chance of bowl: 13.6%
- Member for
- 4 years 29 weeks
|1 week 2 days ago||OONTS/TZ||
It's nice how the TS/TZ simulates a little hi-hat.
|1 week 3 days ago||Bacon's book?||
I thought I read somewhere (like an old post here) that Bacon's book strongly implied it was determined before the Gator Bowl that RR would not be back. I suppose he might have lost the team between the end of season and the bowl in a way that was obvious to the powers that be without needing a result, but that seems unlikely.
|1 week 6 days ago||Give me a break||
The Vanderbilt administration gave him a lot of heat for recruiting the kids that led to this incident--supposedly the Chancellor used to meet with him until this happened, then gave him the cold shoulder, strengthening his resolve to leave (which, to be clear, would have happened anyway).
I grant that the rest of the SEC is by and large an ethical cesspool but let's be careful with the broad brush.
|2 weeks 5 min ago||As perhaps the only Vanderbilt fan here....||
I really miss his competent coaching and appreciate what he did for us--good heavens, I can't tell you how much I miss his competent coaching--but I don't at all miss wondering when his lack of integrity would lead to something like this. He wants to always be the center of attention, which is understandable for a major CFB HC, but now he's got what he wished for.
|2 weeks 14 hours ago||Kelly HC at New Hampshire? What am I missing?||
I see no evidence to support this assertion, but maybe I'm looking in the wrong places.
Wikipedia lists him as OC at UNH until and including 2006, his last season before UO. This source checks out: On Aug. 15, 2006, UNH described him as "Chip Kelly, the associate head coach and offensive coordinator at the Univeristy [sic] of New Hampshire...."
This SBNation piece strongly implies that Sean McDonnell has been the UNH HC from 1999 to the present.
Am I missing something?
|2 weeks 19 hours ago||On the hot seat with fans....||
On the hot seat because Miss State fans like most fans generally have an inflated view of their place in the CFB universe. I'm just curious, was there any indications he was really on the hot seat with the MSU administration?
As an SEC fan, I've always thought he did a stellar job.
|2 weeks 22 hours ago||Here ya go||
Yes, just line in Wolken's article, but stated pretty flatly. And Wolken is pretty reliable.
Oops, missed that the article was linked above but here it is again: College football gold mine.
|2 weeks 23 hours ago||Coach in waiting?||
But Chip Kelly was a I-AA coordinator before Oregon, right?
However, you make me wonder if Stitt could be lured with a handshake deal that he bides his time for a little bit and then is first up for the promotion if everything goes well.
I don't think it's really realistic because then you have to hire a HC who's close to retirement. But if Les Miles got enough flak in Baton Rouge this year and wanted to save the alma mater before hanging it up.... no, now I'm just being silly....
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Are 2PC really 50/50?||
That greatly changes this discussion. I thought they were more like 41/59 on average.
Of course, for Oregon or Auburn they might well be 50/50, and for Michigan or Vanderbilt they might be 30/70.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Don't worry||
He's not. As always, unsubstantiated. In the SEC they're pretty good about not leaving an audit trail.
Great coach though.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Ability and ethics||
Mullen is a fantastic coach. Miss State fans, like Ole Miss, So Carolina, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, indeed, like most fans, all think their school occupies a higher place in the pecking order than it does. Starkville is just a dystopian college town in the middle of the cow pastures, very hard to recruit to, and they split a low-population state with the more popular Ole Miss who actually plays in a town you might want to spend an afternoon in (and is closer to Memphis).
Around the SEC there are strong hints that Miss State cheats (as does most of the SEC), all unsubstantiated, so... make of that what you will.
My first allegiance is to an SEC school so I feel like I have a foot in both camps here.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Lot more legitimate things||
Agreed 100% on that last point. And good post in general. I'm just interested in understanding the game better, not adding to Hoke's bill of particulars, which is plenty long without game theory's help.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Game theory||
Glad to have something to take my mind off the Hoke/Brandon mess.
I agree that down 23 very late in the game, you should go for two early. However, I disagree with, "always do everything as quickly as possible." The down-23 logic only holds because it's very very unlikely that you can win if the opponent scores anything else after you're down 16. If your team somehow got down 23-0 in the first quarter, you would want to take the +EV option (in points), which for most teams is to kick it.
I guess something like late in the 3rd quarter down 23 with a decent offense (but still well below 50% to make a 2PC) could be a borderline case--it depends on if you think there's a reasonable chance you can give up more points and still win.
Somebody check my reasoning here, please.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||HIPAA||
Although I skipped pages 3, 4, and 5, one question I didn't see answered is whether the University can say anything about Morris's concussion status under HIPAA. I'm not suggesting they want to be transparent; I'm saying, even if they did, their hands might be tied.
"we're confident proper medical decisions were made" -- sounds like HIPAA vagueness.
But they do mention the leg injury, so perhaps that's in a different category or perhaps I'm barking up the wrong tree. Does anyone know?
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Interesting, yet...||
Even if it turns out he wasn't concussed, though, letting him go back in the game without a concussion test seems criminal.
