ^
Ignoring this prompt and just giving my own thoughts. Good seasons like this one usually yield recruiting results the following year, not the year of the good season. Maybe a recruit or two flip on this year's result but most recruiting is done by season's start.
I also think it is going to be more of a crap shoot this year and if any year stars are going to be wrong it's this one because Covid nuked over a year of development and scouting in a lot of places.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:32 AM ^
It's kinda hard to sell the future when your coach is in year 7.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:10 AM ^
Year 7 and nothing to show for is the real issue. The interesting thing i dont recall a program ever being as patient with their as we have been. If he does win the big ten this season it will be interesting to see where the program goes from here and if keeping him was the right decision. Could impact how other programs view their head coaches who are slightly underachieving
November 18th, 2021 at 12:42 PM ^
Harbaugh is safe after a big rebound during this current season. The odds are low that he will beat OSU. Next season we probably have an even lower chance of beating OSU in Columbus. Once the playoffs are expanded, Harbaugh will probably be able to land one of the 12 spots in most seasons. Getting in the playoffs will increase top talent and take away the talent from the elite teams of OSU, Alabama, Clemson, Georgia/OU.
November 18th, 2021 at 2:12 PM ^
So your expecting harbaugh to be 0-8 against ohio state and still have a job? You people make disgust me
November 18th, 2021 at 2:41 PM ^
If fans show more disgust, the football team performs worse. You’re the reason we have lost to OSU so much
November 18th, 2021 at 2:48 PM ^
Firing Harbaugh will not magically allow us to leapfrog OSU and start pulling in historically great recruiting classes. I doubt we would be able to pull in a decent coach if we fire Harbaugh after a 10 win season. In particular, after resigning him and forcing him to replace his entire staff.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:33 AM ^
There's a good chance this class adds some more highly ranked guys going forward. Josh Conerly in particular looks good for Michigan. They're definitely going to add several guys regardless, since this is one of the smallest top 20 classes at the moment.
That said, it may not end up as a top ten class. I'd be fine with that since it's clear guys like Mason Graham and Kevonte Henry are strongly liked by what is by far the best scouting service (247), while being held down in the composite by other services. And the staff believes Damani Dent is a top-250 type player, and I'm inclined to think he's closer to that than to his current non-ranking, given that we weren't the only power program with a high opinion of him and he's a classic case of a kid who didn't promote himself until recently.
Right now, it seems like the "revamped recruiting" approach has meant doing much more rigorous evals of everyone nationally and trusting what the staff concludes about their own board over focusing on guys with good rankings who are convenient. Will that pan out? Impossible to say until at least a couple years from now.
What I do know is that, during the Harbaugh Era in general, Michigan has done an exceptional job unearthing high-upside guys a little further down the rankings. For instance: Ojabo, Haskins, Zinter, All, Anthony, Bell, to stick solely with those who are on the team currently. None of those guys were top-250 recruits, but they've all either reached that level of play or appear to be on track to do so. So I feel OK about the current strategy, with the caveat that I also would like to grab a few more top-100 guys each cycle.
November 19th, 2021 at 6:25 AM ^
UM’s recruiting has to get better or you might as well get used to 9-3.Several of UM’s classes the last 5 years had 0 top 100 players. Either 2018 or 19 forget which one but one of those classes was absolutely horrible. I’m actually surprised they’ve competed as well as they have considering the bad recruiting by Harbaugh. And Michigan has had a lot of talent in state the last few years.. And In my opinion any great coach can build a national contender anywhere. The Miami Hurricanes were horrible before Howard Schellenberger got there. The good old days when academics were shoved aside to get kids enrolled. Hard to beat OSU when the talent level is so far apart. OSU has more top 50 recruits on the roster than UM has top 100. Ryan Day will always be able to recruit the top offensive guys with his offense.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:35 AM ^
Its a weird year to evaluate for a lot of reasons. If this is the type of class we have going forward its not good enough. If this is a weird covid year impacting scouting combined with a lot of staff turnover coming off a bad year and they are back in the top 8 next year its fine
November 18th, 2021 at 10:46 AM ^
I feel like this is a product of where the program is. If Michigan wants elite recruits they've got to start winning or start paying for recruits. It's crazy that Michigan has put so many players into the league(and for some odd reason doesn't seem to get as much credit as others for that) and hasn't seen an uptick in recruiting to said success but might correlate to what I said previously, Michigan has to start winning games.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:50 AM ^
What still has not been fully recovered is the absolute devastation to the footprint recruiting done by the asinine arrogance of Rich Rodriguez. Harbaugh's first staff was really making a dent, but look at the bevy of four stars from Pennsylvania, Ohio, even Michigan, at the heart of the PSU and ND recruiting classes. UM has to consistently land an ample share of those players.
