The Vig - Week 3
I did not have a fantastic week last week -- time to get back on the horse this week. Much better slate of games.
Here's a few I like and am playing:
MSU +6.5 at Miami (YTM)
Cincinnati -3.5 at Indiana
Va Tech +122 @ WVU
BYU +3.5 vs. Arizona St
I also like playing at least one long odds parlay for low risk, high reward and this is what I booked:
Oklahoma -22.5 vs. Nebraska
MSU +6.5 at Miami
Cincinnati -3.5 at Indiana
Va Tech
Under 49.5 Northwestern @ Duke
BYU +3.5 vs. Arizona State
Over 62.5 Fresno St at UCLA
total value +10417
Any games you like? What are you playing?
September 17th, 2021 at 7:39 AM ^
That Nebraska line is very tempting. We know OU doesn’t play defense and I think the Huskers could score enough points to keep it within 3 TD’s. I won’t be putting any $ on this one though because I don’t trust Nebraska.
I know a lot of folks think Sparty is back, but I’m taking The U as I think MSU returns to earth after beating two cream puffs.
I will take the under for NW/Duke and Cincinnati -3.5 over the Hoosiers.
September 17th, 2021 at 8:41 AM ^
Nebraska is garbage, remember they gave up 30 to Illinois, who then went and lost the next two, to UTSA by 7 and Virginia by 28. I agree about MSU and Miami, but I hate MSU so much that could be my hate for Sparty clouding my vision.
September 17th, 2021 at 7:41 AM ^
MN +3 at CO
I like that BYU game too, but not sold on MSU.
September 17th, 2021 at 7:51 AM ^
no idea why -- but I can't seem to find the MN on fan duel. weird.
September 17th, 2021 at 7:48 AM ^
Right now I’m looking at
bama 1H -7.5
bama -14.5
Cincy -3.5
UCLA -10.5
To be honest, I don’t like a lot of these games. Looking at PSU Auburn, but I genuinely don’t know if PSU is any good…or Auburn for that matter.
September 17th, 2021 at 8:54 AM ^
Adding on Maryland to cover 7
September 17th, 2021 at 1:12 PM ^
I like the Bama first half line. Thanks for sharing that one.
EDIT - up to -8.5 on BET MGM
September 17th, 2021 at 7:53 AM ^
Northwestern / Duke? That game might be entertaining only because it will likely blow beyond description.
September 17th, 2021 at 8:00 AM ^
I wouldn't expose myself to watching it but the under looks like a nice play.
September 17th, 2021 at 4:18 PM ^
Lean Duke +3
September 17th, 2021 at 7:54 AM ^
I would also take Va Tech +122
September 17th, 2021 at 8:00 AM ^
I would consider taking a second mortgage on my house to put a very large bet down on Va Tech at +122. Lock of the week to cover that. ?
September 17th, 2021 at 8:07 AM ^
Beware of VA Tech on the road.
I like MSU to keep it close at least.
Oklahoma
Auburn +4.5 and under 52 this game
Maryland -7
September 17th, 2021 at 8:56 AM ^
First off, thank you to the Ragin' Cajuns for throwing a TD while up 28 with 48 seconds left in the game to get over 56.5.
My parlay this week:
NU-OU over 61.5
OSU -27.5 over Tulsa - think they take out some frustration on Tulsa
Utah -7 over the Fightin' Clappers (San Diego State)
Stanford -11 over Vandy - I think Vandy is bad and Tanner McKee is a much better QB than who Stanford had starting Week 1
Also some random bets:
Miss St and Memphis - over 64
Utah St +270 ML over Air Force
Charlotte +160 ML over Georgia State
Still new to this and not betting a lot of money, but having fun.
September 17th, 2021 at 1:22 PM ^
Louisiana also covered the first half spread with a last second TD before the half. They were great for me last night. Washington Football Team also covered the first half with a late TD at almost the same time. That was fun.
