[OT] Schools—not restaurants or gyms—turned out to be [Israel's] worst mega-infectors [LOCKED]

Submitted by ca_prophet on July 13th, 2020 at 3:23 PM

https://www.haveeru.com.mv/the-second-wave-of-covid-hits-israel-like-a-…

The article is focusing a bit on Netanyahu's fall from grace but the money quote above is from Dr. Udi Kliner, the deputy health service leader.  Why the deputy?  Dr. Siegal Sadetzki resigned:

“I have occur to the conclusion that in the newly developed ailments less than which my specialist view is not accepted—I can no [longer] help to proficiently cope with the unfold of the virus.”

Leaving Israeil politics aside, and this is not a regional finding, it makes opening schools in the fall a perilous endeavor, along with all college sports.

rob f

July 13th, 2020 at 4:58 PM ^

Not really enjoying it but also not feeling a bit of guilt.

I don't know how many times I have to tell folks that it's their choice when they hit "save" on a shit post.

I AM serious about clamping town on the ugliness around here.  

rob f

July 13th, 2020 at 8:11 PM ^

Good idea, but I don't have front page access. 

I'm getting pretty good, though, at figuring out how to use the mod buttons I do have access to, and one I have stumbled across several times appears to make available to me the function of making a thread "sticky". That might be a possibility, I'll look into that.

In the meantime, clicking on my username brings up all my recent posts. 

Meanwhile, I'm locking this and another thread or two, I think two of them have run their course, the other newer thread is just way too much a repeat of already-covered ground. 

I can't be monitoring a half dozen threads all night. I've been doing that all day already. 

ijohnb

July 13th, 2020 at 4:10 PM ^

I would like my kids to be back in person for the fall semester.  They really miss it.  However, they will be fine if they have to do on-line learning, and private day cares have largely remained open for preschoolers and pre-K.  It is very pricey, of-course, but kids of that age need socialization badly to develop.  Hopefully the family income will remain and I will be able to give that to him. 

I am sure that whatever decision is made will be difficult, and I hope community leaders make the right call. 

ijohnb

July 13th, 2020 at 7:22 PM ^

I’m not one of them.  But there is some next-level-bananas starting now on all sides of these issues and it is time to opt out of it. These issues will sort themselves out eventually but this has gotten away from all of us and civility has to return or we are going to all stay in this purgatory.  More than a virus, government, “freedoms,” restrictions, Trump, Whitmer, all of it, lack of civility is literally ground zero of why we are all here right now.  We have ALL stopped listening to one another, and we all are wearing it like some badge of honor.  It has to stop.

bacon1431

July 13th, 2020 at 4:13 PM ^

As someone who works in schools, I just don’t see how we return with in person schooling for more than a month. That’s as long as I can see a massive outbreak throughout a district being delayed. 

But it’s not as if none of the kids will have it when school starts. A few will, unknowingly. Then they give it to their teacher, who then spreads it to the rest of the class, where they spread it to their siblings and parents etc etc. 

Just seems inevitable that we will not have significant in person schooling until a vaccine. 

bacon1431

July 13th, 2020 at 5:57 PM ^

Things seemed optimistic about getting one next year just a few weeks ago. I haven’t read much since. I don’t see how we can return to significant in person schooling (as in 4-5 days a week) until a vaccine. At least in the near future. Herd immunity (if it’s even possible with this virus) would take a long time to achieve without a vaccine and without killing millions. 

Special Agent Utah

July 13th, 2020 at 4:23 PM ^

The whole attitude about returning to school, from kindergarten to college, seems to be “Let’s give it a shot, what the hell. Maybe we’ll get lucky.”

Which is pretty ridiculous because you know that, as soon as there’s a single confirmed case, that whole school and possibly the district is going to shut down. 
 

To just simply say let’s try it and maybe no-one will get infected, is like telling someone to throw a handful of sand at you and you’re going to try to get lucky and avoid getting by any grain of it. 

bacon1431

July 13th, 2020 at 6:01 PM ^

I work in a low income district. A lot of our kids have asthma or other factors that could make it more difficult than the average child. 
 

