Hoops Recruitin' Gets Freaky
Grad transfer Grant Mullins visits this week. [Photo: Columbia Spectator]
After the departure of Aubrey Dawkins, Michigan has an open spot to fill, and this week has brought some clarity about how John Beilein plans to do so. First, here's a quick look at the scholarship situation:
Schol. | 2016-17 | 2017-18 | 2018-19 | 2019-20 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | M. Donnal | MAAR | M. Wagner | A. Davis |
2 | Z. Irvin | K. Chatman | D.J. Wilson | X. Simpson |
3 | D. Walton | D. Robinson | A. Davis | J. Teske |
4 | MAAR | M. Wagner | X. Simpson | I. Watson |
5 | K. Chatman | D.J. Wilson | J. Teske | J. Poole |
6 | D. Robinson | A. Davis | I. Watson | |
7 | M. Wagner | X. Simpson | J. Poole | |
8 | D.J. Wilson | J. Teske | ||
9 | A. Davis | I. Watson | ||
10 | X. Simpson | J. Poole | ||
11 | J. Teske | |||
12 | I. Watson | |||
13 |
There's the one spot to fill for 2016-17; Michigan could take a grad transfer and still have three open scholarships (plus 2017 commit Jordan Poole) to work with for the 2017 class, or they could take a late-rising 2016 recruit to round out what would be a five-person class. Both options are still on the table.
The Grad Transfer Route
As first reported by Sam Webb and confirmed by Brendan Quinn, Columbia grad transfer Grant Mullins will visit campus on Wednesday. Mullins is a 6'4" combo guard who knocked down 44% of his three-pointers last season, and he's Not Just A Shooter™; he made 49% of his twos, got to the line at the fourth-highest rate in the Ivy League, and even posted respectable defensive rebound and steal rates. Dylan has further statistical nuggets that are quite intriguing from Michigan's standpoint:
Mullins graded out in the 94th percentile nationally in pick-and-roll efficiency (including passes) according to Synergy Sports. He also graded out in the top ten percent of college basketball players in catch-and-shoot ability and shooting off the dribble.
Without Caris LeVert, M struggled to replicate their past success with the pick-and-roll. Ideally the team would have a player capable of reliably finishing at the rim who's also a willing distributor; last year, it was one (MAAR) or the other (Irvin/Walton). In addition to providing excellent outside shooting, Mullins could bring that dimension back to the offense.
Mullins took visits to Cal and Syracuse, and those two schools appear to be M's chief competition.
[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the roundup.]
The Freaky 2016 Route
If you're an NBA fan, you're probably familiar with the exploits of Milwaukee's 6'11" point forward, Giannis "The Greek Freak" Antetokounmpo, an athletic anomaly who's just beginning to realize his prodigious potential. His younger brother, Kostas Antetokounmpo, is a four-star 2016 forward with offers from Iowa State and Marquette along with heavy St. John's interest, and Sam Webb reports Michigan is showing interest.
Like his older brother, Kostas is 6'11" with raw skills that could see him become a matchup nightmare at any level, and I'd personally love to see Beilein add a player with his combination of size, athleticism, and upside. The downside here is Antetokounmpo might not be able to contribute right away; he's just 185 pounds and his shot is a work-in-progress.
I still think he's worth the risk, especially if M strikes out on Mullins. A player with his length and leaping ability could immediately help out Michigan's defense even if he's not great positionally, and he's got serious NBA potential down the road.
2017 Updates: Cain Blowing Up
In addition to commit Jordan Poole, Michigan has offered only two prospects so far in the 2017 class: four-star OH G/F Kyle Young and four-star IN F Jaren Jackson. That list should grow soon. Three-star Detroit Cornerstone Academy SF Jamal Cain has seen his stock rise considerably of late, and he'll visit Michigan for the full academic tour—a Beilein prerequisite for picking up an offer—on April 27th. Cain told Sam Webb he currently has Xavier, Washington State, and Georgia as his top three, but if a Michigan offer came it seems likely that would change:
“I’m looking at academics and (for a place) where I’m not just coming to sit on the bench," said Cain. “I would love to be somewhere close to my family so they can see more games, but if my best choice is a distance I would probably go."
"Right now I think (a decision will come) probably in November."
Michigan is currently in closer contact with Cain than Michigan State, so they should have the edge among in-state programs.
Speaking of 2017 in-state prospects, Beilein and Tom Izzo both visited five-star Saginaw SF Brian Bowen yesterday, per Scout's Evan Daniels. The Spartans are the early favorite in what will be a high-level national recruitment.
Poole, meanwhile, had a great opening to AAU season with an outstanding performance at the NY2LA Swish n' Dish. His shooting ability is on full display in his recently released junior year mixtape.
Etc.
Excellent feature from Quinn on Xavier Simpson:
"Do you see any Trey Burke in him?" the Michigan coached was asked.
