The Vig: Week 11
Some Notable Lines:
Cincinnati @ S Florida +23.5
Mich @ PSU +1
WVU @ KSU -6.5
UConn @ Clemson -40.5
Rutgers @ Indiana -7
Oklahoma @ Baylor +5.5
NW @ Wisc -24.5
Purdue @ OSU -20.5
Minn @ Iowa -4.5
Georgia @ Tennessee +20.5
Maryland @ MSU -12.5
ASU @ Washington +6
TA&M @ Miss +3 (O/U 56.5)
Arkansas @LSU +2.5
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In College Basketball, Michigan is +250 to win the conference, Purdue at +300
Michigan is also +1200 to win it all, tied with UCLA & Nova and only behind Gonzaga at +600.
November 12th, 2021 at 9:27 AM ^
Smooth Jimmy's had a rough stretch lately, so like a midget at a urinal, he'd better stay on his toes.
The Golden Gophers are his ? of the Week.
November 12th, 2021 at 3:00 PM ^
That's a horrible lock and your rough streak will continue!
November 12th, 2021 at 3:12 PM ^
Of course, when you’re right 52% of the time you’re wrong 48%!
November 14th, 2021 at 5:17 PM ^
Told ya so
November 12th, 2021 at 10:02 AM ^
Last week was was about as ugly as it gets for me 2-6. Down 5 units.
This week I have:
Baylor +5.5
Michigan ML
OSU -20.5
Maryland +12.5
might throw a unit on Tennessee and the points.
November 12th, 2021 at 10:45 AM ^
Last week was rough for me as well. I am also on the first 3 you shared. Hopefully we bounce back this week.
November 12th, 2021 at 1:40 PM ^
Call me crazy but I do think Purdue will cover that kind of line, and keep the game within 20.5. I know OSU's secondary is better than MSU's (literally every team in the country's is), but I still think they'll be able to put up some points and make the game interesting for a little while.
Do I think they'll win? Probably not. The secret is out on Purdue, if it wasn't already, and I have a hard time seeing OSU not taking them seriously. Especially after watching them escape a game in Lincoln that they very well could've lost. Purdue has got a good enough offense and some great receivers who can score fast enough to let them hang around until probably sometime around the start of the fourth quarter.
My guess on a final score would probably be somewhere around 41-28. Purdue never truly threatens to take the lead, they're always down around 10 points, but they do enough to where OSU can't say the game is 100% under control until the final 5-6 minutes of the game.
November 12th, 2021 at 10:09 AM ^
I got Michigan on the money line.
Love taking the under on the total points in Iowa vs Minn and Wisconsin vs NW.
Maryland outright is my upset pick of the week. Disrpekt! But their strength as a team (passing offense) is MSU's weakness (pass defense)
November 12th, 2021 at 10:11 AM ^
Here's hoping that Tua's little brother drops those Kings Hawaiian Sweet Rolls right on Tucker's face. NTTAWWT
November 12th, 2021 at 11:01 AM ^
I think the MSU staff is too good to get caught with their pants down two weeks in a row. They'll probably win but it'll be a battle.
November 12th, 2021 at 11:08 AM ^
Getting caught with your pants down and not having the horses in the stable are two different things. MSU literally cannot do anything differently, barring some guys healing up from injuries. Their pass defense is awful and it is because their starters aren't any good. They had a week after Cade exploited their defense and it was somehow WORSE...
November 12th, 2021 at 10:55 AM ^
Walker is going to rush for 250 yards this week. Maryland is going to score 28+, but MSU wins 45-30.
November 12th, 2021 at 11:10 AM ^
This is more than likely the outcome, Walker is definitely going to go off again.
November 12th, 2021 at 5:30 PM ^
Maryland beating msu would amuse me, I think your spot on. Hopefully the MSU rushing attack bangs up the Maryland and OSU defense over the next couple of weeks. Would not mind seeing tempers flare and a few second half targeting penalties in their next two games.
November 12th, 2021 at 11:54 AM ^
I love the lesser stress ML bets. Just win the game by a point and win the bet.
November 12th, 2021 at 11:09 AM ^
Seems like a good place for this. Early lines have MSU +18 against OSU. I expect that to be closer to +20.5 after Sparty loses to Maryland this weekend.
November 12th, 2021 at 4:55 PM ^
Those tears will taste so sweet....
November 12th, 2021 at 11:41 AM ^
This week is my first time making a sports bet I want to win, and I went with a $5 parlay on Rutgers to win, took over 48.5 in the UM/PSU game, and Wisconsin -24.5 over NW.
Bets I hope to lose are $10 on OSU to win, $10 on PSU to win, and $5 on MSU to win.
My parlay would easily absorb my hoped for losses.
Thank God sports betting is finally a thing in FL.
Go Blue!
November 12th, 2021 at 11:56 AM ^
Welcome to the pool of degenerates. I know its too late for you this time but we've learned on this board to never Rutgers.
November 12th, 2021 at 12:53 PM ^
Maybe it’s recency bias, but IU has just looked like butt against everyone this year. Yes, Rutger is Rutger, but I think they earn their “s” with the conference win this week. And if they cost me $5, so be it.
November 12th, 2021 at 5:18 PM ^
I am thinking UM/PSU will go under 48.5. That parlay is fine but you may also want to do a 6 or 6.5 point teaser of those same lines. The teaser gives you the point cushion but it doesn't pay like a parlay does. But still, I like teasers because they're a nice hedge.
Sorry, just noticed you took Rutgers to win. The teaser is only active if you bet the point spreads and over unders.
November 12th, 2021 at 11:54 AM ^
Put down 5 units on the MBB team to cover +13 the other night. Oh well, at least they won. Normally dont bet CBB this early, but was hoping for a "we raised the banner" blowout. Que serra serra
Hit last night on the under for Pitt/UNC. Glad I didnt put anything down on the spread because it got tight there towards the end.
Been making some hay with O/U bets lately, this week Im looking at:
Cin/USF Under 58
Bama/NM State Under 67
Georgia/UT Under 56 (though 42-14 feels about right)
OSU/PUR Under 63.5
Good luck everyone
November 12th, 2021 at 12:52 PM ^
I shoved all-in on Baltimore -8.5 last night after it was announced that Tua was out. That didn't end well for me, in case you were curious.
November 12th, 2021 at 1:36 PM ^
I went 3-1 last week and my loss was MSU, so I was happy to take that loss.
The weather may not be a huge factor against penn state but if it’s cold, rainy, and windy, I think it will work in our favor. The biggest factor is the kickoff time and if it was being played at night, I wouldn’t touch this game, but since it’s at noon, I’m doubling down on the good guys. Michigan 30 PSU 13.
November 12th, 2021 at 3:26 PM ^
Not a sports gambler at all. But I bet the over in the OSU/Purdue game. Feels like both teams have good pass offenses and terrible pass defenses.
November 12th, 2021 at 4:04 PM ^
Love the card this week (which of course doesn't mean anything):
East Carolina +5.5
Georgia St +10.5
Miami -2.5
MTSU -10
Minnesota +5.5
Boston College -115
Troy +7
Utep/UNT: Over 55
South Carolina ML
Air Force -2.5
Arkansas -2.5
Washington St +14
November 12th, 2021 at 4:59 PM ^
Come on UConn. You can cover! Show Mora he won't regret this.