panthera leo fututio
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- Car smell
- Anecdote game
- Capacity for human connection
- Knowledge of side streets to LAX
- Absence of complementary water bottles
- Pad level
|3 weeks 1 day ago||50 spectators in Chinese stadium?||
it dont matta...playa 4 life
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Phone edit||
I certainly *feel* this. Once again, Freudian autocorrect brings me to my knees.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||This is the sort of phenomenon where incredibly||
This is the sort of phenomenon where incredibly strong confirmation bias is almost guaranteed to hold. I think we all have a tendency to view statements that align with our own ideologies as neutral, a-political statements of how the world is. When we see statements that run counter to our ideologies, though, these stick out as obviously, jarringly political. Thus, wherever you stand, you're likely to see a disproportionate share of political claims as running against your own politics. I know that I certainly fail this, and my politics...are not yours.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Exposition Park & Vermont||
Exposition Park & Vermont Square are indeed tough neighborhoods, but Compton is about 10 miles to the south. LA is huge.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||High 4||
High 4 star
Areas for improvement
As with a lot of drivers, he actually had both Uber and Lyft apps open, as I recall. THERE IS NO NAJEE ANALOGY TO BE MADE HERE
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Indeed. One take-away here is||
Indeed. One take-away here is that there must be a lot of kids going through the process that don't care to give an accurate representation of their thoughts to recruiting trackers, for completely justifiable reasons.
On the flip side, it's also possible that Uncle was overstating Holmes's attachment to USC at the time -- Uncle was a lifelong USC fan, spent his early childhood in shadow of Coliseum. Had really fascinating story about OJ playing catch with neighborhood kids during his college days, coming off as genuine and affable. This led to a pretty deep conversation about the stability of identity over time, potential effects of brain injury, the presence of dark sides, the capacity to truly know people who are minor characters in your life, etc. Uncle was a cool guy.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Counterstrike-level cool story (bro)||
I live in LA, and Darnay Holmes's uncle was my Uber driver to LAX back in August. He didn't identify himself as such, but talked about his nephew cornerback at Calabasas, and there was a serious facial resemblance. Anywho, unc told me that his nephew was locked into USC. Claim seemed fishy at the time, given the then-direction of Holmes's ballz, but now: VINDICATION. Also, uncle is a really cool guy.
|6 weeks 6 days ago||This is the first time I've ever seen "nature vs.||
This is the first time I've ever seen "nature vs. nurture" used in this sense. On the one hand, my pedantic twinge is seriously twinging. On the other hand, the phrase in its original meaning tends to get used in spectacularly stupid ways anyway. So carry on, I guess.
|7 weeks 12 hours ago||Engineering is more practical...if you want to be||
Engineering is more practical...if you want to be an engineer. I ended up studying engineering (aero) instead of physics in undergrad for exactly the reason you lay out, found myself giving zero shits about the field, and now do something completely different. In hindsight, I would have much rather studied physics and taken a broader set of liberal arts courses.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Metaphors!||
Keeps on turning up, despite having no reason to exist in its given role; bums people out.
|7 weeks 3 days ago||Statistical pedantry||
Like grammar Nazism, except more annoying: You can take the probability of a given player washing out as a Bernoulli random variable, but there's no good reason to default to p(washout) = 0.5. Also, the probabilities for the six individual players washing out were never going to be independent, for a bunch of obvious reasons. Therefore, 1/64 isn't that great a guess for the true probability of all six linemen washing out.
|10 weeks 1 day ago||True or not||
Modest proposal: A necessary condition for posting a claim about the world might be answering 'Yes' to the question 'Do I care whether this claim is true or not?'
|13 weeks 4 days ago||LOSE WITH DIGNITY||
LOSE WITH DIGNITY
|13 weeks 5 days ago||Indeed. Turn those picks,||
Indeed. Turn those picks, this year's lottery pick, and one of Okafor/Noel into a floor spacer, a solid point guard, and some veteran help, and deep playoff runs might not be so far away.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||Maybe a bit||
Maybe a bit. But it's hard to argue that guys are peaking before age 25. See, e.g., the development curves here: http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2015/05/player-progression-in-the-nba/
Anecdotally, take a guy like Kevin Durant. One-and-done palyer who started getting heavy minutes immediately, didn't reach his peak performance (looking at any of the total-value advanced metrics: win shares, win shares/48, boxscore plus/minus, value over replacement) until he was 25.
In any case, the point definitely holds that it's silly to look at any college basketball player as a finished product, even at age 21-22.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||Good points||
When looking at a pretty dismal W-L record for the Sixers right now, I think it's also important to keep in mind that they're basically running their offense through a 22-year-old guy who's in his first month of real professional basketball, has a severe minutes restriction, and is currently turning the ball over about a billion times per 36 minutes. If he stays healthy, I really think Embiid becomes the best true center in the game (or at least 1b to KAT's 1a). But gameplay so far has been about his development, not about maximizing wins.
