that makes one of us
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|2 weeks 5 days ago||Math||
For the cost of a regular season student ticket at $295, instead you can now get the same thing but with 0 validation cost, take your whole family, uncle, etc.
$295 ~ $20 + $40*5 + cost of PSU game on stubhub
|2 weeks 5 days ago||"Validation fees will be||
"Validation fees will be waived for single-game tickets purchased."
So this means that students can buy them and immediately re-sell on stubhub to anyone? Will any of these games go for more than $40 on stubhub?
|3 weeks 19 hours ago||Agreed||
This is truely idoitic. How are these first 2 games at all affiliated with the tournament?
This is so stupid.
|5 weeks 5 days ago||Agreed||
First thought I had when I saw this.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||agreed||
If you've been to an indoor meet in the past few years and watched the 800/1K/mile/3K, it is generally not very impressive and the depth is pretty bad. Michigan's track results at the B1G Championships in these events for the past few years has been atrocious. Pathetic given what we were in the Brannen/Willis years.
Sullivan to me is a shift back towards track, but I defintely have hesitiations gievn that Gibby transformed the quality of the XC squad and seemed to help with our development in the longest distance track event. I'm guessing Sullivan will help more with recruiting, and talent generally wins out so my concerns will be eased if he starts recruiting like a champ.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||Sullivan||
Interesting choice, certainly he has the career pedigree and Michigan connections. I do hope that on the gradient from Warhurst (all about Mid-distance and overall low mileage philosophy) and Gibby (very high mileage, and focus on XC/10K), he can find the right balance to move the program forward both in terms of XC and in track. Warhurst failed at XC and Gibby failed at track, especially mid-D. No reason Michigan can't be a top 10 team in both.
|9 weeks 6 days ago||Everyone has their own||
Everyone has their own opinion. O'Toole and Fisher just raced this past weekend head-to-head and Fisher won and ran 4:02.02. The kid from mass has a PR of 4:01.89. Fisher won the national championship in cross country, so for me that tips it in his favor. Perhaps equal in track but Fisher is better in XC.
|9 weeks 6 days ago||Perspective||
This is a bit surprising, as I do think that Gibby has done a great job transforming the cross country program from doormat to a nationally relevant program. At least they are getting to NCAAs after years of futility.
My guess is this decision is being driven more by (a) His role in track, and (b) Recruiting. In terms of track, I do believe that Gibby is a poor coach for middle distances which hurts the overall track team's ability to score points at the Big Ten meet. It is well known in track circles that 10K/XC guys add relatively little value to the track team vs. a mid distance guy who can run more events (800/1000/1500/mile), has more ability to run multiple events at big meets, and can contribute to relays. Just look at the UM Woman's program to see how mid distance can buoy team scoring. Gibby was all about the XC/10K development, perhaps to the detriment of the shorter distances.
As for recruiting, Gibby hasn't really pulled in any big superstars to help the program. My opinion is that UM should do whatever they can to land a rising Sr. named Grant Fisher from Grand Blanc. He is the top distance runner in the country with his senior year still to come. If they can get him, whoever coaches the team will look great.
|11 weeks 22 hours ago||UNC||
Based on this letter alone, this kid would get an A at UNC in one of those term classes. Very nice writing for a 17 year old kid, I'm impressed.
|11 weeks 6 days ago||Awesome||
I was at this meet! This was Denard's freshman year so he was a relative unknown. I saw him outside warming up when I was walking to the meet and said "hi and good luck". He nodded back to me.
|14 weeks 2 days ago||Grade||
I have him much higher than 8th. Guy has the potential to become the greatest shooter in the history of the NBA and he can beat a guy off the dribble too. Also he brings instant excitement to your team instead of just being another drive in the lane and try to draw a foul kind of player.
I'd take Nik #1.
|16 weeks 1 day ago||agree||
I agree to an extent, though still not happy with DB.
|17 weeks 1 hour ago||Yes, I do understand that the||
Yes, I do understand that the MSU and OSU games would not be 0%. Maybe 25% for each of them.
But the point is that if you think we're favored in 10 games of 12, there is a lot more downside in games where we're favored but may lose anyways (see Akron, UCONN and PSU last season) than there is upside in games we're undogs in but may pull out a win. There are 10 opportunities to underperform vs. 2 to overperform.
My only point is that the thread title is misleading, because no where in the article does it state that a 10-2 record is being predicted. All that we learn from the article is who is favored in the writer's mind on a game by game basis. If you did the correct math, this could actually be anything from 5-7 (assuming 50.1% in each game she has us winning, 0% in others) to 11-1 (assume 100% in the games she has us winning and 49.9% in the other 2).
