OT: Weekend Betting - Week 1
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's (and Sundays) slate of games.. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Last week record: 0-0 ; Overall season record: 0-0)
Saturday games:
Rutgers at Boston College, Noon: Rutgers +7.5
North Carolina at App St, Noon: Over 56.5
Oregon vs Georgia (in Atlanta), 3:30pm: Under 54
BYU at South Florida, 4pm: South Florida +12
Florida Atlantic at Ohio, 6pm: Florida Atlantic -4
Memphis at Mississippi St, 7:30pm: Over 57
Memphis at Mississippi St , 7:30pm: Mississippi St -16
Boise St at Oregon St, 10:30pm: Boise St ML (+120)
Sunday games:
Florida St at LSU (7:30pm): Over 51.5 (down to 50 now)
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 31 point favorite over Colorado St. Over/Under is 60
Michigan St currently sits as a 21.5 point favorite over Western Michigan
Ohio St St currently sits as a 16 point favorite over Notre Dame
Georgia currently sits as a 16.5 point favorite over Oregon
Other lines:
September 2nd, 2022 at 6:42 PM ^
Illinois Indiana tonight!
Illinois is the road dog??
Last 5 games common opponents: Rutgers Minnesota
Pts for/against
Indiana 17-72
Illinois 28-26
Whoa boy
I think Illinois has a 50/50 shot in games vs Iowa, Wisky, Nebraska and Minnesota.
Indiana is averaging 7.75ppg in their last 4 games vs
Purdue, Minny, Rutgers, and Michigan
September 2nd, 2022 at 9:59 PM ^
I took Illinois as well, not looking good at the half.
September 2nd, 2022 at 11:29 PM ^
It looks like a 50/50 game. Might as well take the 3 points.
That Indiana defense is playing lights out.
September 3rd, 2022 at 8:47 AM ^
Not trying to be a dick rice4114, but those stats you post are absolutely useless when making a best on this game. You have completely different players and in Illinois case a different coach. Using the last 5 years stats or any type of numbers for this game will do nothing for you. For me the best things to look at for this bet is by looking at how Illinois played last week and the opponent they played against and how the opponent stacks up against Indiana. Do they run any of the same schemes?? Are their players comparable against the players of Indiana?? I would mainly focus on where the publics money is going and what type of movement have you seen this week in the spread and the total. Vegas ideally wants the bets to be 50/50. Some games you will see 80% of the money on one side. Then I would try to figure out why the public is betting so heavily one way. Vegas was built on losers, so the public is hardly right. I look at bets and if you have a team or total getting 70% or more of the money I see if what type of adjustment they make to that particular number. Is it moved up or down. I feel that it’s better to place bets on where the money is going and I feel it is always best to fade the public. Also looking at the players on each team. Are the new players good for the scheme the coach runs on offense and defense. Are the players starting upper or under class men?? I could go on and on but looking at what a team has done the last 5 years in a league where the players are changing very rapidly in those 5 years just doesn’t do you any justice. Those numbers would just be coincidences. Sorry if you don’t like my take. I could explain a lot more of types of things to look at for these bets like who has placed the biggest individual wager and where was that?? You need to look much deeper than how a team has done the last 5 years to become a successful gambler. Those are trends and I wouldn’t put much stock into trends. Just something to think about but do what makes you comfortable. It’s your money.
Good Luck with your plays and as always,
Go Blue!!
September 3rd, 2022 at 6:12 PM ^
Last five years? Where did you see that? That was common opponents within the last 5 games they both played.
I like to bet teams that I think are better than their general perception. I think Illinois is solid but that Indiana defense came to play.
Strange you posted after Illinois lost. Probably helps with picking games I bet.
*Sorry if this seems snarky but that entire diary you wrote is based on something I didnt post.
Using the last 5 years stats or any type of numbers for this game will do nothing for you. I could go on and on but looking at what a team has done the last 5 years in a league where the players are changing very rapidly in those 5 years just doesn’t do you any justice. Those numbers would just be coincidences.
September 2nd, 2022 at 8:10 PM ^
FSU-LSU under is Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week.
September 2nd, 2022 at 8:42 PM ^
That's what I've been waiting for. Thank you.
September 2nd, 2022 at 9:16 PM ^
Remind me again who Smooth Jimmy is?
September 2nd, 2022 at 11:02 PM ^
Folks... when you're right 52 percent of the time, you're wrong 48 percent of the time!
September 2nd, 2022 at 9:09 PM ^
I’m betting on Michigan whooping that arse Saturday!!!
September 3rd, 2022 at 7:26 AM ^
I wouldn't bet it, because I REALLY hate to bet against Michigan, but I think CSU is likely to get a fluky, cheap score or 2 with their passing offense and cover.
I do like ND to hang around.
September 3rd, 2022 at 3:31 PM ^
Don’t do it
September 3rd, 2022 at 5:15 PM ^
I took Iowa -10.5 vs S Dakota state …. Completely ruined my parlay