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Date Title Body
10/25/2018 - 10:07am ...is that ggplot and how…

...is that ggplot and how long did it take you to build those themes if so?

10/11/2018 - 11:14am how are people finding them…

how are people finding them on YT since the crack down?

05/01/2018 - 3:30pm rip half ass. rip clove cigs

rip half ass. rip clove cigs and flasks full of rich and rare

12/04/2017 - 1:56pm RIP handlejacking

RIP handlejacking

04/11/2017 - 6:33pm Think that makes two of us

Think that makes two of us

04/11/2017 - 2:12pm Yost was church, especially

Yost was church, especially from '04-'08 when football was heart wrenching. Disgusting, hilarious, ecstatic church.

02/24/2017 - 10:56am mine was better

mine was better

02/24/2017 - 10:41am Couple ideas:
 
1) Batting

Couple ideas:

 

1) Batting average on balls in play with a shift versus no shift

2) Batted ball results (or just rate of swing and misses) vs. velocity of pitch

3) Batting results vs. order in the lineup

4) Pitcher runs allowed vs. K/BB ratio

 

Shift stuff would be super interesting but that's also probably a bit fanciful. The rest should be pretty easy.

01/24/2017 - 12:23pm Without a baseline, it's hard

Without a baseline, it's hard to say that 80% is actually adding incremental information. Given how important recruiting is, I doubt there's a lot of value add considering the far more granular data a given coaching staff is going to have. Get the coaching staff on board to rate commit likelihood on a regular basis and you can really build a tool of some use.

 

01/20/2016 - 5:00pm Made a quick model of

Made a quick model of expected stars by the rank of a recruit in Michigan's class and the size of the class and then took the average difference between the actual and the expected to rank M's recruiting classes in Seth's spreadsheet. E.g if M's best recruit in the class is typically a 4.5 star guy, in 1998 we would have expected him to be rated 4.94 stars.

Just wanted to correct for class size, really. But not sure that actually did that, since class size and starz were positively correlated and I would have expected the opposite. 

09/10/2015 - 5:56pm I don't think that's much of

I don't think that's much of a defense. It's purposeless on a maize background.

12/31/2014 - 12:56pm Jim Light also has this vid

Jim Light also has this vid from last year's Mizzou game:

http://jimlightfootball.com/2014/08/27/2013-missouri-vs-florida-all-22-…

They get lit up a bit here. Spent the game in Nickel/Dime in an Over playing C1/C3 plus some fire zones. Nothing real mind blowing, but one thing they don't seem to do is apex the slot. Always playing w/ outside leverage. Seem to funnel everything inside, not really a spill defense. Non-corner DBs play very deep.

10/21/2014 - 1:59pm Also RIP my I <3 <3 shirt. 

Also RIP my I <3 <3 shirt. 

10/21/2014 - 1:58pm /signs in as Musket Rebellion

/signs in as Musket Rebellion

10/21/2014 - 1:54pm RIP Haloscan

RIP Haloscan

10/05/2014 - 7:56pm Scroll up.

Scroll up.

10/05/2014 - 7:42pm Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy.

Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy. Narduzzi went 100% C4 in his first DC job at Miami.

 

http://www.afca.com/article/article.php?id=2209

10/05/2014 - 7:10pm Definitely false.

Definitely false.

10/03/2014 - 5:53pm Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy.

Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy. Narduzzi's defense is his baby.

08/08/2014 - 1:51pm WHAT THE HELL

WHAT THE HELL

07/31/2014 - 9:34am In HS, pretty much everyone's

In HS, pretty much everyone's best player plays up the middle, especially SS.

07/29/2014 - 1:53pm Some evidence of the point:

Some evidence of the point: in the clip, M runs a corner/seam route that gets both of them reasonably open thanks to the way Borges knows the DBs will leverage the routes. Gallon runs seam, CB has outside leverage. Funchess runs corner, safety has inside leverage. But the throw over the top to the seam ends up taken away by the field to the opposite side playing C2 against the nub.

There are a lot of safeties out there, perhaps ours included, who won't find work like that weak safety did to get over the top of a seam route on the other side of the field. And a lot of DBs in general will get beat a lot worse than either of theirs did given the playcall.

06/27/2014 - 8:20pm Sea Goggles
/game blouses

Sea Goggles

/game blouses

04/25/2014 - 1:24pm FWIW: Chatman iirc weighed in

FWIW: Chatman iirc weighed in at 213 at the same Jordan Whatever Camp Thing. Getting him up to GRIII Fr. weight seems doable.

