Explain this Forcier concept to me

Submitted by dex on

With Newsome backing off, I'm seeing a lot of conflicting theories and thoughts. This has me confused. Your task is to reconcile the following information for me into a coherent thought...

 

  • Kevin Newsome doesn't want to come to Michigan because of competition
    • This is inevitably painted as a bad trait - the young man doesn't want to compete for his job, and is therefore unworthy of being a Michigan Man.
  • Tate Forcier didn't want to come to Michigan because of Kevin Newsome
    • At the same time, people are excited that Forcier can now commit because he is no longer worried about Newsome. If we didn't want Newsome because he didn't want to compete with Beaver, why are we excited to get Forcier, who didn't want to compete with Newsome?
  • Kevin Newsome is "Pryor"-like and likes attention
    • Others are saying Newsome is a spotlight hog or something, and he wants to "string along" his recruitment like Pryor.
  • Tate Forcier posted his recruiting letters on the internet
    • He also lists "New Mexico" (which may or may not be a real university) as a leader. He is averse to attention somehow?
  • Tate Forcier loves Michigan
    • But he hasn't committed?

Now, it goes without saying all these theories are in no way based on any actual truth; rather they are just traits people have made up and assumed to be true. But, how does this fit together? How can you legitimately argue that Newsome is scared of competition and in the same thought endorse Forcier as a "gamer"? How can you say Forcier "loves" M so much, when he hasn't actually committed here? If he loved M as much as some say, why doesn't he just come here no matter who else is a QB?

A shiny quarter to whomever explains this all to me.

MaizeAndBlueWahoo

August 20th, 2008 at 10:31 AM ^

I might be the wrong person to explain, because I believe none of that Newsome stuff (afraid of competition, etc.)  I think he decommitted because of pressure to do so from people around him that wanted to see him play closer to home.  (I still do not think he will go to Virginia Tech, however, unless he grayshirts.)

The first two are easily reconciled, though: Forcier, had he committed with Newsome present, would actually have been in a 3-way competition, which offers much worse odds than a 2-way.  So if it were true that Newsome decommitted because of competition and now Forcier will commit because Newsome's gone, then you'd look at it like this: Forcier did not mind competition with Beaver and Newsome did.  I'm not saying I believe Newsome decommitted because of Beaver.  Just that, that's the right way to see it if that were true.

I have no comment on Newsome liking attention, because I'm not sure he does.  This strikes me as a case where you have to recruit Daddy as hard, if not harder, than the player.  Similar, perhaps, to B***n.  It may not be so much Newsome that likes the attention; Daddy is doing all the talking and he may be liking the spotlight more than his son.  In Forcier's case, the entire family is clearly enjoying this, but I don't get the sense that they're stringing things along, just publicizing the procedure more than most.

baorao

August 20th, 2008 at 10:36 AM ^

According to everything I've read with Rivals (not just now but in the past few months), Forcier was never scared to compete with Newsome. It was a more of "why would I go to a place that is taking three 4-star QBs in one class when I've got like 30 offers on the table".

And if you are expecting every recruit that likes Michigan to commit the second they're offered, you are crazy. Just because a few guys from down south have committed without official visits, don't expect that to become the norm.

bsb2002

August 20th, 2008 at 10:43 AM ^

Tate Forcier didn't want to come to Michigan because of Kevin Newsome

 

i think it was more of tate couldnt as long as newsome had his scholarship

wolverine1987

August 20th, 2008 at 10:43 AM ^

I think it's to Forcier's credit that he continued to list us and indicate his interest despite the fact that we had two QB's already.  If he was scared by it he wouldn't have done so.  And it makes pragmatic sense to listen to other programs that do not have two already committed--doesn't show lack of competitiveness at all.

DamnYankee

August 20th, 2008 at 11:03 AM ^

Just a hunch, but hear me out.

VT already has a freshman QB who played last year that everyone compares to Vick, minus the dogfighting.  This means it might be a few years before he even sees the field at VT.  Newsome has listed UNC as one of his possible choices.  Butch Davis is one hell of a recruiter and UNC is fairly close to home.  By going to UNC he a) pleases his family by staying close to home and b) plays in a pro-style offense for a former NFL coach.

Again, no solid facts, but just a hunch.

dex

August 20th, 2008 at 10:55 AM ^

I don't believe any of the things in that post - they just seem to be very common and conflicting memes among the panicky hordes.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 20th, 2008 at 10:59 AM ^

All of you have extremely short memories. The most commonly made argument about Newsome was that he started wobbling when Rodriguez kept recruiting Forcier and Eugene Smith. So, Newsome was also facing competition with 2 other 4-star QB's.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 20th, 2008 at 10:59 AM ^

All of you have extremely short memories. The most commonly made argument about Newsome was that he started wobbling when Rodriguez kept recruiting Forcier and Eugene Smith. So, Newsome was also facing competition with 2 other 4-star QB's.

mjv

August 20th, 2008 at 11:08 AM ^

Would we have extended a scholarship to Forcier if Newsome and Beaver actually enrolled or signed an LOI?  Was there even a spot for Tate until yesterday?