Hopefully some staff consistency can turn it around for the long run and, perhaps, a robust coaching carousel this season can swing a few key recruits back UMs way before all is done.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:52 AM ^
Jesus, man. RR was fired over a decade ago. Nothing that he did or didn't do, is having any impact today.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:00 AM ^
My apologies for the lack of nuance: not stating that he is having impact today, rather making the argument that the baseline level of recruiting success in the "footprint" has never gotten back to where it was pre his tenure.
November 18th, 2021 at 12:25 PM ^
Lack of nuance!? FFS you mentioned a guy by name who got fired in 2010. Nuance isn't the problem.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:00 AM ^
Brady Hoke brought in a metric ton of guys from this footprint. Did RR piss some coaches off? Sure. But Michigan losing midwest recruits to midwest powers is absolutely normal and acting like a coach who was fired a decade ago is still at fault is crazy. I mean, Carr was starting to lose local guys at the end as well; shockingly there are good schools around here.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:50 AM ^
Hassan Haskins, Ronnie Bell, and David Ojabo are players that far exceeded their rankings. Michigan will find players like that in this class.
Due to Covid ranking services have yet to catch up to pre Covid work. This will effect more 3-4 stars than 5 star types in the accuracy of their evaluations.
We do need to close on some O-Lineman.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:50 AM ^
You expected the new coaches, hired this off season, to already have better recruiting established? In less than one season? Not how it works, man. You've been here long enough, you should know this.
November 18th, 2021 at 10:53 AM ^
I don't know why this is getting negged. Some people don't have any tolerance for criticism. The post is not overtly negative. The criticism is warranted as is the idea that we expected a recruiting bump from the new coaches that has not come to fruition yet. Many times recruiting is about relationships that take place over time so I don't always expect an immediate uptick. Hopefully we'll see better results for next years class and/or some late flips after the holidays or a big signing day. Time will tell, but I think this criticism is warranted and somewhat surprising given the coaching additions and success the team has seen on the field. Hopefully we can find this classes Hutch & Haskins who were a part of JH's next lowest class in 2018.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:11 AM ^
I don’t really care that my OP is getting negged but I think people are taking it the wrong way, or perhaps I didn’t word it the best. I’m just curious if people feel like I do that this class is underrated according to the recruiting sites, and if we are surprised the new staff hasn’t got a few more splashy commits due to their youth and enthusiasm, but it’s a good point that others have made that it takes time to build relationships. My post wasn’t intended to be negative in any way.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:47 AM ^
I’m just curious if people feel like I do that this class is underrated according to the recruiting sites, and if we are surprised the new staff hasn’t got a few more splashy commits due to their youth and enthusiasm, but it’s a good point that others have made that it takes time to build relationships.
I don't know enough about these guys beyond rankings to say if they are underrated. Generally if a guy has a relatively low ranking but a bunch of good offers like OSU, PSU, ND, etc. that's a good indicator. I'm not sure if that's the case for our verbals. Pollard, Grant, & Graham have some good offers for their rankings. That's about all I can offer on if they are underrated.
It's hard to judge. On the one hand I would have thought having Bellomy would help with a guy like Dillon Tatum, but he actually liked Tucker more than Bellomy/Clink...who would have guessed? I still think Bellomy, Clink, Hart, & McDonald, etc. are going to be good recruiters, but it may take more time than we had hoped to see it pay off. ND, PSU, & MSU also have good classes going for '22 and OSU is a bit down at the moment, but I'm sure they'll surge as they land more guys because ND & PSU have like 8-10 more signees than OSU does, but OSU has the better average per player, but all are quite a bit better than UM at the momnet.
November 18th, 2021 at 11:13 AM ^
This year if we close on Domani Jackson, Josh Conerly, Kalb Webb and Amorion Walker we can finish in the top ten. In 2023 Nyckoles Harbor and Dante Moore are the two must gets.
November 18th, 2021 at 3:54 PM ^
How is Harbor a must get?
November 18th, 2021 at 11:18 AM ^
How many stars did Corum have? How many did Haskins have? How many did Charbonet have? Who is on the team still?
Stars matter if its 5. Coaching and scouting and scheme fit matter a lot more if it's 4 down.