Bill Connelly Previews Michigan

Submitted by sundaybluedysunday on

Bill Connelly over at SB Nation does a offseason preview series where he does a write-up on every single D1 team and today he reached Michigan.

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2015/5/29/8676637/michigan-football-2015-preview-schedule-roster-jim-harbaugh

He does a lot of stuff with stats, including work on creating FEI and S&P+ (which Brian references with some frequency), so the preview is focused a lot on Michigan's statistical profile and the range of outcomes that suggests for next year. Nothing groundbreaking here, but it's always an enjoyable offseason read.

lilpenny1316

May 29th, 2015 at 12:29 PM ^

If you believe the allegations, he proved his unworthiness in the early to mid-90s.  Plus, I'd rather have Harbaugh now than complaining about his Les Miles' QB recruits, stagnant offenses and Okie State recruiting allegations for the past seven years.

The Mad Hatter

May 29th, 2015 at 1:34 PM ^

I don't believe the allegations.  And even if they were true, that he slept with Mo's wife, so what?  That's on her for betraying her husband, Les wasn't married to Mo.  Are you really comfortable with that sort of morals test?

Sure, if we had hired Les back in 2008, Harbaugh wouldn't be here now.  And why is that?  Because Michigan would have been kicking ass and winning NC's over the past 7 seasons instead of getting our asses kicked all the time.

PeterKlima

May 29th, 2015 at 4:08 PM ^

And Chizik won a national tile. Oh, and years ago Kirk Ferentz was winning the Big Ten and a hot coaching name. Brian Kelly coached in the NC game too. Mack Brown was just like Les... He won a NC and played for another.

You need more examples? Few believe in Miles' "greatness" for sound reasons



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DrewGOBLUE

May 30th, 2015 at 6:50 AM ^

Hoke's 2010 season at SDSU really was very good, especially considering they went 4-8 the prior year. And even though a 9-4 finish might not sound incredibly stellar, no loss was by more than 5 points, and three of the four came against teams that ended the season ranked.

That includes coming up just short @TCU, the year they finished 13-0 and #2 in both polls, w/ the score being 38-34.

Not saying Brady's a great coach or UM shoulda kept him, but it's unfair and makes little sense when people knock him about a .500 record. His first two gigs were massive rebuilding jobs; both Ball St and SDSU were absolutely miserable programs when Hoke took over them.

AlwaysBlue

May 29th, 2015 at 11:10 AM ^

had just gotten competent QB play last season or Funchess and/or Peppers had been healthy it's not wishful thinking that they would have been at least .500. That has to be the floor this season...and even that would be a bit of a disappointment with a veteran OL.

AlwaysBlue

May 29th, 2015 at 2:55 PM ^

arguing that competent QB play would have led to two more victories or that Harbaugh can't you a competent transfer to wring out two more wins. Or is it that an injured Funchess is better than unproven receivers? Or is it that an OL that did show increasing competency is going to take a step back? There's plenty to improve but there is plenty to work with too.

The Mad Hatter

May 29th, 2015 at 12:03 PM ^

can you imagine the hype next offseason if Michigan gets some close-game fortune and goes 10-2 out of the gates...

 

And that's exactly what is going to happen.  At least there will be fewer apparel threads next spring.

lilpenny1316

May 29th, 2015 at 12:33 PM ^

I think everybody starts thinking that 10-2 will be the floor for this season.  Gameday will start making plans to be in A2 for the Sparty game and talking heads will look at the favorable home schedule and wonder out loud if Michigan can run the table at home and win their most difficult road B1G game (likely at PSU).  

kb

May 29th, 2015 at 12:28 PM ^

imagine if they kick the season off than win. The defense has to carry them early on in the year and I think they can do that.

Ryanonymous

May 29th, 2015 at 12:52 PM ^

Pretty realistic and seems accurate. I too feel like it could go two ways this season. Either we are marginally better or significantly better. In both cases we see improvement in year one under Harbz.
I lean more towards significant improvement but that might be my homer optimism creeping in.
I still think if we struggle at all it will be early, but by mid to late season we will be a lean mean Buckeye crushing machine! I bet we lose to a Utah or similar early and by a close score but end up smashing Ohio State into little a fine pie ingredient resembling either topping or crust - more like crust because there will be nothing sweet about it except winning and putting them where they belong, back on the bottom.

lilpenny1316

May 29th, 2015 at 1:38 PM ^

I wasn't around to know how impressive they looked in those wins, but they finished the season in the Top 15.  They were in the top 5 with a Rose Bowl bid on the line when they got blasted by OSU.  Not quite the same as this year's team.

funkywolve

May 29th, 2015 at 2:14 PM ^

but if you put any stock in recruiting rankings, the potential talent for this coaching staff to mold is there.  I'm not sure how Hoke did it, but each year under Hoke UM competed with OSU.  Despite OSU only losing something like 3 games in Urban's tenure so far, UM's lost the 3 OSU games by 5, 1 and 14 points.  

Victor Valiant

May 29th, 2015 at 1:44 PM ^

"If previous history correlated with future success, the last two Michigan hires would have worked out."

The quote above makes this write-up invalid. Exactly what about Hoke's previous history implied he would work out? At best it implied he would be an average coach. This quote makes sense for Rich Rod though.

In all seriousness I enjoyed the read.

markusr2007

May 29th, 2015 at 1:52 PM ^

I do think Michigan's special teams will be surprisingly good in 2015 because of coach Baxter and dare I say, Jabrill Peppers.

There should be a lot of "The man punted......Baxter!!!"

uminks

May 30th, 2015 at 12:28 PM ^

He would not have been the Michigan coach. But I'm glad things played out as they did since we got Harbaugh! The coach I wanted since RR was hired. I think during the '07/'08 coaching search I had 1.) Harbaugh and 2.) Miles. I think Miles would have turned the program around and we would be competing for the B1G championship game. However, Harbaugh will give us our best chance of making the playoffs and winning NC! It may take 3 or 4 years before we are at Harbaugh type greatness!