No photographer in Charlotte tonight [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

North Carolina 80, Michigan 76 Comment Count

Alex.Drain December 21st, 2022 at 10:35 PM

Michigan played three non-conference games against opponents that you mentally circled on the schedule when the season got going. In all three, they played reasonably well. In all three, they had a shot in the closing minutes to get it done. But in all three, Michigan men's basketball could not emerge with an important win, going 0/3 and losing by a total combined margin of 10 points. Tonight's four point defeat to North Carolina in Charlotte was the final of those three losses, a competitive game that Michigan led for stretches in and had a chance to rally late, but a mix of mistakes and a near no-show performance from Hunter Dickinson proved too much for Juwan Howard's team. 

The teams traded buckets through the first four minutes before Michigan got a strong stretch of play to assert control of the first half. An 11-3 Michigan run, coming mostly with Tarris Reed Jr. on the floor at center, gave Michigan a 20-12 advantage with under twelve minutes remaining in the opening frame. The Wolverine offense was functioning well, solid ball movement and execution on open looks, leading to a stretch in which Michigan scored on seven straight possessions. The defense was holding up alright, but it was the offensive fluidity that had the Wolverines in possession. 

It was also the derailment of said offensive fluidity that led to North Carolina getting control of the game back. After taking a 22-15 lead with 11:23 remaining in the first half, Michigan would score just six points in seven minutes, before Jett Howard's jumper snapped the spell. Well, only temporarily. That shot gave Michigan 30 points, and they'd immediately sink back into a three minute drought. In total? Eight points in roughly nine minutes of basketball, not a winning formula. North Carolina upped its defensive compete level, shots stopped falling, and Michigan found its half-court offense stagnating whenever Jett Howard was not on the floor.  

[Campredon]

During that stretch of the game was a moment many will remember from the contest, when Dickinson and Dug McDaniel got tied up in a skirmish with Armando Bacot and Caleb Love after the whistle. All four players involved received technical fouls on the play and the T on Dickinson in particular seemed to send #1, who was already scuffling, into a prolonged funk that would extend into the second half. Bacot solidified his dominance on the interior during the late stages of the first half against both Dickinson and Reed, and it was that in tandem with UNC's perimeter shooting that was the catalyst for Carolina's late half surge. They took the lead back with just over four minutes to play and would go scorching into the break up 41-34. 

At halftime the stat lines from both teams looked reasonably similar. North Carolina had made a few extra shots compared to Michigan, accentuating their edge in threes (6/12) over the Wolverines (2/8). Bacot had 14 compared with Dickinson's 2, while Bufkin and Jett Howard led Michigan with 10 points each. 

The early second half saw Michigan get some of their offensive rhythm back, but the focus turned to the defensive end, where getting stops and defensive rebounds proved to be a problem. Michigan would cut it to four of five, then UNC would go back ahead by ten. Case in point being a sequence that happened around the 12-13 minutes remaining mark: Jett Howard knocked down a three to pull Michigan within five, then got a steal. Michigan went up the floor, but Dug McDaniel's pass was intercepted by Caleb Love for an easy layup. Howard missed a three, Bacot got an easy bucket, and then Dickinson was whistled for an offensive foul. Just like that, the margin was back to UNC +9. But a minute later, Michigan stitched together a sequence of a Kobe Bufkin three followed by a Jett Howard tip-in to pull it to four. 61-57 Tar Heels. 

[Campredon]

It was that sort of half. Michigan never pulled even, but never trailed by more than a dozen. My notes document those two extremes, writing down when it felt like the Wolverines were getting close, and also when it seemed like the game was on the verge of a blowout. The equilibrium was somewhere in between. One of those UNC runs ended with around five minutes remaining, as North Carolina led 69-60 it was unclear if the closing minutes would be meaningful. Michigan could've thrown in the towel then, mired in a stretch of nearly 6.5 minutes without making a FG. Instead, they kept fighting.

A Joey Baker three off a steal made it a three point game with under four remaining. Michigan got another stop, but then a Dug McDaniel turnover ended that opportunity in its tracks. After that point, Michigan would never again have the ball and a chance to tie the game. Terrance Williams II hit a three to cut the margin to two, something that happened again after a tough Kobe Bufkin make with 90 seconds left. But in between Michigan simply couldn't get the stops/rebounds they needed, and eventually their valiant effort staying close behind the Tar Heels came up short. Final score: UNC 80, Michigan 76. 

[Campredon]

The story of the game from a box score standpoint, and frankly from a "watching the game" standpoint, was the massive mismatch in quality of play from the two teams' big men. Armando Bacot of UNC was 11/15 for 26 points with zero turnovers. Hunter Dickinson was 3/9 for 9 points with three turnovers and (ultimately) five fouls. Dickinson, ostensibly Michigan's best player, was woeful. Ineffective offensively, whipped defensively, and dealing with foul trouble. Michigan had no defensive solution for Bacot, and couldn't get any offense to compensate on the other end, be it from Dickinson or Reed. The rest of the team played pretty well, quality nights from Bufkin (22) and Jett Howard (17) standing out, and the team shot a solid 39.1% from three. Yet a massive hole at the five was enough to sink the ship of the Maize & Blue in Charlotte. 

