|07/16/2018 - 11:06pm||Purdue bringing both QB’s -…||
Purdue bringing both QB’s - Sindelar and Blough. Interesting.
|07/15/2018 - 10:31am||This. DJ will get the chance…||
This. DJ will get the chance to be the unquestioned starting PG on the depth chart, versus having to scrape and claw against three other more established UM PGs.
Hard to argue with that choice, except for all the losing that’ll come with it. No way OSU is anything but a rebuilding team for the next 2-3 years.
|07/09/2018 - 5:26pm||Thanks!
Nothing too earthshattering here, but it is interesting to see some of the parallels.
|07/08/2018 - 2:02am||Petzold CB’d Eyabi Anoma to…||
Petzold CB’d Eyabi Anoma to UM last year, about ten minutes before Anoma chose Bama. His was the only UM crystal ball and clearly added for speculative points
Dude is not much, if anything, if an insider. Harrison may have legit interest, but Petzold’s CB is meaningless.
|04/25/2018 - 12:54pm||Nice post||
The 'QB Efficiency Deltas' figure is a beautiful piece of data visualization.
|04/25/2018 - 11:24am||All good choices||
My hipster national park pick is Black Canyon of the Gunnison - best park you've probably never heard of.
Super steep and narrow river canyon cutting through the Colorado Plateau. The hike from the rim down to the river and back is one of the few really trilling trails in the park, but man, it alone is worth it.
|04/05/2018 - 7:43pm||On Juan Harris||
One of my favorite Brian lines ever:
"Somewhere in the fields of Iowa there is a 400-pound defensive tackle who has already commited to the Hawkeyes three times and recinded it twice.
Nobody has to make America great again; it never ceased being great"
|02/16/2018 - 11:20am||Shhhhh||
This is totally different...
In fairness, Shea Patterson was the topped ranked QB and #5 overall recruit in his class. He also spent his Freshman and Sophmore years running a fairly good offense in the SEC West.
John O'Korn was a meh three star who starred for one year at Huston before losing his OC and being benched his Sophmore year.
Their styles may be similar and Patterson may have the same trouble staying in the pocket and making reads. But Patterson has a far more confindence and an 'it' factor, as well as superior athletism. Shea under center would have killed it in that OSU game this year, and would have made the offense look much better than it did when O'Korn was under center. It's cliche but dude just makes plays.
|02/13/2018 - 4:14pm||You forgot to add the part||
You forgot to add the part where this is all ESPN's fault
|02/12/2018 - 1:20pm||This would be an awesome hire||
Guy has the following resume:
- Played WR in college and was scrappy enough to hang around as a professional for 5-6 years
- Has coached in college, has West Coast connections, and coached at a program (USC) that runs something similar to Michigan is trying to do
- Has NFL experience as a coach
- Has coached w/ Harbaugh previously
Seems like a no brainer, and way better hire than a weirdo like McElwain
|02/08/2018 - 4:51pm||Malzone vs. Brady||
Seeing Alex Malzone's name right next to Tom Brady's in terms of star rankings really makes the whole high school QB scouting enterprise look pretty useless
|01/31/2018 - 2:55pm||Meanwhile in Georgia...||
the state legislature passed a law in 2016 making it harder to FOIA the athletic department, in a blatent attempt to gain an advantage at covering up players' crimes and increase their ability to recruit using shady tactics (SBNation article).
|01/19/2018 - 12:15pm||Brevity is your friend||
Lots of good stats, might have been able to shorten this a bit though.
I disagree with your conclusion though. If MSU's PF/game stat is unchanged when they play at Crisler, and that results in a difference of MSU getting 4 more fouls called on them on average, that is not the refs helping Michigan out. That's MSU playing a more foul-prone version of basketball.
|01/18/2018 - 5:06pm||Brandon Justice||
Dude has some legit good sources and is useful for info like this, but man his writing is terrible. Like borderline unreadable.
The 247 guys aren't much better. Do they seriously have no time to edit each other's copy? It is mildly infuriating.