September 17th, 2021 at 9:02 AM ^
I had a great weekend, so I’m prepared for regression to the mean. My headliner was a 4-team parlay that ended with OSU/Hawaii. I waited for OSU to go up 14 before hedging the other side with Hawaii who was then getting 27.5. Hit on both sides.
I love OU -22 so much I can’t control myself. I’ve placed four parlays and included them in each one which is really stupid (parlays were made over 3 days and I forgot I put them in my first 2)
I love Maryland -7 and over 34.5
I hadn’t noticed the O/U on NW/Duke. The under is a great call there, IMO
September 17th, 2021 at 9:06 AM ^
I ended up with:
Duke +3 vs. Northwestern
Stanford -11.5 vs. Vandy
Toledo -13.5 vs. Colorado State
Cincy -3 vs. Indiana
Over 53.5 in Michigan vs. NIU
Over 58 in Notre Dame vs. Purdue
Alabama -14.5 vs. Florida
September 17th, 2021 at 9:09 AM ^
A little birdie told me ND -7 is the game.
September 17th, 2021 at 9:36 AM ^
I’m surprised no one is on Sparty to win outright
September 17th, 2021 at 1:25 PM ^
I put a little on that one. Helps me cope if they win.
September 17th, 2021 at 9:38 AM ^
I like Purdue to cover at ND. the line is +7.5, and ND has a bad defense, if it was just 7, maybe but more than a touchdown? I don't think so. Also Brohm is 7-0 as a road dog ATS
September 17th, 2021 at 10:20 AM ^
I think it'll be interesting to see what Bo Nix can do to PSU's defense. He has much more experience than Cade, but Auburn runs the ball with the frequency that we do. He hasn't been asked to do much. I think itll be an interesting indicator of what Cade might do and if PSU can stop a very good running attack or if they force Auburn to throw and how well PSU's defense stands up to that.
I don't usually root for the SEC, but in this case, I'd like to see PSU taken down a peg.
September 17th, 2021 at 11:53 AM ^
3 leg parlay
1. NEB vs OK - Over
2. Cinci - Moneyline
3. Coastal Car vs BUF - Over
33% profit boost on DraftKings
September 17th, 2021 at 1:18 PM ^
My largest bets this week are:
Over 60.5 buckeyes and Tulsa
Over 64 Miss St. and Memphis
Over 59.5 Maryland and Illinois
Sparty +15.5 that I locked in after week 1
Alabama -15 over Florida
I usually don’t bet overs very often so this could be a train wreck. Good luck everyone.
September 17th, 2021 at 11:56 PM ^
I posted down below that I like Miami -6.5. MSU +15.5 is a totally different story. Great job on locking in that one. I can see Miami winning by 10 to 14 points.
September 19th, 2021 at 10:27 AM ^
Coming back to own that I was 2-3 here and added Bama first half. 3-3 week. I had a bunch of other bets and ended up a few games under.500. Not a good week. On to the NFL.
September 17th, 2021 at 1:27 PM ^
Where is Vlad with the Smooth Jimmy lock? I believe it is undefeated so far this year.
September 17th, 2021 at 4:17 PM ^
(Season record 7-6, last week record 3-4)
Nebraska at Oklahoma: Over 63
Florida St +4.5
Middle Tennessee St: +13
Utah -9
Penn St -6
Boise St -3
UCLA -11
September 17th, 2021 at 11:54 PM ^
I like your Va Tech, BYU, NW-Duke under and Oklahoma bets.
Not a big fan of the MSU +6.5 bet. Out of conference game against a pretty decent opponent and on the road. I think Miami covers the spread.
I might go with Michigan -27.5. I was worried about an inflated spread, which it kind of is right now, but I think Michigan goes up big in the first half and pours on more in the second half with Donovan Edwards getting a bunch of touches and Gattisbaugh going out of their way to prove that we HAZ balance on offense.