What To Watch For: Spring 2015
Looking forward to tomorrow's event. Logistical details can be found here.
[Bryan Fuller]
It's going to be a bit strange. Michigan has never had an actual spring game before. Carr generally provided an open practice with an attached scrimmage and was all too happy to cancel the thing if given any pretext to. Rodriguez seemed to want to play a game but having only seven offensive linemen rather prohibited that. Hoke was cut from Carr's cloth; if possible it seemed like he was even more opposed to the entire idea. Punting exhibitions were ironically common.
These intrasquad practices were always difficult to glean data from, but they did give you a pretty good picture of who was on the first team and who was on the second at that moment. Saturday will not provide much clarity in that department.
If he had a draft order that might, but we don't. We only know that Malzone was the first QB taken and others didn't follow for a while. We can also make a couple of guesses based on the distribution of certain players, but the depth chart will remain fuzzy.
On the other hand, it'll be a better crucible to observe folks in. Ones versus ones and twos versus twos often saw whoever the second string quarterback was spend his day running from large angry men. While this was in fact an excellent preview of Devin Gardner's life, hopefully that won't be the situation going forward. An even spread of talent on both sides may not give us as much insight into who the coaches think is ahead; it should give us more ground to form (admittedly useless) opinions of their own.
But let's form them anyway
There are a few things I'll be looking out for.
hello sirs [Fuller]
The Peppers disposition. We all know Peppers is starting, and his team has two other legit safeties on it—Jeremy Clark and Delano Hill. His team does not have a third corner. The obvious conclusion is that Michigan will be moving Peppers to the slot in nickel situations on Saturday.
That makes a lot of sense. I've been yammering on about Hybrid Space Players forever. Peppers promises to be that, at long last. The Hybrid Space player is a triple threat. He can cover like a corner. He can defend an edge run like a safety. And he can blitz like a linebacker. He resolves a number of the questions spread offenses pose by flat-out winning the one-on-one battles the spread issues, against all comers.
I thought Dymonte Thomas might be that guy until he disappeared down the depth chart. Peppers has, uh, not. How he's deployed is going to be be a fascinating subplot.
How 3-4 is it? How 4-3 is it? We've tackled this in multiple posts over the past few weeks: a lot of inside chatter holds that Michigan is moving to primarily a 3-4 this year. I'll be watching to see how accurate that is. This is going to be difficult with the lack of anything resembling a weakside end on the Blue team. Meanwhile, the Maize team has only Lawrence Marshall.
There is going to be ample shoehorning no matter what happens. The nature of that shoehorning should give us an indicator as to how "multiple" the defense is, and if they're really going to run a 3-4.
Formations and personnel on offense. Harbaugh has the MANBALL rep, but the real calling card of his offense is diversity. A gentleman named Colin Davy presented a measure of offensive complexity/diversity at Sloan and a friend of his sent it along to me. San Francisco is highlighted:
That edition of San Francisco deviated from Harbaugh's first three years, which were more WR-averse than any other team in the NFL. Harbaugh ran a ton of three-wide shotgun last year…
…and San Francisco had its worst offensive output under Harbaugh. Probably not a coincidence.
But even so the thing that leaps out after watching a bunch of Harbaugh games is just how much weird stuff there is. People tend to think manball is synonymous with pro-style, but whatever Harbaugh is doing is its own beast. Unless you've seen anyone else line up in a goal line set on first and ten from their own 30, that is. Maybe you have.
Mixed in with the popular conception of the Harbaugh offense is shotgun, zone read, pistol, you name it. Last year he adapted because he had to—injuries slashed his tight end corps to ribbons. What will that adaptation look like with Michigan's personnel?
We got excited about the result of Canteen vs Countess last year; we should have been worried. [Fuller]
Skill positions. Usually the easiest group to get a handle on because breaking tackles, cutting quickly, and catching the dang ball are somewhat competition-invariant. This is not a hard and fast rule—Freddy Canteen was the star of last year's spring game-type substance and did little when the live bullets started flying. But there are going to be a lot of receivers competing for time and attention as Michigan tries to find a #1.
Quarterback. I may be looking at the quarterbacks to see if any of them are any good. Previous spring games have actually been pretty good about delivering information here: Forcier was a revelation after he enrolled early, Denard was a revelation after his freshman year, Bellomy never looked plausible, and last year was extremely ominous. A first glimpse at Malzone and Speight will be interesting. And has Shane Morris developed enough to stay in the conversation?
Interior DL. Both sides have starters that look like plausible Big Ten starting lines: Henry and Glasgow versus Hurst and Mone. I think Glasgow is going to be Glasgow. (This is a good thing.) The other guys are all potential breakout players if they can put the proverbial It together.
Countess. Lewis is a lock at one corner spot. Countess is a favorite for the other… until Wayne Lyons comes in. Michigan's coaches are again asserting that they want to be a super-aggressive man to man outfit, which was Countess's achilles heel last year. Does having an experienced DBs coach help him out? Is he capable of putting his nose across from a wideout and preventing him from doing what Will Fuller did to him last year?
Norfleet. IT COULD HAPPEN, OKAY.
Hackett's first gameday. Last year's spring game was the worst. Michigan played Phil Collins constantly. The band sat in the corner, irritated that they were even there, until deciding to play for about 20 minutes straight near the end. Their constant noise was the only way to get Special K to cut out his constant noise.