Of course this experiment will have a disproportionate effect on poor students. No win situation. They fall farther behind academically if it’s all virtual, more of them will die/suffer long term health setbacks if we go back in person 

Jota09

July 13th, 2020 at 5:28 PM ^

I saw that German study this morning as well.  Was going to post it until I saw you had.  There is a lot to take into account with all this.  Kids were claimed to be largely unaffected by this and I think that is still the case.  There have been accused of being asymptomatic carriers, but the WHO is now claiming (I saw another article about it today) that asymptomatic carriers are a very low risk to spread the virus.  Not sure how all that works out but you get accused of being a dumb moron who wants to kill grandma around here if you question the WHO in any way.  Take those factors into account and it seems like school is the best place for the kids right now if we can protect the elderly teachers.  The Israeli study does throw a monkey wrench into things so I am interested to see what gets published going forward.   

Personally, I have a 7 year old heading into 2nd grade, a 4 year old who goes to school half day for ASD, and my wife is a media specialist at the same school the 7 year old attends.  With the information we have now, we are both ok with the kids going back to class.  My wife wants to go back to work, although she isn't a fan of having to wear a mask all day.  She'll wear it and probably get used to it to a degree.  Only way we for sure aren't sending them back right now is if they make the kids sit in their chairs isolated and having to wear masks.  I'll teach them at home if that happens.  

Jota09

July 13th, 2020 at 8:46 PM ^

Sadly I sure don't.  I saw it on Flipboard this morning a little before noon, same time I saw the article on German schools.  My attempts to find it have been fruitless.  I tried to Google it as well and only found what you did.  Maybe I hallucinated it, maybe it was immediately retracted, or maybe I'll find it later.  

wildbackdunesman

July 13th, 2020 at 4:19 PM ^

It will be really interesting to see what happens.  I've heard some people claim that little kids aren't believed to be able to transmit the virus to adults, but that could be wrong, and high school kids are basically adults.

If schools are closed it will hurt the economy as more people have to stay home.  If you open and it gets out of control that will hurt the economy as well.  So you might as well make a mistake on the side of caution if we aren't fully sure what is the best response.

Teachers with little kids like myself will need some flexibility in how we teach online, because we will have to get our own kids working on their school too.

BlueMan80

July 13th, 2020 at 4:25 PM ^

You will see a lot of school districts trying to start with a hybrid, split schedule plan to get kids in school teaching 2 days a week and to keep students with additional needs in school as much as possible each week (looks like 3 days a week).  With some content coming via online learning, the fall back to all online should the virus break out will be an easier transition.  Our school district has higher than average class sizes, so there's just no way to meet the social distancing rules in the classrooms.  If the standard was reduced to 3 feet, then they could cram everybody in the classroom, but they'd still need multiple runs to get through bus routes increasing time and expense.  I'm not sure parents would be happy with a new 3 foot rule, either.  I'm wondering if Redfield/CDC will be pushed to announce a 3 foot rule.  Keeping in mind that states and municipalities still haven't received enough federal funding to make up for sales tax, income tax, and other local tax shortfalls, there's just not enough financial support to allow for additional expenses.

Special Agent Utah

July 13th, 2020 at 4:33 PM ^

The hybrid idea is beyond ridiculous. People seem to think that, if you limit the number of days it decreases the chances you’ll get infected. 

If a kid has the virus on a Monday with no school and then on a Tuesday with school, the people coming in contact with him are still at the same risk of it being transmitted to them. The virus doesn’t take days off.

It’s like saying that if you jump into a pool 2 days a week instead of 5, it’ll lower the chances you get wet.  

I’m as frustrated as anyone about what schools should do, but I can say the hybrid model is totally ridiculous if the goal is to stem the spread. 

BlueMan80

July 13th, 2020 at 4:56 PM ^

Everybody will be wearing masks to reduce the potential for spread.  That's all part of reducing the risk as much as possible, but yes, there will always be some risk.  It's going to be up to local communities as to whether kids go to a school building or not.  School boards will be presenting plans and parents will be asked if they support the plans or not.  Teachers, bus drivers, administrators, staff, etc. also get a chance to provide their views.  With the virus running amok right now, this has to be the worst time to be discussing plans for schools.

bronxblue

July 13th, 2020 at 4:27 PM ^

Schools are going to cause outbreaks though the article doesn't go into much detail (unless I missed it) about how the schools are handling COVID-19.  So that information would be interesting to know as reference.  Other countries have had better success re-opening schools.

enlightenedbum

July 13th, 2020 at 4:50 PM ^

Generally speaking, if your country is well run, you can re-open institutions with suitable precautions and only close things down when you catch cases and especially clusters.

