[Marc-Grégor Campredon]

Indiana 78 Michigan 75 Comment Count

jamiemac December 6th, 2023 at 11:35 PM

With its conference opener against Indiana at Crisler Arena, Michigan had a chance to reset its season and leave the uneven start of the first eight games behind. Instead, the Wolverines authored what's become a similar story: Sloppy execution on both ends of the court down the stretch leads to a close loss. Michigan's 78-75 defeat to the Hoosiers was its second straight that slipped away in the final minutes after the Wolverines' overtime loss at Oregon over the weekend. Michigan's close game woes go beyond the last two heartbreakers. This was the fifth straight loss for Michigan in a one possession game. The Wolverines are now 2-12 in games decided by five points or less since the beginning of last season. It was also the fourth loss in a row to Indiana, by a combined 9 points. Regression to the mean, where art thou?

This game had plenty of typical hallmarks of a painful basketball loss. Did the defense collapse? Yep. Indiana scored on 13 of its final 17 possessions after Michigan forged its biggest lead of the game at 59-53 with less than nine minutes to play. Five different Hoosiers scored baskets with Indiana averaging 1.6 points per possession down the stretch. How about heartbreaking free throw misses? Those were present. Michigan split three different trips to the free throw line in the final minutes, all from Dug McDaniel including one that would have tied it with 35 seconds left. What about a goofy loose ball situation that doesn't go the local heroes way? We had one of those too. Michigan appeared to have finally got a key stop in the waning seconds to possibly set up a game winning possession, but the loose ball rebound grazed off Taris Reed's fingertips, replay review gave possession back to Indiana, and the Hoosiers eventually swished a pair of free throws to extend its lead to 3 with less than five seconds to go. Indiana played #FoulToWin from there and Michigan never got a chance at a game tying trey.

Looking through the final team box score, one thing stands out. Michigan was only +3 points in three point offense. The Hoosiers are one of the worst shooting teams in the country and were playing without their top perimeter threat in Xavier Johnson. But even with Johnson, the triple isn't a big part of the offense. Michigan should have made more hay in this department, but the Wolverines shot just 4-for-17 from behind the arc, clanking plenty of open looks off the rim. Indiana's guards had made only two triples combined in the previous four games. But they drilled two (of the team's three) against Michigan, both by CG Gunn who had not made a trey all season. But his second make, a bold contested dagger from 22 feet gave the Hoosiers a 60-59 lead with 7:30 to go.

[After THE JUMP: At least we got some Tschetter Time]

The buzz coming into this game was two of the Big Ten's best players on the same court: Michigan point guard Dug McDaniel, 6th in the league in scoring and 4th in assists and Indiana center Kel'el Ware, 9th in scoring and 3rd in rebounding. Neither really starred tonight, however. McDaniel struggled from the jump. Early in the game he got his pocket picked by Gabe Cupps leading to a transition dunk by Ware. After that sequence, you had to figure it wasn't going to be his night. It was not. He finished just 3-for-14 shooting, missing all four of his triple attempts and three critical free throws. He ended with 13 points, three rebounds, two assists, and two steals. Olivier Nkamhoua and Will Tschetter picked up the scoring slack pouring in 18 and 17 points respectively. If there's a silver lining, Michigan's offense did look relatively functional even with McDaniel having such a poor shooting night.

Ware didn't struggle as much as just had a quiet night, scoring only 4 points over the game's final 26 minutes. Ware did score the tie breaking basket at 73-73 on a running, right-handed hook shot just over an outstretched Reed, with 55.8 seconds to go. Ware also controlled the early portion of the game. Both teams came out sloppy with a combined nine turnovers in the game's first seven minutes. Ware was the best player during the early segments, scoring 9 points and grabbing 4 defensive boards. The Hoosiers forged an early 15-9 lead, which they pushed out to 28-21, its largest of the game, on a jump shot from reserve Anthony Walker.  Ware was whistled for his second foul with 6:55 to go and went to the bench for the rest of the half. Michigan took advantage and closed the half on a 18-9 run ignited by a Terrance Williams transition three and an alley oop from Nimari Burnett to Taris Reed. The closing spurt gave Michigan a 39-37 halftime lead. 

