Recruit Rank and NFL Draft
The last few years there has been a lot of discussion of the number of stars that Coach Rodriguez's committed recruits are rated with. I am certain that as Michigan's record improves, the higher rated recruits will start committing again.
Scout.com posted information on the 2010 NFL draft, and the number of stars (scout eval only) each player was given when they were coming out of highschool. Here is the article:
http://michigan.scout.com/2/964733.html
I figured there would be fewer 5 star players than the other rated players, simply because there are so few players given a 5 star rating each year. Although, I was surprised how even it was across all rankings.
Here are the totals:
5* - 30
4* - 65
3* - 50
2* - 63
NR - 47
In summary, as has been posted here many times before... Recruiting ranking doesn't determine how good a player will turn out to be.
This dead horse apparently needs another beating.
April 26th, 2010 at 12:27 PM ^
This guy doesn't understand things like "math", I guess. I'm too tired to bother.
as posted here many times, recruit rankings are an EXCELLENT predictor of future performance/talent. But what about Tom Brady/Pat White/Mike Hart???? Those are the exceptions....
You might recognize your post from here...
http://mgoblog.com/content/si-nfl-draft-and-star-ratings
Or here
http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/ot-2010-draft-relation-recruiting
Seriously...
April 26th, 2010 at 10:44 AM ^
First link was an overview of previous drafts and the second one features information on solely the first round. Where does the user who posted this go wrong when he's providing useful information from all 7 rounds?
April 26th, 2010 at 10:03 AM ^
Let's see how RichRod's current NFL players were ranked when THEY were recruited.
April 26th, 2010 at 10:42 AM ^
You were surprised that a little over 11% of the players drafted were 5 stars when less than 2% of Division I (FBS) recruits in any given year are given a 5 star designation?
My eyes bleed every time this sort of thread pops up.
April 26th, 2010 at 10:47 AM ^
Lets file this post under the "Lies. Damn Lies. And Statistics." tag.
April 26th, 2010 at 10:53 AM ^
taken in fifth round or later.
http://michigan.scout.com/2/964733.html
April 26th, 2010 at 12:22 PM ^
What I think would be a better metric would be what proportion of players within each class of star rating end up in the NFL, but even then it's difficult b/c there are plenty of players who don't see the field in college and the NFL, so maybe do it by draft round.
If that works, something that I think would be really interesting is to see if there is a correlation between position and success in the NFL. For example, do 5* RB's go in earlier rounds and/or have more successful careers in the NFL than 5* WR's?
What percentage of 5 stars west of the Appalachian Trail tested positive for marijuana at their combines?
64%
5 fakes out of 5
It's still nice to look at how some were ranked. And here's hopin' that Patrick Omameh is the next 2* drafted.