ESPN FPI Team Efficiencies Update, 2017 Week 1
Whoops! I almost forgot to pick up this digest from last season!
The updated FPI team efficiency ratings have been posted, and Michigan comes in at #19 overall. As a start, this leaves a great deal of room for improvement from last season's entry point at #1 and closing point at #3. The U-M splits are offense, #59; defense, #3; and special teams, #37.
Obligitory disclaimer: first week ratings such a this are very noisy, but by week 3 or 4 these results should be more meaningful...
Of U-M's other 2017 opponents, PSU looks the strongest at #5 overall, followed by Maryland at #10 and AIR FORCE at #14! As such, the Falcons look like M's toughest OOC opponent, since the Gators pull up at a perfectly mediocre #64. Michigan does manage to edge OSU by one spot, so there's that. Oh yea, and Sparty enters at a much improved #52 to retain the title of Third Best Team in the State of Michigan. Meanwhile Western Michigan enters at #39.
Overall, 2 of Michigan's opponents are in the top ten, 5 are in the upper quartile of the ratings; all but 3 are in the upper half; and only one (Cincy) is in the lowest quartile.
Here's a brief synopsis of the ratings, or click the link above to see the whole list &/or sort by category:
RK | TEAM | OFF | DEF | S/T | O'ALL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stanford, Pac-12 | 98.2 | 93.6 | 45.6 | 98.9 |
2 | Alabama, SEC | 67.6 | 97.7 | 96.5 | 97.5 |
3 | Army, FBS Indep. | 97.5 | 66.4 | 100.0 | 96.8 |
4 | Duke, ACC | 86.3 | 98.4 | 57.9 | 96.8 |
5 | Penn State, Big Ten | 83.2 | 89.1 | 98.5 | 96.2 |
6 | LSU, SEC | 89.3 | 95.6 | 35.7 | 95.5 |
7 | Vanderbilt, SEC | 91.1 | 94.4 | 17.3 | 95.2 |
8 | Clemson, ACC | 95.1 | 86.1 | 25.3 | 94.5 |
9 | Oklahoma State, Big 12 | 99.5 | 73.3 | 7.6 | 93.9 |
10 | Maryland, Big Ten | 94.6 | 81.7 | 59.1 | 93.1 |
14 | Air Force, MW | 90.7 | 78.8 | 34.5 | 89.6 |
19 | Michigan, Big Ten | 54.5 | 98.3 | 67.7 | 88.2 |
20 | OSU, Big Ten | 87.3 | 75.0 | 65.9 | 88.0 |
29 | Wisconsin, Big Ten | 61.7 | 87.4 | 43.2 | 77.6 |
39 | W Michigan, MAC | 83.9 | 38.2 | 70.5 | 71.4 |
49 | Indiana, Big Ten | 71.3 | 59.2 | 36.6 | 66.6 |
52 | Michigan State, Big Ten | 46.0 | 88.3 | 32.5 | 65.3 |
61 | Purdue, Big Ten | 62.3 | 69.4 | 7.2 | 58.4 |
64 | Florida, SEC | 10.3 | 88.1 | 35.4 | 56.4 |
87 | E Michigan, MAC | 27.7 | 65.3 | 33.7 | 41.7 |
88 | Minnesota, Big Ten | 31.1 | 55.3 | 51.0 | 39.9 |
95 | Rutgers, Big Ten | 46.7 | 61.3 | 2.3 | 36.1 |
116 | Cincinnati, American | 10.9 | 30.5 | 50.0 | 15.7 |
122 | Cent Michigan, MAC | 4.9 | 40.8 | 59.7 | 10.9 |
September 8th, 2017 at 1:35 PM ^
There is no way this holds up. Michigan State at #52? That's way too generous.
September 8th, 2017 at 2:07 PM ^
there'll be a "1" in front of it by the end of the season...
September 8th, 2017 at 1:55 PM ^
It'll be interesting to track this as the year goes on. Need at least 3-4 games to get a good read on any of these teams. MSU, for example, will degrade severely the next 2 weeks.
September 8th, 2017 at 1:55 PM ^
Air Force at 14?! So theoretically, we would be underdogs on a neutral site? Cool
September 8th, 2017 at 2:10 PM ^
Number 3 and Number 7. Wow.
September 8th, 2017 at 2:33 PM ^
So...what FPI is saying is that OSU might overlook Oklahoma, looking ahead to it's big matchup against #3 Army!
Yes, there appears to be quite a bit of noise in those rankings.
September 8th, 2017 at 2:38 PM ^
September 8th, 2017 at 4:08 PM ^
Why even publicly post rankings like that? Garbage.
September 8th, 2017 at 4:32 PM ^
its Garage, not Garbage and he wasn't the OP
September 8th, 2017 at 2:17 PM ^
FEI and S&P+ are the only computer rankings to pay attention to
September 8th, 2017 at 2:48 PM ^
S&P+ is good enough for me.