Nick

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Date	Title	Body
3 days 12 hours ago	thats an unverified rumor	And I doubt he did that.  Theyve always thought highly of  porcellos potential
6 days 3 hours ago	smyly is a much better option	They arent pitching him as many innings as they should right now, so might as well make him the closer
2 weeks 19 hours ago	If you think the NBA is an awful product	Maybe you should watch the Spurs play. They are more similar to Michigan basketball in style than maybe any team in the NBA. And while they may not be the best team, they play the smartest brand of basketball and maximize every bit of talent they have. Also, it sucks that you wont get to watch the rest of Trey Burkes basketball career.
2 weeks 19 hours ago	this is exactly correct	The NBA does not fix games. Tim Donaghy, however, officiated numerous games of the Lakers Kings 2002 conference finals and that series has largely irrefutable arguments that it was fixed. Its too bad that happened, because now some fans think that the independent actions of one rogue referee means that the whole league is fixed from the draft lottery to who wins which playoff series to which players get too many foul calls
2 weeks 2 days ago	This is the correct interpretation	The only way 4 year v. 1 year distinction matters is if the scholarship slot is taken whether or not the player is still there. Think of it this way.  The only way a player loses his one year renewable scholarship is if he breaks the rules or has academic trouble.  The only way a player would lose a 4 year guarantee would be to break the rules or academic trouble. Its the same thing either way beacause coaches are not deciding to cancel the scholarships early for any reason other than rule breaking or academics. If coaches were actually making judgement decisions on players on the basis of performance each year, then itd be a different matter.  But they arent so 1 year v 4 year is irrelevant. The only problem is oversigning and medicaling kids.  A scholarship should be held against the school the MINUTE the student signs their LOI.  So you would have to be under the 85 limit in February, and there would be no more last minute situations where Les Miles pulls your scholly right before fall camp.  Monitoring medical exemptions would be tough though, outside of needing the approval of a neutral doctor as opposed to a team doctor to apply for a medical.
2 weeks 3 days ago	The tigers are better than their record	For everybody that is confused how Detroit is only 29-24, its relatively easy to understand.  Hits and walks for and allowed dont always translate equally into runs scored and allowed.  Runs scored and allowed differential doesnt always translate into the expected record. The tigers should have a better record than they do.  Their run differential states that they should have 3 to 4 more wins than they do.  Their context neutral batting statistics suggest they should have between 6 and 7!!! more wins than they do. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/ That is a massive differntial between actual and expected record.  It is a fluke.  The tigers win blowouts and lose close games.  While its true that good bullpens can help a team overachieve in close games, the Tigers pen has been closer to average than bad.   Most likely the Tigers start winning more close games and start translating their sky high batting average and on base percentage into more runs.  It is likely that the opposition wont cluster their hits together as often as they have and that the Tigers start clustering their hits better.  If these things happen, then they will run away with the division. Its really not that hard to tell why they are underachieving.  Its a combination of bad sequencing luck (timely hitting is not a repeatable skill as it has no year to year correlations), slow baserunning as it can take Detroit 3 or more hits just to score a run, bad luck in close games (or poor performance in high leverage situations, however you wanna look at it), and unlucky high babip allowed.  If the tigers maintain this stastical profile for the rest of the year and dont improve their winning %, they will have been the unluckiest team EVER.  The Tigers, by best and most comprehensive objective measures available are THE BEST TEAM in MLB. They are good.  Their record doesnt show it.  I have stated the main reasons above.  Baseball isnt fair sometimes.  The best team doesnt always win.  Its frustrating, and while they should regress towards the mean, barring some great luck in the future, their record wont be as good as it should be as they have already underachieved their expected record by about 6 games.
