Saturday Best Bets

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on

Please post your bets, or what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.  I'll start:

 

(Last Week record:  1-4,   Overall Record:  5-5)

Hawaii at Army.  12 Noon eastern.  Pick:  Hawaii +6

Vanderbilt at Notre Dame. 2:30pm  Pick: Vanderbilt  +14 (-120)

LSU at Auburn. 3:30pmPick:  LSU +10

South Florida vs Illinois. 3:30pm Pick:  South Florida -10.5

Houston at Texas Tech.  Pick:  Houston -1

USC at Texas.  8pm   Pick:  Texas -3 (-120)

 

 

Early morning EPL bonus:

Tottenham vs Liverpool (7:30AM):   Both teams to score and total over 2.5 goals (-120)

 

 

Noteable spreads of discussion:

 

Michigan currently is a -36 point favorite .  Over/Under 53

Ohio St is currently a -13.5 point favorite over TCU (home team).  Over/Under 59

 

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

A2MIKE

September 15th, 2018 at 12:00 AM ^

Kansas -2.5 

Syracuse +3

Missouri -6

LSU +10.5

Little known fact.  Our fearless leader is 0-6 with his predictions against the spread over the last 6 games and 2-10 over his last 12, so SMU +35.5?

MH20

September 15th, 2018 at 9:37 AM ^

To be fair, not all of the game previews in that span were written by Brian. In fact, SMU is the first one written by him this season as Seth did the ND and WMU ones.

Unless of course Brian makes separate predictions on the radio show that contradict Seth's game previews, in which case I got nothin'.

BeatOSU52

September 15th, 2018 at 12:21 AM ^

The sharps appear to agree with you on me losing LSU.    67 percent of the bets have come in on LSU over the week with just 49 percent of the money backing them, which is probably why the line started at 9.5 and has been hanging around 10.5 lately.     LSU is such a wildcard that I'm sure we'll know quickly if they'll lay an egg or it'll come down the last possession

BeatOSU52

September 15th, 2018 at 12:10 AM ^

It's actually +7 on a lot of books right now.   I didn't think the line was going to go to that when I got it at 6.   

 

Just reading that Army has gotten about 39 percent of bet tickets but 59 percent of the money is on Army, so that's indicating the Sharps are actually on Army.  Which I don't like, but we shall see. I'd rather have that happen in college verses the NFL at least if I was forced to be against the sharps in one of the two

goblue12820

September 15th, 2018 at 2:03 AM ^

I like the USF bet. I prefer the under on LSU/Auburn (I got it at 45.5). I think gambling on USC/Texas is crazy. Total coin flip, not sure how you would trust either of those teams. 

sum1valiant

September 15th, 2018 at 7:00 AM ^

Indiana -14.5 vs Ball state.  Theres a tremendous amount of value in Indiana, as Ball St is giving up points after keeping Notre Dame close. 

Troy +10 @ Nebraska.  Troy is one of the better group of 5 teams out there (despite taking a beating from a very good Boise St team). Theres a good chance Nebraska doesnt have their dynamic true freshman starting QB, and if they dont, I think troy wins this one outright. 

 

lhglrkwg

September 15th, 2018 at 7:43 AM ^

I'd take OSU -13. This feels like a 42-20 type game

I'll take Syracuse +3 as well. It's in Syracuse, their offense is a decent, and FSU has looked awful

LSAClassOf2000

September 15th, 2018 at 8:22 AM ^

South Florida seems like a safe bet. I cannot see a scenario where Illinois wins.

TCU-Ohio State? Part of me wants to say that this game is interesting for a while, but I think Ohio State can pull this one out. 

titanfan11

September 15th, 2018 at 8:57 AM ^

Gut feelings looking at yours:

Army -6 (don't like the long travel, early start)

ND -14 (last week was a letdown situation)

LSU, USF agree

Houston -1 (this is the kind of game they will win to get into the Group of  5 playoff discussion, then lose late in the year)

Texas -3

Others I would lean:

Georgia -33

Mizzou -6.5

OSU - 13.5

San Diego State +5.5

WiscGoBlue

September 15th, 2018 at 10:00 AM ^

A couple underdogs I like to win is Syracuse at home against FSU and Hawaii on the road at Army. Syracuse has an explosive offense with Eric Dungey and FSU has looked lost and abysmal early on. Hawaii has a gunslinger in Cole McDonald. He will need a big game if they want to pull off another "upset". Hawaii won their first 2 games as double digit dogs.