Beilein could have ducked and dodged. He could have taken the question, scrubbed it clean and handed it back, without comparing a high school senior to the greatest point guard in Michigan basketball history.
Instead ...
"I do," Beilein said. "I see the dog in him, and I mean that as a positive."
That would be quite nice. Simpson was named to MaxPreps' All-American second-team. Fellow 2016 signee Austin Davis made both the News and Freep dream teams.
As for Spike Albrecht, he's looking at several programs, including the possibilty of teaming back up with LaVall Jordan in Milwaukee:
Michigan grad transfer Spike Albrecht told ESPN that he's looking at Purdue, Wichita State, Indiana, Texas A&M, Syracuse, USC & Milwaukee.
— Jeff Goodman (@GoodmanESPN) April 19, 2016
For the sake of Michigan fans, it's nice to see several non-B1G options on the table.
freakin' Cal and Syracuse, once again, thorns in our collective side.
Getting Antetokounmpo would be fantastic, I really never want to hear anything about a 5's ability to shoot, it has no bearing on what we need at that position.
if he decides to come to Michigan. He'll play the 3 or the 4.
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I dunno, he's 6'11 and he can't shoot, that sounds like a 5. If he has some handles that just means he can Moe Wagner some opposing 5's, either way that doesnt sound like a 4, especially not in a Beilein offense.
he's 6'10"-6'11" and can't shoot doesn't mean he's a 5. His skillset is much better suited at the 3/4. His older bro, Giannis can't shoot but he plays PG, SG, SF and PF for the Bucks.
Kostas's game is more of a slasher. He gets to the hoops and can step back and shoot 3. He's not a 5 and will never be a 5 under JB.
is now the PG for the Bucks. I'm pretty sure that it's a permanent thing.
Defensively, he might be the most legit 5 could offer right away, even as skinny as he is.
Almost anyone can play the 5 in Beilein's offense - you just have to set screens and roll to the basket. If you have other skills (shooting, passing, driving) that's just a bonus - wrinkles that can be used from the 5 too.
Even a Chatman-Giannis pick and roll would be more effective than a Donnal-Giannis pick and roll, but then you think of Irvin-Giannis (i.e., your 4 and 5) and Michigan's offense becomes unguardable.
But you absolutely NEED to have those 'other' skills to play the wing positions. Freshman rarely do more than be just-a-shooters for Beilein.
I think Giannis (and by extension his younger brother) would unquestionably be a 5-man on the Michigan team. He would just get used a lot more extensively than most 5-men are capable of being used on offense.
If it was just about offense, I think Beilein would choose to play 5 guys who are like Nik Stauskas and can do it all.
It all comes down to the biggest position you can defend and a 6'11 hyper-athletic dude is probably going to be a better defensive 5 than Donnal and Wagner from day 1.
not a C. He would not be a 5 under JB's system. He's a slasher and will be used that way.
Beilein has put every person he's ever had who is over 6'8 at the 5. This kid may not be a 5 exclusively, but if he can block shots and rebound you can be damn sure he'll play there because our current Cs can't.
Having a range of skills doesn't preclude you from playing center. See: Draymond Green and Anthony Towns. Beilein's an extreme example of playing small-ball and I'm sure he dreams at night of a 6'11 center who can also dribble, drive, pass and hit 3s because duh.
If he has a guy like that and has the option of playing Mark Donnal beside him or Duncan Robinson -- he's going to play the guy who can hit half his open 3s.
at C. KAT plays more of a 4 than a 5 but guards 5. Wolves PF are more of a 5 than a 4.
Beilein's 1-4 need to be able to shoot the 3, this guy can't, but he is 6'11 and can guard opposing 5's. He's a 5, he's just a super mobile, athletic one.
Chatman can't shoot. GRIII is a meh shooter yet they can play the wing. Kostas can guard SF/PF and he doesn't have the body/strength to guard the 5. He's not a 5 for JB.
Simpson will be the only true PG on the roster that year as of now.
I think there is no question a PG will be added to the roster in 2017 to replace Walton. It may or may not be a freshman, or a highly rated guy, but they will need another PG.
I forgot what tenacity on the glass looked like as I was watching Cain's highlights.
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does every Big team have room to steal our grad transfers, and here we are, #9 or whatever in the Big Ten, with no room??
Because Beilein has spent a lot of scholarships on role players while other teams landed star players.
It's about fit. When you have an all-conference/NBA player you need complementary guys who can help them be their best. Michigan doesn't need that - they need to find their alpha.
I've seen Teske play a few times. Kid has skills and a great work ethic. Don't see him mentioned much in our future plans. I think Beilein might feel differently
I kind of doubt it.
April 20th, 2016 at 11:38 AM ^
Beilein seems to be telling everyone that this will be Donnal's last year unless something changes.
This is why it's a slight negative when we recruit guys who need to redshirt. They're going to play 3 years, not 4.
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That's all I want for Christmas (in November). Just defense.
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