Beavis

September 2nd, 2010 at 10:42 AM ^

After the last two years, I hope 90%+ of the fan base would be happy with this result. 

Still confused as to how PSU is thought of as the third best team in the conference when they could start a true freshman QB.  But trying to make the argument that Michigan should be #3 could be a bit greedy. 

msoccer10

September 2nd, 2010 at 12:32 PM ^

They're not. This predicts PSU will be the fourth best team. UofM/MSU to be 5th and 6th best. PSU has a great running back, a great defense and while they lost offensive linemen, they players they are replacing them with have been in the program for a while. 4th seems perfectly reasonable for them. I would have predicted us to finish ahead of them before losing Dorsey, Turner and Woolfolk, but as it stands, I would be ecstatic with this finish.

GunnersApe

September 2nd, 2010 at 10:48 AM ^

BT could go 4-0 and we would still hear the B.S. from the south. Plus OSU as a shit record vs. SEC.

http://www.cfbdatawarehouse.com/data/div_ia/bigten/ohio_state/vs_conf_opponents.php?confid=177&restrictions=none

 

Team

Win Loss Tie Pct. PF PA Delta

Alabama

0

3

0

0.00000 33 75 -42

Auburn (AL)

0

1

1

0.25000 14 31 -17

Florida

0

1

0

0.00000 14 41 -27

Georgia

0

1

0

0.00000 14 21 -7

Kentucky

3

0

0

1.00000 76 12 64

Louisiana St.

1

1

1

0.50000 73 84 -11

South Carolina

0

2

0

0.00000 35 55 -20

Tennessee

0

1

0

0.00000 14 20 -6

Vanderbilt (TN)

3

1

0

0.75000 63 32 31

Totals

7 11 2 0.40000 336 371 -35

GunnersApe

September 2nd, 2010 at 10:53 AM ^

Much nicer, Just need SC,AUB,GA and 2 vs TENN

 

Team

Win Loss Tie Pct. PF PA Delta

Alabama

2

1

0

0.66667 77 75 2

Arkansas

1

0

0

1.00000 45 31 14

Auburn (AL)

1

1

0

0.50000 38 37 1

Florida

2

0

0

1.00000 79 65 14

Georgia

1

1

0

0.50000 33 15 18

Kentucky

1

0

0

1.00000 62 0 62

Mississippi

1

0

0

1.00000 35 3 32

South Carolina

1

1

0

0.50000 48 20 28

Tennessee

0

1

0

0.00000 17 45 -28

Vanderbilt (TN)

10

0

1

0.95455 197 44 153

Totals

20 5 1 0.78846 631 335 296

oriental andrew

September 2nd, 2010 at 12:26 PM ^

Michigan played vandy 9 times from 1905-1923, again in 1969, and finally in 2006.  Vandy appeared to be a pretty good team back then, with an average 6-2 record in the years the two teams met.  Four times, Michigan accounted for Vandy's only loss, and once was Vandy's only blemish in an otherwise perfect season (1922, Vandy was 8-0-1).  All data are from CFBDW

 

year win loss tie
1905 7 1 0
1906 8 1 0
1907 5 1 1
1908 7 2 1
1911 8 1 0
1913 5 3 0
1914 2 6 0
1922 8 0 1
1923 5 2 1

Tater

September 2nd, 2010 at 11:06 AM ^

I see both OSU and Bama losing two games.  Despite their oversigning, I don't think Bama will be able to replace what they lost on defense.  That won't be enough in the SEC. 

As for OSU, I think the "noble experiment" of trying to turn TP into a prototypical NFL pocket QB will continue to fail.  As much as I detest OSU and TP, I think they have enough talent to make it to the NC game.  I just don't see how turning one of the better dual threat QB's in the country into a pocket passer, thus nullifying one of his "threats," is going to get the job done.  Also, OSU is extremely thin at QB.  They have been lucky with TP so far, but they are really just a TP injury away from a four to six-loss year.

I think Nebraska and TCU have as much of a chance of getting into the title game this season as Bama and OSU do.

Not a Blue Fan

September 2nd, 2010 at 11:37 AM ^

Are we making predictions based on divinations of future injuries? Isn't that slightly disingenuous? I mean, why not say "I predict that Michigan will go 1-10 because David Molk could get hurt against UCONN"? That is to say, it's patently obvious that losing your best player will negatively impact a team's season. I guess I don't understand why you would even bring it up.

That being said, I think OSU is more likely to lose against UW than Miami. Miami's defense consists of Allen Bailey and 10 menacing cardboard cutouts.

Zone Left

September 2nd, 2010 at 11:55 AM ^

No, the injury thing was tacked on the end and I should have separated the thoughts.  My point was even the best teams will typically stumble once or twice each season and really need things to fall just right to manage an undefeated season.  Alabama was a buzzsaw last year, and even they needed the blocked field goal against Tennessee and one or two other relatively fortunate outcomes to get to and win the title game.

OSU is in the great position of being the most talented team on the field 11-13 times a year, so they really shouldn't lose more than one or two games depending on how the breaks go--especially with the excellent job of player development the staff has done in Columbus.

Zone Left

September 2nd, 2010 at 11:35 AM ^

Nebraska doesn't have the guns on offense to run the table, and their defense isn't going to be as ridiculous without Suh demolishing double teams.  Until they can sustain success, I'm going to treat Nebraska as something of a mirage.

bronxblue

September 2nd, 2010 at 1:05 PM ^

I'm surprised that Rivals thinks Purdue will be 6th in the conference.  People are really loving them some Marve, despite the fact that the defense will be worse, they don't appear to have a running game, and the guy he replaced (Elliott) was one of the better QBs in the league last year and they still finished with a losing record.