- Member for
- 2 years 30 weeks
|4 weeks 1 hour ago||Exactly, Michael Wilbon would||
Exactly, Michael Wilbon would literally never shut up about it.
|4 weeks 1 hour ago||"they could easily drop all||
"they could easily drop all athletics with little to no backlash from students or alumni"
please give me the name of the guy that gets you whatever you're on. People would go absolutely berserk if any major conference school dropped all their athletics.
|4 weeks 3 days ago||Maybe this is a downer thing||
Maybe this is a downer thing to say, but making spectacular catches has never been Funchess' problem. I'd be much more excited to see a video of him making a bunch of routine catches on slant patterns without dropping any.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||^^ this. Current system: a||
Current system: a handful of schools dominate the recruitment of elite prospects and can spend insane amounts on coaches and facilities.
System where boosters can pay players: a handful of schools (maybe a slightly different handful...I'm thinking Oklahoma State's classes might rank a little higher than the 30s with T. Boone Pickens' money going directly to recruits) dominate the recruitment of elite prospects and can spend insane amounts on coaches and facilities.
|9 weeks 19 hours ago||Finished on Sunday, There's||
Finished on Sunday, There's nothing I don't love about this show.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||I don't really agree with||
I don't really agree with Foote about much in here, but I have often taken notice of the fact Michigan's recruits lately have been disproportionately from high SES-backgrounds. I think its a little ridiculous to say "Michigan isn't tough" because a lot of our kids aren't "ghetto," but at the same time, the types of families these kids have probably isn't entirely an accident. Do the coaches have blinders on directing them only/mostly at certain kinds of kids, and are they missing talent because of it? It doesn't seem terribly likely, given how strong Hoke's recruiting classes have been, but maybe there's a little something to that idea.
|11 weeks 3 days ago||Well, theoretically, if you||
Well, theoretically, if you landed like 5 5* CBs or something and didn't have enough scholarships left over to sign guys at a different position of need, that'd be a way to have too many 5*s
But, yeah, the answer to this question is no.
|12 weeks 4 days ago||meta-question: why does the||
meta-question: why does the "Essentials" section of the basketball previews feature the Kenpom line, as opposed to the football previews, which have the betting line? Seems strange that you would switch it up rather than keep it consistent (obviously using Massey or something for football lines, if you prefer computer lines to betting lines, since Kenpom doesn't do football). Seems doubly strange to not have the betting line since the Kenpom line gets its own section in basketball previews anyhow.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Actually... Jimmy Fitzgerald:||
Jimmy Fitzgerald: "I haven’t ever talked to [Borges] too much, Coach Mallory is my main contact"
Nick Johns: "It’s been a long time since I’ve talked with Coach Borges."
Alex Malzone: "I haven’t talked to Coach Borges since my Ohio State visit."
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Except David Sills, who holds||
Except David Sills, who holds one of the two 2015 QB offers we've sent out and has two teammates committed to M, told Brandon that he had "actually never talked to Coach Borges." That's not "I'm no longer recruiting QBs because I know I am about to be fired," that's "I don't recruit QBs."
|19 weeks 3 days ago||Initially read that tweet as||
Initially read that tweet as if it meant a cat skittering down the icy hill and then into the parallel parking spot. The visual and mixed metaphor were pretty amusing.
|24 weeks 5 days ago||Wisconsin?||
What is an Wisconsin?
|25 weeks 2 days ago||It's also interesting to||
It's also interesting to consider how bad you would have to be at punting in order for going for the 4th down to be worth it. Above, netting 45 yards per punt yields a 17% win probability, while going for it has an expectation of 14% win probability.
-A 40 yard punt yields 17% win probability
-A 35 yard punt yields 16% win probability
-A 30 yard punt yields 14% win probability
So, punting is the play so long as you can net at least 30 yards.
|25 weeks 2 days ago||Math||
This thread needs some numbers. Numbers from Advanced NFL Stats' Win Probability and 4th Down Calculators. Obviously the numbers here aren't going to be 100% spot on since the calculator is based on the NFL instead of college, but they can still be instructive.
Situation: 4th and 4, ball on your own 10 yard line, 5:00 to play, down 4. The calculator is giving us a baseline 17% win probability before we do anything.
So, if you have a punting unit where you can be reasonably sure of netting 45 yards, then punting will give your opponent the ball on their own 45. In that situation, with 5 minutes to go, you can expect your opponent to score the game-icing TD 23% of the time and the FG another 16% of the time. In all, the opponent will have a 83% chance of winning from that position. All of our 17% win probability is preserved.
If you take the safety, then that same punting unit will result in the opponent getting the ball on their own 35, but up 6 points now. In that situation, the opponent's odds of scoring a TD or FG go down to 20% and 12% respectively, but their win odds go up to 86%.
Going for it will be break-even from a win-probability standpoint if we can succeed 71% percent of the time, which is not terribly realistic. The calculator estimates that going for it will decrease our expected win probability to 14%.
So, going by those numbers, punting is superior to any other play by 3% win probability, and taking the safety yields the same win probability as going for it.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||Agree with a lot of what's||
Agree with a lot of what's been said so far. One guy I haven't seen mentioned as meeting/exceeding expectations but should be is Countess...one of the nation's leaders in INTs, has provided really good coverage all year, and on the rare occasions when he's been beaten, he often shows good recovery speed and makes a play anyway. Definitely a strong return from his injury imo.
