2016 NCAA Tournament Bracket Resources
Everyone has their own preferred methods, but I figured I would make a post that could more or less consolidate all resources people use to help them make picks. I used to love the Wall Street Journal "Blindfold Bracket," but they did away with that last year in lieu of something a little more time efficient. Here are my two:
WSJ Madness Machine (change variables such as 3 pt shooting and experience and it generates your whole bracket for you in seconds): http://graphics.wsj.com/ncaa-madness-machine-2016/
My other resource is (of course) Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-march-madness-predictions/
Any other resources you got? Post 'em.
March 14th, 2016 at 11:37 AM ^
Ken Pomeroy does a breakdown of the tournament based on his rankings and the log5 methodology to give the percentage each team moves advances to the next round, with a final "1 in ___" odds of winning it all.
Based on his breakdown, Kansas has the best chance to win the Dance (1 in 7), with Virginia (1/8), MSU (1/8), and UNC (1/10) have the three other best odds to win the damn thing.
http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/2016_ncaa_tournament_log5
March 14th, 2016 at 11:48 AM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 12:22 PM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 11:38 AM ^
What about (thepowerrank.com) Ed Feng's book?
Curious to see if anyone read it last year and their thoughts on the content.
fivethirtyeight ran a comparison of predictive sites to see how they did and the power rank was the best one last year because it rated duke the highest. Fivethirghtyeight won the first round. kenpom actually didn't do that well as it gave underdogs too much credit.
March 14th, 2016 at 11:59 AM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 12:18 PM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 12:00 PM ^
FiveThirtyEight did a recap of how their bracket performed. Pretty well in the early rounds, but was one of the worst predictions after that. No prediction seemed to be great overall as a different one was best for almost every round.
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March 14th, 2016 at 12:04 PM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 12:18 PM ^
I like to think that no matter how much information you read about teams, you still won't be able to predict the tourney brackets. Take a guess and hope it pays off. It is called March Madness for a reason.
March 14th, 2016 at 12:25 PM ^
I know this blog had a link to an excel sheet I believe linked to Kenpom that allowed you to predict the games. If anyone has that link I would appreciate it. It's worked well for me in the past.
March 14th, 2016 at 12:30 PM ^
I'll let my dog choose for me. Can't be much worse than I've done in the recent past.
March 14th, 2016 at 12:52 PM ^
March 14th, 2016 at 12:35 PM ^
I've always liked WSJ's blindfold brackets. It always generates some interesting results for me.
They discontinued that a couple years ago unfortunately. Now they have you allocate points based on what you value in a team and it fills out the whole bracket for you.
March 14th, 2016 at 12:48 PM ^
This is the link I just found. In kenpom I trust.
I post stuff from it quite a bit admittedly, but I do like how they break down the teams as well as the tournament over at TeamRankings - LINK
Their current estimates on Michigan's progress through the tournament puts us at a 6.0% of getting to the Sweet Sixteen and a 2.1% chance of seeing the Elite Eight and so on down to a 0.1% chance of winning it all, so there is a chance, a non-zero chance.
Check out Ed Fang's book.
"Anti-Duke bias." Awesome.
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