To Dex's points:(I know that Dex is playing devil's advocate here)

Newsome =/= Michigan due to Competition:  there are 1000 reasons he may go somewhere else.  Competition may or may not be one of his reasons.

Forcier didn't commit to Michigan because of Newsome:  Probably more along the lines of Newsome + Beaver took the two available slots prior to Tate committing.  I seem to recall that Beaver jumped at the offer more quickly than Forcier or Newsome.  This may just be a case of Tate snoozes, he loses.

Newsome Likes Attention:  Unless he stretches his recruitment beyond signing day, schedules press conferences to say he hasn't decided, adds schools to his list and says he will visit that he has no intention of visiting, I wouldn't throw him into the TP pot just yet.

Forcier Posting everything on the web:  Tate may like attentio. He may also be trying to shake out additional offers /generate interest at different schools, including Michigan.

Tate Loves Michigan:  Well who wouldn't? (sarcasm)   I don't know why he didn't commit.  He may not have had a spot open to him until yesterday.  Who knows.  Maybe he wanted top speak with his brother, coaches and family before he committed and missed his window?  Maybe he doesn't like the idea of competing with two other QBs? 

Let's not assume the logic of Michigan fans / alums applies to recruits.  We're talking about high school juniors/seniors with vastly different views of college athletics than us.

oriental andrew

August 20th, 2008 at 11:24 AM ^

Is that Forcier got advice from his brothers and dad not to rush into anything.  It seems he has a very solid family support system, with brothers Jason and Chris already having been through the process.  Nothing wrong with that.  I was accepted to Michigan (October), GT (September), Cornell (Feb/March), and Columbia (Feb/March), but didn't decide which school to attend until late April, and I wasn't under close to the pressure as these recruits. 

Also, it's not unrealistic that UM will only recruit 2 QBs.  With Newsome and Beaver in the fold, it might not have mattered how much Forcier wanted to attend UM. 

mjcvancam, personal request: can you use "≠", "<>", or "!=" for "does not equal" please?  There is no such thing as "=/=" (yeah, it's geeky, but whatever).   It really shouldn't bother me that much, but it does, lol...

chitownblue (not verified)

August 20th, 2008 at 11:10 AM ^

By the way - Forcier has a scholarship offer. So yes, despite the commitment of Newsome and Beaver, we did extend him a scholarsip.

Brian

August 20th, 2008 at 11:31 AM ^

that offer has language in it that can be summed up as "this offer not valid if we fill the spot," so who knows if Forcier could actually have committed if he wanted to? I suspect yes since the coaches were probably well aware Newsome's commitment wasn't worth much.

TheTruth

August 20th, 2008 at 11:19 AM ^

Tate has been very high on Michigan to the point where some grumblings of a silent commitment were starting.  He has been waiting out the Newsome saga and obviously is a big UM lean as the day Newsome decommits he sets up his official (for the first game of the year).  Shav and Tate have similar personalities and characteristics which include putting the team first.  These two will push eachother every week and I for one prefer that.  Newsome was waiting for Rich to say "your my guy and will be the starter" but that just was not going to happen.  Koodos to Rich for building a competetive environment to weed out the weak.  Newsome is a great talent and will win some school some football games but we are building something greater than an individual here and we need more guys like Tate and Shav to promote that.  Also if we do get Tate I feel it helps us with other top WR recruits as the kid completed 77% of his passes last year which is very good. 

In reply to by TheTruth

baorao

August 20th, 2008 at 11:25 AM ^

Forcier's official has been set for a couple of weeks now.  A quick Google search suggests it was confirmed right around the end of July/first of August.

In reply to by TheTruth

ameed

August 20th, 2008 at 3:03 PM ^

Unless you have met all three guys, I highly doubt you have any idea what the personality of any of these recruits are.  Lets please not make asssumptions based only on your affinity for a particular football program.

bsb2002

August 20th, 2008 at 11:35 AM ^

are not to be taken seriously

they mean "we would consider having you in our recruiting class if we have room and no one better comes along- stay in touch"

Lordfoul

August 20th, 2008 at 12:03 PM ^

 Maybe these thoughts are totally off, but here goes:

  • Kevin Newsome doesn't want to come to Michigan because of competition
    • This is inevitably painted as a bad trait - the young man doesn't want to compete for his job, and is therefore unworthy of being a Michigan Man.

I doubt that the competition scared him.  But then who would want to go where there is even the possibility of having to transfer because someone else got the starting nod.  This level of recruit is thinking NFL down the line and of course they want to make the road to the $$$ as simple and assured as possible.  If you ignore the Jay Paterno factor, Penn St. seems like the most assured place to start for Newsome IMO.

  • Tate Forcier didn't want to come to Michigan because of Kevin Newsome
    • At the same time, people are excited that Forcier can now commit because he is no longer worried about Newsome. If we didn't want Newsome because he didn't want to compete with Beaver, why are we excited to get Forcier, who didn't want to compete with Newsome?