This is Michigan. Higher standards! Rant over.
|01/15/2018 - 3:46pm||God that's grim||
Was actually expecting the game and season trend to be even lower than is shown after the bowl game though. Thanks for putting all this together.
|01/15/2018 - 12:23pm||Season graph for Michigan fan satisfaction?||
Not that it's going to make me any happier
|01/11/2018 - 11:32pm||Really hope||
Really hope they have Enos at QB / Passing game coordinator, and then go out and get a dedicated WR coach. This group is so young, they need a ton of individualized coaching up.
|01/04/2018 - 11:18am||Looks good||
- Ruiz should probably be bolded as a starter
- Dwumfour is probably more of a 3T than a NT
|01/03/2018 - 5:07pm||Correction||
@ Northwestern is never an away game
|01/03/2018 - 5:05pm||Seems reasonable||
There are lots of reasons to think this was an outlier, especially when Harbaugh's third and fourth year at Stanford saw him engineer the #6 and #1, respectively, offense in the country by S&P+.
Sadly, that bowl game kind of blew the offense's season narrative from "consistently getting better and looking quite decent by the end" to "wt flying f."
|01/03/2018 - 4:53pm||Thanks for this||
Next year looking like a hell of a schedule
|01/03/2018 - 11:09am||Think the third captain changes||
May be based on practice performance, etc.
I believe Speight, Darboh, and Chesson all made previous apperances as the thrid captain.
|01/03/2018 - 10:35am||Harbaugh captains||
Harbaugh has the team vote on one offensive and one defensive captain, and they have to be Seniors (at least fourth year players).
Winovich and Higdon almost certainly.
|12/20/2017 - 2:05pm||FWIW||
He just got a CB to Michigan by Scout's Evan Petzold
|12/18/2017 - 11:56am||*||
Nice find, thanks
|12/13/2017 - 9:34am||He will be missed||
|12/12/2017 - 3:28pm||Based on the Kenpom stats||
Michigan's defense is better than their offense
W T F
|12/07/2017 - 1:55pm||Love this board||
If this same situation happened at say, Ole Miss, all the posters would be yelling about "LOYALTY!" and "Where's his love for the game!" The Michigan difference.
Mo gave us more than we could possibly ask, and probably should have gone pro last year. Stay healthy man.
|12/05/2017 - 9:31am||*||
Michigan offered Dunlap a while back and actually made his top five in April: Link
He's friends with Cesar Ruiz from their time together at IMG.
At one point he was listed at 6'4", 370 lbs.
|12/03/2017 - 3:13pm||Why is this bad?||
We get to play an 8-4 USC team with a pulse, vs. being matched up with a 7-5 Oregon team with no QB that no one respects. We have a lot to gain in the Outback Bowl and nothing to win vs. Oregon.
Also we jumped Sparty for no fair reason again, which is just so disrespektful
|12/01/2017 - 10:50am||So to recap||
- Search started with John Gruden (w/ rumors the AD had a contract in place but couldn't get university approval). Gruden last coached in 2008, and last coached college in 1989.
- Chip Kelley gets the UCLA job, taking him off Tennessee's list
- Made overtures to Dan Mullen, who wanted to wait out Florida (and got it)
- They get a memorandum of understanding with Schiano. This goes south quickly
- They go after super old Daved Cutcliff. He declines
- They interview Mike Gundy. Also declines
- Jim Bob Cooter of the Lions (an alumnus) turns down even an interview
- They go after Brohm. Purdue fans despair. He says nope.
- They go after NC States Doeren. Nope
- The AD gets an agreement in place w/ Mike Leach. The AD is fired before this is executed
In hindsight, Tennessee hiring a search firm so they didn't publicly telegraph every failure may have been a good idea
|11/24/2017 - 2:36pm||Bah||
So sick of all the hedging, bargaining, and excuses. This situation blows and this game is going to blow.
It’s Year 3 of Harbaugh and we have no prayer in the Game. Would any of you have expected or been okay with that when he got hired? Would he?
I would not take any other coach in the world, even Bellicheck, to coach for the maize and blue. But regardless of the roster turnover or the injuries, this year was a failure and that largely rests on decisions Harbaugh has made.
|11/09/2017 - 6:30pm||For sure||
I don't disagree; that was Khaleke's first ++ game and it's reasonable to wait for a few more before awarding a star.
