OT: Weekend Betting - Week 5
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Last week record: 5-3 ; Overall season record: 19-15)
Saturday:
Kentucky at Ole Miss, 12pm: Kentucky +7
Temple at Memphis, 12pm: Over 50
Alabama at Arkansas, 3:30pm: Arkansas +17.5
Wake Forest at Florida St, 3:30pm: Wake Forest +7
FAU at North Texas, 4pm: Over 67.5
Texas A&M at Mississippi St, 4pm: Mississippi St -4
Liberty at Old Dominion, 6pm: Liberty -4
Troy at Western Kentucky, 7pm: Troy +5
Cincinnati at Tulsa, 7pm: Tulsa +10
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 10.5 point favorite over Iowa. Over/Under is 42.
Maryland currently sits as a 7.6 point favorite over Michigan St (at Maryland)
Ohio St currently sits as a 39.5 point favorite over Rutgers (at OSU)
Baylor currently sits as a 2.5 point favorite over Oklahoma St (at Baylor)
Clemson currently sits as a 6.5 point favorite over NC St (at Clemson)
Other lines:
September 30th, 2022 at 5:07 PM ^
Michigan to cover.
Feels safer than the under, which I would probably go with... something like 27–6.
But could be 42–3, too...
September 30th, 2022 at 5:12 PM ^
The Liberty Flames are Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week!
September 30th, 2022 at 5:19 PM ^
In other words you've threatened to poison the ODU coaches' wives if Liberty doesn't cover...?
September 30th, 2022 at 5:37 PM ^
Vlad does not make threats. The coaches simply know what is expected and motivate themselves to avoid upsetting the Kremlin.
September 30th, 2022 at 6:00 PM ^
Washington -2.5 tonight vs UCLA
September 30th, 2022 at 7:07 PM ^
Yes sir.
September 30th, 2022 at 6:04 PM ^
Indiana +5.5 @ Nebraska. I’m picking Indiana to win that game outright.
I was 0-1 last week and 5-2 on the season.
Not going to bet it but I think Maryland beats Sparty by 3 touchdowns at least.
September 30th, 2022 at 10:25 PM ^
You are brave betting on that Indiana-Nebraska game :). That’s one nobody seems to have any kind of prediction on it seems .
September 30th, 2022 at 6:08 PM ^
I will take Michigan -10.5. Pretty small bet though.
I like Maryland to cover but want to make sure that Taulia is full go.
I like NC St +6.5.
Is Alabama really 17.5 points better than Arkansas? Seems like a lot of points.
Kentucky and W. Forest both +7, all day long.
September 30th, 2022 at 6:10 PM ^
Michigan Iowa UNDER 42
If we go up 14-0 Harbaugh is going to put it into punt mode for the rest of the game. If we threw 2 picks sixes Iowa would go into punt mode the rest of the game. Not seeing either team go up two scores and passing again.
Maryland -7.5 over MSU
Bad passing defenses dont change over night or apparently over seasons. Its not going to be pretty.
Wash -3 over UCLA
Washington is going to throw for 7000 yards
Arkansas +17 over Bama
You are betting on Arkansas just not getting blown out. This should be your last resort bet. Put $5 on an Arkansas money line for some fun.
Wyoming money line +125 over SJSU
Air Force is a much better team and Wyoming beat them as 17 point dogs
September 30th, 2022 at 6:41 PM ^
Maryland off a 1 penalty (meaningless end of game one) and the best they can do performance against Michigan.
This is the definition of a let down spot coming.
Maryland has ZERO home atmosphere.
Locksley rolls over like a you know what and bails out fucker.
msu ML is the lock of the week.
September 30th, 2022 at 6:43 PM ^
Very interesting. Maryland would be wise to turn runs off until they are up 21.
