1201

April 30th, 2019 at 2:37 PM ^

Think we will see even more of a shift next year when Gattis has a full two years to recruit a guy. I think Carr is probably going to grow into a TE. Not impressed at all with Watts. Martinez seems more like a RB. Henning and Hester look like the best of that bunch. 

Bo Nederlander

April 30th, 2019 at 11:47 PM ^

You seem to be pretty informed so I have a question for you. 247, if you click on the upper right-hand corner of the page, scroll down to FB recruiting, then to Targets, then scroll down to Maliq Carr, his profile has him listed as 6'6 230lbs. However, the weird part, is that if you click on his profile, it changes to 6'4 230lbs. When I watched his highlights, to me, it looks more like 6'6 than 6'4 on film. Do you, or anyone you may suggest, have insight here? 

Thanks in advance. 

DrMantisToboggan

May 1st, 2019 at 6:41 AM ^

So, at the most recent opening event he attended they listed him at 6’4 230, but I don’t think they take new height and weight at those. I think that he’s probably grown some since the 6’4 measurement was taken. He’s got a few inches on his mom, who looks to be 6’2ish (played basketball at OSU). I’d guess 6’5 to split the difference, but I think the difference between a true 6’4 and 6’6 is probably negligible on the field.

TryggerHappy

April 30th, 2019 at 2:40 PM ^

I think this make sense with what hes trying to accomplish by creating bad matchups for the defense by bringing in guys that can either run past or out jump, forcing the D to pick their poison on who they want to bracket/double.  Also, Rashawn Williams recruitment was strange though- it seemed like all of the power schools fell off on him.   

NeverPunt

April 30th, 2019 at 2:40 PM ^

hmn...if we weren't looking for guys that were quite tall or extremely fast before, what were we looking for? Well-rounded athletes? Good hands? 

Gattis has a track record here worth trusting with WR talent identification and development so all for whatever he's looking for here. 

joeyb

April 30th, 2019 at 4:09 PM ^

If you can get it, then you take it. If you're both, you're basically a 5* already and I don't think that anyone is going to turn down DPJ.

What this is saying is that you've got two different receiver positions. You have the tall outside receivers and the jitterbug inside receivers. The former is for stretching the field deep and giving you the jumpball ability. The latter is for taking advantage of space that is created underneath. If you think of these as two separate positions like WR vs. TE or slot vs. RB, then you can see why recruiting certain attributes at one position is important. With that said, a receiver who is both can then play in more than one position similar to a TE or RB splitting out.

mGrowOld

April 30th, 2019 at 4:03 PM ^

Well if true that's equally stupid IMO. 

"Sorry son you're way too fast for as tall as you are.  I mean if you were just a bit slower we could give you an offer but seeing as you're 6'3" you gotta slow down quite a bit.  Now if you were just a bit shorter at that speed you'd be perfect.

We only want fast short guys or tall slow guys.  Recruiting fast, tall guys is almost unfair"

 

Greatgig

April 30th, 2019 at 2:45 PM ^

Bummer! Was hoping the shift would be toward short, overweight guys in their forties. I still have some eligibility left and am just looking for that chance.

yossarians tree

April 30th, 2019 at 2:50 PM ^

Carr looks like a beast and apparently Gattis has made an impression on him already. And don't forget we have Cornelius Johnson and Kent coming in this summer. That position group looks really strong. In fact all of the groups on offense look strong into the future. If they really light up the scoreboard this fall the recruits will continue to come.

1201

April 30th, 2019 at 2:58 PM ^

I'll admit I'm worried what WR will look like in 2020 if DPJ, Black, and Collins all leave after this year. Cornelius Johnson will be a nice piece on the outside but who else will? The 2016 WR class was a complete washout. In 2018 they only took Bell, who is basically Grant Perry. Giles Jackson will be an exciting player in the slot but the other 3 kids come in with major question marks (and all of them are tiny). I'm not buying the hype on Sainristil yet until I see it in games. After hearing loads of it for Chris Evans and Dwumfour the past few seasons, I need to see it to believe it. 

AZBlue

April 30th, 2019 at 3:21 PM ^

Yes Sainristil wasn’t ranked very highly - we should be skeptical particularly after what a flop Evans turned out to be as a Frosh after being hyped at camp.

A few questions:

Do you lean 247 or Rivals when relying on ratings?

If a player is highly rated by the service you prefer - do you still like him even if he is just a 3-star in the composite?

(Feel like Agent Starling when she was interviewing Lechter...)

1201

April 30th, 2019 at 3:32 PM ^

I think 247 has the best ratings but they definitely change a lot more than Rivals and ESPN throughout the year. I think ESPN is probably 2nd best and do a better job than people think. With the proliferation of camps, combines, 7v7, hudl, all star games, and recruiting coverage the rankings are getting more accurate than ever. Saw this tweet from Barton Simmons today and it's pretty astounding. 

