Michigan 6.5 pt underdog Monday against Nova

Submitted by ThatGuyCeci on
6.5 pt underdogs Monday night. Head says nova, heart says UM. I got Michigan 72-69.

FGB

April 1st, 2018 at 1:18 AM ^

Why only $40, you go to the (strip) club before the book or something?

In all seriousness, I would guess sharps bet heavy Michigan, that line is quite high if MICH comes even remotely close to the offense it had for the last two months, save the tourney.

LV Sports Bettor

April 1st, 2018 at 10:12 AM ^

has this spread at -6...........look for sharp buy back late in this one as public loves to bet what they last seen. 

lmgoblue1

April 1st, 2018 at 12:36 AM ^

all in on NOVA. Thank you, I like our chances. and on a personal note they pay millions to these idiots and I know better than they do. WTF? GO BLUE!

bluepdx

April 1st, 2018 at 2:49 AM ^

It’s reasonable for virtually all objective, non-Michigan fans to be all in on Nova. They’re a No. 1 seed, champ 2 years ago, loaded talent wise, well coached, not cocky, etc.

Meanwhile, Michigan has had 3 of 4 atypical bad shooting games.

That doesn’t mean Michigan doesn’t have a chance. They do, and I think Michigan matches very nicely with the kind of team that can pull this off.

And we’re mentally and emotionally as strong a team as we or anyone else ever have. They stay in games under circumstances where most teams would fold. Been that way since before the current win streak, and I think these are the defining traits of this team.

DStamper22

April 1st, 2018 at 2:15 AM ^

...John Beilein with less than 48 hours to prepare. There’s not a better coach out there in those circumstances. Our team will be more mentally prepared for their opponent

bo_lives

April 1st, 2018 at 2:19 AM ^

Anyone remember that tire fire last year? Guh. If they call the game like that again we are fucked. Need Wagner to keep up with Nova's offensive firepower and size. Doubt Teske will be sufficient. 

I really wish the refs who called the games tonight were in the NCG, but apparently it's an entirely different set of zebras.

blueday

April 1st, 2018 at 8:06 AM ^

their off day is coming.  We just need to start with D.  I see this as a game it all comes together for us.  Its our game for everyone hitting on all cylinders.  Go Blue!

bronxblue

April 1st, 2018 at 8:43 AM ^

That's a decent spread, but sounds about right. Michigan is much better defensively than KU but is worse offensively. I'd pick Nova to win too.

JBE

April 1st, 2018 at 10:17 AM ^

Based on the numbers it seems the recipe for success is to run them off the line, which duh, and trade twos for threes, because they still shoot 59% from two, but don’t take a whole lot, so there is a chance. Michigan is 39th nationally is allowing 3 point field goal attempts, so it’s doable. But we must hit threes, but Nova opponents are shooting a low percentage from 3 too, so that’s not great. Michigan also has to get steals, which they’re good at, and out possession them, and Nova does turn it over a solid amount.

J.

April 1st, 2018 at 1:41 PM ^

The only problem is that Villanova shoots 60% from 2.  So, their eFG% is basically unchanged whether they're shooting 3s at 40% or 2s at 60%.

In order to win this game, Michigan is going to have to force Villanova to take contested 2s.  Villanova's 2-point percentage needs to be closer to Michigan's defensive average (46%) than Villanova's 60% (or, God forbid, the 72% that Kansas allowed -- although much of that was while Kansas was in catch-up mode trying to press a team with four guards on the floor).

Night_King

April 1st, 2018 at 10:10 AM ^

Kansas' perimeter defense was just plain awful. Way too many open looks for Nova, and they were already hitting contested looks in the first few minutes of the game. 

Beilein/Yaklich will not allow that to happen. We just need to secure defensive boards and not give them second chances to keep it a close game.

LV Sports Bettor

April 1st, 2018 at 10:23 AM ^

Simpson, MAAR and Matthews than the Kansas guys.

Simpson just needs to bring his usual tenacious defense to disrupt the other teams offense early in their set. He was the one big key to last night's game that doesn;t get enough credit. His +/- last night had to be stellar. No other Wolverine player can do what he does so he's extremely valuable especially in this type of game IMO. 

propstb11

April 1st, 2018 at 12:04 PM ^

Nova is like Purdue minus Haas and Haarms plus an upgrade at the point (Brunson>Edwards). So in some ways they are more one dimensional that Purdue in that defensively you don't have to figure out how to slow down two legit 7 footers and the spot up 3 point assassin's they gave in the Edwards's, Dakota Mathias, etc. We got this.