Blind Resume Wednesday Edition
In one of the posts earlier, someone mentioned they'd like to see a blind resume test. So here's one for the board. These are all teams with similarly balanced strength of schedules (according to the quartile system). A few of these teams are probably obvious, but more importantly, how would you rate them?
I'm thinking of doing this a few times before Selection Sunday. What other criteria would you like me to add to this matrix?
A seems to be the team most ranked last by everyone so far. Very interesting to see and read everyone's thoughts. Thanks for putting this together! It gave me some interesting reading while I took a break from work this afternoon.
I would guess they (Va Tech) will end up ahead of Wofford (B). What is missing from this info his how many of those Q1 games that Va Tech played were against the very top end of Q1 (UVA, UNC, Duke, etc.) whereas the Wofford Q1 games are away games against teams in the 60s and 70s which is a very difference level of difficulty.
I think you can remove Quad 4 from the table. If we're talking about teams near the top of the bracket, I don't know if there are any quad 4 losses in that group, and very few quad 3s. One of the advantages of the NET rankings is that it correctly values what used to be considered "bad" losses, so a loss by a top team to an NC State or Penn State is now correctly valued.
I would add either NET ranking or (and this is much more complicated) an average of the six metrics that the committee uses, or did last year: NET, ESPN BPI, ESPN SOR, KPI, KenPom, and Sagarin. Virginia Tech is your Team A, and while they are ranked around 11th among most metrics, they are dinged pretty severely in KPI (23rd), which also has Gonzaga 11th and Kansas 4th, so it's a weird (some might say "shitty") metric, but it's on those team sheets and will have some nonnegligible impact.
C > D > E > B > A
Same. A has a Q1 record that says they are less than elite. We know they aren't elite
B has a shit schedule and although their overall record is good we just aren't sure - we don't KNOW they aren't elite
C, D, E are all similar but I went with C being better b/c they are 12-2 VS 12-5 and 10-3. in Q1+Q2.
so E has 3 extra Q12 games, but they lost them all which I dout C would have done. C played more Q12 games and has fewer losses than D.
Dont care about worst loss - all about similar. Don't care about best win in this case, since it just reinforces that B played a shit schedule. Don't care about Q34 - all undefeated.
can we get 100% confirmation of who the teams are somewhere down the thread?
The second commentor got the first four correct with 100% certainty:
Va Tech (A)
Wofford (B)
Houston(C)
Gonzaga(D)
Pretty sure E is actually Duke, though, not Texas Tech. TTU doesn't have a Q2 loss, but Duke's home loss to Syracuse was a Q2 loss. EDIT: Nevermind. Duke obviously has better wins than #17 (twice over UVA, beatdown of UK). I was ignoring that data point. Texas Tech doesn't have a Q2 loss though, crashing the dance has that wrong.
Iowa State is 22nd in NET, not 37th like CTD indicates. Maybe they still use RPI?
Ihatebux actually got them all right.