The good times continued for Michigan into the second half, which alternated between the Olivier Nkamhoua and Will Tschetter shows. Nkamhoua came out of the break and scored Michigan's first eight points. His first bucket was a drive  into the lane that he finished with a quasi baby hook shot over an IU defender. He then drained three straight jumpers. Then Tschetter took over. He scored on a driving baseline reverse layup. He hit a ridiculous fadeaway post up shot over Ware after which he mean mugged his way back up the court. A couple possessions later his drilled a triple to give Michigan its largest lead of the game at 59-53. Even in a losing effort, he was still the KenPom MVP of this contest with 17 points on 7 shots while grabbing 6 rebounds. If this is the Tschetter Michigan gets during the rest of the season, there will be happier results. 

Despite Tschetter's efforts as a reserve, Indiana's bench outperformed Michigan's bench. Averaging just 13.6 points per game coming in, Indiana's bench mob poured in 28 points with four players scoring between 6-8 points. For the game, Indiana's bench provided an All-American line of 28 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 5 steals, and block. Michigan's bench production ended with a solid 25 points and 12 rebounds, but almost all of it was Tschetter. Nobody else really gave Michigan juice off the bench, while It seemed like one of Gunn, Walker, Kaleb Banks, and Payton Sparks were always contributing something after having been just bit players before the Michigan game. I'll bet a dollar that when the season ends, this will be the Hoosiers bench best performance of the season.

A fun, high scoring start to the season has given way to late game failures and losses in five of the Wolverines last six games. When you're 4-5, there aren't any mock brackets to check in on. You are not represented on the Bracket Matrix. But to paraphrase Jim Mora Sr., we're not here to talk about the tournament. Michigan's just trying to win some games. That's the simple goal for this team now. The upcoming slate is somewhat manageable: at Iowa, Eastern Michigan, Florida (neutral), McNeese St, Minnesota, Penn State (neutral). KenPom gives Michigan four wins in this stretch with close losses to Iowa and Florida. If Michigan takes care of business in the projected wins and flips one of those losses, they'll be 9-6 in early January. They can build from that. The question is does this team have the moxie on both ends of the court to turn this around. Hopefully those first steps can be taken this coming Sunday at Iowa. Game is on the BTN and tips at 4:30.

Comments

atticusb

December 6th, 2023 at 7:53 AM ^

From all of us readers, no worries... It's a great write-up, but I'm not sure any of us were just itching to dive into the analysis. At this point it kind of feels like we all know the story of JH teams, and are resigned to poor defense, poor free throw shooting, relatively weak shooting overall, and just enough offensive flashes to almost convince us that there might actually be something there. Here's hoping as JH returns to the helm he can figure out how to develop towards more compete players and teams... 

gobluem

December 6th, 2023 at 9:07 AM ^

Well we're barely into December and I have zero interest in watching this team. It's just not enjoyable

 

They don't play consistent. They are sloppy. The effort isn't there. 

I don't really care that they are losing so much as it's just frustrating and not enjoyable to watch. 

I think we need to make a coaching change

Blue Highlander

December 6th, 2023 at 12:26 PM ^

Yes, way better than last year.  Hard to watch at times, but also stretches where the ball zips around and they look good.  Stretches of good D, and stretches of giving up layups.  Still hoping they get to know each others better, show some consistency and win some games.

I keep waiting for Tschetter to turn back into a pumpkin, but he has been consistently more than playable all year.  He can’t hang with athletic bigs on D, but overall a very pleasant surprise.

