Projecting Our Chances of Making the NCAA Tournament
January 20th, 2015 at 11:06 PM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 12:34 AM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:07 PM ^
Much better, the attitudes around here are sickening. It's not over yet!
(it's gonna take a small miracle, but have faith)
January 21st, 2015 at 8:52 AM ^
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?
January 21st, 2015 at 3:15 PM ^
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January 20th, 2015 at 11:07 PM ^
If Beilien pulls that off he is the greatest coach ever. It's going to be damn near impossible to reach the necessary win total and then our bad losses are going to really hurt us if we are on the bubble.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:54 PM ^
It may appear that the NIT is the "ceiling" for this year's team, but I am not giving up. JB is capable of pullling off some incredible coaching jobs from time to time. This team is having so much trouble that I think we may see Beilein slow the tempo down, "shorten" games and hope for the best.
The odds are against MIchigan, but it isn't the first time that has happened.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:08 PM ^
Nebraska made it last year with 19 wins - the fewest of any at-large team. So we can assume we'd make it with 19 - if we can beat Wisconsin at home. With NJIT and EMU on our resume, we need a marquee win.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:12 PM ^
I know it's a current snapshot, but I can't believe that beating Indiana and Iowa is good enough to earn an 8 seed in most projections. If that's the case, we should be a couple home upsets (Wisc, OSU or MSU) away from being on the bubble.
BTW, NJIT has a winning record and EMU is two 1-point losses away from being 14-3. If our "bad" losses start to look better, that may boost our profile if we pull those upsets.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:47 PM ^
Sparty is always going to be "in" unless they finish under .500 becasue of the media's continuous Tom Izzo slurpfest. Even though he has shown himself to be a very good coach but not deserving of "legendary" status the media have bestowed upon him, he is still going to get every benefit of the doubt at every possible opportunity.
January 21st, 2015 at 3:16 PM ^
...is #33 at Massey, #23 at KenPom.
That's an 8-seed at worst, for the moment, unless you think their computers have also been programmed with some sort of irrational pro-Sparty bias.
Michigan is #71 at Massey, #95 at KenPom.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:12 PM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:16 PM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 1:54 AM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:18 PM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 2:40 AM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:21 PM ^
Yes, it's the attitude the team should have, but we have two absolutely horrible home losses, something 19-win bubble teams rarely have, and our conference schedule so far has been weaker than probably anyone's.
January 21st, 2015 at 12:29 AM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:22 PM ^
We'll see what happens, but I'm just going to enjoy 1 game at a time. Watching a team that is coached well and seeing young talent improve is so different than watching the football team.
They could easily go on a 5-6 game losing streak while still playing well.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:23 PM ^
In Beilein we trust and all, but I'm just not seeing it without the offense improving massively in the very near future. Right now I'm filing this in the same bin as the "What happens to Hoke if we win out" question from early October: technically it's possible, but not really.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:24 PM ^
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January 21st, 2015 at 12:40 PM ^
But do you trust Beilein?
January 20th, 2015 at 11:27 PM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:44 PM ^
January 20th, 2015 at 11:57 PM ^
They will get invited to one of those CBI or whatever tourneys that are out there even if they are under .500
I think JB would accept too with a team this young.
January 20th, 2015 at 11:50 PM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 8:53 AM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 2:38 AM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 6:51 AM ^
Taking into consideration that not all of the brackets tracked by BracketMatrix are kept current in a manner that makes me wholly comfortable reporting the data sometimes (also, the realiability of various models is an issue sometimes), there is one bracket prediction for the NCAA Tournament that does involve us - TNBracketProject has Michigan as a 10-seed in their prediction. That would be about it over there for now barring updates.
January 21st, 2015 at 7:37 AM ^
January 21st, 2015 at 7:57 AM ^
They lose 1-2 more games the rest of the year and they're in, but beyond that it'll be tough.
January 21st, 2015 at 11:38 AM ^
6-5 the rest of the conference schedule with a win in the conference tourney is certainly possible.
January 21st, 2015 at 3:36 PM ^
...there's a lot of work to be done.
Michigan's record against (using Massey):
- top 50: 0-4
- 51-100: 4-1
- 101-200: 4-1
- 201-500: 2-1
- 501+: 2-0
The last time Michigan played a top-50 team and didn't lose by double digits was last November.
The best road win is @ #110 Penn State.
They're #95 at KenPom, looking up at such luminaries as N.C. Central, Eastern Ky and Toledo.
That's not a good resume.