Hackett's recent comments on how he envisions the gameday experience are as encouraging as possible and this will be the first opportunity to see them in action. I'm not expecting miracles immediately. The athletic department is a large ship that takes some time to steer. I will be looking out for gameday changes that might stick.
I just can't wait for 80% of the conclusions drawn during the spring game to be completely wrong by the time the season rolls around!
Take a good look at the Countess v Canteen pic and tell me that white socks don't look bad-ass as hell with our yellow pants & black shoes. Dammit he's even rocking SPATS which totally take me back to the glory days of our uniforms.
The last hill to climb is getting back our Maize and dumping the highlighter yellow. And based on how many right decisions we've been making on everything else I'm guessing that's only a matter of time.
Yellow pants? What are these yellow pants you speak of? I see maize pants there.
Sorry but I see yellow pants, not maize. Maize WAS the color we wore back when you were in school but not anymore.
But maybe this is like that "what color is this dress?" picture that was making the rounds a few weeks ago. You know, the one that some saw as blue and black, and others saw as gold and white.
(Hint - it's not. Maize is our school color, while highlighter yellow is the color that's on our team's uniforms. I'd like to see maize return to the uniforms. It's not a huge issue for me, but the highlighter yellow is an annoyance from my perspective.)
Not that the color hasn't changed, but you're showing one photo taken on a gray overcast day and one taken in sunlight.
And this version looks more like it does today.
Photos are notoriously unreliable for determining the actual color of the subject.
The picture is from last year - Wellman is in the background.
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
Brought in cases of beer to enjoy the festivities. Don't remember if there was a draft.
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
Back in the day, there was beer and dark beer on draft at the Pretzel Bell and Village Bell. Today, there are 350 taps within walking distance of my condo on campus. Awesome!
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
There was a "draft" but that meant you got sent to Vietnam. Which back then was even worse than Bolivia.
My number was 201. Seem to recall maybe 50 or so was the number below which guys got drafted.
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
Not even close. Try 195.
But I did watch neighborhood guys get drafted, and a few didn't come back (my h.s. had a wall dedicated to them). Both my across-the-street neighbor and a h.s. football coach were helicopter pilots shot down, rescued and then a few hours later each hopped back into the cockpit and shuttled troops to where ever. (Both coincidently and curiously were Native Americans.) Glad I dodged that draft by age alone. You must have been sh*tting bricks.
Either way, whatever happens tomorrow it'll be better than 30 minutes of punt drills. Because THAT worked out so well last year.
We may not see it this early, but I'm hoping there is a different vibe from this team. I'm not expecting to see them play cleanly but I am wanting to see a team that is building toughness, swagger, and aggresiveness.
I'm hoping, probably a little desperately, that we come away with at least a small feeling that things are going to be different and in a good way.
What do those things even mean, and how do you possibly recognize them?
Watch how Michigan State's defense plays, and tell me that you can't tell when players are playing with aggresiveness and "swagger". There's a night and day difference in the body language between that and whatever we've been watching for the past 8 years.
I think they're just good. I doubt it's because they're "tougher" or have "swagger" or more aggressive. I think it's because they're more skilled, possibly more talented, better coached, put in better situations, etc.
I don't doubt that toughness is a thing that is at least somewhat important in football. But I absolutely doubt whether average fans can recognize it. I think terms like "toughness" and "swagger" are terms used by fans to explain good/poor performance, probably because (1) those things all sound easily fixable, and (2) we like to think that performance generally relates to effort. The reality is that the issues are much more complex, and everyone out there is trying their butt off. That's why they're college football players.
No one said anything about "effort" or kids not playing hard. The argument is about whether you can tell a difference in peoples' body language. I don't know how you're going to argue against the fact that some teams play with a lot more self-confidence, i.e. "swagger" than other teams.
Swagger: Whatever Jabrill Peppers' got
Exactly. You know it when you see it.
You know you've found a thoroughly subjective, meaningless criterion when the person identifying it says "I know it when I see it."
Did you play the game?
I was a ball-hawk safety on the third grade playground. Tons of swagger out there.
How could you tell?
Lol I forgot this is MGoBlog, where armchair quarterbacks definitely know more than people who played the game. I'm not even the OP, but come on man. Playing the game probably does give you a little more insight than Joe Fan.
I agree. And again, I don't doubt that toughness is important. But I don't think fans, even those with a football background, can identify toughness and swagger apart from other factors, primarily wins and losses.
People can read body language.
I agree, they are, and I agree that Brian is knowledgeable, but people put fanatics (and I mean that in the most endearing way) like Brian on a pedestal because he has a great platform and is a great communicator. Having real life experience in anything is just as important as theoretical background.
So, you disagree with a justice of the Supreme Court using that as a criterion?
I don't think that's the finest moment in the Court's history.
Nice evasion.
Wasn't trying to be evasive (and honestly, I didn't mean to start a fight here). No, I don't think a purely subject measure of "I know it when I see it" is a good criterion in a legal test.
In fairness, football does have a lot in common with porn.
Will be Harbaugh pacing up and down the sideline yelling smack at various players who missed an assignment. There will be no clapclapclap and butt smack to a player coming off the field, as we painfully witnessed in years past.
This coach and this regime will not coddle and make everyone feel good about themselves if they don't earn it.
Comments