2 weeks 5 days ago	throwback	BRING BACK HALOSCAN
3 weeks 22 hours ago	Danny Sheridan is a joke	He buys twitter followers and is useless, just restating odds from various sportsbooks. Also, a caution... futures odds shouldnt be taken as an accurate representations of true odds of events happening.  The reason why is that a sportsbook doesnt have to offer the other side of the bet to the public.  IF you could also bet on Michigan to LOSE the division at around 3 to 1 odds, then the futures odds would hold more weight. A book is never going to make a popular team have really high odds, just high enough to entice bets while still being profitable ...and futures bets typically have a really high ROI for the house as the implied odds for each team winning always add up to way more than 100%.
3 weeks 6 days ago	Yeah i actually agree	I think Noel and McLemore are the top 2 prospects in the draft and I dont think it is likely that a team takes Burke in front of either. So the best case for Trey was to have teams that need Mclemore or Noel pick 1 and 2, so theyre off the board and then have point guard needy teams lined up 3,4,5.
3 weeks 6 days ago	Vasquez has most definitely exceeded expectations	and hes a smart player.  But hes already 26 and is very likely near his ceiling as a player. I also think that there is a cliff after the top 5 or 6 players in the draft, noel,mclemore,burke,porter,oladipo,bennett, so i doubt theyd reach positionally for a lower ranked player.   New Orleans runs a lot of screen roll as well, and they may be shopping eric gordon, their combo guard, so despite having Vasquez, I dont see them passing on Burke if hes there.  But it does look  like #2 or #6 for Burke unless there is a trade in there.
4 weeks 1 day ago	What?	NBA controls the interviews?
5 weeks 2 days ago	Porcello is going to ruin	Porcello is going to ruin mothers day
6 weeks 4 days ago	Florida's tourney run and how its viewed in relation to Kenpom	The results of a single-elimination tourney should be neither an indignation or commendation of the system. Kenpom had Florida ranked 1st heading into the tourney and Georgetown around 12th or so.  The system ranks FLA as being better, and thus less susceptible to an upset.  Guess what, they werent upset and GTown was. You can argue that the system works because it predicted a 3seed to out-achieve a 2seed or you can argue it failed because its 2nd best team in the final rankings lost to its 5th best team.  Neither argument should hold much water.  Florida did struggle with quality competition all year and beat up on bad teams.  Not every team has an identical statistical profile and team profile.  I mean this year, at times, pretty much anybody could score on Michigan's defense.  Penn State shredded them.  You could argue their defense was opponent-neutral (as in anybody could score on it).  Thats an individual team quirk.  So is Florida's struggle with good teams.  That doesn't mean a guy with a cbb rating system should change his formula to account for every outlier. Kenpom struggling to predict Florida shows the system isn't perfect, but no system is.  What it gives is a good baseline projection, which fans/gamblers/prognosticators can then use that baseline and adjust based on matchups/team statistical quirks etc.
6 weeks 4 days ago	Omg	What an amazing play in tight space by filpulla. Pulled the string and feathered the pass
7 weeks 1 day ago	im sorry	that you had to witness that game in person. I offer my condolensces.
7 weeks 4 days ago	yep same here	I was hoping for an OT in the 1st, so they could grab one of Carradine/Bjoern Werner/DaMontre Moore in the 2nd.  So I'd be happy if they flipped that OT/DE order and grabbed Watson here. I wouldnt be surprised if they took Justin Hunter -WR Tennessee at #36 either.  Looks like good value there and Burleson and Broyles have injury concerns.
7 weeks 5 days ago	dude stop it	You saying "Izzo's time at EL is over" is the same as RCMBers saying "scUM had a lucky run in the tournament and once McGump and GR3 leave, they'll be right back at the bottom of the B1G" There is enough talent for all the programs to succeed, especially if UM and IU start getting more national recruits.
8 weeks 4 hours ago	Haha yeah	My first reaction was that he was like 'Crap now that Michian isnt an option I need to snag this Tennessee spot now'
8 weeks 4 days ago	When they played together this year	McGary was the screener and they stationed Morgan in the short corner (along the baseline half way between the basket and 3 pt line). 2 bigs creates some spacing issues, but if one big has a developed skill set and can pass and shoot, it mitigates those issues. Notheless, it's pretty safe to say the 2 bigs plan, if carried out most of the game, means we wont be the best offensive team in the country next year (#1 in kenpom adj off eff.)
