Recruit Rank and NFL Draft

Submitted by maddogcody on
The last few years there has been a lot of discussion of the number of stars that Coach Rodriguez's committed recruits are rated with. I am certain that as Michigan's record improves, the higher rated recruits will start committing again. Scout.com posted information on the 2010 NFL draft, and the number of stars (scout eval only) each player was given when they were coming out of highschool. Here is the article: http://michigan.scout.com/2/964733.html I figured there would be fewer 5 star players than the other rated players, simply because there are so few players given a 5 star rating each year. Although, I was surprised how even it was across all rankings. Here are the totals: 5* - 30 4* - 65 3* - 50 2* - 63 NR - 47 In summary, as has been posted here many times before... Recruiting ranking doesn't determine how good a player will turn out to be.
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jaggs

April 26th, 2010 at 8:55 AM ^

as posted here many times, recruit rankings are an EXCELLENT predictor of future performance/talent. But what about Tom Brady/Pat White/Mike Hart???? Those are the exceptions....

Joined: 02/03/2009

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ThWard

April 26th, 2010 at 10:42 AM ^

You were surprised that a little over 11% of the players drafted were 5 stars when less than 2% of Division I (FBS) recruits in any given year are given a 5 star designation? My eyes bleed every time this sort of thread pops up.

Joined: 07/10/2008

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Tim Waymen

April 26th, 2010 at 12:22 PM ^

What I think would be a better metric would be what proportion of players within each class of star rating end up in the NFL, but even then it's difficult b/c there are plenty of players who don't see the field in college and the NFL, so maybe do it by draft round. If that works, something that I think would be really interesting is to see if there is a correlation between position and success in the NFL. For example, do 5* RB's go in earlier rounds and/or have more successful careers in the NFL than 5* WR's?

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