2015 MBB Rotation

Submitted by Tate on
With the 2014-2015 roster virtually set, while waiting for the potential pickup of Huff, I started messing around with the minute rotation for the upcoming season.
Just wanted to see how everyone else has structured next years potential lineup. This is what I have:

PG
Derrick Walton 30
Spike Albrecht 10

SG
Caris LeVert 35
Zak Irvin 3
MAAR 2

3
Zak Irvin 27
Kam Chatman 10
Aubrey Dawkins 3

4
Kam Chatman 20
Mark Donnal 10
DJ Wilson 10

5
Mark Donnal 20
Ricky Doyle 15
Max B. 5

My minute structure may not be the best, but looking at it I am very excited for what this team can do.

I created this thread for others to put their breakdown.

And apologies for the umpteenth roster thread.

Thanks.

Drunk Uncle

April 28th, 2014 at 10:04 PM ^

Walton

Levert

Irvin

Donnal

There won't be a "5". It will be a rotation of Bielfedt (starter), Chatman, Doyle off the bench splitting time at the 4/5. 

I think MAAR and Dawkins will play before Wilson. 

Joined: 01/14/2013

MGoPoints: 308

Perkis-Size Me

April 28th, 2014 at 11:04 PM ^

Positions 1-4 are going to be fine. But I'm pretty sure it won't matter who we have at the 5. We're still going to get mauled on the boards by any team that has at least an average interior presence.

Joined: 11/30/2011

MGoPoints: 105868

AC1997

April 28th, 2014 at 11:28 PM ^

I was just working on this last night and thinking of posting something similar.  Thanks for starting this thread - fun for rampant speculation.  First, you have to think about a few circumstances that will affect next season:

  • Beilein has always stuck to a pretty short rotation of about 8 primary guys with 1-2 more getting spot minutes as needed.  He's never had this deep of a bench with scholarship players, however.  
  • Hatch is obviously either redshirting, taking a medical scholarship, or playing with the scout team given his situation.
  • Had McGary and/or Horford returned they would have certainly wanted to redshirt Doyle and possibly even Williams - now that isn't happening.  
  • The MAAR/Dawkins role is going to be very interesting.  They're different players and both of them could fill a need on this team.....yet there likely won't be more than a few minutes for either of them so does one red-shirt?  
  • What is up with Max?  I'm frankly surprised that so many people think he's going to play major minutes.  I just don't see it.  He's a man without a position on this team and remains an enigma.  He's a solid effort and rebounding guy, but he's a liability on both ends of the floor barring a major improvement.  I see him and Doyle fighting for the back-up center spot with one of them fading into the "emergency foul trouble guy" by the conference season.  
  • I don't think you see Donnal playing any minutes at PF now.  He's a center unless/until someone else steps up and I think that's fine in this offense.  

So here's my best guess at minutes:

  1. Walton (28), Spike (12)
  2. Levert (30), Spike (5), Irvin (5)
  3. Irvin (25), Chatman (5), Dawkins (10)
  4. Chatman (20), Wilson (20)
  5. Donnal (20), Doyle (10), Bielfeldt (10)

Redshirt - MAAR, Hatch.  

I think they are more likely to need size and shooting (Dawkins) than they are ball handling and creation (MAAR) so that's why I picked what I did.  However I could easily see that reversed and Levert playing more minutes at SF so MAAR can play SG.  

Chatman will join the returning wing players in playing roughly 25-30mpg.  All of the bigger guys (Wilson, Doyle, Donnal, Max) will be thrown in a blender and play anywhere from 5-20mpg.  

Considering that Chatman has the second highest Rivals ranking of any Beilein recruit I think that team will be able to score and ride some ups and downs (and horrific defense) into the tournament but won't contend for the conference title.  Wisconsin seems to have that locked up with Kaminski inexplicably staying another year.  

Joined: 09/19/2008

MGoPoints: 13824

BlastDouble

April 29th, 2014 at 8:47 AM ^

Nice breakdown, not sure what role MAAR will fill in the longrun but with they way the roster is turning over I say don't redshirt anyone and let them get a little experience. ^You're right tho, other than Wisconsin I think we can beat anyone on any given night.

Joined: 12/11/2013

MGoPoints: 4018

A State Fan

April 29th, 2014 at 12:31 AM ^

look at how much Nik and Caris played last year, Burke the year before that. those guys all played a lot. 200 min available: Caris - 35 Walton - 35 Irvin - 35 Spike - 15 Mark - 22 Kam - 18 DJ - 15 Max - 15 That's 190 min. The remainder goes to dakich et al in blowouts, Caris and Irvin in close games

Joined: 04/04/2014

MGoPoints: 1482

Fab and Fresh

April 29th, 2014 at 1:38 AM ^

We have a lot of bodies up front after all...just not sure how many are ready to contribute right now. What kind of depth do we actually have up front come B10/ACC? B10 season? The telling answer would be told in how many minutes Irvin logs backing up the 4. My hope is zero.

Joined: 04/14/2013

MGoPoints: 2623

TheNema

April 29th, 2014 at 3:26 AM ^

Guarantee you will see a lot more of Walton and Spike on the floor together this year. No one ever accounts for that in these projected minutes breakdowns.

Joined: 12/18/2013

MGoPoints: 2402

BlastDouble

April 29th, 2014 at 8:52 AM ^

Why do people assume MAAR will be backing up at SG? I would MUCH rather have Spike Money getting 5-10 minutes at SG with him knowing the offense and having a pure stroke, plus better ball handling. We will see what Beilein does.

Joined: 12/11/2013

MGoPoints: 4018