...things are still anger rage face times though

04/18/2014 - 3:21pm that price is boggling. i

that price is boggling. i want to say it was $20 per game from '04-'08 or so? it's amazing how fucked up the relationship between the students and AD has gotten since then.

amazing and depressing. 

03/07/2014 - 11:35am the point about pricing his

the point about pricing his inventory to market, i think, is on point though. at some of the lesser home games, i think it's clear that it's not just students who aren't showing up. 

02/26/2014 - 1:54pm if they're going more w/ 4

if they're going more w/ 4 down linemen and a detached SAM over the slot, that gives the 3T and 5T roles a lot more separation. 3T is going to see more doubles and has to plug gaps. 5T has to set the edge, pass rush, drop into coverage a bit. until some of them start to show real separation in strength or quickness, i think looking at weight's probably the best proxy for position.

in which case: Wormley and Godin to 3T, Poggi and Strobel to 5T.

02/25/2014 - 5:49pm yeah, agreed. Mattison is a

yeah, agreed. Mattison is a package guy. he seemed to run more C4 this year and w/ more success. between deciding to increase the prominence of that package and the amount of nickel they were in anyway, they flopped Ryan to MIKE.

02/25/2014 - 12:36pm i really think Ryan will end

i really think Ryan will end up taking a good number of SAM snaps.

in that interpretation, we're trying to solve our problems against good up tempo spread to run teams. the whole point would be to be able to kick Ross out over the slot while cutting down on Bolden/Gedeon reps AND making sure we have enough size on the line. i.e. not being forced to play both Beyer and Ryan on a 4 man line. it definitely seems at least a bit convoluted and perhaps somewhat over-focused on OSU.

so i guess that Ryan will bump down to SAM against any alignments w/ 2 or fewer WR and on the regular on passing downs. he doesn't need the reps at that spot to be at least solid and i really don't think we've had many problems out of the base defense since Mattison's been here.

who knows. coaches are always talking about how some guys are just football players. maybe Ryan is that. even if they're not trying to use Ryan as superman, the fix comes off as a little Borgesian. instead of getting better out of what they already do, they're adding patch fixes that perhaps, they can't practice enough to actually get good at. the defenses that have adjusted best to uptempo seem to be more Narduzzi (make small adjustments to one universal base defense, not a lot of sub packaging) and less Saban (multiple base defenses w/ moduled substitute packages to each). Mattison's definitely more Saban than Narduzzi in that sense.

02/25/2014 - 12:27pm that would be the most

that would be the most coherent way to address what it seems like they're trying to do. but it's also a system that none of them have coached the nuances of and is at least a bit different philosophically. 

it also really taxes our safeties, which are unproven at this point.

02/21/2014 - 3:12pm i don't think Mattison would

i don't think Mattison would characterize these as philosophical changes, but that's maybe semantics. i think they're further adapting to how little they get to line up in a traditional 4-3 Under where it makes any sense to play the SAM on the line. they see Ryan as a box player, so they're going to give him a position that always keeps him in the box.

 

 

01/24/2014 - 8:55pm Just in case anyone wants to

Just in case anyone wants to see what the Beilein offense looks like now as opposed to the Classic WVU version, here's the '05 tourney (PITTSNOGLE!) vs. a Bobby Knight Texas Tech outfit:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L8FqSIGlV7w

The base actions are very similar, though the ball screen emphasis is obviously severely lacking. That said, it IS in there and does lead their PG to some opportunities in the lane. The current set up is a lot more stripped down. Partly, I'd assume, to account for less teaching time given the relative constrains of coaching guys like D-Mo and Burke. 

12/24/2013 - 12:54pm His alleged quotes from the

His alleged quotes from the police report from the Gibbons incident were pretty ugly, too. That whole thing makes me feel not good.

12/06/2013 - 2:31pm writing for an audience of

writing for an audience of any considerable size selects for thick skin, so it's not that. this blog is going to have it's 9 year anniversary shortly. at some point you get to not have to put up with assholes.

11/20/2013 - 2:31pm How representative are the

How representative are the videos posted? I see soft corners and lots of field pressure, which means Devin should be looking to the field hitch. They're open in at least 2 of the 4 vids after the jump. And the field pressure is tipped by the safety lining up directly over the nickel to the field. 