Any reasonable math mapping her statements (predicting close wins against ND, PSU, IU) to probabilities nets out with 8-4 or 9-3.
|17 weeks 1 hour ago||Fallacy||
Picking Michigan to beat everyone except OSU and MSU is DIFFERENT than picking them to go 10-2. For Example, If I thought Michigan had a 65% chance to win each game, I'd still pick them on a game-by-game basis but then overall I'd expect them to go 8-4. You see how probabilities work?
I'm sure if you forced Angelique to set probabilities and then did the math, she'd be more at 9-3 or even 8-4. That's just not how the media has ever done predictions because its easier to think in black and white (either X is true or Y is true, the truth is usually in between).
A correct method for picking an overall record is to use the Mathelete's technique.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||Congrats!||
Thanks for the update, I love this sort of thing and it sounds like the club cycling team is going strong! Cycling is a great great sport, so keep at it. Would love to get this sort of update from MRun, the club running group at Michigan. Raptor - tell the Mrun kids that mgoblog wants an update.
Special shout out to Fred Feng, a friend of mine from UM. We were in the same program and did a triathlon together a couple years back.
|18 weeks 1 day ago||Yes||
Have to agree with this. The only things that have gotten me excited this offseason were 1) Borges out, Nuss in, and 2) Freddy Canteen hype. The rest of the spring "news" has been depressing, O line and QBs sucked in spring, Lindsey going elsewhere, JMFR playing in the middle, etc. injuries to the one guy who can play tackle, etc.
|18 weeks 1 day ago||Silas Redd||
I'm officially calling this "pulling a Silas Redd".
Definition - Transferring to a school with an asshat head coach because of the perception of a chance to "win championships".
|18 weeks 5 days ago||Arbitrage||
What if they don't buy tickets specifically because they have idenfied an arbitrage opportunity to buy them cheaper on the secondary market?
|18 weeks 6 days ago||Point||
This is proving my point. How many teams that finished outside of the top 7 last season have made the top 7 this season? ZERO.
And only Liverpool and United have moved by more than a single spot.
AND, this is much more movement than typcial because United and Liverpool have been much better/worse than expected.
|18 weeks 6 days ago||MLS MLS!||
Not happy with the total disrespect for MLS on this thread. The league has evolved considerably in the past few years and the quality of the play is very high. Plus it’s in our backyard, and contains former Michigan players like Justin Merem and Soony Saad. For the top few MLS clubs, the stadium atmosphere now rivals that of the EPL. Its also on TV more often, or for an affordable $40 or $50 you can watch many of the games on the computer with MLS Live, which I subscribe to.
I recommend following the national team (both mens AND womans), and follow MLS. Then follow Americans playing abroad a bit. Yes, I watch the champion’s league when I can to keep up with the very top clubs in the world. EPL is boring, same teams in the same order every year. The biggest storylines in the EPL this season are United being 3-5 spots worse than expected and Liverpool 3-5 spots better. That's it. Those are the main stories. How exciting!
I get the quality of play argument, but by that same token why do we all watch Michigan football when the NFL is available?
Just want to also put out the chicken and egg argument. Americans won't watch MLS until the quality is better, but the quality won't improve until more people watch. All I'm suggesting is to
|19 weeks 6 days ago||Disagree||
I disagree with most of this premise. The whole "everyone is doping so it creates an even playing field" is the argument that frustrates me the most when it comes to doping.
First off, its not true in cycling now nor was it true in cycling 10-15 years ago. Sure, its likely that the top 20 finishers in the TDF were all doping, but I do think that many many professionals were not doping. Based on "Reasoned Decision", and Tyler Hamilton's book, its clear that the sophisticated programs were reserved for the team leaders. On top of that, there are many stories of professionals who quit the sport because they were not willing to dope. These people are victums of doping.
Secondly, its not an even playing field as introducing doping results in different people winning than might have won clean. Different riders benefit differently from doping. It is well documented that LA had a relatively low natural hemocrit level vs. other riders. Thus when he could dope up to the 50% threshold to avoid a negative test, he had more to gain that others. So even if its an even playing field, its a DIFFERENT playing field. You are rewarding people who respond more to drugs.