DennisFranklinDaMan

December 6th, 2023 at 5:41 PM ^

Yeah, I'm disappointed in the results too, but I think this team plays with an energy and enthusiasm far beyond last year's. This team seems to like each other and actually moves — and moves the ball — on offense. I see real progress.

Is that enough? I don't know. Our defense continues to be a major problem, confusingly, and it may well be that we simply don't have enough talent. I don't know. But I though last year's team had no energy — they played like they didn't want to be there, IMHO — and I think this year's team hasn't thrown in the towel yet.

Remaining hopeful ...

three_honks

December 6th, 2023 at 1:59 PM ^

Last year there was a real shot to make the NCAAs with a couple of road games to end the regular season.  But we lost all two or three, including in double overtime at Illinois.  Also, the team last year largely held serve at home except for  vs Purdue.

Starting off with a loss at Crisker is not how to get to a few games over 500 in the B1G.  I blame the  poster who introduced the Crisker typo yesterday.

trueblueintexas

December 6th, 2023 at 11:25 AM ^

I think the situation with Coach Howard requires seeing how this season ends and then seeing how next season starts. 

Losing close games drives me nuts. I believe coaching is a big part of that. It is also something which can change quickly with better analysis and awareness. 

One contention I have with your comment is about effort. Coach Howard's teams play hard. This year's team plays hard. They care about what happens. Jett had issues last year. Hunter D. didn't consistently play hard last year. But this team plays hard. They don't always play smart, but they play hard and care. T-Will is a little up and down with his attitude, but he may simply be an emotions on his sleeve type person. 

dragonchild

December 6th, 2023 at 9:32 AM ^

Some things are mental.  In the case of basketball, defense and shooting (especially FTs) are as much mental as physical.  You need to keep up the intensity, yet retain your composure, when pressure's on and your body wants to quit.  The football team improved in this regard when Herbert arrived; the program went from collapsing late in games to grinding down their opponents.

If the defense and FT shooting break down late in a single game, it's a fluke.  If both are always breaking down late, it's either conditioning or a mental issue.  But if nothing else, Camp Sanderson is an established thing, so I doubt it's conditioning.  It's mental.

In other words:  This team is sawft.

DennisFranklinDaMan

December 6th, 2023 at 5:44 PM ^

Tschetter has it. But that's not enough, methinks.

Eh. "Soft" is what people call teams who lose close games. But I don't agree. Calling a man Dug's size who regularly goes into the lane "soft" because his shots don't fall is itself fairly weak. And missing free throws can be a result of exhaustion, of trying too hard, bad form, or some combination of the three. Calling it "sawft" isn't fair.

They're fighting. They're trying. They're not — yet — good enough. Here's hoping they get better.

JamesBondHerpesMeds

December 6th, 2023 at 10:57 AM ^

Let's retire Juwan's number, give him a rousing reception for all he's done for Michigan basketball up to this point, and suggest he resign with dignity while we go after Dan Hurley, Greg McDermott, or Mark Few.

MGlobules

December 6th, 2023 at 12:47 PM ^

We can have unrigorous arguments about toughness or our coach not possessing some elusive magic that will turn the team into winners. But this is a team that pushed 100 points and looked fantastic for the first three games of the season, then saw Phil fail to call a timely timeout against Long Beach State and fail to recover its confidence ever since. The team has the talent to win these games, but has been fumbling away game after game after close game for two years.

I have been an ardent defender of Juwan, but I really do begin to wonder if this Phil and Juwan jumble hasn't become dysfunctional.

UofM Die Hard …

December 6th, 2023 at 2:00 PM ^

The amount of times that we have had a chance to seal away games at the charity stripe.... is frequent. 

I have no fait in the guys hitting the free ones...its fuckin crazy to me.  I remember when MAAR came to the line, or Eli, or even X....they are hitting those free throws. 

The clangs off the rim are just ridiculous.  Not even close to trying to go in

I will never bash on players, they are playing D1 high level ball...but damn, just not a good team.