Look a relatively short distance down the road, it's easy to see the Sixers with the best roster in the East. Far too early to say The Process has failed.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Particularly dumb two-step||
1) [prediction that thread will die because of verboten political claims]
2) [verboten political claim]
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Me counting angels on the head of a pin||
By definition, isn't it impossible for possession to be instantaneous? Think about what constitutes possession for a receiver -- no matter how securely he has his hands on the ball, if he's hit immediately and loses it, possession is deemed to have never been established. So there must be some time between when first touch happens and when possession happens, right?
|19 weeks 34 min ago||The righteousness of only||
The righteousness of only ever being on the side of the good guys, by definition. Worrying about who gets killed at weddings is for pussies.
|19 weeks 1 hour ago||Will no one think of the guy||
Will no one think of the guy who needs a safe space for his fantasies of righteous conquest?
|19 weeks 1 hour ago||Much more tangential background information||
Maciej Ceglowski (founder of Pinboard, fantastic amateur essayist) wrote a fascinating set of travelogues about some time he spent in Yemen a few years ago. He provides a thoughtful account of a place that exists as something other than Recipient of Missiles. http://idlewords.com/2014/07/sana_a.htm
|20 weeks 3 days ago||Formation name||
I prefer "The Human Centipede".
|24 weeks 21 hours ago||> "So only liberals are||
> "So only liberals are interested in sports and pop culture?"
This wasn't remotely implied. Do I think that consumers of long-form essays about Bojack Horseman are evenly distributed across the political spectrum? No. I'd be very surprised if you did, either... (I'll leave my elipses in the standard three-dot form, though I grant that these aren't nearly as effective at expressing petty condescension.)
I'm not fan of the Ringer's explicitly political coverage, as I don't think it's particularly adroit or insightful, but it's silly to think about politically oriented essays on a single, partisan dimension. I don't think that The Ringer and HuffPo are shooting for remotely the same lane (though I admit that I'm not very familiar with the latter), and, whatever their failings, I don't think that The Ringer's political pieces serve primarily as just vacuous expressions of reassurance for people who want to think nice things about themselves.
|24 weeks 22 hours ago||The necessity of bents||
I'd counter that a Sports & Culture rag will not be particularly good if it either 1) tap dances around any subjects with political implications, or 2) goes out of its way to be evenly displeasing to people of all political affiliations.
To your direct insinuation: a Sports & Culture rag that exhibits the political bent that The Ringer does is writing off substantially less than half the market for this particular genre of writing. Taking on a mealy-mouthed even-handedness would be writing off much more.
|24 weeks 6 days ago||So if I would have a produced a "Commemoration of||
So if I would have a produced a "Commemoration of the 90th Birthday of Pol Pot", would it have been cool as long as the fawning video montage was relatively brief?
|25 weeks 1 day ago||I'm less sarcastically appreciative||
From my own perspective as fan, I'm less concerned about the extent of some minor (if predictably hyperventilating) media reaction than I am about getting a better feel for the character of people that I root for. As such, I appreciate this thoughtful assessment of where the relevant parties are coming from. And if this piece means that the story stays in some fraction of the public's eye for marginally longer, I guess it's a price that I don't really care about.
|25 weeks 6 days ago||Yeah, you're definitely right||
Yeah, you're definitely right about binary vs continuous scales of goodness. As I mentioned above, I think we're ultimately reasoning about what level of quality a tie at the top is most likely to occur at. I'd say that this is somewhere above Meh and below Throw God. The bit on binary ratios is more in response to Brian's original reasoning -- I just wanted to assert the point that prior probability ratios between tied and non-tied scenarios aren't really germane here. We know that we have a ~tied scenario, so we should be distinguishing among scenarios in which that condition holds.
And yes, I'm just glad that Rashan Gary is around to make sure that I don't get wedgied and stuffed in a locker by SEC message boarders.
|25 weeks 6 days ago||Relevant probability ratio for QB||
In using a Fall camp dead heat to update QB quality priors, the relevant ratio isn't p(2 good)/p(1 good), but p(2 good)/p(O good) -- we know that the QBs are about the same right now, so we should be reasoning among scenarios in which that condition holds.
This distinction is both relevant and reassuring, I think. While it might be unlikely that we have two all Big Ten throw gods ready to go, I think it's even less likely that an extended Harbaugh residence has produced 0 plausible starters.
Reasoning in a more continuous way, we'd want to think about what level of quality is most likely to produce a tie between the top two. I think that level is Pretty Good Quality.
|26 weeks 3 days ago||"The human body traditionally||
"The human body traditionally isn't built for swimming."
This is exactly the reason why I'd define world-class sprinters as better "athletes" than world-class swimmers -- sprinting is fundamental to human movement in a way that swimming isn't. Obviously, Bolt couldn't just jump into whatever sport and excel, but the physical tools he possesses would be *enormously* useful on the football field, basketball court, baseball diamond, etc. That's not nearly as true for Phelps.
In terms of accomplishments, though, they're both once-in-a-lifetime competitors, and I doubt any of us ever see their equals in their respective sports.
|27 weeks 5 days ago||NBA defense||
Right, defense in the NBA is the worst...except for every other basketball association in the history of the sport.
I mean, you can always point to some guys getting lazy on the weak side on a non-playoff squad in March, but the defense played in the modern NBA is way better than what you see in college, way better than in previous eras of the NBA (go back and watch old Golden Era '80s games if you don't believe this), and way better than any other modern pro league.