But personally, if I set the Big Ten TFL record, and my teammate got a sweet blonde flow watermark and I got nothing, I might be pissed.
|11/09/2017 - 6:05pm||Robbed||
Khaleke Hudson, after AN 8 TFL GAME, looking at a diagram where he doesn't get a star:
|11/08/2017 - 11:28am||Nice analysis||
If you take into account the fact that MSU's probability of losing to a terrible team (oh hey @Rutgers) is much higher than forecasted, I bet our chances are even better than 1%.
|10/30/2017 - 11:26am||Thanks for the analysis||
Thanks for the analysis. Not a great look for us, but also not Michigan's fault that a lot of the OOC schedule and lower Big Ten teams turned out to be crap.
For those saying that Florida was a good win, consider that they are currently ranked as the #90 team in S&P+, one behind Rutgers, as well as worse than Central Florida, South Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida State, and ... Florida International.
The multi-score win, basically on the road in Dallas, with a very young team in it's first game was tough and worth appreciating. But Florida is butt.
|10/29/2017 - 10:48pm||Missouri||
Missouri is something like the #8th most popular state for NFL players to come from. It's a (surprisingly) talent rich state, with an in state school (Mizzou) that's terrible, and Michigan is highly interested in at least three top 100 kids for 2019 from the state, plus several from the 2018 cycle including Michael Thompson, a top DT.
Could be a 2016 New Jersey recruiting situation if Michigan can pull it off.
|10/28/2017 - 4:14pm||Mood||
|10/26/2017 - 6:11pm||Hmm||
|10/26/2017 - 12:58pm||S&P+||
S&P+ rankings are kind of weird, there's like logarithms in there or something
|10/26/2017 - 10:44am||Not exactly||
S&P+ is a measurement of how effective a team is at a particular skill, not a measurement of raw yardage.
For instance, no one would call Texas Tech a running team (#7 in the Big 12 in rushing yds / game). But they have the 17th ranked S&P+ rush offense becasue when they do run, they run effectively.
This is also why even though Michigan ran all over bad teams last year, their S&P+ rushing rank was only 49th, becasue the did nothing against good defenesive fronts.
|10/17/2017 - 2:11pm||For reference||
The 2013 MSU team had the #73 offense and the #2 defense and went 13-1. So shit can happen.
|10/17/2017 - 2:09pm||Not sure if good or bad but...||
We are ranked one behind Stanford in overall S&P+ right now (#15 and #16).
Stanford has the #6 ranked offense, behind OU, (nt)OSU, (yt)OSU, Scott Frost UCF, and Texas Tech.
We have the #76 rated S&P+ offense. Of the teams in the S&P+ top 50 overall, we have the worst offense except for #78 MSU and #90 Mike DeBord IU. Uuuugggghhhh.
But that #2 defense though!
|10/10/2017 - 8:53pm||Awesome writing||
Really enjoyed your writing in this one Adam. Hoping these hockey passages get put together in a more formal print version at some point.
|10/05/2017 - 4:16pm||Great work!||
Really excellent data visualization. Summarizes a lot of information in a well laid out, readable format.
Would be a great addition to the game preview each week.
Side note - what's up with the light gray horizontal bars on the first chart? Almost looks like they're logarithmically spaced.
|09/26/2017 - 11:33am||Speight mirage||
I disagree that Speight's performance after the bye week meant much last year.
Did he play well? Yes. But in MSU / Maryland / Illinois, he was facing the number 120(!) / 80 / 87 pass defenses per S&P+. Delivering throws against that competition, with receivers open by yards and virtually no pressure in his face, doesn't mean that much compared to how Speight performed under any amount of pressure in his other contests.
|09/21/2017 - 2:40pm||Devin Bush Jr.||
After three starts, DBJ already ranks #10 in career UFR grading for LBs at +28.5. Unreal.
Thanks for the sweet tool!
|09/20/2017 - 3:29pm||Khalid Hill||
He's probably one of the two or three best H-backs in the country!
|09/14/2017 - 2:14pm||Overly aggressive D||
Kind of sounds like UCF's strategy last year.
Pray they don't outhit us in this one too!
|09/13/2017 - 2:37pm||Kinnel||
Tyree Kinnel will convince you to give him a star by this time next week. Dude is beastly!