CFB Risk Day 42 (3 Turns Left) - Nowhere to Hide, Brutus

Submitted by EastCoast Esq. on March 10th, 2023 at 1:45 PM

BeerBatteredAg's Stream (https://www.twitch.tv/beerbatteredag)

I'll be on this stream TONIGHT at 9:30 PM ET. BeerAg and I will talk about Risk recruiting and possible changes to the game in the next version. You can hear what I sound like....which I guess could be cool?

CliffsNotes Instructions

(1) If you want an order aligned with Michigan’s current battle plan before you attack/defend, go to Michigan Risk Central Command. You'll (usually) get a few options to choose from.

(2) If you insist on doing your own thing, head over to CFB Risk and attack Ohio State in the areas marked on the map at the bottom of this post. Basically, south of the border and around the Carolinas.

Just Like in Real Life, We're Everywhere

One of Michigan's selling points is that its alumni network is huge, and you can find fellow Wolverines everywhere. No matter the country, you're bound to find somebody wearing Michigan gear sooner or later.

This game of Risk has turned out the same way. A lot of the map is blue, and almost every territory that isn't blue has a blue neighbor. You can see from the odds page why this matters. We have won 14 fewer territories than expected over the last two days, while OSU has won 12 territories more than expected.

And yet, we're still winning because we have so, so many territories that are available to us on a given roll. With that many possibilities and by far the most star power, we are well positioned to win despite the Bucknuts' luck.

But we can't let up. The Bucknuts can still win.

We have eyes on just about every grey territory on the map, but we need to maintain our large numbers to ensure victory. Last night, OSU added 90 new players to their team, while we lost a dozen players

That's a swing of 100 stars in just one day, and it's the only path the Bucknuts have to being repeat champions. Let me say that again....THE ONLY WAY THE BUCKNUTS STEAL VICTORY FROM US IS IF WE DON'T SHOW UP.

So make sure to get your orders and enter them into the map. And if you want to do your own thing, consider looking at the map below for suggestions of areas to hit.

Go Blue and Let's F*cking DESTROY OSU!

Targets Map

Whole Map

what would Bo do

March 10th, 2023 at 3:40 PM ^

The short answer is we broke up their region bonuses that allowed them to consolidate a huge portion of the board.  Combine that with some consistently poor RNG luck (see below) and you you go from having the most territories and weighted stars, to just hoping to hold onto College Station and maybe eke out a third place finish.

Sione For Prez

March 10th, 2023 at 4:19 PM ^

At some point i'll get another MVP. Have had zero in this season of the despite being a 5* and having played in 38 round turns with a streak of 32. 

Maybe on the final night when it matters most.

Sione For Prez

March 10th, 2023 at 4:32 PM ^

Brutal. I am at 5 total MVP's with I think 138 round turns overall across all three years. Most of them came in season 1.

But yeah it's frustrating to look at the odds or the draw from the night before and see some 2* who has like 10 total turns across all three years win a territory that you were in.