Hell, even if Dr. Hoke somehow knew he wasn't concussed by sight, letting a guy with a leg injury so bad that the announcers think he's dazed go back in the game is irresponsible, isn't it?
|3 weeks 4 days ago||But the point is the enabling culture||
Of course they're very different offenses. I think I was pretty clear about that, but maybe the scarred emotionally/physically comparison was over the top. But the culture that allows them could easily develop along similar lines. Is that too nuanced a distinction?
I don't think that Hoke wants to do harm, and I want to better understand the mentality that allows him to act like he did yesterday. Comparisons to other out-of-control cultures don't imply that the misdeeds were comparable, just that we can learn from their enablement and avoid our own (despite the differing root cause).
EDIT: I think this distinction is too nuanced. I'd probably delete my OP if I could even though I think we can learn something from looking at dysfunctional cultures. It's just too emotionally charged, and understandably so, to try to draw a lesson about org. culture without sounding like I'm comparing the deeds.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||No authority to override the HC for player safety?||
Then the culture of U-M football is screwed up, more than just winning and losing, and must be rooted out and rebuilt from scratch.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||"...no idea what was going on.": Our Penn State moment||
I'm headed for a probable firestorm, but I'll say it: I see parallels between where U-M stands today and where Penn State stood when the Sandusky stuff broke.
First, the obvious: They're very different issues, of course. PSU scarred kids emotionally for life. U-M, if this goes unchecked, risks scarring older kids physically for life.
Yet, here's why I can't escape the parallel: Paterno was the proud epitome of old-school values. I sincerely doubt that he ever intended to cover up child rape; he just, in a very intergenerational way, didn't understand why it required his immediate action. I am not saying that past generations would have been OK with those crimes, just that with each generation we have a better idea of the gravity of the situation and the need for immediate action. I don't think Paterno ever quite got that.
Hoke clearly is stubbornly old-school. He clearly pines for a day when people just played through injury. See his quotes about Gardner limping after OSU.
So I don't think he actually wanted to put a concussed S/A in the game, and I don't think he was cognitive unaware of the fact that Morris was stumbling around. I think he quite simply processed it as that Shane had "had his bell rung" (what a disturbing old euphemism) and just needed to play through it.
That doesn't quite explain putting him back in, but it's of a piece: If getting your bell rung requires stepping to the sidelines to get your bearings back, then a few plays later it should all be OK. I mean, that's the kind of toughness you want in your players, right?
I will be embarrassed for the University if they fall into the same sort of yes-manship that defined the culture at Penn State.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||"Brady Hoke killed a guy"||
I'm sure Brian or whoever set up that tag in 2011 had no inkling whatsoever that it would become so close to reality. I wouldn't care if he had the track record of Bear Bryant at this juncture. Letting him coach versus Rutgers is inconscionable.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||You're not alone in thinking RR got a raw deal||
But because 2010 was my first year caring about Michigan football (because I started school there), and because everyone was so adamant that RR was incompetent and that M could do so much better, and because there was this seemingly inevitable choice at San Diego State--why, he was even a Michigan Man!--I just kept my mouth shut and presumed those who knew more than me were right.
Then, 11-2. So clearly they knew more than me.
But I still wouldn't (and won't) be surprised if Arizona ends up in really good shape.
|4 weeks 3 days ago||Totally premature interest in the next coach... is still valid||
I suspect many of us would actually prefer to see a UFR of games coached by some of the top coaches who viably might take the Michigan job. (And not just dream candidates like Harbaugh; midmajor stars, too).
I mean, yeah, it's unseemly for the media to assume the incumbent's out the door after four games but we all know that's where this is headed. In some ways tracking would have as much relevance to the future of this program.
|5 weeks 5 days ago||Scurvy incidence on MGoBlog is down 23%, though.||
|5 weeks 5 days ago||OSU / Addams||
The OSU band video wasn't bad, but to really impress me they need to have Thing snapping around 2:45. (Bonus points if they managed to work Cousin Itt in there.) Ah well, better luck next time, guys.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||I'm going to be really unhappy if it was Infractions Appeals....||
and David Williams of Vanderbilt voted to uphold the penalty, but I guess we'll never know for sure.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||About the marching band full of assholes....||
It's a great line, but regarding the NCAA, my understanding is there's no there there, no decision-making staff. What I mean is, NCAA staff is just sort of minimal investigative staff along with I guess other marketing (top notch!) and what-not. But the decision making is in the committees, and the committees are made up of people from member schools.
Alas, the Wetzel story tells us only that McGary "appealed the decision to the NCAA in early April." Unless the appeal was heard by the custodial staff or by the genius who came up with that marching band commercial, I have to think it was heard by some committee. Anyone know which one?
I also did not know that Lloyd Carr serves on the Committee on Infractions.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||Not an item I'd highlight in my portfolio||
Although I'm sure even with those black-and-blue lookalike courts the craftsmanship of the wood is excellent and it's just the stupid Indianapolis bureaucrats or college administrators to blame for those monstrosities.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||With the joyless||
With the joyless standard-issue black-and-blue NCAA courts throughout the rest of the tournament, the FF is the only time the court doesn't disgust me now. Seriously, why does every site need to look exactly the same?
|1 year 29 weeks ago||Wichita State||
Beat the team that beat OSU, among other reasons to pull for them up to the final.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||But not these championship muppets|
|1 year 29 weeks ago||Best part of winning by 20||
Bringing in the subs. It was crazy.