Lastly, I will say that I think cycling is more clean than it was, and much much cleaner than the NBA/NFL/MLB. Strigent testing gives a sport more positive tests and a bad reputation but does help clean things up. Unfortunately, I'm highly skeptical of Chris Horner winning the Vuelta last year and think he is an ex-doper and likely current doper.
|19 weeks 6 days ago||Phinney||
Phinney is my favorite rider along with Tejay VanGuarderen for the stage races. I serious hope these guys are clean.
Sunday should be very exciting, been following the tour for about a decade and only recently starting following the sport year round. For me the drama of the biggest one-day races is on par with the big mountaintop finishes in the tour, generally very high drama and tactics!
I'm a triathlete, love the feeling of a hard ride.
|23 weeks 2 days ago||Profit?||
Where does the $2 profit go? If it goes to the blog, I'm 100% in, if it goes elsewhere, I'm 100% out, if its split, then I am split.
|24 weeks 1 day ago||Personally I think the new||
Personally I think the new policy is near-optimal. Only thing I'd change is to reward seniority a bit more, for example by using a points formula of:
Priority = last year pts + 50% 2 years ago pts + 25% 3 years ago points.
That way the senior who has attended for the past 3 years but may have missed the 30minute deadline once or twice is not usurped by underclassman.
|37 weeks 5 days ago||Maybe||
Or perhaps as fans we don't understand the real value of performance. If a team could guarentee a 30HR and .900 OPS season, perhaps this is worth $50M/season.
The reason these contracts seem so bloated is that a huge fraction of baseball players are underpaid because they are either arbitration or pre-arbitration. If all players had a 2 year rookie deal and then became FAs, then 31 year olds like Cano would not get this kind of money, younger players would make more, and there'd be more fairness. Because so many are systematically underpaid, it frees up more money for the FAs to really cash in.
|37 weeks 5 days ago||Yes||
I think we could win the world cup this year. Its highly unlikely, but things happen. It'd be less of an upset than Greece winning the European Championships.
As for the future, we are a country of 350M with a growing soccer culture, we have a ton of 2nd generation Americans growing up with the soccer culture from other places, MLS is focuing more on youth development, and we are probably a top 15 or 20 team in the world right now. No reason we can't become a global power in the next 30 years. Then there is lady luck, once we are a top 5-10 team, those teams are very close and anything can happen. I think you will see an enormous change during our lifetime.
Where we still lag behind is true superstar talent. Jozy/Bradley/Dempsey/Donovan may be worth 15M Euros (at their maximum value throughout their careers) but we have no Neymar/Ronaldo/Messi or even a Rooney/Van Persie/Ozil/etc.
|37 weeks 6 days ago||Scenarios||
FIFA is European biased so the draw design favors the European teams heavily because Pot 4 is essentially a de facto second seeded pot, it contains the top ranked teams outside of Pot A minus Chile and the US. This draw design hurts the US the most of all of the teams, as the USA's group is the group with the lowest average rank on average if you simulated this thing a zillion times.
You just have to embrace the group of death thing and realize it'd be fine to get in a tough group. If we lose to some big teams, that would be expected. If we beat some and advance to the knockouts, that'd be considered a super sucessful world cup.The other option is getting a relatively easier draw and then we'd be in the camp of needing to advance to knockouts in order to make the World Cup at all sucessful. I also think the group of death thing could drive TV ratings, as many more Americans would tune in for USA-England or USA-Brazil vs. USA-Nigeria or USA-Greece.
|40 weeks 5 days ago||Gibby||
Its been a nice imporovement certainly, though Gibby has been relatively weaker in track where you need guys to score points across 800m/1500m/5K/SC/etc. instead of getting the entire team prepared for 8K or 10K XC. He is a high mileage strength based coach.
For those not familiar with XC scoring, the men's race was about as close as any race you'll ever see. 4 teams seperated by 5 points, I don't think I've seen that before in 15 years around the sport.
|40 weeks 5 days ago||Awesome||
Both teams got retailation for Big Ten's, and both are going to Nationals. Woman lost to MSU at Big Ten's and beat them today. Men lost to Indiana at Big Ten's and beat them today.
Hope they can make some noise at Nationals!
|41 weeks 18 hours ago||More||
If you have all of the data in an accesible format, go ahead and put up some graphs as well. One I'd love to see is the cumulative distribution function for plays with a run play-call vs. pass playcall (includes sacks and scrambles). The usual thinking is that passing is greater is terms of yards per play, but that running is lower variance. However, my guess for this team is that the probability of acquiring X or more yards is always greater passing vs. running, even when X=1,2, or 3.