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08/10/2018 - 7:52pm Court appears to be the one…

Court appears to be the one responsible, but Durkin is in turn responsible for retaining him even after what appears to be clear evidence of a toxic situation. 

If I were a Maryland alum, I'd want the AD to clean house. Nothing in football is worth an avoidable death, let alone retaining an asshole S&C coach. 

08/05/2018 - 9:04pm Just a thought, but the…

Just a thought, but the board might benefit from dumping all the Meyer posts into a single "Urban Meyer Scandal Megathread." 

 

08/05/2018 - 9:02pm Unless the blue is short for…

Unless the blue is short for "Bluey."

08/05/2018 - 3:38am I think he goes. As much as…

I think he goes. As much as I hate their football program, I have nothing against the university as an institution of higher learning and research. And as a long-time academic, I guarantee you he will lose the faculty (if he hasn't already). The university is more important than its football program, which will survive this scandal anyway.

At some point, the trustees will realize that they will still pack the stadium with another coach. 

 

08/04/2018 - 9:15pm Ignore the noise. Most…

Ignore the noise. Most placings are based on last year's results more than on roster analysis. If we beat ND, PSU, Wisconsin and MSU, we will be a top 5 team (at least). If we don't, we will be farther down the list. Where we are placed now doesn't really matter. 

Our schedule is a challenge and an opportunity. I also don't think we come out of it unscathed, but you never know. 

08/04/2018 - 9:12pm Ignore the troll account. 

Ignore the troll account. 

There are OSU fans we can have interesting conversations with (as I do when I post on 11w), but this is not that person. 

08/03/2018 - 4:38am Not sure I've ever seen so…

Not sure I've ever seen so many spelling errors in my life, and I have a 6 year old kid. 

08/02/2018 - 8:11am When it comes to something…

When it comes to something like domestic violence allegations, how they potentially affect Michigan football is really not very important. 

08/01/2018 - 10:17pm For people saying X won't…

For people saying X won't take the job because X hates the spread, worth noting that Meyer's scheme isn't Chip Kelly's or RR's. The costs of transitioning to a more pro style offense would be lower, especially with Haskins at QB. There would still be costs, just lower costs. I mean, that OL can do power and IZ and they have two excellent RBs. 

08/01/2018 - 8:12pm If Meyer gets canned (and…

If Meyer gets canned (and that's a big if), they might name Schiano interim coach and then let him basically audition for the year. If I were an OSU fan, I wouldn't want him, but this is the kind of move ADs like to make. 

In terms of who they might poach from elsewhere...not a ton of good candidates out there. They'd try for Herman, but no guarantee he'd leave Texas. Maybe try to coax Stoops out of retirement? Beyond that I don't know...Narduzzi maybe?  

07/28/2018 - 8:17pm I didn't freak out last year…

I didn't freak out last year because I expected a step back. Preseason I predicted we'd go 9-3, which isn't much different from 8-4. I was mildly disappointed, because I felt a couple losses were in part due to bad offensive coaching (MSU and the bowl game). But then again, he had us in the OSU game when by all rights we should not have been. So it cuts both ways. 

I also don't think last year is necessarily indicative of all that much. It *may* be, the way 2013 was indicative of a certain dysfunction in the Hoke staff. But it also *may not be,* since elite coaches who go on to win national championships often have a down third year. The fact that he hasn't won anything at Michigan yet doesn't mean he won't going forward. Dabo Swinney didn't look so hot by the end of his third year at Clemson and we all know how that's turned out. 

For me, Harbaugh needs 5 years with the full confidence of the athletic department. By that point, we'll have a good idea of what he's capable of. CFP appearances/conference championships and/or a national championship would be one marker of success. But he may still not have won a national championship (it took Swinney 8 years), so for me success could also be measured by sustainability. If we are winning 10+ games every year, then that would demonstrate that he's moved us on from the boom/bust cycle that we've been in since 2005. 

