B1G Football: Week 3 Against the Spread

B1G Football: Week 3 Against the Spread

Submitted by RyanParrill on September 20th, 2013 at 12:37 PM

The B1G went a respectable 7-5 ATS last weekend; while Michigan did not obviously fare as well. Wisconsin is the only team left with a perfect record ATS.

  Close Result Difference Close Result Difference Close Result Difference
Michigan -31.5 59-9 (CMU) +18.5 -5 41-30 (ND) +6 -37 28-24 (Akron) -33
Ohio -34 40-20 (Buff) -14 -28 42-7 (SDSU) +7 -13.5 52-34 (@Cal) +4.5
Michigan St -28 26-13 (WMU) -15 -21.5 21-6 (USF) -6.5 -23 55-17 (Young St) +15
Indiana -25 73-35 (Ind St) +13 -12.5 35-41 (Navy) -18.5 -2.5 42-10 (BGSU) +29.5
Illinois -17 42-34 (So Ill) -9 +8 45-17 (Cinci) +36 +10.5 24-34 (Wash) +0.5
Northwestern -6.5 44-30 (@Cal) +7.5 -17 48-27 (Syr) +4 -28 38-17 (WMU) -7
Penn State -8 23-17 (Syr) -2 -28 45-7 (EMU) +10 -4.5 31-34 (UCF) -7.5
Nebraska -31 37-34 (Wyo) -28 -28 56-13 (S Miss) +15 -1.5 21-41 (UCLA) -21.5
Iowa -3 27-30 (N Ill) -6 -26 28-14 (Misso St) -12 -1 27-21 (@Iowa St) +5
Wisconsin -44 45-0 (UMass) +1 -45 48-0 (Tenn Tech) +3 +7 30-32 (@AZ St) +5
Purdue +10.5 7-42 (Cinci) -24.5 -17 20-14 (Ind St) -11 +17 31-24 (ND) +10
Minnesota -13.5 51-23 (UNLV) +14.5 -16 44-21 (N Mex St) +7 -27.5 29-12 (W Ill) -10.5

This Week

Penn State is the big mover; the line has increased 7 points since the open. Indiana opened as the underdog, but the market has determined that game is a toss-up. We have our first B1G match-up with Purdue @ Wisconsin. Of course with a current spread 23.5 it doesn't really set off fireworks for the start of league play. Can Michigan recover and win by 3 TD's? They may be able to cover that O by themselves.

  Week 4
  Open Current O/U Opponent
Michigan -18.5 -18 51.5 @Uconn
Ohio -51.5 -49.5   FL A&M
Michigan St +6 +5 43 @ND
Indiana +3 PK 71.5 Mizzou
Illinois NG NG NG No Game
Northwestern -28 -28.5   Maine
Penn State -14 -21 54 Kent St
Nebraska -21.5 -20.5   SDak St
Iowa -19 -16 47 WMU
Wisconsin -22.5 -23.5
48.5
Purdue
Purdue +22.5 +23.5 @Wisc
Minnesota -6.5 -3.5 50.5 SJ St

If MCalibur, or anyone else, has the missing O/U I'll update them as they come in.

 

The History

  2011 2012 2013
Michigan 8-4-1 6-7 2-1
Ohio 6-7 7-5 2-1
Michigan St 10-4 5-8 1-2
Indiana 5-6-1 6-6 2-1
Illinois 6-7 3-9 2-1
Northwestern 5-8 12-1 2-1
Penn State 3-9-1 9-2-1 1-2
Nebraska 4-8-1 6-7-1 1-2
Iowa 5-8 4-8 1-2
Wisconsin 7-6-1 6-8 3-0
Purdue 6-6-1 6-7 1-2
Minnesota 8-5 6-7 2-1

 

Week 12 Opening Lines: Iowa @ Michigan OTB

Week 12 Opening Lines: Iowa @ Michigan OTB

Submitted by Leaders And Best on November 11th, 2012 at 7:22 PM

Week 12 Opening Lines of interest:

Iowa @ Michigan - off the board

Minnesota @ Nebraska -19

Ohio State @ Wisconsin -1

Northwestern @ MSU -5

Wake Forest @ ND -22

Stanford @ Oregon -24

Kansas St. @ Baylor +10

 

Early betting coming in on Wisconsin (line moving to -2.5), MSU (moving to -6), Stanford (moving to +22), KSU (moving to -11 to -12), and ND (moving to -24).

 

 

Michigan 45.5 point favorites over UMass

Michigan 45.5 point favorites over UMass

Submitted by Soulfire21 on September 10th, 2012 at 4:39 PM

While point spreads may be nothing but talking points and things to bet on, I always find it interesting to follow them as one facet to guage how people feel about our team.  Saw that Michigan has opened as 45.5 favorites over the Minutemen.  This is the largest recorded spread in school history according to the full article at AnnArbor.com.  More than a 6 touchdown favorite?  With our offensive line, I'm not too confident about that.  If this game is close, I may hit the panic button.

The 17th-ranked Wolverines opened up this week as 45 1/2-point favorites against the Minutemen, the largest early point spread of any game in the country this week.

On top of that, Michigan's listing as more than a six-touchdown favorite this week is the largest recording point spread in school history, according to R.J. Bell, the Founder and CEO of popular betting site Pregame.com.

Michigan vs. UMass - Point Spread & Over/Under?

Michigan vs. UMass - Point Spread & Over/Under?

Submitted by juiceman on September 15th, 2010 at 6:42 PM

I've done some initial searching an cannot find any point spread or over/under for this weekend's game.  I realize UMass is an FCS team so perhaps there is no official point spread.  If this is the case, can someone provide an estimate? 

Or since THE_KNOWLEDGE already knows the final score, maybe he can chime in with his thoughts.  THE_KNOWLEDGE is a great man and shall leave all doubters in a trail of dust. 

Thank you in advance. 

A UM upset: Why not?

A UM upset: Why not?

Submitted by michelin on November 17th, 2009 at 11:37 AM

We are a 13-point underdog in Las Vegas (and should be 15 pt underdogs according to Sagarin ratings and considering home field).

Most pundits give us little or no chance of winning. But a host of teams that have overcome 2-3 times that much of a point spread. Consider:

1985 Oregon State (+36) tops Washington, 21-20
1985 UTEP (+36) over BYU, 23-16
1972 Missouri (+35) beat Notre Dame, 30-26
1974 Purdue (+34) at Notre Dame, 31-20
1992 Iowa State (+29) over Nebraska, 19-10
1969 San Jose State (+29) at Oregon, 36-34
1995 Northwestern (+28) over Notre Dame, 17-15
1942 Holy Cross (+28) beats Boston College, 55-12

I guess that these underdogs forgot to listen to the pundits.

By the way, didn’t OSU tie Iowa in regulation at home last week (while Ricki Stanzi was injured), while UM lost by only 2 points on the road (when Ricki Stanzi was healthy, Tate suffered a concussion and DRob had to come in for the last 2 series)? Subtract home field (3 points) from OSU’s result and they lost by 3 in regulation. Add home field to UM’s result and we won by 1.

I’m not saying that the other games don’t matter as well. I’m not denying that we are an underdog vs OSU. But this UM team has a lot to play for on Saturday. And to say that we’ve got no chance is a bit of a stretch.

Yet, the pundits incessantly pick the team apart--like vultures stripping a carcass. All they can think of asking is WHY the team has fallen apart.

But, to paraphrase RFK's quote of George Bernard Shaw:

You see things as they are and ask, ‘Why?
But I see things that could be and ask, ‘Why not?’".