...I'm definitely willing to bet that Devin is making a lot of bad reads, but I don't know how to divide responsibility between him and Borges. If NW is just running a lot of field pressures and DG refuses to recognize them, I think I'm willing to let Borges off the hook somewhat.

11/06/2013 - 3:34pm never change, Don.

never change, Don.

10/15/2013 - 3:10pm Oof/disheartening.

Oof/disheartening.

10/15/2013 - 3:07pm We actually ran the tunnel

We actually ran the tunnel screen to Gallon against PSU, and to good effect. But it only came out once. And of course we didn't run the counter off that, which is the stalk-block-and-go. Only ran that one like once or twice all last season even after teams finally started cheating on that screen.

10/15/2013 - 3:04pm Which reminds me, interesting

Which reminds me, interesting question: DeBord or Borges? Still Borges, right? But this is definitely reminiscent of some of the worst sins of the '07 offense. Which, iirc, we fixed by going spread no huddle against Florida in the Cap1. Sigh. 

10/15/2013 - 2:58pm Just to add to the inanity of

Just to add to the inanity of Borges' stubbornness, Michigan had smoke checks in Lloyd's offense. And bubble screens. Or, at least they did under Malone. Pretty sure even DeBord had them. I think that kind of says it all.

10/15/2013 - 2:54pm What's the point? Other than

What's the point? Other than registering the discontent with the situation, I can't think of any. And since everyone is already obviously pissed, there's really nothing that can be done. Either Hoke will get it together and can at least Borges (possibly Funk too) or he won't. Huge test of the direction of the program forthcoming.

10/08/2013 - 9:54pm 4th and 4: 11 Personnel, TE

4th and 4: 11 Personnel, TE Trips to field.

-Penn State goes Nickel w/ split safeties. Henne looks to field since #1 to boundary has safety plus corner. TE flat plus double slants to field. Penn State is maybe in Quarters? In any case, Manningham is #1 and singled up w/ no help given #2 inside. CB gives up position. Game: blouses.

10/08/2013 - 6:21pm I bet if you went back to the

I bet if you went back to the tape there would (maybe) be only one sense in which that's true. At least since he's been here, his coverages have been fairly simple. He'll run basically anything with his front 7, but like 90% of the back end will be C1/2/3. And of that, C3 is probably a significant plurality if not majority.

But like GM says, it's a matter of trade offs. If you want to get exotic on the back end, your guys better be able to execute. The SC bowl game and the infamous Marvin Robinson-to-deep-center incidents suggest that his guys just aren't there yet. The stuff that he'd like to run requires some really athletes and technicians. It's less true on the line where all they need to do is fill a gap (more or less...oversimplification is fun). But the risk of a blown stunt is a handful of yards. It's a TD in the secondary. And that's what Mattison means by caring about points. He knows where he can afford to experiment.

09/11/2013 - 12:04pm He's Gary Moeller 2.0. Minus

He's Gary Moeller 2.0. Minus certain of Gary's less good things.

09/05/2013 - 5:27pm we should have used this post

we should have used this post as our throwback uniformz

09/05/2013 - 4:52pm he also UFR'd  '05-'07, which

he also UFR'd  '05-'07, which provides a nice middle ground: NFL level talent, less than stellar scheme/coaching.

09/05/2013 - 4:38pm never ever leave me.

never ever leave me.

09/05/2013 - 3:21pm Re: coach types, yes please.

Re: coach types, yes please. Very confusing. Some kind of weird twist? Fire zone? It was to the boundary and Mattison loves dropping ends into the boundary, so there's that.

09/05/2013 - 1:27pm I think they went with the

I think they went with the devil they knew? ND commits to running the ball and they do it pretty well. And they only averaged 17 completions per game last year. That meant a lot of C4 to deal w/ those zone runs. Turns out Daniels is a baller. Pretty useful info. Glad we're playing them second week and not the first.

09/05/2013 - 12:15pm I'm pretty sure that first

I'm pretty sure that first picture pages was C4 not C1. They ran a version of Mills to the boundary while the slot to the field ran to the flat. Field safety leaves the slot and looks to number 1. Boundary safety sucks up on TE, CB has 1v1 on post w/ outside leverage. Good playcall, but BCB was clearly overmatched by Daniels. The second TD iirc was a post-corner also against C4 that threatened the exact same play, the CB freaked out and Daniels was in easily.