 

07/22/2018 - 7:08pm I would agree that OSU and…

I would agree that OSU and Wisconsin should be substantial favorites to win the East/West, but have y'all noticed...

...these writers are just picking the same standings as last year? And have you noticed how many predictions are premised, consciously or not, on things being exactly the same as last year

The fact is, that rarely happens. There is always one team is significantly better that it was the year prior and another fails to match its performance. I'd guess Michigan is the former and PSU the latter. In fact, I'd say that PSU is being overrated the same way we were in last year's preseason polls/predictions, though perhaps not to the same degree. They'll be good but not great. So my guess:

1. OSU

2. Michigan

3. MSU

4. PSU

 

07/18/2018 - 6:24am The diaries have been dead…

The diaries have been dead for a year now. 

07/18/2018 - 6:22am The old site was antiquated;…

The old site was antiquated; the new site is frustrating.  

Not sure why mgoblog can't be simple and navigable like most other websites with this kind of traffic. As much as it pains me to say it, look at 11W: it won't win any design awards but it's not a pain in the ass either.

 

 

07/12/2018 - 5:29am Well, looks like I had the…

Well, looks like I had the picks right but the scores backwards. 

07/10/2018 - 12:38pm He's actually a pretty great…

He's actually a pretty great dude. Heavily involved in charity, for one: http://www.espn.com/soccer/club/real-madrid/86/blog/post/3317297/real-madrids-cristiano-ronaldo-has-long-list-of-charity-contributions 

07/08/2018 - 6:09pm I love chicken wings. Bake…

I love chicken wings. Bake them with salt at 400 degrees (20-25 min per side depending on your oven....mine is usually fine with 20 per side). Mix some louisiana hot sauce with a bit of butter, microwave it for 30 seconds. Finally, shake the wings in a tupperware with the sauce.

Instant buffalo wings, as good as a restaurant but not fried. 

07/08/2018 - 6:06pm But...the article you linked…

But...the article you linked to does not conclude that animal fat is good for you. Rather, it concludes with this:

Dr. Ramsden stressed that the team’s findings should be interpreted cautiously. The research does not show that saturated fats are beneficial, he said: “But maybe they’re not as bad as people thought.”

In other words, consuming saturated fats in moderate quantities probably won't kill you and may have some health benefits. That makes sense. But eating an ass ton of chicken wings or beef fat is still not a good idea. 

 

 

07/02/2018 - 9:37pm Overall, a good preview. I…

Overall, a good preview. I share his concerns about OC-by-committee, but if it means that Harbaugh himself will be calling plays, then it's a good thing.

The danger, however, is the whole too many cooks in the kitchen thing. Most effective offenses are coherent--and Harbaugh is not immune to this danger just by virtue of being a very good offensive mind. While our offenses in 2015 and 2016 were coherent, our 2017 offense was not. (And that wasn't just because of the lack of experience/talent/depth...it was also the failed experiment with inside zone and the weird decision to go 5 wide in a monsoon against MSU when we had like 1.5 decent WRs, an iffy OL and a not good pocket QB.)

I do think the overall prediction of 8.2 wins is a touch pessimistic, though. If the defense limits big plays and the offense improves to 40-ish in S&P+, we can beat almost anyone. 

06/28/2018 - 12:18am If we can play like that,…

If we can play like that, Sweden can go far. Switzerland is good but we can beat them. Then the likely quarterfinals opponent would be England (who we historically play very well against) or Belgium (who beat us 1-0 in 2016). Also tough, but in neither case impossible. 

06/28/2018 - 12:13am Also can we talk a little…

Also can we talk a little about how KILLER Sweden looked against Mexico? We (yes I'm a Swede) haven't played that well in a major tournament since we beat Bulgaria 4-0 at Euro 2004. 

 

06/25/2018 - 11:12pm Too bad about Brown and…

Too bad about Brown and Dobbs but our class does look pretty good as is. I'd be more pissed about this if it had happened last year. 