Like Taiwan has baseball games with what looks like full capacity crowds  Because nobody's died in two months and they haven't had a day with more than five cases since April 19.

America is not that, more than obviously.

ndscott50

July 13th, 2020 at 4:50 PM ^

We could have spent the summer strictly following guidelines, wearing mask, avoiding large groups but then we could not go to the fucking sandbar party, have a couple hundred people over for our 4th of July party, protest in huge groups in the street and so on.  So, we won’t have school and fuck up the education of a generation of American kids, screw the economy and kill thousands of people.  Good job America!

This whole thing is fucking ridiculous.  Also fuck the various asshole sheriffs who won’t enforce anything.  Take this dude in Van Buren County who says,  “We will dedicate our services to investigating crimes against persons and property and we will not pull valuable resources away from that to investigate complaints against the governor’s executive orders,”.  I guarantee you if you go into the courthouse in that county there will be an endless line of people who got picked up for not paying speeding tickets or some other minor offense that the Sheriff’s department has spent a shit ton of resources to deal with.

This whole thing is turning into one of the greatest failures in American history.  In a just world the leaders who have failed so badly would be held to account.  Unfortunately, the world is not just.

Rabbit21

July 13th, 2020 at 8:40 PM ^

Yes, because the problem is totally a head of the executive branch with a letter behind his name that you don't like rather than an entrenched and ineffective bureaucracy filled with people who can;t be fired and view their work as a jobs program rather than a way to make an effective difference.  The testing fuck-up at the start of all this was down to the CDC and FDA ensuring their rules were followed to the letter. 

Yes, the Tangerine Goblin is bored of this and not making things better, but maybe things would be going better if a bunch of bureaucrats didn't turn this into a gigantic pissing contest.

Oh, and maybe next time the sainted Dr. Fauci(who I think is a good guy trying his best in an impossible situation who made a REALLY stupid judgment call) shouldn't flat out lie to people about what is and is not effective because he's trying to hoard resources for medical professionals.  

Perkis-Size Me

July 13th, 2020 at 5:04 PM ^

I’m pretty amazed that as many politically charged threads make it onto the boards these days as there are. 

Do Brian and Co. just not care anymore? Or is it because there’s literally nothing else to talk about?

TrueBlue2003

July 13th, 2020 at 5:29 PM ^

Did anyone else actually read this article? (plus, see below for a much more balanced one) I don't know what haveeru.com.mv is but this is the worst written article I've ever (attempted to) read.  It's worse than my 4-year-old's chicken scratch.

Even if it's a poorly translated article, the composition makes absolutely no sense.  This is the context in which that quote comes in:

"Soon after 18 months of political limbo, he’d been in a position to cobble with each other a group-of-rivals coalition with former opponent Benny Gantz, a centrist retired military chief of employees.

“Schools—not restaurants or gyms—turned out to be the country’s worst mega-infectors.”

That govt, Netanyahu promised, would focus only on the “corona emergency” for its 1st 6 months."

Smack dab in the middle of explaining Netanyahu's coalition govt, it throws a random, unexplained, unattributed quote.

I tried to find some context since this is in direct opposition to every other country and all the other research out there (Hong Kong just shut a down their schools again because of another "wave" but said they hadn't documented a single case of spread within their schools).

For one, Isreal's "wave" is, like almost everywhere else, nothing compared to waves in the US.  So a few hundred cases constitute a wave.  And second, even if schools are isreals "worst" place of infections, that doesn't mean it's bad at schools, per se.  It might just mean there isn't spread happening elsewhere (like gyms and restaurants that might be closed).  If schools are the only things open, and I would argue it's more important for schools to be open than anything else, of course that will be the place where spread is relatively common.

A much better, more comprehensive article that talks about how low transmission is across the world in schools.  It does talk about an outbreak in a school in Isreal but 1) it was high school aged kids and 2) it wasn't even conclusive that they became infected at school.

"Israeli health authorities said they were unsure how many of those cases were the result of the virus being passed around within school buildings."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/schools-reopening-coronavirus/2020/07/10/865fb3e6-c122-11ea-8908-68a2b9eae9e0_story.html

Khaleke The Freak

July 13th, 2020 at 6:25 PM ^

Shocking the right doesn’t have public interest in their agenda...queue the greedy corporate lackeys 

Jaxpo

July 13th, 2020 at 6:36 PM ^

That was a horrible article. Poorly written and provided no evidence for their claims. In other words, typical journalism today.