If I had to choose another guy who hasn't been mentioned, I don't think James Ross has really lived up to expectations. That might be/probably is because those expectations were so high after his breakout freshman campaign, but his tackling hasn't taken the step forward I had hoped to see.
|27 weeks 6 days ago||I'm on board, would make an||
I'm on board, would make an excellent excuse to go visit London if it were at Wembley like the NFL ones are.
But yeah, I'd rather see the AD put the energy into scheduling a home and home with Texas or FSU or something.
|28 weeks 2 days ago||I have no idea by what||
I have no idea by what mechanism taking away freshman eligibility "forces" the NFL and NBA to create minor leagues. Yes, that would make going to college less attractive to those athletes who don't have any interest in school, but so what? The fact that there is a potential labor force that wants to be paid does not imply that anyone will pay them..."demand for labor" comes from employers, not potential employees.
The NFL and NBA are 100% fine with the current arrangement whereby the nation's universities identify and develop youth talent for them; tweaking the eligibility rules will not change that. The only way those minor leagues will be established is if we eliminate the current ones, i.e. big time college football and basketball.
Also, if the problem Bacon sees with college athletics is that everything is too driven by money, taking away freshman eligibility does nothing to address that. The big time money in college football and basketball comes from TV - the rights deals that conferences and schools sign with third-party broadcasters, and the cable networks the conferences are setting up for themselves. That money is still going to get made regardless of if freshmen can play. It's not like if you declare freshmen ineligible, ESPN is suddnely gonna say "welp, we don't want to pay you hundreds of millions for the right to broadcast your games anymore." That wouldn't make sense in any era, but it especially doesn't make sense in the modern age when live sports events (aka, "the only thing anyone is willing to sit through commercials to watch anymore") are the single most valuable properties a broadcaster can have.
As long as the games are played, people will want to watch them. As long as people want to watch the games, networks will be willing to pay big money for the rights to broadcast them. And as long as networks are willing to pay big money to broadcast games, and as long as college administrators aren't, you know, **stupid**, the peurile vision of college athletics that "exist for their own sake" and aren't "corrupted" by the evil influence of money is nothing more than nostalgic fantasy.
|28 weeks 3 days ago||Had that exact thought||
Truly bizarre argument from Heiko, I can only hope he's not being serious.
I feel compelled to note that contracts are guaranteed in professional baseball and basketball...if the Giants sign Barry Zito to a 7 year, $126 million contract, and he starts sucking, the Giants can demote him to AAA or cut him, but they're still paying him that money. "You can't be fired if you suck" is not a rule exclusive to "amateur" athletics.
It's also worth noting that even though Michigan will honor its scholarship commitments to non-performing players, many schools will not. Good luck trying to survive 4 years on scholarship on the practice squad at Alabama or another chronic oversigner.
|31 weeks 5 days ago||idk how hard they are to||
idk how hard they are to train, but in Russia they've created a breed of completely domesticated foxes...you can buy one for like $10k or so. Almost seems worth it, they're absurdly cute
|31 weeks 6 days ago||Good post. It should also be||
Good post. It should also be noted that there's a chance Player B evolves into Player ALPHA AND OMEGA, the guy who passes as well as any Player A but is also a gamebreaking threat with his legs (RG3 would be the best example of this).
|31 weeks 6 days ago||I can only assume people who||
I can only assume people who call Speight a "statue" have never watched his highlight tape and are merely stereotyping based on his height and skin color. Utterly indefensible statement to make about a kid who rips off at least one 50-yard run and frequently shows great ability to escape the rush in the pocket and throw on the run.
|31 weeks 6 days ago||You're wrong on both counts.||
You're wrong on both counts. The coaches are taking strong looks at a number of dual-threat guys in 2015, including Kevin Dillman, Sheriron Jones, Brandon Wimbush, and Cinjun Erskine. They're also obviously going after "pro-style" (although I increasingly think "pro-style" is a misnomer when describing QBs that can't run very well) like Josh Rosen, Kyle Kearns, Brady White, Jack Beneventi, Alex Malzone, etc., but there are definitely dual threat options on the table in 2015.
Meanwhile, Messiah deWeaver is not a dual threat.
|32 weeks 3 days ago||Marshon Lattimore tweeted it||
Marshon Lattimore tweeted it was "the best half time show [he's] seen so far"
So, yeah, good for crootin
|32 weeks 3 days ago||"only the 2009 and 2010 games||
"only the 2009 and 2010 games compare to tonight's in my (admittedly recency-biased) memory."
2009 (Forcier) and 2010 (Denard goes berserk 1.0) had incredible finishes, but UTL 1 was in 2011...and I think we can pretty safely call that one the clubhouse leader in end-of-game lunacy
|32 weeks 5 days ago||dude...no. He was joking. It||
He was joking. It was hyperbole. It's an expression.
|34 weeks 5 hours ago||Super jealous of you||
Super jealous of you MGoExPats, and wish I had been smart enough to ask a question like this when I was studying abroad in London. At the time I just figured it was hopeless and streamed games on my computer.
|34 weeks 4 days ago||action shot from twitter||
|34 weeks 5 days ago||I see an exciting fake or two||
I see an exciting fake or two in his future
|34 weeks 6 days ago||24 male NYC GW||
GW undergrad/Columbia law
I was always partial to Hermes
|34 weeks 6 days ago||(No subject)||