06/25/2018 - 11:10pm Good pickup for Sparty--most…

Good pickup for Sparty--most likely will be very good. So yeah. Too bad for us, but I guess he wasn't that hot on Michigan anyway. 

 

06/22/2018 - 3:03am Oh, also btw...according to…

Oh, also btw...according to that article you linked to, FPI does not predict that PSU will go 11-1. They predict 9.7 - 2.3, which you could round up to 10-2. 

(They just say that FPI favors PSU in 11/12 games. Their model assumes they'll drop 1.3 other games somewhere along the way.) 

06/22/2018 - 3:00am I also think they'll lose to…

I also think they'll lose to us in Ann Arbor and figure they have a decent shot to beat OSU in Happy Valley (white out game). But I don't see them going 11-1. Not only do they lose Barkley, Gesicki and Moorhead, but a bunch of the guys who made that defense significantly better than any other defense they've had since Franklin got there. 

Their offense will still be good, but it won't be as explosive and their defense won't be as solid as it was last year. I'd guess 10-2. 

06/22/2018 - 2:39am If not this year, then next…

If not this year, then next year. Or the year after. That's just how it goes. 

As for 2018, we'll have a killer defense and a dependable run game, as well as an upgrade at QB, but I just don't see how we make the CFP with a not-great RT at LT and a 6th year guard at RT who will be starting for the first time. 

If OT turns out better than expected, then sky is the limit. But the fact is, we have a significantly harder path than any of the other 3 contestants in the Big 10 East and also two really big question marks at extremely vital positions. We are likely to struggle against a few defenses on our schedule.

If I'm wrong, that's great. But this is just me being realistic. It's a very tough schedule and we could be very iffy at tackle. 

 

06/22/2018 - 2:29am I expect him to do a very…

I expect him to do a very good job, but I don't think he can work miracles. 

06/21/2018 - 6:31pm I think you're setting…

I think you're setting yourself up for disappointment, dude. If we figure out OT, then the sky is the limit. But we are nowhere near figuring out OT. At present our projected LT is an RT who was at best okay at pass pro last year, and our projected RT is a 6th year guard who hasn't yet managed to crack the starting lineup. Could they be good enough to fight off the best DLs on our schedule? Sure, it's possible. Will they? I am very skeptical.  

Our schedule isn't an excuse--it's a fact. And so is our lack of options at OT. Unless something unforeseen happens, like Newsome coming back or Warriner working magic with JBB and Runyan, we will be a much improved team with not much to show for it. We won't get blown out by anyone and we'll win an uphill battle or two, but we'll also lose a couple games because the pocket collapses in 1-2 seconds. 

9-3 (6-2) seems likeliest to me. 

06/21/2018 - 6:24pm Actually I think OT will be…

Actually I think OT will be more pivotal than QB. Patterson will be good, but if we don't get major improvement at OT, he's going to be running around like mad against the small number of teams on our schedule who can generate pressure with their front 4 (ND, MSU, Wisconsin, OSU). If Warriner works his magic, though, and we get decent performance at OT, then we can beat anyone.

I don't expect that to happen, of course. I expect he'll get us to pretty-good-not-great play from the tackles. I just see OT as the most important variable.  

06/21/2018 - 6:14pm I usually don't expect much…

I usually don't expect much from these things, but those are all really smart predictions. I see it almost the same. Going out on a limb, here's what I predict:

OSU likely wins the east at 10-2, PSU benefits from the easiest schedule among the big 4 to go 10-2 as well, albeit with 2 conference losses as opposed to 1 for OSU. Michigan and MSU both go 9-3, though Michigan edges out MSU with a better conference record (and wins the tie-breaker over PSU thanks to winning the head-to-head). Final standings:

1. OSU 10-2 (8-1)

2. Michigan 9-3 (7-2)

3. PSU 10-2 (7-2)

4. MSU 9-3 (6-3) 

06/20/2018 - 10:00pm Agree with pretty much all…

Agree with pretty much all of this. I do think we can make it to that elite strata, though it will take time. In OSU's case, sure they do have a natural recruiting advantage, but really their sustained success stems from the fact that the athletic department made two extremely good coaching hires (from a football perspective) in a row--and the second one picked up from the first one while the first one still had the program performing at an elite level. Not many schools manage to do that, in part because successful coaches often remain tenured past the performance drop-off point. 

