OT: Austin Jackson early returns

Did you see that link to Victor Wang's article? Its findings wrt prospects are not unusual. Top 100 hitting prospects fail to be everyday players in the range of 75% of the time. As far as what BP doesn't give you, prior to hiring Colin Wyers and friends, BP fell waaay behind the saber curve. THT, Baseball Analysts, Phil Birnbaum, mgl and Tango have been at warp speed comparatively. Their stuff is all getting incorporated and used for analysis over at fangraphs. So the contact rate thing was initially a finding by Russ Carleton. He's now writing for BP as part of that Wyers group. Link to the summary at fangraphs: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/when-samples-become-reliable/ If I don't cite everything it's because it takes time to find the citations. But like I've said, I read about baseball obsessively and I write occassionally. Most folks don't have the interest/time in reading the really dense saber stuff, so it's hard to talk about with a large crowd until it filters down as a standard analytic tool at BP or fangraphs or wherever. But I think you'll find that my reportage is pretty good. I'm not pulling these concepts out of thin air. They're borrowed from folks who consult for MLB clubs.

2 - 4 with 3 runs scored and walk . That is how the line should read for a prototypical lead-off hitter. Good outing by Jackson tonight