January 7th, 2022 at 8:26 PM ^
I am right there with you .
When I saw the Rutgers line the other day I immediately put 100 on Rutgers.
This seems even easier…
January 7th, 2022 at 8:28 PM ^
Vegas uses KenPom and other predictive, analytical measures. Teams making 9 straight three- pointers are statistical outliers. We are not as bad as the last few results indicate. MSU is not as good as the last few results indicate. Regression to the mean is real - hopefully it is manifested for us tomorrow. Go blue!
January 7th, 2022 at 9:06 PM ^
There is no way to rationalize us being ranked ahead of Wisconsin. Not sure if kenpom is still influenced by preseason or what, but bad luck didn't explain losing to every good to mediocre opponent except SDSU.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:57 PM ^
Analytics don’t rationalize. ‘Fans’, like you, do that.
January 8th, 2022 at 12:06 AM ^
And analytics are human written algorithms that are anything but flawless. If you think Michigan is a top 30 team right now, you are a fucking moron, to be polite.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:16 PM ^
Yeah I am not saying this is a good defensive team by any means but that doesn’t mean that Minnesota, CF, and Rutgers weren’t making pretty outrageous shots all game long. Michigan desperately needs a win. I think it will be close. Think State will win but in a close game.
January 8th, 2022 at 12:53 PM ^
Perhaps to set the opening line, but afterwards the spread is controlled by money bet.
January 8th, 2022 at 1:13 PM ^
About 99% of the original lines move 1 point or less either way. So money controls it but they are damn good setting it at the beginning.
January 7th, 2022 at 8:29 PM ^
Maybe they're assuming that Sparty will be so obsessed with trolling Michigan on Twitter about Harbaugh and the NFL that they will be too distracted to practice?
January 7th, 2022 at 8:29 PM ^
I hope we win this one. If we're going to have a shitty season, just beat your rivals.
January 7th, 2022 at 8:32 PM ^
Can't even blame it on basketball bpone but that line is nuts.
Go Blue, beat Sparty, preserve bankroll (by not betting).
January 7th, 2022 at 8:39 PM ^
Makes zero sense. Hope I'm wrong but I don't see a way where we don't get destroyed. We are a mess of a team. Especially now that there's tape out there of how to defend whatever the hell we could muster over the last month.
January 7th, 2022 at 8:47 PM ^
I’m betting we miss 20 threes and give up 20 open looks at three.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:02 PM ^
This team is god awful.
Bet sparty big.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:04 PM ^
Home court is worth a lot in college basketball.
January 8th, 2022 at 12:16 AM ^
Yep. Road conference wins against average-and-above teams are precious resources, they aren't easy to obtain.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:09 PM ^
Michigan got BLOWN OUT in 5 or their 6 losses. They can't shoot and are playing with no confidence.
Ticket prices are low so I wouldn't be surprised if 30% of the crowd were wearing green and mitigating home court advantage.
Sportsbooks usually know something's up when a line looks off but I'm not buying it here. I'll never bet against Michigan but this is free money.
Spartans win by 15.
January 7th, 2022 at 9:12 PM ^
Lmao this is easy money..
January 7th, 2022 at 10:15 PM ^
That is an insane betting line. It'll take a miracle for Michigan to win. It sucks to admit how bad they are this year. I wish I was in a state that allows gambling so I could make easy money on this.
January 7th, 2022 at 10:16 PM ^
I hate to post this here, but I have two tickets left to this game. I wish I could go lower than the $145 but I’m trying to at least recoup what I paid for 4 (I paid $631.25 for four - the three people I was supposed to go with tested positive for COVID this week). They are listed on StubHub. 
January 7th, 2022 at 10:31 PM ^
That line is basically saying we are going to win.
January 8th, 2022 at 12:14 AM ^
Michigan basketball ATS this season has been absolutely awful. My betting account can attest to this. Vegas is holding out hope that every new game the ship will turn into fairer winds.
I'd bet Michigan again if we're getting like 10 points.