Updated 247 2021 Basketball Rankings

Submitted by njvictor on December 2nd, 2020 at 12:25 PM

https://247sports.com/Season/2021-Basketball/RecruitRankings/?InstitutionGroup=HighSchool

Movement from current commits and targets:

Caleb Houstan #9 --> #11

Moussa Diabate #20 --> #15

Kobe Bufkin #88 --> #45 (!!!)

Frankie Collins #72 --> #53

Isaiah Barnes #82 --> #95

Will Tschetter Outside top 150

Chet Holmgren remains at #1

Trevor Keels #14 --> #16

Efton Reid #24 --> #26

Charles Bediako remains at #27

The Victors

December 2nd, 2020 at 4:34 PM ^

Yes, it's a fantastic class coming in 2021, but I'm going to temper my expectations for results in the 2021/22 season because we will be relying pretty much solely on freshmen and sophomores. We just lose so much experience from this season. I know this season doesn't count toward eligibility and guys like Livers "could" come back, but it's not going to happen. Livers, Brooks, Smith, Brown, and Davis are likely gone, and Wagner is a possibility as well. Hopefully Wagner stays and we can get an experienced grad-transfer or 2 to help bridge that gap.

Jordan2323

December 2nd, 2020 at 5:46 PM ^

If Wagner stays, the only way we can get a grad transfer is if someone else transfers. We are at our limit right now. Its possible Nunez may be able to grad  transfer. It would be nice to pick up a quality transfer big for the 2021, and especially the 2022 year. Or perhaps Efton Reid. Diabate and Dickinson may both be gone in 2022 and that would leave us with  all freshman bigs. 

RXwolverine

December 2nd, 2020 at 12:49 PM ^

Basketball is gonna be fun. But it requires patience through the season. Teams can start out looking horrible before they start to gel near the end of the season. Don’t make assumptions on 2-3 games. Remember 2013-2014, 2010-2011, 2017-2018, 2016-2017 all started out looking like crap in a game or two and then ended with amazing runs. Go Blue!

Champeen

December 2nd, 2020 at 12:50 PM ^

I like Bufkin's game, but #45 seems extremely generous.

IMO, and i know they are playing different positions, but comparing them to where they would rank vs. their peers at their position, no way in hell is Bufkin a better recruit than Collins.

I'm curious if we even have a punchers chance at Reid still.  Im not sure if him watching Dickinson helps or hurts - could go either way i guess.

njvictor

December 2nd, 2020 at 1:03 PM ^

Definitely disagree. Bufkin has improved immensely this off season and was tearing it up against great competition at camps this summer. Collins is great prospect with athleticism and playmaking who I'm definitely excited about, but Bufkin is a 3 level scorer who has improved his handle and athletically this summer

blueheron

December 2nd, 2020 at 1:30 PM ^

If pictures, like the one with his family and Juwan, are any indication Bufkin is (currently, anyway ... he could have some growth left) 6'5" in the same way Jalen Rose is 6'8". As in, not really. I'd guess that he's close to 6'3.5", which means 6'2" "without shoes."

AC1997

December 2nd, 2020 at 2:14 PM ^

Each rating service is a little different, but 247 tends to weight pro-potential as a significant factor.  Through that lens you can easily see why Bufkin (who could turn out like Jordan Poole) has a higher rating than Collins (who could turn out like Walton/Simpson).  The good news is that it doesn't matter - we have both of them!  

I think Collins is going to be a great college PG....though I hope his jump shot improves so he can reach his potential.  Kobe needs to get stronger and develop the fringes of his game more (defense, passing, etc.) but has the potential to be a star.  Put them both on our roster for the next 2-4 years and surround them with a collection of 5-stars and program guys??  Yes please!  

(If anyone watched Duke, Kentucky, or Kansas last night however....just remember to be patient next year when we look disorganized an get beat by a less talented team that has more experience.)  

Jordan2323

December 2nd, 2020 at 2:34 PM ^

Especially since Johns will most likely be our only returning upper classman who will actually play. If Wagner stays for his junior year that would be awesome but I dont expect that to happen.  We are gonna have 4 freshmen and sophs in the starting lineup, if Diabate plays the 3. If he plays the 4 over Johns we will have 5 starting under classmen. 

Matt EM

December 2nd, 2020 at 3:13 PM ^

Think it all depends on the criteria. If you're going with NBA upside as the primary factor (Which 247 explicitly does), then I don't think there's any question that Bufkin should be ranked higher than Collins. 

If college production is your preferred criteria, then things get interesting. For me, if forced to rank right now, I'd probably have them in the same tier (45-65 overall), with Bufkin slightly higher. 

mwolverine1

December 2nd, 2020 at 1:03 PM ^

Tschetter did move down from #213 to #216. His rating stayed flat at 88 though so it's a matter of guys passing him.

Same deal with Houstan. His drop was due to guys passing him.

Matt EM

December 2nd, 2020 at 3:16 PM ^

If you want insight in to Coach Howard's early recruiting, I think you have to look at archetypes from the Miami Heat.

I think its safe to say that Tschetter is Michigan's version of Kelly Olynk. A change of pace big likely utilized in a reserve role. Minutes probably dictated by opposition. 

Elmer

December 2nd, 2020 at 4:26 PM ^

I would not be surprised if Tschetter has the best overall college career out of everyone in this recruiting class.  He will likely stay 4 years, he's tough, has really good footwork and a nice shooting touch.  As someone else stated, reminds me of a Wisconsin forward who you're glad to see finally graduate if he's an opponent.

True Blue Grit

December 2nd, 2020 at 1:09 PM ^

Even at #15, I think Diabate is underrated.  He's a great talent.  

In the debate over who's better - Collins or Bufkin - I don't care in the least.  I just love the prospect of having both of them in the same backcourt!  Both of them bring some unique talents that complement each other.  

Matt EM

December 2nd, 2020 at 3:21 PM ^

These would be rankings for this year, if I were forced to submit rankings to my subscribing college coaches, along with true value assessment across years (as opposed to numerical ranking for 2021 class exclusively)

Moussa Diabate : top 10/10-25

Caleb Houstan: top 15/25-50

Kobe Bufkin: 40-60 range/50-75 range

Frankie Collins: 50 - 70 range/60 - 80 range

Isaiah Barnes: 80 - 120 range/100 - 150 range

Will Tschetter: 150-200 range/175-225 range

mgobaran

December 2nd, 2020 at 3:56 PM ^

I'm not the biggest basketball guy, and I'm not that familiar with the other top 10 recruits, but a 7' sub-200 lb center being number 1 overall just doesn't pass the eye test to me. 

Even if he projects to be a freakishly tall, freaky athletic guard like Giannis or KD, he's still 50 lbs lighter than those guys while being 1-2" taller. Based on his build it has to be a legit concern that he's able to put on that type of weight, and that concern is big enough that there is no way you can predict him as a lottery lock. 

What am I missing here?

mgobaran

December 2nd, 2020 at 5:13 PM ^

I watched, and it is impressive. I'm not saying he belongs to be ranked among the 4 stars or anything. 

2019's #1 went #1 in the 2020 NBA Draft

2018's #1 went #3 in the 2019 NBA Draft

2017's #1 went #2 in the 2018 NBA Draft

2016's #1 went #4 in the 2017 NBA Draft

These guys were all close to sure things. I'd put more money on Chet being a 4-year college guy than him going Top 5 in 2022.