8 weeks 5 days ago	I watched a highlight tape recently	he seemed to be pretty quick for his size laterally but not as explosive vertically.  Not sure if that holds, but its the impression i got from brief viewing. And really what Beiliein is looking for in a 4man is a guy with guard skills and the ability to defend and box out opposing 4's.  And college 4's are all different -some are wings some are bigs.  So its tough to find a guy that you can use against teams that play 2 bigs without losing your identity and spacing on offense. Will be interesting to see if either Kevon Looney or Vince Edwards is the answer to that versatile offense/post defense combination that is so hard to find.
8 weeks 5 days ago	early report says they're back - according to Goodman's sources	http://www.umhoops.com/2013/04/18/report-glenn-robinson-iii-mitch-mcgary-will-return-to-michigan/
8 weeks 5 days ago	A joint presser seems to indicate coming back but who knows?	but the only thing I think we can be sure of is they're either both leaving or both returning. Im not sure I've ever seen a presser where one goes and one stays
8 weeks 6 days ago	I don't like the draft straight out of high school idea	The reason is twofold:   1st and most importantly, it means that one team controls your rights AND controls when you can  enter the league.  If a team sours on a drafted player, that player has no avenue to get to the league, essentially being locked out of 29 other teams with the ability to pursue their interest in the player. Draft rights would certainly have to be tradable.  You can't have an employer completely own you and control the date when you're allowed to leave school.  Yeah they could play in the dleague or overseas if they didnt want to stay in school, but very few would do that. Under the current system, teams draft players with the knowledge that (in most cases) they are occupying roster spots immediately.  There is less complete information when drafting straight out of HS and it leads to team needs and player fit being aligned less often. 2  NBA teams want their scouts out of HS gyms. The rule requiring NBA draft eligible players to be one year removed from high school was done in part to keep scouts from having to scout high school games which have vast talent differences between players.  The higher level of competition in college gives more certainty to evaluations. So for example under pre '05 system, or under the baseball style system where players can go pro, some players would go straight outta HS, giving teams a few elite guys they have to scout based on just HS / AAU ball.  But if EVERY SINGLE PLAYER was automatically draft eligible in high school, that is something NBA front offices want nothing to do with. I also feel like if a baseball style system was implemented, a 'go pro or stay for 2 years' system would work better than 'go pro or stay for 3'.  I feel like too many basketball players (more so than those in other sports) would fear being locked into college for too long, thereby leading to them declaring when theyre not ready.  Many get a wake-up call once they play in college, but you have to incent them to actually go there.  So many elite HS players have huge egos and think theyre ready.  Most of them, seeing a guaranteed 3 years as the alternative might not have the patience or foresight to make an educated decision. The 'go or stay 2 years' system seems a good balance between college coaches have team stability, elite guys not having their right to work restricted and not scaring guys off.
8 weeks 6 days ago	Illinois	Illinois is not making the tournament next year.
9 weeks 4 days ago	I think that	You should consider them coming back for "unfinished business" to be a possibility and not an expectation. For you to be "shocked" at an expected departure seems needlessly optimistic.
9 weeks 5 days ago	Did you not just watch the entire season that GR3 played the 4?	I know people see that we have a surplus of big men and want to cram em all into their projected lineups.  Thats not how it works. Beilein did go big for longer stretches this year than he has in the past, but if GR3 is back, he'll start at the 4 and there will be maybe 10 mins max of big men playing the 4
9 weeks 5 days ago	Michigan and to a lesser extent Michigan State didnt pursue him	I believe there were academic / character concerns, but Im not sure. Plus he seems like a one and done, which Beilein doesn't focus on as much
10 weeks 1 day ago	And because	Last Sunday is one data point out of 40 or so
10 weeks 2 days ago	No	4 pt spread implied closer to 65% win prob
10 weeks 2 days ago	Nope - vegas has it higher	Louisville favored by 4

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