Michigan falls to 7-4 on the season, with one more non-conference game next Thursday against Central Michigan. After that they will return to the B1G slate, hosting Penn State on New Year's Day, entering conference play badly in need of quality wins after striking out against all three of UNC, Virginia, and Kentucky. The box score is after the jump. 

[AFTER THE JUMP: Box score]

Comments

remdog

December 22nd, 2022 at 8:55 AM ^

Another disappointing close loss but with promising improvement by several new and younger players - Bufkin, Reed, Baker.

I wouldn't read too much into this game or any game this season so far. This is a young team with many new faces and dealing with some really bad luck at guard (due to both a transfer and injury). If Dickinson plays smarter and avoids a couple really dumb fouls, it could have been a very different outcome.

I share some of the concerns others have regarding Coach Howard - his in-game coaching moves and his temperament.  But at core, he seems like a really good guy with a lot of heart and basketball smarts.  He really connects with and cares for his players.  Like this team, he has loads of potential. I hope he can keep his temper under control and reach that potential.

bronxblue

December 22nd, 2022 at 9:14 AM ^

Saw some improved play from a bunch of young guys in this game; had they gotten anything offensively from Dickinson they probably win.  Barcot feels like Kofi against Dickinson; just too big and strong for him on both ends of the court.  A bad matchup that shows why he's a non-entity for the NBA.  Bufkin looks like a real deal now, and hopefully he sticks around for next season when he'd flourish even more.

I am actively trying to not get involved anymore in the discussions around Howard's temperament because they just devolve into comparisons with Beilein, but didn't really get too bothered by him getting angry about a call and getting heated.  Yes, you'd like coaches to always be in control of their emotions but this whole discourse feels a bit like the talk around here some years ago that Harbaugh must be suffering from some mental degradation (possibly due to CTE) because he wasn't losing his temper enough.  

Anyway, they've gone 0/3 in terms of big-time wins but they also lost those games by a total of 10 points and suffered from some bad luck in addition to poor play.  It's a young team (I mentioned this elsewhere but there was a stat floating around that Dickinson has more career college minutes than the rest of the starting lineup combined has in their career, and it's pretty close to more than the rest of the active roster), so they're learning and improving.  Going to be a fight in conference but that was going to be the case anyway even if they had beaten UNC.

4th phase

December 22nd, 2022 at 10:29 AM ^

This team is reminding me of those Red Wings teams that were just trying to keep the playoff streak alive and were coming in 7th or 8th then losing in the first round. The roster is just a rickety contraption held together by duct tape. This team needs a reset. Bringing in Llewellyn and Baker as band-aids hasn't panned out. Dickinson and Williams have plateau'd. Moving on from those 4 guys and just trying to develop a young guard core of Kobe and Dug paired with Reed and maybe you can be a serious contender in 2 years when those 3 guys are all upper classmen.

Blucifer

December 22nd, 2022 at 1:46 PM ^

As I watched the game I had a hard time seeing Dickenson as a future NBA player. He’s more suited for a European or Asian league, and would probably be better off just getting a graduate degree and moving on from basketball. 

KeyserSöze

December 22nd, 2022 at 4:14 PM ^

This is so difficult because Coach Howard has done so much for Michigan and has done so over such a lengthy period of time. Almost all people truly enjoy him and respect him as a person and as a husband as well as a father.  We want him to do well.  He is an easy guy to root for.  Coach Howard loves Michigan.

The problem lies within the behavioral data and it is troubling.  The predictable analytics in regards to his temperament tell us where this is trending and it isn’t likely going to end well.  It is almost as if this is playing out in slow motion right in front of our eyes, but for some reason we are helpless to stop it.  

CriticalFan

December 22nd, 2022 at 4:28 PM ^

I am kinda sick of Juwan's $#!+.

Not sick of his good points, which there have been and still are many.

I thank him for rejoining the program during what could have been a bad coaching search.

But do I want to see more good and less cringe during the rest of this season? Yes.

 

Durham Blue

December 22nd, 2022 at 4:44 PM ^

All three of those big losses (UVA, Kentucky and UNC) had the same elements.  Couldn't make a bucket to quiet the other team's momentum late in the second half.  Couldn't stop the opponent at those same critical moments when the opponent was building its second half lead.  A deflating turnover right after Michigan grabs a little momentum late in the game while cutting the opponent's lead to a manageable amount.

If the opponent has a quick and capable point guard you know they are going to score a lot by driving to the hoop.  Happened again last night, many times.

My hopes of the team making the NCAA tournament are slowly fading.

On a positive note, Michigan covered +4.5 points thanks to Baker's meaningless 3-pointer with 5 seconds left.