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  • Using Rivals' Star Ratings To Look At Big Ten Football Recruiting: 2002-2013
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    maizeonblueaction - 18 comments
  • LIGHT IT UP, AGAIN. WALLPAPER
    jonvalk - 17 comments
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    The Mathlete - 13 comments
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  • OT: Arrested Development Season 4 Thread
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  • Urban Meyer regrets the way his Florida tenure ended, said Alabama should have lost three games
    57 replies
  • Help Finding Great Video Clips
    20 replies
  • Rutgers embroiled in another athletics scandal
    45 replies
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    47 replies
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  • OT: Watch this very awesome finish in the Indy Lights Race at Indianapolis
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mgo.licio.us

  • Burke says Michigan can be 'just as good' next year with McGary, Robinson III leading

    yes plz

    0 comments
  • SEC coaches with tiny faces

    I don't think they changed Les at all actually

    1 comments
  • This college baseball team is the best at postgame interviews

    national champs baby

    1 comments
  • Rounding up the latest in NCAA absurdities.

    Patrick Hruby is doing God's work.

    0 comments
  • Cornell wrestler tops Michigan's Trey Burke for Sports Illustrated award | The Detroit News | detroitnews.com

    first comment: "EVERY ATHLETE HAS ASPIRATIONS OF WINNING AND WE HAVE OUR FAVORITES BUT IT IS ALWAYS A PLEASURE TO OTHER STUDENTS ACHIEVE THEIR GOALS, TOO!"

    0 comments
  • Burke hearing he'll go two through six in NBA draft

    stupid Pistons and their refusal to tank properly

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    rundown of Michigan's riser

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  • Michigan's key returnee: Glenn Robinson

    needs moar usage

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  • Former Arkansas QB Brandon Mitchell transferring to NC State

    so much for that

    0 comments
  • The B1G List: Ranking the State Fossils of the Big Ten

    This list is completely arbitrary and not a genuine analysis of the relative merits of state fossils.

    0 comments
  • Trey Burke turns to inner circle to prepare for NBA draft

    will be michigan's highest pick in a while

    2 comments
  • B1G assistant coach salaries on the rise

    money has to go somewhere

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  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is motivated by his critics and doubters, and supremely confident in his ability

    I am only motivated by people who have no opinion about me.

    0 comments
  • Big Ten football procrastinates on parity-based scheduling, and nothing ever changes

    the just released schedules were a flat-out statement that the B10 doesn't believe SOS will matter in playoff selection

    1 comments
  • Michigan's Glenn Robinson III, Mitch McGary ranked inside top 20 on ESPN's 2014 draft board

    but I thought that draft was supposed to be incredibly loaded?

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MGoSteelers

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History

Member for
1 year 48 weeks
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Recent Comments

Date Title Body
5 days 7 hours ago Choose your own

Choose your own adventure!

 

A) Heiko meets Borges for interview; Kills Al. Turn to page 44

B) Heiko shaves head and dons Al's glasses and jacket. Pretends to be Al for next year. Turn to page 92

C) MGoBlog fully infiltrates athletic department for unparalleled access to Michigan sports. Turn to page 26

D) We stop running Vincent Smith Iso's on 3rd and 1. Turn to page 83

4 weeks 6 days ago "Oh he's gonna call back"

"Oh he's gonna call back"

6 weeks 3 days ago Well, it certainly won't be a

Well, it certainly won't be a bad thing for Michigan

6 weeks 4 days ago Whoa, I hope it wasn't

Whoa, I hope it wasn't either. What a weird coincidence that would be.

7 weeks 2 days ago I think we just found Herm's

I think we just found Herm's other MGoAccount

8 weeks 1 day ago What was Bartlestein actually

What was Bartlestein actually doing?  HOW DID HE KNOW?

9 weeks 12 hours ago Apparently the lack of

Apparently the lack of responses says it all too

9 weeks 12 hours ago That would be cool but I

That would be cool but I don't think Michigan would choose to miss out on free money ($7.5m I think?)

9 weeks 12 hours ago Thanks a lot Bill Martin

Thanks a lot Bill Martin Obama

9 weeks 13 hours ago MUPPETS!!!!

MUPPETS!!!!

9 weeks 3 days ago (No subject)

9 weeks 4 days ago So far they've raised

So far they've raised $500,000 of the $30m goal.  That's really awesome.