October 1st, 2022 at 12:59 AM ^
Counterpoint: there is the small issue of sparty's historically terrible secondary
September 30th, 2022 at 7:15 PM ^
On3 Lock of the Week: Maryland
September 30th, 2022 at 7:46 PM ^
I got:
Maryland -7.5 vs. MSU
Oklahoma @ TCU under 67.5
UL-Lafayette +9.5 vs. South Alabama
NC State +6.5 @ Clemson
Oklahoma @ TCU Under 67.5
Toledo -7.5 vs. CMU
Purdue +10.5 @ Minnesota
Penn State -25.5 vs. Northwestern
also like:
Kansas +3 vs. ISU
Rutgers +41 @ OSU
Navy @ Air Force over 37.5
September 30th, 2022 at 8:07 PM ^
I really don’t understand how Toledo is a 7.5 favorite? Toledo looked like shit against SDSU, CMU put up fights vs PSU and OK ST.
September 30th, 2022 at 11:12 PM ^
Almost was going to bet UL-Lafayette. I ultimately am worried about them losing to Rice and getting kind of run over by them that game.
Purdue game is interesting. I was thinking of taking Minnesota but I notice it seems every better is on Minnesota that makes me back away . Purdue is pretty banged up but the line seems kind of smelly to me that I think you may be on the sharp side.
September 30th, 2022 at 8:57 PM ^
Take the under for NW @ PSU. Supposed to be bad weather here in PA. And a rumor Allar is starting.
September 30th, 2022 at 9:32 PM ^
ML parlay +309
Maryland, North Carolina, Minnesota, Michigan, Washington
September 30th, 2022 at 9:37 PM ^
Unless you got OSU Georgia and Bama in your moneyline parlay 5 teams are tough to hit. I agree with you on all of them though so hope you get it!
October 1st, 2022 at 12:01 AM ^
RIP parlay first leg as usual
September 30th, 2022 at 10:24 PM ^
I took the under on all games played on the East coast, hoping that the bad weather from Ian will keep the scoring down.
September 30th, 2022 at 11:34 PM ^
Your bets look pretty good but I have concerns about a few. Is Salter back for Liberty? I don't know if I trust their offense without him. And that Western Kentucky QB - dude can put up a lot of points. Not sure I'd bet against him.
Also - I saw some incredible stats this week. Alabama has not won a game by more than 3 points on the road in Bryce Young's last 5 road games. The other is Kirk Ferentz is 8-3-1 in the last 20 years when he is a double digit dog. 5 - 0 at home with 2 of those straight up winning. Crazy stuff.
October 1st, 2022 at 9:45 AM ^
Salter is back yes. Ultimately I really like fading ODU in this spot and betting that Liberty rebounds in this spot with a lot of their guys back. I think some of ODU is lucky to be even 2-2 with their -148 ypg.
That is an interesting stat! Good to see about Alabama. Yeah the Michigan game to me is a clear stay away from me .
Here’s another one I saw: Jeff Brohm is 20-6 ATS as a dog of 4 or more in career, and 11-0 ATS when his team is not coming off a double digit win. . I’m still staying away from that Purdue/Minnesota game though.
September 30th, 2022 at 11:44 PM ^
Michigan -10.5
Maryland -7.5
Oklahoma -6.0
Arkansas +17.5
Full disclosure I’m wrong about half the time, which means I’m 100% on the other half. So book it. Stone cold locks.
October 1st, 2022 at 7:54 AM ^
Iowa +11 :( hopfully late Td covers
Baylor -2.5
Navy +14
Nc State +7
Ole Miss -6
October 1st, 2022 at 9:21 AM ^
Late with my picks this week.
2-4 last week, 10-7 for the year.
The good thing about missing picks yesterday is I would have lost Washington and SDSU.
This is back to back weeks that I had trouble finding games where I have strong conviction but I enjoy getting a few in every week so here it goes.
Louisville and BC under 51.5
Miami OH +2.5 over Buffalo
Duke -2.5 over Virgina
Liberty and Old Dominion over 42.5
Oregon St. and Utah under 56.5
Kansas +3.5 over Iowa St.
October 1st, 2022 at 9:47 AM ^
I had a small pizza money bet on SDSU +6 last night. They were up 13-0 and then just completely shit the bed. Another terrible Brady Hoke offense lol.
Good luck !