Michigan 45.5 point favorites over UMass
While point spreads may be nothing but talking points and things to bet on, I always find it interesting to follow them as one facet to guage how people feel about our team. Saw that Michigan has opened as 45.5 favorites over the Minutemen. This is the largest recorded spread in school history according to the full article at AnnArbor.com. More than a 6 touchdown favorite? With our offensive line, I'm not too confident about that. If this game is close, I may hit the panic button.
The 17th-ranked Wolverines opened up this week as 45 1/2-point favorites against the Minutemen, the largest early point spread of any game in the country this week.
On top of that, Michigan's listing as more than a six-touchdown favorite this week is the largest recording point spread in school history, according to R.J. Bell, the Founder and CEO of popular betting site Pregame.com.
September 10th, 2012 at 5:29 PM ^
If we can post 50 or 60 points, it will be Russell Bellomy who will be doing it. Denard won't play in the second half. My big question is how many snaps will Jack "The President" Kennedy get?
btw: I said none of this kind of thing before Appalachian State in '07. As my friends know, before that game I said, "This is a classic trap game; those guys are champions every year. It will not be an easy game."
September 10th, 2012 at 5:46 PM ^
Never take Michigan to cover. Ever. Unless the spread is -3.5 and we're playing ND
September 10th, 2012 at 5:55 PM ^
September 10th, 2012 at 9:02 PM ^
September 10th, 2012 at 5:47 PM ^
We rarely seem to cover in games against tomato cans, but I think we will this time. UMass has been absolutely thrashed in two games, against UConn and Indiana (!).
September 10th, 2012 at 6:26 PM ^
The spread for the IU-UMass game was -14, and the final score was 45-6.
So final score for Michigan game, 135-18. Book it.
September 10th, 2012 at 8:22 PM ^
If we give up 18 points to UMass, I'm worried.
September 10th, 2012 at 6:44 PM ^
Does that line factor in Brennan Beyer being ruled out?
September 10th, 2012 at 7:17 PM ^
September 10th, 2012 at 8:11 PM ^
Lines I've jumped on
ULM +16.5 vs Auburn
Virginia Tech -10.5 vs Pitt
Utah St. +14 vs Wisconsin
September 10th, 2012 at 11:21 PM ^
I like the VT pick, the ULM/Auburn game I've done 0 research on, and I have no idea what to make of the Badgers this year.
Here are my picks:
VT -10 @ Pitt
Ok St -22.5 vs UL-Lafayette
USC -10 @ Stanford (unfortunately this line is down to -9 now)
September 10th, 2012 at 8:52 PM ^
UMass vs Savannah State in a bowl game, anyone?
September 10th, 2012 at 8:57 PM ^
There are a few sites that are making mention of the fact that UMass will be without Kellen Pagel, so if anything affects this line at all, it may be that....perhaps. Actually, if you subtract his eight games out of their offensive totals from their last year in the CAA, you are left with UMass being 68 of 115 for 815 passing yards and all of 4 passing TDs (down from 13 - it creates the image of team that can kind of throw the ball a bit, but not a whole lot seems to happen). Pagel's rushing stats aren't enough to make a huge difference, although he made 2 rushing TD last year (out of their 19 rushing TDs). I imagine they miss him, but he hasn't been cleared to play since late last year, I think, due to a concussion.
September 10th, 2012 at 8:59 PM ^
REASONS WHY
1. Brady is not a run up the score kind of guy.
2. You saw the defense Saturday. (Save the triple option bs.)
3. IF Michigan gets up by 30 Brady will put freshman in for experience...oh wait, they're already playing aren't they.
4. Last time we played UMass we didn't cover the points.
5. This game is likely Bellamy's only shot at extensive playing time. Denard will be gone after the first series in the 3rd quarter, unless only up less than 24.
September 10th, 2012 at 10:27 PM ^
September 10th, 2012 at 9:43 PM ^
I have a feeling we don't cover. I'm with others who think that Brady won't run up the score.
If I'm Coach Hoke, I'm sending my defense out for the shutout. I know, I know "you always want to shutout your opponents", but our defense needs to get out there and out-physical a team. No mercy for their offense. And, yes, I think Hoke is fine with a shutout.
September 10th, 2012 at 9:51 PM ^
While the -45.5 spread is all well and good, the more interesting tidbit is that the over/under is 46. Essentially, will or won't UMass score...
September 11th, 2012 at 12:03 AM ^
Put it all on UMASS! Man it would be killer if we covered 45.5 but i just don't see it happenin.
September 11th, 2012 at 7:24 AM ^
This game should be treated as a scrimmage(god willing). Work on perfecting a base O/D and work on fundamentals. The benches should be cleared in the 3ed to show nothing to ND, get ready for the bye then B1G play. I would say UM will not cover, but I'm the black cat of betting so bet the farm on UM.