Blind Resumes Part II - The 1 Seeds

Submitted by Paps on March 11th, 2013 at 6:34 PM

Welcome to Part II of the blind resume game.  Multiple people in my last post asked me to make one for the 1-2-3 seeds, and here it is!  The original post was comprised solely of "bubble teams" and can be found HERE.  I have made a few slight changes to the game and criteria. 

  • Because conference record can be misleading (see: St. Mary's), there is a RPI number in parenthesis after the conference record.  That is simply the addition of the RPI of every in conference team for every game they've played, divided by the amount of conference games they have played. 
  • I also got rid of the teams in the "good wins" and "bad losses" section, and replaced them by the RPIs of the teams.  (@ means away game, vs means neutral  nothing for home).  This should make the game as blind as possible, taking out all possible biases, and making it tougher to guess the teams without looking.
  • I also made my standards higher on what constitutes a good win or bad loss.  In the bubble teams section I pretty much said anything under 75 was a good win, and over about 125 a bad loss.  Now, (because let's face it- these are ONE SEEDS) anything in the top 50 is a good win, and anything below that is a bad loss.  I realize losing to the #51 RPI team isn't a bad loss.  It's more of an OK loss.  But nonetheless, I put them in there.  Consider them what you want.  It's just a bunch of information. 

Other than those three things, it works exactly the same!  Just look over the chart, pick the team you think is most deserving of a 1 seed, and then click the link below the charts to find out who was who.  I have made 4 tables of three teams, so you will be picking all four one seeds! All stats are as of 3/11/13.

 

Blind Resume Table #1:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

27-4

26-5

23-7

Conference Record

14-4 (RPI: 90.3)

14-4 (RPI: 97.2)

13-5 (RPI: 63.4)

RPI

1

6

14

BPI

2

7

10

Strength of Schedule

1

25

5

Non-Conference SOS

1

20

154

Home

16-0

16-1

16-2

Away

5-4

7-3

5-5

Neutral

6-0

3-1

2-0

Record vs. RPI Top 25

7-1

5-2

5-4

Record vs. RPI Top 50

10-2

11-3

6-7

Record vs. RPI Top 100

15-4

13-4

10-7

Last 10 games

8-2

7-3

7-3

Good Wins

RPI #s: 3,4,14,18,@18,23,25,

29,36,50

RPI #s: @14,19,@21,21,

@24,vs27, 34,35,36,@47

RPI #s: @5,7,12, 23,42,43

Bad Losses

RPI #s: @66,@83

RPI #s: @61,@226

NONE

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table 1.

 

Blind Resume Table #2:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

23-7

25-6

26-5

Conference Record

14-4 (RPI: 71.8)

14-4 (RPI: 95.6)

14-4 (RPI: 66.5)

RPI

10

21

5

BPI

18

30

3

Strength of Schedule

14

79

10

Non-Conference SOS

97

156

48

Home

16-0

16-1

17-2

Away

5-6

7-3

7-2

Neutral

2-1

2-2

2-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

2-4

2-5

8-3

Record vs. RPI Top 50

7-5

5-6

8-5

Record vs. RPI Top 100

10-6

7-6

12-5

Last 10 games

8-2

8-2

7-3

Good Wins

RPI #s: 9,16,@40,40,

43,44,45

RPI #s: 8,24,@35,35,47

RPI #s: 7,@7,9,12,@12,

@14,18,23

Bad Losses

RPI #s: @51,@161

NONE

NONE

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #2.

 

Blind Resume Table #3:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

26-5

25-6

24-6

Conference Record

14-4 (RPI: 72.8)

12-6 (RPI: 71.8)

15-3 (RPI: 96.1)

RPI

3

12

4

BPI

1

6

16

Strength of Schedule

7

49

4

Non-Conference SOS

31

197

3

Home

15-1

17-1

14-1

Away

8-3

5-5

10-3

Neutral

3-1

3-0

0-2

Record vs. RPI Top 25

3-3

4-4

4-2

Record vs. RPI Top 50

9-4

8-5

6-2

Record vs. RPI Top 100

12-5

11-5

14-4

Last 10 games

9-1

5-5

7-3

Good Wins

RPI #s: 10,@16,@17,vs32,40,

44,@45,46,50

RPI #s: 7,14,vs21,@23,29,vs40,

@42,42

RPI #s: 1,7,@18,18,@29,39

Bad Losses

RPI #s: @51

RPI #s: @182

RPI #s: vs73,@94,126,@164

 

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #3.