9 weeks 4 days ago The professors and

The professors and researchers at Georgia Tech have used LRMC (Logistic Regression/Markov Chain) to yield the most accurate results of any rating system in the past 5+ years.  Take a look at the second link for mroe info on the statistical analysis, pretty fascinating stuff.

http://www2.isye.gatech.edu/~jsokol/lrmc/

http://www2.isye.gatech.edu/~jsokol/lrmc/about/

 

Another favorite of mine comes from the guys at MiniTab.  In their method, they apply regression models to a particular rating system.  Last year they used LRMC but this year, after analyzing how different systems performed throughout the regular season, they decided to use Sagarin's ratings for the models.

http://blog.minitab.com/blog/the-statistics-game/predicting-the-2013-nca... (tournament predictions)

http://blog.minitab.com/blog/the-statistics-game/using-minitab-to-choose... (determining the best college basketball rating system)

 

 

EDIT:  Here's the Nate Silver analysis for anyone interested (full disclosure: i have not read it yet, only skimmed)....

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/03/18/sports/ncaabasketball/nate... (predictions/team probabilities by round)

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/18/parity-in-n-c-a-a-me... (analysis)

 

 

10 weeks 1 day ago here's another stream, this

here's another stream, this one isn't blocked by my work's firewall

 

http://myrtv.eu/espn/

10 weeks 1 day ago Thanks!  Standing by for the

Thanks!  Standing by for the ESPN stream link....

10 weeks 6 days ago and here's more....

and here's more....

 

Full video, credit to lazyfoot10 from his post below

 

11 weeks 1 day ago to be fair, they're not

to be fair, they're not mutually exclusive

11 weeks 2 days ago Seeding probabilities for

Seeding probabilities for Michigan (assuming every game is 50/50 and independent):

1st: 0/32 = 0%

2nd: 6/32 = 18.75%

3rd: 8/32 = 25%

4th: 10/32 = 31.25%

5th: 8/32 = 25%

Overall expected seed: (0/32)(1) + (6/32)(2) + (8/32)(3) + (10/32)(4) + (8/32)(5) = 3.625

 

 

Overall expected seed of other teams:

Indiana: (27/32)(1) + (3/32)(2) + (2/32)(3) + (0/32)(4) + (0/32)(5) = 1.21875

Ohio State: (1/32)(1) + (14/32)(2) + (9/32)(3) + (7.5/32)(4) + (0.5/32)(5) = 2.765625

Wisconsin: (4/32)(1) + (6/32)(2) + (5/32)(3) + (5.5/32)(4) + (11.5/32)(5) = 3.453125

Michigan: (0/32)(1) + (6/32)(2) + (8/32)(3) + (10/32)(4) + (8/32)(5) = 3.625

Michigan State: (0/32)(1) + (3/32)(2) + (8/32)(3) + (9/32)(4) + (12/32)(5) = 3.9375

11 weeks 3 days ago That picture makes me not

That picture makes me not want to return to this thread later.

 

 

UPDATE (8:57am):  I caved.  And now I regret.

11 weeks 4 days ago "Know thy enemy"

"Know thy enemy"

12 weeks 3 days ago you make it sound as though

you make it sound as though the two are mutually exclusive

12 weeks 3 days ago 68-66 Michigan

68-66 Michigan

13 weeks 1 day ago ahhh yes.. the less famous,

ahhh yes.. the less famous, more mature brother of "cool story"

13 weeks 1 day ago whoa whoa whoa... i think you

whoa whoa whoa... i think you just gormet'ed the shit out of a grilled cheese

 

i need to see this frankenstein

13 weeks 3 days ago hijacking for visibility

preferably in the format of [M's Score]-[Opponent's Score]

 

why is this so difficult to understand?  add your commentary anywhere around it if you want, but respect the damn XX-YY format!

/rant

 

(this is directed at all commenters, not acnumber1 specifically)

13 weeks 3 days ago 71-64 Michigan

71-64 Michigan

13 weeks 3 days ago   "LOL"-NCAA  

 

   "LOL"

                                         -NCAA, Feb. 19, 2013

 

14 weeks 5 days ago hijacking for picture embed:

hijacking for picture embed:

15 weeks 15 hours ago good start so far. hopefully

good start so far. hopefully horford and mcgary can find a way to draw some help down low

15 weeks 1 day ago yes

yes

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