OT: Weekend Betting - Week 3
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for the weekend's slate of games. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Last week record: 3-6; Overall season record: 7-12)
Saturday games:
Kansas St at Missoiuri,, 12pm: Missoiri +5
LSU at Mississippi St, 12pm: LSU -9.5
Oklahoma at Tulsa, 3:30pm: Tulsa +28.5
Minnesota at North Carolina, 3:30pm: Minnesota +7.5
San Diego St at Oregon St, 3:30pm: Oregon St -24.5
Virginia Tech at Rutgers, 3:30pm: Rutgers -6.5
North Texas at Louisiana Tech, 7pm: Louisiana Tech -4.5
BYU at Arkansas, 7:30pm: Under 47.5
New Mexico St at New Mexico, 8pm: New Mexico -2.5
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 41 point favorite over Bowling Green. Over/Under is 53.5
Washington currently sits as a 15 point favorite over Michigan St (at MSU)
Ohio St currently sits as a 30 point favorite over Western Kentucky (at OSU)
Tennesssee currently sits as an 5.5 point favorite over Florida (at Florida)
Penn St currently sits as an 15 point favorite over Illinois (at Illinois).
Other lines:
September 15th, 2023 at 8:51 PM ^
North Carolina -7.5, 15000u
Washington -15, 10u
Penn State -15, 1u
September 15th, 2023 at 9:43 PM ^
LOL, now I want to know what constitues a "unit" for you.
Minnesota as a 7.5 point road dog is pretty low. I get it, they've allowed only 8 PPG thus far and reportedly have a Top 10 defense. Last year's defense, however, in their only 2 road games against ranked teams --- allowed 45 points to PSU and 26 to Illinois (should have been worse, Illinois had 2 TDs but kicked 4 FGs on 4 drives inside the 12).
They allowed 27 to Iowa --- of all teams --- in 2021, their 3rd most recent road trip versus a ranked team
Anyway, I agree with the big UNC bet. UNC and Moye moves the ball and scores in the 30s, they cover.
September 16th, 2023 at 8:03 AM ^
LOL, now I want to know what constitues a "unit" for you.
I'm guessing "Schrute bucks."
About the game/bet, yeah, I was surprised to see UNC only getting 7.5 points against a pretty bad looking Minnesota squad. Probably an overreaction to UNC's close win over App State last week but I predicted that ASU would cover the +19 spread as that is basically the Carolina version of the UM-MSU game where ASU is the "little brother" and plays out of their mind.
September 15th, 2023 at 9:04 PM ^
Gotta take BG and the under, right?
September 16th, 2023 at 8:05 AM ^
Yeah, that seems like the right play. I'm actually slightly less confident that UM won't cover this week than the previous two weeks but 40.5 points is a shit ton of points especially for a team like UM to cover even against BGSU.
Personally, I'm predicting something like UM 41-7.
September 15th, 2023 at 9:20 PM ^
It's the thread for our degenerate gambling community!
September 15th, 2023 at 10:08 PM ^
PSU -14.5
WF -14
BGSU +40.5
September 15th, 2023 at 10:09 PM ^
Looks like Iowa is -29 over WMU… is Iowa even capable of scoring 29?
September 15th, 2023 at 10:31 PM ^
I definitely thought about taking WMU on that one too. Utah State looks terrible and Iowa only scored 24 against them.
September 16th, 2023 at 11:35 AM ^
I was at the Air Force vs Utah State game last night and their defense was a sieve for about three quarters. AF let them get some slop time points, but they were not good. AF also had their star NG get injured, so without his services for most the game.
September 16th, 2023 at 12:50 AM ^
This is the one I have had my eyes on too.
September 16th, 2023 at 8:12 AM ^
I really, really like the Under in that game. Honestly, anytime a game involving Iowa has a total of 40+ points, hit the Under...hard.
That game looks like a nice parlay opportunity as well: WMU +28.5, Under 43.
Feels like a 27-7 type game to me.
September 15th, 2023 at 11:07 PM ^
The Oregon State Beavers are Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week!
September 16th, 2023 at 8:15 AM ^
Solid choice.
24.5 points seems like a lot for the Beavers to be giving but SDSU looks pretty bad this year and lost by 25 in San Diego to UCLA who is probably not as good as Oregon State. Extra 7-10 points for the change in home fields and this seems like a pretty good cover opportunity for OSU(NTOSU).
September 16th, 2023 at 7:01 AM ^
Last week 4-5, overall 8-8
Michigan bowling green under
Tennessee Florida: Tennessee -6 lock of the week
Msu Washington Washington -16.5 also lock city
Wmu Iowa under
Minni unc under
psu -14.5
September 16th, 2023 at 8:37 AM ^
After two weeks, I am a perfect 8-0 on my "fake" picks (no money actually wagered). I'm thinking about starting my own sports gambling blog and charging $9.99 for my weekly picks. I'm going to go one more week of "fake" picks and if I keep kicking ass, I may actually try laying down some actual money again for the first time in a while. Of course, the moment I actually make a true wager I'll probably start losing.
Anyhoo, my top four picks for the week:
WMU @ Iowa: Under 43.5
BGSU @ Michigan: BGSU +40.5
WKU @ OSU: WKU +30.0
Va Tech @ Rutgers: Rutgers -7.0
Bonus picks:
Minnesota @ UNC: UNC -7.0
WMU @ Iowa: WMU +28.0
A few other games I like:
Northwestern @ Duke: Duke -17.0
South Alabama @ Oklahoma State: Okie State -7.0 (Is this line even correct?!?)
San Jose St. @ Toledo: Toledo -7.5
Colorado St @ Colorado: Colorado -23.5
That last game looks crazy based on what we were expecting from Colorado this season, but with their obvious improvement and Norvell's odd decision to "poke the bear", I suspect Sanders will take every opportunity to run up the score on the hapless Rams.
September 16th, 2023 at 10:35 AM ^
I am staying away from Michigan -41. I like betting Michigan so I will probably do a 6 point teaser of Michigan and the over.
Leaning MSU and the points against Washington.
LSU -9.5
September 16th, 2023 at 10:56 AM ^
I am staying away from Michigan -41. I like betting Michigan so I will probably do a 6 point teaser of Michigan and the over.
Interesting. I would probably go the other way and take a 6 pt teaser to get to BGSU +46.0 and Under 59. That would qualify for the "Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week" pick for me.
September 16th, 2023 at 12:59 PM ^
Actually, I can't do the bet. Bovada won't allow any parlay or teaser on Michigan today. Figures. So I took BGSU +41.5.