Also many athletic departments fail to follow one good hire up with another one. (Sometimes, of course, the hire seems good at the time but in retrospect is not.) But the fact is that OSU followed one HOF coach in Tressel (if he isn't barred from that thanks to the scandal) with an even better one in Meyer, and Meyer inherited a full cupboard. 

For us to get to that level, we need time to fill all the holes in the roster and get to the point where we only play freshmen and sophomores when they beat out very good, and experienced, juniors and seniors. 

 

06/15/2018 - 7:46pm Nice to see republicans and…

Nice to see republicans and democrats agree on something for once.

Also nice to see that at least some MSU trustees have their priorities straight. 

06/14/2018 - 7:41pm Germany is still a very good…

Germany is still a very good bet. Germany has one of the best squads, top to bottom, and even if a few of the stars are getting old, they arent over the hill yet. 

As for the others, I'm selling Brazil. World Cup is in Europe, which has typically been a barrier for the South American teams. Of course location didn't matter last time around, but you have to think it's still an advantage for a team like Germany and a disadvantage for a team like Brazil. Plus they just seem like paper tigers to me. 

Argentina could be good, but--Messi or not--may still have problems scoring. 

France could win it but are probably one tournament away from their peak. 

Spain could be a "dark horse" but I just don't see it with this squad. 

Sweden (my team) could notch an upset or two but won't make the finals. England won't make the finals either. 

06/10/2018 - 10:29pm We were close, but they had…

We were close, but they had a more balanced team and so did better than we did. I mean, look at the difference in the two bowl game performances. I don't think it's a stretch to say they were ahead of where we were at the end of the season. 

That said, I think we clearly have more growth potential. So while a lot of Sparties expect to beat us *because* they were a bit ahead of us last year, the smarter ones understand that we'll be a tougher nut to crack this year. 

06/04/2018 - 1:03am Yes and no

Old but not as old as you might think. The grievances mainly date back to the first Yugoslavia (1919-1941), which the Croats thought was going to be an equal partnership and the Serbs thought was going to be an extension of the Kingdom of Serbia. Before that, Serbian nationalists were mostly concerned with Turkey and the Croatian nationalists were mostly concerned with Hungary.

(But even then, the grievances weren't that intense. The serious problems began during WW2, when Mussolini and Hitler lost control of their local puppet, who initiated a genocide he couldn't see through. Not that Hitler had any conceptual issues with genocide, it's just that wanted Yugoslavia to be quiet while he invaded Russia. Instead he had to commit several divisions to pacifying the multipronged insurrection, which he was never able to do. The Communists then beat both the Croatian fascists and Serbian royalists/nationalists, both of whom decided that communism was a plot against them and only them.)

Also, during the later days of socialist Yugoslavia, the regional hooligan fights were usually as intense as the inter-ethnic ones (e.g. Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split, Red Star vs Partizan). They are still pretty damned intense. I knew some Dinamo "bad blue boys" when I lived there. Crazy dudes. Nice enough out of that context, though.   

 

06/03/2018 - 9:27pm Basically these are street gangs

The Football club just determines the territoriality. 

06/03/2018 - 9:26pm Not just Russia and not just recently

The whole "let's meet in a field and rumble" think is widespread across Europe. It's probably worst in Russia, Poland and the Balkans (including the northwestern/most Balkan-ish bits of Turkey) right now. But its not a new phenomenon. 

In 1990, during and after a match between Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade) and Dinamo Zagreb, hooligans for the two sides engaged in a massive, sprawling riot (both inside and outside the stadium).