 

Blind Resume Table #4:

 

Criteria

Team A

Team B

Team C

Overall Record

24-5

30-2

24-7

Conference Record

14-4 (RPI: 66.6)

16-0 (RPI: 168)

13-5 (RPI: 60.1)

RPI

9

11

7

BPI

17

5

9

Strength of Schedule

23

78

5

Non-Conference SOS

174

39

55

Home

16-1

15-1

17-1

Away

6-3

10-1

6-5

Neutral

2-1

5-0

1-1

Record vs. RPI Top 25

4-2

2-1

4-6

Record vs. RPI Top 50

8-3

5-2

8-7

Record vs. RPI Top 100

12-4

11-2

11-7

Last 10 games

9-1

10-0

7-3

Good Wins

RPI #s: 3,10,16,@16,vs31,

@44,@45,@46

RPI #s: 21,24,@33,33,35

RPI #s: vs6,12,14,23,37,

42,43,@43

Bad Losses

RPI #s: @51,@130

NONE

NONE

Click HERE to find out which teams are in Blind Resume Table #4.
 
I hope you enjoyed Round II of the Blind Resume Game! Hope Michigan can grab a good seed and go far in the tourney.  Thanks for reading!  Go Blue!

Comments

jshclhn

March 11th, 2013 at 7:11 PM ^

I forgot how terribly calculated our out of conference strength of schedule was.

Gonzaga - they have one team on their schedule that is currently ranked in the AP Top 25 (Oklahoma State).

Michigan - has 9: Pitt, K State, Ohio (x2), Indiana (x2), Wisconsin, Mich St (x2)

Goes to show that some of those SOS calculations used are absolute bogus.

Gobgoblue

March 11th, 2013 at 7:19 PM ^

SOS finally did something for a top team--Michigan moved up even after losing to arguably the best team in the country--but usually it confuses me.

It seems that basketball as well as football, a win over a cupcake team counts more than a close loss to a top team.  

 

Paps

March 11th, 2013 at 7:24 PM ^

We didn't really have that stellar of an out-of-conference slate.  Gonzga went on the ROAD and played tough teams like Butler and Oklahoma State.  They also scheduled a lot of teams that have good RPI, might make the tournament, and are decently beatable, like Davidson.  I think that Michigan could have done without the Slippery Rock and Binghampton games.  Out only road game was @Bradley, and West Virginia and NC State turned out to be much worse than expected.  We only had 1 ranked OOC team, and Gonzga had 2.  So there's not a ton of difference there. Gonzaga's overall SOS is about where it schould be however.

Next season I would like to see Michigan chalenge themselves more in OOC.  I LOVE the idea of playing a road game in the Missouri Valley conference.  That Bradley game was huge in preparing our players.  I wouldn't mind at all playing Indiana State, Wichita State, Northern Iowa, or Creighton on the road.  I also would like to see another road game (other than the BigTen-ACC Thing) at a SEC or Big East school.  Going to Tennessee or Ole Miss, Notre Dame or St. John's can be huge.  I know we are playing the Puerto Rico tournament, so there should be some good exposure there.  Maybe invite a Louisville or Duke or Kansas to play in Crisler?  As for the rest: fill em up with MAC teams and Horizon teams.  No more Binghamptons please. 

steve sharik

March 12th, 2013 at 12:06 AM ^

So, without looking here would be my S-curve:

  1. Team A, Table 1
  2. Team B, Table 1
  3. Team C, Table 2
  4. Team A, Table 4
  5. Team C, Table 3
  6. Team A, Table 3
  7. Team B, Table 4
  8. Team B, Table 3
  9. Team C, Table 1 (these were the hardest)
  10. Team C, Table 4
  11. Team A, Table 2
  12. Team B, Table 2

This turns out to be:

  1. Duke
  2. Kansas
  3. Indiana
  4. Georgetown
  5. Miami
  6. Louisville
  7. Gonzaga
  8. Michigan
  9. Ohio State
  10. Michigan State
  11. Marquette
  12. Kansas State

Which would make regions:

  • #1 Duke, #2 Michigan, #3 Ohio State
  • #1 Kansas, #2 Gonzaga, #3 Michigan State 
  • #1 Indiana, #2 Louisville, #3 Marquette
  • #1 Georgetown, #2 Miami, #3 Kansas State

 

trueblueintexas

March 12th, 2013 at 12:58 AM ^

Thanks for doing this. I really enjoy it. In going through this, two things stood out. Duke and Indiana are a notch above everyone else based on quantity and quality of wins. After that, it's all about even.
Should be a fun tourney this year. Match ups are important every year, but how different teams get seeded really will be a factor this year. Think of some of the round of 32 match ups you could see when teams like Illinois, Minnesota, UNC, Syracuse, and NC St could easily be 7,8,9, or 10 seeds.

ehatch

March 12th, 2013 at 8:54 AM ^

Duke Gonzaga and Michigan were obvious to me.  I tried to do it blindly as I could.  My ordering:

2C

1A

1B

3A

4A

3B

1C

4C

4B

3C

2A

2B

I'll look them up now.

 

ehatch

March 12th, 2013 at 8:59 AM ^

My number 1 seeds would be Indiana Duke Kansas and Louisville, which matches my pre-blind test number 1s.

2s are basically the B1G and Georgetown

Was surprised to see Marquette and K State in the list, but not surprised they were at the bottom.