Michigan Monday predicts the upcoming season game by game
Tony Gerdeman never fails to entertain along with providing some pretty good observations.
Here are his game by game prognostications complete with fake computer simulations:
http://theozone.net/2017/06/michigan-monday-wolverine-schedule/
All this makes me wish for September 2nd to hurry up and arrive.
What say you?
Also, I love Mason Cole but first round pick?
Harbaugh has got to get it done this year. There will be legitimate questions about whether or not he'll ever beat OSU, at least while Meyer is there, if he goes 0-3 this Fall.
Cooper went 2-10-1 against Michigan, Harbaugh is 0-2 against OSU. Get a grip
0-1 vs. OSU
0-1 vs. OSU + Refs
A legitimate point.
Getting close means absolutely nothing in the grand scheme. Hoke was close to beating Meyer two of the three years they met and he still walked away 0-3. History doesn't remember the score. It remembers the result. Harbaugh's results right now say 0-2.
I'm not saying Harbaugh can't beat him, but until he ACTUALLY DOES, people will question if he will ever get over the hump. And yes, Harbaugh is certainly upping Michigan's game on the recruiting trail. But OSU is signing historically good classes. Harbaugh's vastly experienced, senior-laden team could not beat Meyer's team run mostly by a bunch of freshmen and sophomores. On the road, sure, but it's still a loss.
I hate sounding like the Debbie Downer, but if he goes 0-3 this year, the chatter will be if he can ever beat Meyer. Whether you think that's BS or not, I guarantee that will be the narrative. The only way you can stop it is winning. Getting "within a whisker" is trying to grasp at moral victories. Whether you lose by 100 or you lose by 1, you still lose. It still hurts just as much.
If JH starts 0-3 to Meyer it's going to take a very long time just to get to .500, if it even happens.
UM needs to start beating OSU, now.
There will be legitimate questions about whether or not he'll ever beat OSU, at least while Meyer is there, if he goes 0-3 this Fall.
This doesn't mean there will be chatter, it means you believe it would be justified. It is saying you believe there will be legitimate questions about whether Harbaugh will ever beat OSU, if he loses this year. That's just silly based on last year's result.
Moral victories are for the players to claim or not, or for fans in the throes of a loss aftermath. If you're trying to look at the information available and make a prediction, it would be foolish to say "he's never won, a loss on the road with poor officiating, that was within an inch of a win is still a loss!" Take the questionable calls, remove them or put them in Michigan's favor, and they win. Put the game in Ann Arbor and they win. This is suffiicient argument that Harbaugh can beat OSU.
Again, I never said he can't beat OSU. But saying that he can beat them, and then him actually beating them are two very different things. Hoke COULD have beaten OSU, but he never did. His legacy, among other things, is 0-3 against Meyer. Harbaugh COULD have beaten OSU last year, but he didn't. Getting your ass kicked 42-13 and then losing by an inch the next year is still losing.
Part of me does believe that chatter would be justified to be honest. Harbaugh was brought here to BEAT OSU. Not to just be competitive with them, but BEAT them. That is the title, mission statement, vision, and everything in between of his job description. And it's not that silly. We had a team loaded with very good, experienced juniors and seniors last Fall go up against an OSU team loaded with mostly freshman and sophomores. Our most experienced team in a long time could not beat Meyer's arguably most inexperienced team. And they still lost.
And yeah sure it was on the road, but guess what pal: if Michigan wants to get to the playoff at some point, they're going to have to beat OSU in Columbus. Hell, at some point they're going to have to find a way to beat them in Ann Arbor. The truly great teams find a way to win tough road games. And Michigan has not won a road game against a truly great opponent in a long, LONG time.
After running my own private simulation, my results are as follows:
12 Wins, 0 Losses
I will not divulge the algorhythm to anyone except Putin, and he is going to have to pay handsomely.
4 sets of season tickets with the most expensive preferred seat donations attached to them.
Tell no one of this transaction; too much going on right now.
You could have gotten a seat on the board at Gazprom, simpleton.
I've never been so confident in my life as to predict there is no way MSU scores 19 on us....impossible. They scored 23 last year at home....now they lose eleventy billion skill players are playing away and under an enormous cloud and they only lose 4 pts of offensive production?
No.
I agree with most of this analysis.
Unpopular opinion on this board, that falls in line with the Michigan Monday simulations: @PSU is much more likely a loss in my opinion than @Wisconsin. We match up better stylistically against the Badgers, it's later in the season so our young team will be more mature and Happy Valley at Night might be the hardest environment in the Big Ten.
What I said 10 weeks ago is still valid:
like the spread of the schedule.
All summer to prepare for Florida.
6 weeks to prepare for PSU.
5 weeks to prepare for OSU.
Not buying Wisc hype or MSU comeback.
I predict another "on the edge season" where we can be undefeated or 3 losses by a few yards.
I am perfectly fine to enjoy the summer. September will be here soon enough, I'm in no hurry.
Record-wise I think 9-3 with losses to Penn State, Wisconsin OR Florida, and Ohio State. I haven't seen anything from Harbaugh yet that indicates we can win tough games on the road and Ohio State is deeper than us (last year was our better chance to win). Seems like we either solidly blow teams out or narrowly lose with not much room in between.
This simulation predicts a decent probablility of going 1-3 against Florida, Penn St., Wisc. and OSU. To me that would be a very "meh" season.
Those are probably the only four teams on the schedule with a pulse and I wouldn't even consider Wisc. and Florida powerhouses. Going 1-3 in that four games would mean this team is very average.
The goal that I would like to see achieved this season is to go at least 2-2 against those teams. If that happens, your looking at 10-11 wins at least with a ton of momentum for the 2018 season and 2019 recruiting.
October 28 Rutgers
Rivalry games are so difficult to predict, especially when the two teams are so evenly matched. Michigan has pretty much gotten away with the last two games against Rutgers. Both contests could have gone either way, with the point differential between the two teams being just 111 points. You have to think that eventually the Wolverines’ luck will run out.
Over 1,000 Fake Computer Simulations: Michigan wins 949 times.
Pick: Michigan 52 – Rutgers 0
I loled.