Thought experiment (be honest): Do you want big rushing numbers or big passing numbers?

Submitted by Cousin Larry on October 16th, 2022 at 9:29 PM

So, Michigan just put up 418 yards on the ground against what was thought to be a great run defense (and for all we know, is), but only 145 yards through the air.  Naturally, because this is this fanbase, there were some folks complaining after the game, focusing on the lack of production in the passing game.

So, here's a thought experiment:

418 yards rushing, with 145 yards passing

OR

418 yards passing, with 145 yards rushing

If you'd look at those numbers at the end of the game, which one makes you go "hell yeah" a little bit more in your head?  Which one makes you feel better about the rest of the season?

You can't say "I'm fine with either"!  No wuss bets, friends.

And . . . go.

ldevon1

October 16th, 2022 at 10:24 PM ^

https://twitter.com/BigTenNetwork/status/1578461009815416832?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1578461009815416832%7Ctwgr%5E7f7016fe887d8add26488bd9083195d86081c088%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fd-39982770304243337370.ampproject.net%2F2209142312000%2Fframe.html

 

Ronswanson13

October 16th, 2022 at 9:31 PM ^

282 rushing yards, 281 passing yards.

For real though, almost every coach in America would love to be able to run it at will and strategically speaking it’s smart because you can control the game in so many ways doing that. So I get it. I just would love to see our pass catchers get rewarded for their hard work too some too though. They’re blocking hard and running routes all day and sometimes only seeing 1 or 2 targets. That’s tough.

Wally Llama

October 16th, 2022 at 11:01 PM ^

This comment aligns with exactly how I feel. The point I'll add is related to recruiting at the QB and WR position.

Winning is great, but how many top-level high school QBs want to go to college and hand the ball off 50 times? And how many WRs want to be part of a team that completes 17 passes to 13 different receivers?

It amazes me that M continues to get such high-level WR talent. I hope it can continue and I hope the next JJ enters the pipeline soon!

Yahtzee

October 17th, 2022 at 8:37 AM ^

True,  I recall Pep Hamiltons offense was always pretty even in passing yards vs. rushing yards each game.  As for 400 yards yards passing vs. 400 yards rushing I would assume a teams winning % is significantly higher when they run for 400+ yards vs. throwing for 400+ yards.     

Cousin Larry

October 16th, 2022 at 10:06 PM ^

The last time I remember a 400+ yard team losing was Georgia Tech losing to Tennessee in the season opener a few years back.  I think they went for two and the win at the end but got stopped.

Fun fact: The D-line coach of that 400-yard ceding Tennessee team?  Brady Hoke.

EDIT: I undersold it.  GT had 535 yards on the ground in the loss.

jhayes1189

October 16th, 2022 at 9:33 PM ^

Big rushing numbers almost always mean you have controlled a game and kept the ball away from the other team, while big passing numbers can very often mean you were in a shootout, or were even trying to play from behind. So I will take big rushing numbers, especially if it’s from multiple backs, including several QB keepers/scrambles each game. 
 

Plus, big rushing numbers beat OSU, and our running game isn’t what killed us vs. Georgia, it was our defense in bad matchups and putting us behind early. 
 

All this being said, I would still like to see the passing game develop more. 

San Diego Mick

October 16th, 2022 at 11:01 PM ^

Well said Hayes, ideally for me if you have a strong offense I'd want to average 250 to 300 rushing and 200 to 250 yards passing, it makes you balanced, can win either way if forced to, can control the clock and milk it away or be able to comeback if need be.

I prefer more yards rushing because it's the best way to control a game and impose your will.

FoCoManiax

October 16th, 2022 at 9:35 PM ^

Option A 100% - grind them down and keep our D fresh/limit their drives by chewing up the clock.

Taking a very recent example - both Tennessee and Alabama threw for ~400 yds on Saturday and spent the entire 4Q shitting their pants, with one team having to lose despite those passing stats.

I quite enjoyed our 4Q on Saturday

ih8losing

October 16th, 2022 at 9:35 PM ^

I want wins. 
 

my son’s favorite player is Blake so I tend to root for great running game. but, I’d love to see the passing record broken at UM. 

dankbrogoblue

October 16th, 2022 at 9:40 PM ^

I think part of what you're getting at is that there's a portion of the fanbase that wants to see more passing. I think it's because great passing games have beaten the giants in recent years. Last year we were also a great rushing offense but when we came up against Georgia we were less than a hundred yards for 3.5 YPC. Alabama beat Georgia in the SEC Championship game last year with, guess what... 414 yards passing, 115 yards rushing.

So if you're projecting to the CFP for us, then yeah you want to see that our passing game can light it up.

On a game to game basis, I'd take 418 yards rushing with 145 yards passing because you can still lose the game with the opposite (as other posters have said).

Hoek

October 16th, 2022 at 9:40 PM ^

Hello Jim Harbaugh, what stats are the most overrated in your opinion. “All of them expect the final score” “doesn’t matter how you win, every game is different, every down is different just win the game” “you can’t beat every team on your schedule the same way, that’s why we have such great coaches and analysts that look at the best way to attack a team” “win the fucking game!”

Eskimoan

October 16th, 2022 at 9:43 PM ^

Whatever gets the Win!

If rushing yards beats Team A and 

Passing yards beats Team B, then I'm happy. That shit is so overrated. You do whatever gets you the win. Michigan is a good enough team they can adapt to whatever they need to do to win. 

XM - Mt 1822

October 16th, 2022 at 9:43 PM ^

as a former TE i am a bit torn, but i will opt for running over the other team.  there is nothing wrong with passing, lots of fun and sizzle, etc.  but when you are run blocking and paving another team that is a particularly visceral pleasure.

Blue@LSU

October 16th, 2022 at 9:46 PM ^

If these are my choices, I'd go with rushing numbers all day every day. Ain't nobody beating you if you are racking up 400+ yards on the ground.

I'd prefer to be more balanced, on average, over the entire season. Something like 250-300 yds passing, 150-200 yds rushing per game. Gotta give the QB & RB recruits a reason to want to come here, ya know?

Flying Dutchman

October 16th, 2022 at 9:48 PM ^

This year, status quo, I love the big rushing numbers.   Keep the miles low on the McCarthy odometer while you have these 2 great backs.  Let him sling it in 2023 if that is what's needed at the time.