A Detailed Look At U/M Turnovers
I posted a board topic on U/M turnovers a few days ago. I'm also in the midst of taking a look at turnovers throughout the FBS and doing an analysis of what the heck TOM (turn over margin) means.
There has been a lot of stuff posted about the turnovers M has been experiencing and what the cause might be. I decided to look at RR's experience with turnovers at WVU and compare that with turnovers at M before RR and during RR.
Here are the turnovers for RR at WVU:
WVU |
INT |
FL |
Tot |
Opp Int |
Opp FL |
Opp Tot |
TOM |
2001 |
19 |
13 |
32 |
11 |
13 |
24 |
-8 |
2002 |
9 |
6 |
15 |
19 |
15 |
34 |
+19 |
2003 |
8 |
12 |
20 |
21 |
15 |
36 |
+16 |
2004 |
11 |
11 |
22 |
16 |
9 |
25 |
+3 |
2005 |
7 |
10 |
17 |
17 |
14 |
31 |
+14 |
2006 |
8 |
9 |
17 |
16 |
8 |
24 |
+7 |
2007 |
6 |
15 |
21 |
16 |
18 |
34 |
+13 |
Average/Game |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
2.4 |
+0.7 |
Here are the turnovers for M for the same time period:
U/M |
INT |
FL |
Tot |
Opp Int |
Opp FL |
Opp Tot |
TOM |
2001 |
9 |
13 |
22 |
11 |
7 |
18 |
-4 |
2002 |
7 |
10 |
17 |
16 |
10 |
26 |
+9 |
2003 |
10 |
9 |
19 |
14 |
7 |
21 |
+2 |
2004 |
12 |
9 |
21 |
16 |
11 |
27 |
+6 |
2005 |
8 |
10 |
18 |
12 |
11 |
23 |
+5 |
2006 |
8 |
4 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
26 |
+14 |
2007 |
14 |
13 |
27 |
14 |
15 |
29 |
+2 |
Average/Game |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
+0.4 |
Here are the turnovers for M for the RR era:
U/M |
INT |
FL |
Tot |
Opp Int |
Opp FL |
Opp Tot |
TOM |
2008 |
12 |
18 |
30 |
9 |
11 |
20 |
-10 |
2009 (8 Games) |
10 |
8 |
18 |
7 |
4 |
11 |
-7 |
Average/Game |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.75 |
1.55 |
-0.85 |
Here is the summary:
Average Per Game Summary |
INT |
FL |
Tot |
Opp Int |
Opp FL |
Opp Tot |
TOM |
WVU |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
2.4 |
+0.7 |
U/M (2001-7) |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
+0.4 |
2008/09 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.75 |
1.55 |
-0.85 |
My conclusions:
- Turnovers are NOT a result of the RR "system".
- Turnovers were very high in RR's first year at WVU but came down after that.
- So far TO Lost has been unusually high for M in the RR era and TO Gained has been unusually low.
- There are still 4 games to go this year. Last year TO Lost for the last 4 games was 6 and TO Gained was 5 for a TOM of -1.
October 29th, 2009 at 7:59 PM ^
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