A year later several of the "supporters clubs" for these teams (as well as Partizan and Hajduk Split) were organized into paramilitary outfits. One particularly notorious group, the Tigers, were led by a former bank robber named Arkan, and are blamed for a very long list of atrocities in Croatia, Bosnia and Kosovo. 

 

06/01/2018 - 11:33pm Mostly '90s dudes on my list

 

 

QB - Tom Brady

RB - Tyrone Wheatley

WR - Anthony Carter

TE - Jeramy Tuman

OL - Steve Hutchinson

DL - Maurice Hurst

LB - Larry Foote

CB - Charles Woodson

S - Ernest Shazor

K/P Return - Steve Breaston

K - Remy Hamilton

P - Hayden Epstein

 

05/31/2018 - 9:08am And Wisconsin losing

That seems fairly constant as well. 

05/31/2018 - 9:07am 28-0

Book it. 

05/31/2018 - 1:58am I could see 10-2

I think 9-3 is moderately more likely, given the schedule, but 10-2 seems fairly plausible to me. 

Obviously would prefer 12-0 :P

05/31/2018 - 1:56am Even though I wouldn't like to see 3 ties

It would also be kind of interesting. 

05/30/2018 - 3:04am That's a rational reaction, IMO

Granted, it doesn't always work out (see: Hoke firing Borges for Nussmeier). But then sometimes it does (see: Franklin hiring Moorhead). 

05/30/2018 - 12:54am Losses after 2018

The only really great players who are sure to leave are Winovich and Higdon. We'd also lose JBB, Kinnell, Perry and Furbush--all of whom are contributors but none of whom are world beaters. We *might* also lose Gary, Patterson, L. Hill and/or Bush Jr., but I'm guessing that only Gary and Patterson are big risks to forego their senior year.

 

05/29/2018 - 11:29pm Serious question for the "I've had it" crowd

If Michigan fails to meet your expectations in 2018, what would you like to see happen? 

05/29/2018 - 11:26pm Disagree with the take

People seem to forget that our program was mired in dysfunction for 8 years (2007-2014) and experienced 3 (!) coaching transitions, 2 of which involved attempts to completely rebuild the roster. That's why we are in a boom/bust cycle. 

What we really need, if you take a long-term view, is stability in the program and relatively even class sizes. If we get that, we can become a gap-blocking version of Wisconsin, only with better skill players. 

Sure, I want to go 11-1 and win the conference too. But I'm a skeptical realist by nature and just don't think we have an evenly-enough distributed mix of talent and experience to make that happen against our 2018 schedule. So I'm patient--as tough as that can be sometimes. I believe we will get there, starting in 2019, and that--once we do--we will be in a very good place for a very long time. 

05/29/2018 - 10:51pm This

...and it's not even clear that record was the driving force in Hand's case. I seem to recall he wanted to major in engineering, and Michigan engineering is a very different beast than Alabama engineering. Hard to know exactly what the main reason was in any event--just saying it's not even clear that our record made the difference in this one isolated case.

By contrast, I don't think it played a significant role--at all--for McDowell or Treadwell.

In the end, we finished with a class that was almost identical to the preceding two in terms of per-player average rating. That doesn't even constitute a downturn, let alone an implosion.   

05/29/2018 - 6:38pm But...recruiting did not implode after 2013

The 2014 class was just small, and that was a function of the 2012 and 2013 classes being large. The average score per recruit on the 247 composite was only slightly lower than in 2013 (89 vs 90). 

(The 2015 class was a different story, as it was a transition class.) 

05/28/2018 - 7:57pm Yeah, I agree

It would have been nice to see then run some other kinds of plays to take advantage of his athleticism, like jet sweeps--maybe one real and two fake per game. 

05/27/2018 - 11:14pm The Game

2002: would have deprived Tressel of his national championship, while our very good team (eventually ranked #9) probably would have ended up in the top 5.

2006: obvious reasons are obvious. 

2016: CFP