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Va Azul

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Recent Comments

Date Title Body
27 weeks 6 days ago Are you going PLC or OCC? If

Are you going PLC or OCC? If you need any advice, let me know.  I still have all of my candidate manuals and can pretty much remember every second of my experience there.

27 weeks 6 days ago Mr. Fick

According to his bio on One Bullet Away, he was captain of a national championship cycling team at Dartmouth.  While the picture of a D1 football player does fit the mental model of a Marine, surprisingly enough, when I went to OCS in Quanitco it was the football players who ended up taking the silver bullet during PT, while the harriers and wrestlers were running circles around everyone.  (Humps were a different story)

As for former D1 players, how about Heisman trophy winner, Rhodes Scholar and eventual Brigadier General Pete Dawkins?  Nate Fick reminds me of Pete Dawkins.  Someone who's just better than you at everything.  34 years old.  CEO of the Center for New American Security. 

28 weeks 3 days ago Have to disagree

Not so much with your hypothesis, that football isn't about probabilities, only with your evidence. Drawing a conclusion about probabilities from a single observation is, save for outcomes with very low probability, not very sound. 

 

35 weeks 5 days ago It's because only 8 out of 30

It's because only 8 out of 30 teams make the playoffs, unlike the other pro sports where you have 12 and 16 teams.  It still is an actual accomplishment in baseball (especially historically, when there were only 4 or 2 depending how far you want to go back)

(Edit: This was in response to Shredders comment on page 1)

 

35 weeks 5 days ago This isn't true.  The Tigers

This isn't true.  The Tigers will play the Red Sox / Wild Card in the ALDS if they finish ahead of Texas / AL West winner.  As they won every series against Texas, they also hold the tiebreaker.  So they are effectively three games up on Texas right now.

39 weeks 15 hours ago This isn't true.  The Rangers

This isn't true.  The Rangers are only up 2.5 on the Tigers for the second seed, and only 2.5 on the Angels, which is closer than "approaching close".  2.5 games is close when there are over 30 left to play. 

39 weeks 1 day ago Right now, the Tigers are 3

Right now, the Tigers are 3 games back of the Rangers.  I would love to see Game 1 and a potential Game 5 of the ALDS in Detroit, especially with the potential for Verlander to start both games.

39 weeks 1 day ago "Robbed" of Trayvon Robinson,

"Robbed" of Trayvon Robinson, indeed.  I really do not understand that deal for the Dodgers.

 

39 weeks 2 days ago I agree with the easy

I agree with the easy schedule down the stretch comment.

If the Tigers can go .500+ (18-17) the rest of the way, one of the other two teams would have to go on a .650+ tear to finish out just to catch the Tigers. That's 24-12 for a White Sox team that hasn't hit very well, and 24-13 for a Cleveland team that hasn't pitched well outside of Masterson. I don't see that kind of run being likely.

So can the Tigs play .500 ball the rest of the way? You've got three more games against Tampa, 6 against Minny, 6 against KC, and 4 each against Oak and Balt in addition to the aforementioned Cle/Chi games. You've also got Verlander taking the hill every 5 start.

Baltimore's the worst team in the American League, record-wise, followed by KC. (And yes, I do remember the last weekend in '06) Both Minnesota and Oakland are still bad teams right now as well.  

39 weeks 2 days ago Chicago and Cleveland have

Chicago and Cleveland have eight games left against each other.  Detroit has six games left against both Chicago and Cleveland.   That's alot of opportunity to either distance yourself from, or come back to the pack.  The next "biggest series of the year" will have to wait for a whole 10 days when the White Sox come to town. 

 

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