Of the 254 players that were drafted over the weekend, 121 (48%) of them were ranked by at least one of the big three recruiting sites as a 4star or better coming out of HS. If you remove small college players and walk-ons (that aren't evaluated), that number jumps up to 54%.

— Barton Simmons (@bartonsimmons) April 30, 2019

SMart WolveFan

April 30th, 2019 at 10:00 PM ^

6% of NFL draftees were never even ranked.

The majority of them were ranked outside the top 350.

Their "hit rate" on 4&5 stars is 34%.

But, by all means, disparage a high school player's chance of being a great college player at your university because they are only ranked #1000 in a system that is wrong 75% of the time.

Lies, damn lies, statistics and ........recruiting rankings!

Gentleman Squirrels

April 30th, 2019 at 3:35 PM ^

I think Sainristil's ranking had more to do with him being out of MA and not going to very many camps. His senior year showed a great deal of improvement, but the idea was still that it would take time for him to make a huge impact. His performance in spring has been a surprise for sure.

I would lean 247 because they do their due diligence of seeing most players, while Rivals only really changes rankings if kids play at Rivals sponsored events. Even if they are rated highly in composite, if 247 rates them low, I will temper my expectations on the player.

NotADuck

April 30th, 2019 at 4:48 PM ^

You don't have to believe the hype about Sainristil, just look at the clips of practice and the spring game where he is running great routes, getting separation, and making an easy catch because of it.  He's already shown himself to be an artisan with short crossing routes Gattis is using a lot of this year.  Will he see the field a lot this year?  No.  He is still a freshman.  Will he be a great slot receiver down the road?  I think so.

Also, what makes you believe Ronnie Bell is Grant Perry?  Ronnie has been playing on the outside a lot already whereas Grant was always a slot receiver.  Also he had that great touchdown catch last year where he caught a deep ball from McCaffrey and juked the defender for an easy score.  I don't remember Grant Perry making sideline catches and juking defenders out of their shoes for big gains.

1201

April 30th, 2019 at 8:35 PM ^

Based on what I've seen Bell will probably be a productive player but it's obvious to me he's a clear step down in talent from the current guys like Black, Collins, and DPJ and past UM WR's like Manningham, Arrington, Avant, Breaston, Edwards, Walker, Terrell, Bass, etc. The depth at his position next year has the potential to be scarily thin so he'll be on the field and find ways to be productive, but I don't see a future NFL draft pick when I watch him.

NotADuck

April 30th, 2019 at 9:05 PM ^

What have you seen that suggests to you that he is a clear step down in talent and won't be a future NFL draft pick?  His numbers were comparable to DPJ's freshman year.  You also brought up Manningham but he has the same height and weight as Bell only he had better stats than DPJ with Chad Henne throwing him the ball.

8 catches, 145 yards, 2 TDs - Bell

22 catches, 227 yards, 0 TDs - DPJ

27 catches, 433 yards, 6 TDs - Mario

He is not the athletic freak that DPJ is but very few are.  Doug Baldwin, Russel Wilson's primary receiver for the last 3 years, is shorter than Bell and has about the same weight.  The only question is Bell's speed as he has never been timed in a 40 yard dash.  Also Mario Manningham ran a 4.59 40.  DPJ could run that with cement shoes and I bet Bell wouldn't be too far off either.

There are plenty of receivers in the NFL with Bell's measurables or less.  Deebo Samuel, Marquise Brown, Mecole Hardeman, and Paris Campbell (all drafted this year) were all shorter than Bell with more or sometimes A LOT less weight on their frames that Bell has not had the opportunity to gain as of yet.

Time will tell how good Ronnie Bell will become.  I think it is unfair to write him off without giving specific reasons as to why, specific instances where his supposed lack of athleticism let him down.  Again, what have you seen as evidence of what you suggest?

brad

April 30th, 2019 at 9:57 PM ^

Manningham was much faster than that one bad 40 time in the combine, and he was also an elite route runner with elite hands and ability to adjust to a ball in the air.  It's not really fair to compare any M receiver to Manningham right now, he was on another level.  

1201

April 30th, 2019 at 9:59 PM ^

Appreciate the discussion but I'm really not looking for a debate merely stating an opinion. Also too many ways to list that those WR's you mentioned are different. As a slight aside I read all about how great Higdon was this year from UM fans when my eyes were telling me he missed a lot of holes and went down too easily on first contact. Looking at his stats you would never know that. He went undrafted. Some UM fans can continue to overrate the talent on the roster as it's a time honored tradition in this fan base but I'll trust my own eyeballs. Feel free to disagree however.