Again, this seems like a no-brainer for Tate.  He has passing skills that should make him a solid NFL prospect down the line.  Why would he enter a situation where two other high level QBs are competing and risk having to transfer (like his bro) and jepordize the big payday that could realistically be his future?  But with Newsome out of the picture at least for now, maybe he loves Michigan enough to risk it and compete with the Beav?

  • Kevin Newsome is "Pryor"-like and likes attention
    • Others are saying Newsome is a spotlight hog or something, and he wants to "string along" his recruitment like Pryor.

This may or may not be true.  How could we know?  Only time will tell.

  • Tate Forcier posted his recruiting letters on the internet
    • He also lists "New Mexico" (which may or may not be a real university) as a leader. He is averse to attention somehow?

New Mexico would obviously love to have him and he would almost assuredly be a star for them.  Assuming they have less athletic receivers than BCS level schools, his reported accuracy passing would be a big help there.  Again, he is both trying to hype his worth and looking at places that will assure his stardom to create a smooth path to the NFL and the $$$ I would think.

  • Tate Forcier loves Michigan
    • But he hasn't committed?

His brother loved Michigan but had to transfer for the good of his own future prospects (or so it seemed before RR came to town).  Tate says he loves Michigan but would be a fool to enter a situation that does not give him an edge towards the NFL.  With Newsome out for now, maybe his Love For Michigan will get him to come to be a Wolverine.  I sure hope so, but the Beav being committed to M may be enough to keep him wary.  Again, to belabor the point, who can blame him for wanting more of a sure thing regarding his future.  Michigan offers exposure weekly on TV, possible magazine covers if he rocks, and a great education of course, but having to win a starting spot with another high level recruit in the same class offsets that somewhat.  It isn't cowardly, it shows intellegence and forsight.

Onas

August 20th, 2008 at 12:17 PM ^

It's fun to be recruited.  You get to travel all over the country getting VIP tours of the best schools and programs.  Forcier is having a good time window shopping and has seven months to decide after which he will never be recruited again.  If you're a top prospect, there's no rush.  Newsome has just realized this.

mjv

August 20th, 2008 at 2:13 PM ^

Same rambling writing style...  Same team ahead of player sentiment regarding recruits...  Same complete disregard for paragraph breaks...

Magnus

August 22nd, 2008 at 11:21 AM ^

I agree that UNC is a likely destination.

 However, to the people who think Newsome's spot at VT is blocked because of Tyrod Taylor: Taylor will be a junior by the time Newsome has a chance to play football there.  Taylor could be gone to the NFL or - if the Vick comparisons are accurate - he could be in jail soon after Newsome would arrive on campus.

PSU is also a possibility.  There's a certain mystique about PSU, even though nobody from PSU ever becomes a good NFL player (only a slight exaggeration).

hat

August 24th, 2008 at 4:20 PM ^

I don't get the whole "Let's make fun of Michigan fans who are 0.0001% more obsessive than I am" shtick.  We've all gone to the trouble of registering to post on an internet message board about college football.  We're all pretty far gone as it is. 

Now having said that, when it comes to recruiting, it's best not to overthink things.  These are teenagers who are prone to making emotional, irrational decisions.  Whatever.  We just have to get on enough kids' shortlists so that by February, we'll have commitments from enough to have a good class.   

 

Michigan Arrogance

August 24th, 2008 at 4:31 PM ^

it's one thing to follow recruiting. it's quite another to make character judgments on kids based on projecting onto them one's own priorites and values.

 

in one case, it makes you really big fan. in the other, it makes you a tool.

dex

August 24th, 2008 at 4:41 PM ^

yes, that is the point.

disappointed newsome didn't come? cool

writing 300 word manifestos accusing him of being paid off, afraid of competition, not a team player, etc. etc.? ridiculous

and before you tell me I shouldn't care - I disagree. MGoBlog has long been a place that featued both remarkably random silliness and intelligent discussion. With every post that buys into the dumb "newsome is afriad of compeeting for the job i want tate anyway he is a michigan man!!" ethos, the site becomes more and more like every other HailVictors, Rivals, Scout whatever wasteland. 

chitownblue (not verified)

August 24th, 2008 at 4:55 PM ^

Hat,

I wouldn't debate the fact that we're all pretty much terrifyingly into this even by engaging in any discussion on these boards.

But, to take the recent Newsome thing as an example, we've had people say the following:

-Newsome is terrfied of competition.

-Newsome is a selfish, or "me-first" player.

-Newsome's meddling parents don't want him far from home.

-Newsome is stupid.

-Tate Forcier loves Michigan.

-Tate Forcier embraces competition.

-Tate Forcier is "like Steve Young" while Newsome is "like Michael Vick"

Now, I have no idea which of these statements are true and which are false (although it seems like Newsome is certainly not dumb, based on his resume). But that's the point - NOBODY here does, but they're frequently bandied about as unassailable truth by the author of these statements.

Personally, as someone who was good enough at two sports in high school that people cared what I did, I know that it's really easy for a few ignorant shits who know nothing about you to assasinate your character after you've spent years being a pretty decent person. And frankly, what school you choose to go to is NOT a basis for any character judgement, at all. And people that think it is, are really, really, really fucking stupid.