B1G tourney seeding
Someone who is much smarter than me and follows this closely can probably answer my question off the top of their head: Is it still possible for Michigan to break into the top 4 and get a Thursday bye for the B1G tournament? If so, is that an extreme long shot?
Planning game attendance scenarios. Thanks, and sorry if this specific question has already been discussed since the Purdue win.
There may be other routes, but this is the one that stood out most clearly to me: Staee and Minnesota have to lose their remaining two games and we have to win ours. We have to outright have a better record or we lose on tiebreakers to these two.
There may be other routes, but this is the one that stood out most clearly to me:
We will win the tiebreaker over them only if it is a 2 way tie because we have a better record against Purdue. This is unlikely becuase it requires Minnesota to lose to Nebraska.
http://www.bigten.org/sports/m-baskbl/spec-rel/100606aae.html
The most likely scenario is a 3 way tie with Minnesota and MSU. Which MSU would win by virtue of having the best record in games played between the three.
Of course all this is moot if we lose to Northwestern. If we lose to Northwestern we are probably going to be the 7th seed.
It doesn't give odds, but I guess you could multiply KenPom's probability of all those events happening in our favor and get your number.
Minnesota at the 4 seed, Michigan at the 5 seed, and MSU at the 6 seed. I like our path to the championship game being winner of OSU/Nebraska, Minnesota, and then Purdue.
Unfortunately it will likely be MSU at the 4, Michigan at the 5, and Minnesota at the 6.
State can beat Illinois and lose to MD and - assuming Northwestern and Minnesota lose out - M would still get the 4 seed (also assuming M wins out, obviously).
but possible. I like possible.